Brasileirão Série A · Matchday 36

Bahia vs Coritiba: Match Preview & Stats

Bahia

Coritiba

Saturday 21 November 2026, 20:30 UTC Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Bahia

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on Thursday 19 November 2026, 20:30 UTC. (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

Bahia: 2 of 3 right
Coritiba: 1 of 3 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition: Brasileirão Série A, Matchday 36
Kick-off: Saturday 21 November 2026, 20:30 UTC
Local time: 17:30 (Brasília time)
Venue: Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Bahia
Since last match: Bahia: 2 days (Brasileirão Série A) · Grêmio Coritiba: 2 days (Brasileirão Série A) · Santos
Next match: Bahia: 7 days (Brasileirão Série A) later Coritiba: 7 days (Brasileirão Série A) later

Last starting XI

Bahia 4-2-3-1

1 Ronaldo
44 Victor
33 Duarte
4 Kanu
46 Juba
14 Erick
5 Acevedo
99 Olivera
10 Ribeiro
11 Nestor
9 Véliz

Coach: Rogério Ceni at Cruzeiro, 2-3 · Série A · 6 Nov

Coritiba 4-2-3-1

1 Morisco
2 Tinga
23 Tiago
55 Jacy
26 Melo
21 Santos
19 Gómez
77 Lopes
5 Fonseca
32 Rocha
10 Josué

Coach: Guila Bossle at Internacional, 0-1 · Série A · 4 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Bahia

GK Léo VieiraInjured · Out for the season
DF Marco MorenoInjured · Doubtful

Coritiba

FW Lucas RonierInjured · Out for the season

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Bahia

Low impact

Missing attack share 0.0%

Missing minutes share 3.0%

2 players out

Coritiba

Low impact

Missing attack share 0.0%

Missing minutes share 0.0%

1 player out

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Bahia Coritiba

Box & Territory Pressure 49 39

Set-Piece & Corner Threat 62 68

Finishing Efficiency 52 15

Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 53 40

Underlying Play Power 40 32

Bahia Balanced (results match underlying play)

Coritiba Playing above results (positive regression candidate)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Bahia

When scoring first 57% won · 86% unbeaten (7 matches)

When conceding first 50% points rescued · 33% won (6 matches)

1st Half: 68% 2nd Half: 32%

First 15': 14% Last 15' (76-90'): 18%

Coritiba

When scoring first 67% won · 83% unbeaten (6 matches)

When conceding first 25% points rescued · 0% won (8 matches)

1st Half: 27% 2nd Half: 73%

First 15': 0% Last 15' (76-90'): 33%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Bahia

1. FW Erick Pulga 4G · 0A

Team attack 16.0% Team shots 18.0%
2. FW Alejo Véliz 2G · 1A

Team attack 13.0% Team shots 17.0%
3. FW Cristian Olivera 1G · 1A

Team attack 13.0% Team shots 13.0%

Coritiba

1. FW Pedro Rocha 3G · 0A

Team attack 18.0% Team shots 17.0%
2. FW Josué 0G · 2A

Team attack 16.0% Team shots 13.0%
3. DF Tiago 1G · 1A

Team attack 7.0% Team shots 6.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Scoring trends

Scoring trends	Bahia	Coritiba
Over 1.5 goals	8/10	7/10
Over 2.5 goals	7/10	5/10
Over 3.5 goals	4/10	4/10
Both teams scored	7/10	4/10
Clean sheet	1/10	1/10
Failed to score	2/10	5/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded)	1.6 / 1.7	1.0 / 2.0

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Bahia

L 2-3 at Cruzeiro (A) Brasileirão Série A · 6 Nov
W 3-2 vs São Paulo (H) Brasileirão Série A · 29 Oct
D 1-1 at Santos (A) Brasileirão Série A · 25 Oct
L 0-3 vs Flamengo (H) Brasileirão Série A · 18 Oct
W 1-0 vs Mirassol (H) Brasileirão Série A · 11 Oct

Coritiba

L 0-1 at Internacional (A) Brasileirão Série A · 4 Nov
W 2-0 vs Vitória (H) Brasileirão Série A · 31 Oct
L 0-1 vs Grêmio (H) Brasileirão Série A · 26 Oct
L 0-1 at Atlético-MG (A) Brasileirão Série A · 17 Oct
D 1-1 vs Botafogo (H) Brasileirão Série A · 12 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Bahia

1-15 minutes: 5 scored, 6 conceded
16-30 minutes: 8 scored, 7 conceded
31-45 minutes: 16 scored, 10 conceded
46-60 minutes: 4 scored, 5 conceded
61-75 minutes: 5 scored, 9 conceded
76-90 minutes: 12 scored, 8 conceded

Coritiba

1-15 minutes: 2 scored, 4 conceded
16-30 minutes: 4 scored, 9 conceded
31-45 minutes: 9 scored, 5 conceded
46-60 minutes: 9 scored, 7 conceded
61-75 minutes: 8 scored, 13 conceded
76-90 minutes: 8 scored, 13 conceded

Goals in each 15-minute period, Brasileirão Série A this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Bahia

Player	G	A
Luciano Juba (5 pens)	11	2
Jean Lucas	4	4
Erick Pulga	4	2
Alejo Véliz (1 pen)	4	1
Erick	4	1

Coritiba

Player	G	A
Pedro Rocha	9	1
Breno Lopes	8	2
Joaquín Lavega	5	2
Tiago	4	1
Rodrigo Moledo	3	0

Goals and assists in the Brasileirão Série A this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Bahia Coritiba

5.7 Corners won 3.9
6.1 Corners conceded 7.0
2.4 Yellow cards 1.9
2.8 Opponents' yellow cards 2.2

Per match in the Brasileirão Série A this season. Average per club and match: 5.3 corners, 2.4 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

BahiaCoritiba

Attack 68 11 1.5 goals per match this season1.2 goals per match this season

Defence 47 16 1.3 conceded per match this season1.5 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Brasileirão Série A clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1760Elo #160 Elo rating 1672Elo #267

Head-to-head

4Bahia wins

9draws

4Coritiba wins

17 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

25 May 2026 · Brasileirão Série A Coritiba 3-2 Bahia
14 Sep 2023 · Brasileirão Série A Coritiba 2-4 Bahia
7 May 2023 · Brasileirão Série A Bahia 3-1 Coritiba
16 Nov 2020 · Brasileirão Série A Coritiba 1-2 Bahia
12 Aug 2020 · Brasileirão Série A Bahia 1-0 Coritiba

Table

Brasileirão Série A: Table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	34	23	7	4	71:29	+42	76
2	Palmeiras	34	21	10	3	62:23	+39	73
3	Cruzeiro	34	18	6	10	55:48	+7	60
4	Fluminense	34	16	9	9	55:42	+13	57
5	Athletico Paranaense	34	15	9	10	51:43	+8	54
6	Bahia	34	14	11	9	50:45	+5	53
7	Atlético-MG	34	14	8	12	44:40	+4	50
8	RB Bragantino	34	13	8	13	44:39	+5	47
9	Santos	34	12	11	11	50:49	+1	47
10	São Paulo	34	12	8	14	39:39	0	44
11	Botafogo	34	11	9	14	46:53	-7	42
12	Coritiba	34	11	9	14	40:51	-11	42
13	Vasco da Gama	33	11	8	14	43:50	-7	41
14	Mirassol	34	10	10	14	39:48	-9	40
15	Internacional	34	9	11	14	38:42	-4	38
16	Vitória	34	10	8	16	35:51	-16	38
17	Corinthians	34	9	10	15	36:42	-6	37
18	Grêmio	34	9	10	15	38:47	-9	37
19	Remo	34	6	11	17	37:57	-20	29
20	Chapecoense	33	4	9	20	33:68	-35	21

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Brasileirão Série A: average points, likely range and chances.

Club	Pts	Avg pts	Likely	Title	Libertadores	Relegated
Bahia	53
Coritiba	42

For members

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Times are UTC.