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Championship · Matchday 16

Bolton Wanderers vs Portsmouth: Match Preview & Stats

Bolton Wanderers crest Bolton Wanderers
vs
Portsmouth crest Portsmouth
Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Bolton Wanderers: 2 of 7 right
  • Portsmouth: 4 of 8 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Championship, Matchday 16
Kick-off
Venue
Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton
Since last match
Bolton Wanderers: 14 days (Championship) · Derby County (3‑1) Portsmouth: 14 days (Championship) · Stoke City (1‑2)
Next match
Bolton Wanderers: 4 days (Championship) later · West Bromwich Albion Portsmouth: 3 days (Championship) later · West Ham United

Last starting XI

Bolton Wanderers 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Bonham
  2. 27 Stephenson
  3. 3 Forino-Joseph
  4. 14 Famewo
  5. 25 Conway
  6. 4 Simons
  7. 8 Sheehan
  8. 22 Larrazabal
  9. 20 Rodrigues
  10. 11 Gale
  11. 10 Dalby

Coach: Steven Schumacher at Derby County, 1-3 · Championship · 6 Nov

Portsmouth 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Schmid
  2. 24 Devlin
  3. 5 Poole
  4. 55 Dia
  5. 16 Meghoma
  6. 38 Adams
  7. 7 Pack
  8. 10 Segečić
  9. 27 Bailey
  10. 11 Kamara
  11. 17 Shade

Coach: John Mousinho vs Stoke City, 1-2 · Championship · 7 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Bolton Wanderers

  • GK Gavin BazunuInjured · Late November 2026
  • DF Eoin ToalInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Ethan ErhahonInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF John McAteeInjured · Late November 2026
  • FW Jayden NelsonInjured · Late November 2026
  • FW Ryan HardieInjured · Late November 2026

Portsmouth

  • DF Benjamin ArthurInjured · Back in training
  • DF Connor OgilvieInjured · Return unknown
  • MF Iyad MohamedInjured · Doubtful
  • MF John SwiftInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Keshi AndersonInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Mark KosznovszkyInjured · Return unknown
  • FW Colby BishopInjured · Early December 2026
  • FW Luke Brooke-SmithInjured · Out for the season
  • FW MareziInjured · Late November 2026

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Bolton Wanderers

High impact
Missing attack share 6.0%
Missing minutes share 19.0%
6 players out 3 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • DF Eoin Toal 1% attack · 6% mins
  • GK Gavin Bazunu 0% attack · 6% mins

Portsmouth

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 13.0%
Missing minutes share 12.0%
9 players out 2 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • FW Marezi 5% attack · 4% mins
  • FW Colby Bishop 5% attack · 2% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Bolton Wanderers Portsmouth
Box & Territory Pressure 51 44
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 36 49
Finishing Efficiency 67 75
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 42 57
Underlying Play Power 31 46
Bolton Wanderers Balanced (results match underlying play)
Portsmouth Results above play quality (running hot)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Bolton Wanderers

When scoring first 67% won · 67% unbeaten (6 matches)
When conceding first 14% points rescued · 14% won (7 matches)
1st Half: 60% 2nd Half: 40%
First 15': 15% Last 15' (76-90'): 15%

Portsmouth

When scoring first 62% won · 75% unbeaten (8 matches)
When conceding first 40% points rescued · 20% won (5 matches)
1st Half: 45% 2nd Half: 55%
First 15': 20% Last 15' (76-90'): 30%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Bolton Wanderers

  1. 1. FW Gaizka Larrazabal 1G · 4A
    Team attack 15.0% Team shots 9.0%
  2. 2. MF Rúben Rodrigues 2G · 1A
    Team attack 14.0% Team shots 12.0%
  3. 3. FW Sam Dalby 4G · 0A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 9.0%

Portsmouth

  1. 1. FW Adrian Segečić 1G · 0A
    Team attack 15.0% Team shots 16.0%
  2. 2. FW Ryan Kavuma-McQueen 0G · 2A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 17.0%
  3. 3. FW Tyrese Shade 1G · 0A
    Team attack 8.0% Team shots 8.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Bolton Wanderers Portsmouth
Over 1.5 goals 7/10 6/10
Over 2.5 goals 7/10 5/10
Over 3.5 goals 6/10 3/10
Both teams scored 7/10 6/10
Clean sheet 3/10 3/10
Failed to score 1/10 3/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 1.6 / 2.0 1.3 / 1.0

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Bolton Wanderers

  • L 1-3 at Derby County (A) Championship · 6 Nov
  • W 1-0 at Charlton Athletic (A) Championship · 3 Nov
  • L 2-3 vs Bristol City (H) Championship · 31 Oct
  • L 1-5 vs Middlesbrough (H) Championship · 23 Oct
  • D 0-0 at Southampton (A) Championship · 17 Oct

Portsmouth

  • L 1-2 vs Stoke City (H) Championship · 7 Nov
  • W 3-1 vs Swansea City (H) Championship · 3 Nov
  • D 0-0 at Burnley (A) Championship · 31 Oct
  • W 2-1 vs Millwall (H) Championship · 24 Oct
  • D 1-1 at Wolverhampton Wanderers (A) Championship · 20 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Bolton Wanderers

Portsmouth

Goals in each 15-minute period, Championship this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Bolton Wanderers

Player G A
Sam Dalby 6 0
Thierry Gale 3 2
Atsuki Ito 2 1
Rúben Rodrigues (1 pen) 2 1
Thelonius Bair 2 1

Portsmouth

Player G A
Terry Devlin 4 0
Marezi (2 pens) 3 0
Adrian Segečić 2 1
Ebou Adams 2 1
Thomas Waddingham 2 0

Goals and assists in the Championship this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Bolton Wanderers Portsmouth
  • 5.5 Corners won 5.7
  • 5.5 Corners conceded 4.5
  • 1.6 Yellow cards 1.6
  • 1.4 Opponents' yellow cards 2.3

Per match in the Championship this season. Average per club and match: 5.2 corners, 1.9 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

Bolton WanderersPortsmouth
Attack 30 35 1.3 goals per match this season1.3 goals per match this season
Defence 0 39 1.9 conceded per match this season1.2 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Championship clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1638Elo #303 Elo rating 1673Elo #265

Head-to-head

1Bolton Wanderers wins
2draws
5Portsmouth wins

8 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 13 Apr 2024 · League One Bolton Wanderers 1-1 Portsmouth
  • 11 Dec 2023 · League One Portsmouth 2-0 Bolton Wanderers
  • 28 Feb 2023 · League One Portsmouth 3-1 Bolton Wanderers
  • 14 Jan 2023 · League One Bolton Wanderers 3-0 Portsmouth
  • 5 Apr 2022 · League One Bolton Wanderers 1-1 Portsmouth

Table

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Birmingham City 15 852 28:14 +14 29
2 Middlesbrough 15 852 30:19 +11 29
3 Stoke City 15 924 24:18 +6 29
4 Southampton 15 843 29:15 +14 28
5 Wolverhampton Wanderers 15 843 26:18 +8 28
6 West Bromwich Albion 15 843 23:15 +8 28
7 Swansea City 15 825 22:18 +4 26
8 Queens Park Rangers 15 663 24:18 +6 24
9 West Ham United 15 654 37:23 +14 23
10 Sheffield United 15 645 21:19 +2 22
11 Portsmouth 15 645 20:18 +2 22
12 Norwich City 15 708 32:24 +8 21
13 Blackburn Rovers 15 636 22:23 -1 21
14 Cardiff City 15 465 27:27 0 18
15 Wrexham 15 465 18:20 -2 18
16 Millwall 15 537 23:27 -4 18
17 Bristol City 15 537 16:24 -8 18
18 Bolton Wanderers 15 528 20:29 -9 17
19 Charlton Athletic 15 456 13:23 -10 17
20 Watford 15 438 13:23 -10 15
21 Lincoln City 15 438 15:26 -11 15
22 Burnley 15 177 22:31 -9 10
23 Derby County 15 249 14:30 -16 10
24 Preston North End 15 2211 13:30 -17 8

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Championship: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely TitlePromotedPlay-offsRelegated
Bolton Wanderers 17
Portsmouth 22

For members

Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

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Times are UTC.