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Brasileirão Série A · Matchday 36

Palmeiras vs Flamengo: Match Preview & Stats

Palmeiras crest Palmeiras
vs
Flamengo crest Flamengo
Nubank Parque, São Paulo, São Paulo

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Palmeiras: 2 of 4 right
  • Flamengo: 3 of 4 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Brasileirão Série A, Matchday 36
Kick-off
Local time
16:30 (Brasília time)
Venue
Nubank Parque, São Paulo, São Paulo
Since last match
Palmeiras: 2 days (Brasileirão Série A) · Cruzeiro Flamengo: 2 days (Brasileirão Série A) · Athletico Paranaense
Next match
Palmeiras: 3 days (Brasileirão Série A) later · Chapecoense Flamengo: 7 days (Brasileirão Série A) later

Last starting XI

Palmeiras 3-4-2-1

  1. 1 Miguel
  2. 26 Murilo
  3. 15 Gómez
  4. 3 Fuchs
  5. 12 Khellven
  6. 8 Pereira
  7. 17 Freitas
  8. 56 Arthur
  9. 18 Mauricio
  10. 11 Arias
  11. 9 Roque

Coach: Abel Ferreira vs Remo, 6-1 · Série A · 5 Nov

Flamengo 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Rossi
  2. 2 Varela
  3. 3 Ortiz
  4. 4 Pereira
  5. 6 Lucas
  6. 5 Pulgar
  7. 21 Jorginho
  8. 15 Carrascal
  9. 10 De Arrascaeta
  10. 16 Lino
  11. 9 Pedro

Coach: Leonardo Jardim vs Grêmio, 3-1 · Série A · 4 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Palmeiras

  • DF JeftéInjured · Mid December 2026
  • DF MuriloInjured · Late November 2026
  • FW PaulinhoInjured · About 1-2 weeks

Flamengo

  • DF Alex SandroInjured · About 1-2 weeks
  • DF DaniloInjured · Mid November 2026
  • MF Lucas PaquetáInjured · About 1-2 weeks

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Palmeiras

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 3.0%
Missing minutes share 8.0%
3 players out 1 regular starter out
Key absences:
  • DF Murilo 1% attack · 7% mins

Flamengo

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 11.0%
Missing minutes share 10.0%
3 players out 2 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • MF Lucas Paquetá 8% attack · 4% mins
  • DF Alex Sandro 1% attack · 5% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Palmeiras Flamengo
Box & Territory Pressure 57 59
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 45 56
Finishing Efficiency 76 86
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 81 76
Underlying Play Power 83 72
Palmeiras Balanced (results match underlying play)
Flamengo Results above play quality (running hot)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Palmeiras

When scoring first 89% won · 89% unbeaten (9 matches)
When conceding first 50% points rescued · 0% won (2 matches)
1st Half: 61% 2nd Half: 39%
First 15': 26% Last 15' (76-90'): 13%

Flamengo

When scoring first 91% won · 100% unbeaten (11 matches)
When conceding first 100% points rescued · 50% won (2 matches)
1st Half: 45% 2nd Half: 55%
First 15': 14% Last 15' (76-90'): 24%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Palmeiras

  1. 1. FW José López 3G · 3A
    Team attack 15.0% Team shots 14.0%
  2. 2. MF Jhon Arias 2G · 1A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 11.0%
  3. 3. MF Mauricio 3G · 0A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 9.0%

Flamengo

  1. 1. FW Pedro 5G · 1A
    Team attack 17.0% Team shots 15.0%
  2. 2. FW Samuel Lino 3G · 2A
    Team attack 15.0% Team shots 14.0%
  3. 3. FW Jorge Carrascal 2G · 3A
    Team attack 14.0% Team shots 9.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Palmeiras Flamengo
Over 1.5 goals 6/10 7/10
Over 2.5 goals 4/10 6/10
Over 3.5 goals 2/10 4/10
Both teams scored 4/10 6/10
Clean sheet 5/10 4/10
Failed to score 2/10 2/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 1.9 / 0.6 1.9 / 0.8

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Palmeiras

  • L 1-2 at Vasco da Gama (A) Copa do Brasil · 8 Nov
  • W 6-1 vs Remo (H) Brasileirão Série A · 5 Nov
  • W 1-0 vs Vasco da Gama (H) Copa do Brasil · 1 Nov
  • D 0-0 at Santos (A) Brasileirão Série A · 28 Oct
  • W 2-0 vs RB Bragantino (H) Brasileirão Série A · 24 Oct

Flamengo

  • W 3-1 vs Grêmio (H) Brasileirão Série A · 4 Nov
  • W 4-1 at Vasco da Gama (A) Brasileirão Série A · 29 Oct
  • W 3-2 vs Atlético-MG (H) Brasileirão Série A · 26 Oct
  • D 0-0 vs Estudiantes (H) Copa Libertadores · 23 Oct
  • W 3-0 at Bahia (A) Brasileirão Série A · 18 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Palmeiras

Flamengo

Goals in each 15-minute period, Brasileirão Série A this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Palmeiras

Player G A
José López 10 7
Mauricio (1 pen) 10 1
Jhon Arias 6 4
Vitor Roque (2 pens) 5 1
Allan 4 3

Flamengo

Player G A
Pedro 20 6
Samuel Lino 12 9
Jorge Carrascal (1 pen) 7 9
Lucas Paquetá 7 1
Giorgian De Arrascaeta (1 pen) 4 4

Goals and assists in the Brasileirão Série A this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Palmeiras Flamengo
  • 5.9 Corners won 5.7
  • 5.5 Corners conceded 4.2
  • 2.2 Yellow cards 2.1
  • 3.0 Opponents' yellow cards 2.4

Per match in the Brasileirão Série A this season. Average per club and match: 5.3 corners, 2.4 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

PalmeirasFlamengo
Attack 95 100 1.8 goals per match this season2.1 goals per match this season
Defence 95 100 0.7 conceded per match this season0.9 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Brasileirão Série A clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1924Elo #52 Elo rating 1957Elo #42

Head-to-head

9Palmeiras wins
16draws
11Flamengo wins

36 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 24 May 2026 · Brasileirão Série A Flamengo 0-3 Palmeiras
  • 29 Nov 2025 · Copa Libertadores Palmeiras 0-1 Flamengo
  • 19 Oct 2025 · Brasileirão Série A Flamengo 3-2 Palmeiras
  • 25 May 2025 · Brasileirão Série A Palmeiras 0-2 Flamengo
  • 11 Aug 2024 · Brasileirão Série A Flamengo 1-1 Palmeiras

Table

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Flamengo 34 2374 71:29 +42 76
2 Palmeiras 34 21103 62:23 +39 73
3 Cruzeiro 34 18610 55:48 +7 60
4 Fluminense 34 1699 55:42 +13 57
5 Athletico Paranaense 34 15910 51:43 +8 54
6 Bahia 34 14119 50:45 +5 53
7 Atlético-MG 34 14812 44:40 +4 50
8 RB Bragantino 34 13813 44:39 +5 47
9 Santos 34 121111 50:49 +1 47
10 São Paulo 34 12814 39:39 0 44
11 Botafogo 34 11914 46:53 -7 42
12 Coritiba 34 11914 40:51 -11 42
13 Vasco da Gama 33 11814 43:50 -7 41
14 Mirassol 34 101014 39:48 -9 40
15 Internacional 34 91114 38:42 -4 38
16 Vitória 34 10816 35:51 -16 38
17 Corinthians 34 91015 36:42 -6 37
18 Grêmio 34 91015 38:47 -9 37
19 Remo 34 61117 37:57 -20 29
20 Chapecoense 33 4920 33:68 -35 21

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Brasileirão Série A: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely TitleLibertadoresRelegated
Palmeiras 73
Flamengo 76

For members

Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

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Times are UTC.