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Championship · Matchday 16

Lincoln City vs Wrexham: Match Preview & Stats

Lincoln City crest Lincoln City
vs
Wrexham crest Wrexham
ProAmpac Stadium, Lincoln, Lincolnshire

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Lincoln City: 4 of 7 right
  • Wrexham: 2 of 7 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Championship, Matchday 16
Kick-off
Venue
ProAmpac Stadium, Lincoln, Lincolnshire
Since last match
Lincoln City: 14 days (Championship) · Queens Park Rangers (2‑1) Wrexham: 14 days (Championship) · Wolverhampton Wanderers (1‑1)
Next match
Lincoln City: 3 days (Championship) later · Charlton Athletic Wrexham: 3 days (Championship) later · Bristol City

Last starting XI

Lincoln City 4-4-2

  1. 1 Wickens
  2. 33 Oyegoke
  3. 25 Elerewe
  4. 15 Bradley
  5. 3 Reach
  6. 7 Hackett
  7. 14 McGrandles
  8. 26 Konak
  9. 16 Jefferies
  10. 34 Draper
  11. 11 Ladefoged

Coach: Tom Shaw at Queens Park Rangers, 1-2 · Championship · 7 Nov

Wrexham 3-5-1-1

  1. 22 Patterson
  2. 4 Cleworth
  3. 6 Worrall
  4. 2 Doyle
  5. 12 Kaboré
  6. 15 Dobson
  7. 8 Whiteman
  8. 20 Rathbone
  9. 3 Ekomié
  10. 27 O'Brien
  11. 19 Moore

Coach: Phil Parkinson vs Wolverhampton Wanderers, 1-1 · Championship · 7 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Lincoln City

  • DF Tendayi DarikwaInjured · Doubtful
  • FW Mason MeliaInjured · Late November 2026

Wrexham

  • MF Callum O'HareInjured · Doubtful
  • MF Issa KaboréInjured · Doubtful
  • MF Josh WindassInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Liberato CacaceInjured · Return unknown
  • MF Nathan BroadheadInjured · Doubtful
  • FW Sam SmithInjured · Early January 2027
  • – Sebastian RevanInjured · Doubtful

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Lincoln City

Low impact
Missing attack share 0.0%
Missing minutes share 0.0%
2 players out

Wrexham

High impact
Missing attack share 25.0%
Missing minutes share 17.0%
7 players out 2 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • MF Callum O'Hare 10% attack · 5% mins
  • MF Issa Kaboré 5% attack · 6% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Lincoln City Wrexham
Box & Territory Pressure 44 46
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 56 58
Finishing Efficiency 29 38
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 17 25
Underlying Play Power 36 40
Lincoln City Playing above results (positive regression candidate)
Wrexham Balanced (results match underlying play)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Lincoln City

When scoring first 50% won · 67% unbeaten (6 matches)
When conceding first 25% points rescued · 12% won (8 matches)
1st Half: 47% 2nd Half: 53%
First 15': 13% Last 15' (76-90'): 13%

Wrexham

When scoring first 67% won · 83% unbeaten (6 matches)
When conceding first 50% points rescued · 0% won (8 matches)
1st Half: 39% 2nd Half: 61%
First 15': 6% Last 15' (76-90'): 17%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Lincoln City

  1. 1. FW Mikkel Ladefoged 2G · 1A
    Team attack 11.0% Team shots 11.0%
  2. 2. FW Freddie Draper 2G · 1A
    Team attack 11.0% Team shots 13.0%
  3. 3. MF Reeco Hackett 1G · 0A
    Team attack 10.0% Team shots 12.0%

Wrexham

  1. 1. FW Kieffer Moore 3G · 2A
    Team attack 19.0% Team shots 21.0%
  2. 2. MF Ben Whiteman 1G · 2A
    Team attack 11.0% Team shots 8.0%
  3. 3. MF Oliver Rathbone 2G · 1A
    Team attack 7.0% Team shots 7.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Lincoln City Wrexham
Over 1.5 goals 7/10 9/10
Over 2.5 goals 7/10 4/10
Over 3.5 goals 4/10 2/10
Both teams scored 5/10 6/10
Clean sheet 2/10 1/10
Failed to score 3/10 3/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 1.1 / 2.0 1.2 / 1.6

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Lincoln City

  • L 1-2 at Queens Park Rangers (A) Championship · 7 Nov
  • L 0-1 at Watford (A) Championship · 3 Nov
  • L 1-3 vs Birmingham City (H) Championship · 31 Oct
  • W 4-1 vs Burnley (H) Championship · 24 Oct
  • D 2-2 at Millwall (A) Championship · 17 Oct

Wrexham

  • D 1-1 vs Wolverhampton Wanderers (H) Championship · 7 Nov
  • W 2-0 vs Middlesbrough (H) Championship · 4 Nov
  • L 0-1 at Sheffield United (A) Championship · 30 Oct
  • L 0-2 at Blackburn Rovers (A) Championship · 24 Oct
  • W 4-1 vs Preston North End (H) Championship · 17 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Lincoln City

Wrexham

Goals in each 15-minute period, Championship this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Lincoln City

Player G A
Mikkel Ladefoged 3 1
Ben House 2 2
Freddie Draper 2 1
Reeco Hackett (2 pens) 2 1
Dom Jefferies 2 0

Wrexham

Player G A
Kieffer Moore 5 2
Oliver Rathbone 2 1
Jacques Ekomié 2 0
Daniel Imray 1 3
Ben Whiteman 1 2

Goals and assists in the Championship this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Lincoln City Wrexham
  • 3.5 Corners won 4.7
  • 7.4 Corners conceded 4.5
  • 2.3 Yellow cards 1.3
  • 2.0 Opponents' yellow cards 2.0

Per match in the Championship this season. Average per club and match: 5.2 corners, 1.9 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

Lincoln CityWrexham
Attack 43 57 1.0 goals per match this season1.2 goals per match this season
Defence 17 48 1.7 conceded per match this season1.3 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Championship clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1700Elo #241 Elo rating 1713Elo #222

Head-to-head

0Lincoln City wins
0draws
2Wrexham wins

2 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 3 May 2025 · League One Lincoln City 0-2 Wrexham
  • 26 Nov 2024 · League One Wrexham 1-0 Lincoln City

Table

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Birmingham City 15 852 28:14 +14 29
2 Middlesbrough 15 852 30:19 +11 29
3 Stoke City 15 924 24:18 +6 29
4 Southampton 15 843 29:15 +14 28
5 Wolverhampton Wanderers 15 843 26:18 +8 28
6 West Bromwich Albion 15 843 23:15 +8 28
7 Swansea City 15 825 22:18 +4 26
8 Queens Park Rangers 15 663 24:18 +6 24
9 West Ham United 15 654 37:23 +14 23
10 Sheffield United 15 645 21:19 +2 22
11 Portsmouth 15 645 20:18 +2 22
12 Norwich City 15 708 32:24 +8 21
13 Blackburn Rovers 15 636 22:23 -1 21
14 Cardiff City 15 465 27:27 0 18
15 Wrexham 15 465 18:20 -2 18
16 Millwall 15 537 23:27 -4 18
17 Bristol City 15 537 16:24 -8 18
18 Bolton Wanderers 15 528 20:29 -9 17
19 Charlton Athletic 15 456 13:23 -10 17
20 Watford 15 438 13:23 -10 15
21 Lincoln City 15 438 15:26 -11 15
22 Burnley 15 177 22:31 -9 10
23 Derby County 15 249 14:30 -16 10
24 Preston North End 15 2211 13:30 -17 8

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Championship: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely TitlePromotedPlay-offsRelegated
Lincoln City 15
Wrexham 18

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Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

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Times are UTC.