Championship · Matchday 16 Stoke City vs Birmingham City: Match Preview & Stats
Our picks
Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off
To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)
See today's ready predictions →Our record
Stoke City: 2 of 7 right
Birmingham City: 6 of 7 right
Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.
Match facts
- Competition
- Championship, Matchday 16
- Kick-off
- Venue
- bet365 Stadium, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire
- Since last match
- Stoke City: 14 days (Championship) · Portsmouth (1‑2) Birmingham City: 14 days (Championship) · Swansea City (2‑1)
- Next match
- Stoke City: 4 days (Championship) later · Millwall Birmingham City: 4 days (Championship) later · Burnley
Last starting XI
Stoke City 3-4-3
- 1 Johansson
- 16 Wilmot
- 18 Lawal
- 5 Graham
- 22 Tchamadeu
- 27 Soumaré
- 8 Galbraith
- 2 Johnson
- 7 McGlynn
- 9 Bozeník
- 42 Manhoef
Coach: Mark Robins 
at Portsmouth, 2-1 · Championship · 7 Nov
Birmingham City 4-2-3-1
- 21 Allsop
- 2 Laird
- 5 Neumann
- 4 Klarer
- 20 Cochrane
- 24 Iwata
- 14 Solís
- 16 Roberts
- 18 Bird
- 17 Millar
- 28 Stansfield
Coach: Chris Davies 
vs Swansea City, 2-1 · Championship · 7 Nov
Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.
Injuries and suspensions
Stoke City
- DF Aaron CresswellInjured · Doubtful
- MF Eric BocatInjured · Late November 2026
- FW Lamine CisséInjured · Late November 2026
- – Ato AmpahInjured · Mid January 2027
Birmingham City
- GK James BeadleInjured · Late November 2026
- FW August PriskeInjured · Doubtful
Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.
Missing Players Impact
Stoke City
Moderate impact - FW Lamine Cissé 7% attack · 4% mins
- MF Eric Bocat 5% attack · 4% mins
Birmingham City
Moderate impact - FW August Priske 11% attack · 4% mins
- GK James Beadle 0% attack · 6% mins
Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.
Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)
Stoke City Birmingham City Stoke City Results above play quality (running hot) Birmingham City Results above play quality (running hot) OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.
Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing
Stoke City
Birmingham City
Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.
Key Attacking Threats
Stoke City
- 1. FW Jack McGlynn 5G · 2ATeam attack 18.0% Team shots 13.0%
- 2. MF Ethan Galbraith 0G · 4ATeam attack 13.0% Team shots 10.0%
- 3. DF Ben Wilmot 3G · 0ATeam attack 9.0% Team shots 9.0%
Birmingham City
- 1. FW Liam Millar 4G · 3ATeam attack 15.0% Team shots 11.0%
- 2. FW Jay Stansfield 3G · 1ATeam attack 14.0% Team shots 19.0%
- 3. DF Alexander Cochrane 2G · 1ATeam attack 7.0% Team shots 4.0%
Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.
Scoring trends
| Scoring trends | Stoke City | Birmingham City |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 | 8/10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 | 8/10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 | 3/10 |
| Both teams scored | 7/10 | 5/10 |
| Clean sheet | 3/10 | 4/10 |
| Failed to score | 1/10 | 1/10 |
| Goals per match (scored / conceded) | 1.6 / 0.9 | 2.1 / 0.8 |
Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.
Form guide
Stoke City
- W 2-1 at Portsmouth (A) Championship · 7 Nov
- W 2-1 at
Blackburn Rovers (A) Championship · 3 Nov - W 2-0 vs
Preston North End (H) Championship · 31 Oct - D 0-0 vs
Bristol City (H) Championship · 24 Oct - W 1-0 at
Derby County (A) Championship · 17 Oct
Birmingham City
- W 2-1 vs Swansea City (H) Championship · 7 Nov
- W 3-0 vs
Millwall (H) Championship · 3 Nov - W 3-1 at
Lincoln City (A) Championship · 31 Oct - L 0-1 at
Cardiff City (A) Championship · 24 Oct - W 3-0 vs
Queens Park Rangers (H) Championship · 17 Oct
Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.
When the goals come
Stoke City
- 1-15 minutes: 4 scored, 2 conceded
- 16-30 minutes: 5 scored, 3 conceded
- 31-45 minutes: 4 scored, 0 conceded
- 46-60 minutes: 5 scored, 3 conceded
- 61-75 minutes: 2 scored, 3 conceded
- 76-90 minutes: 4 scored, 7 conceded
Birmingham City
- 1-15 minutes: 2 scored, 1 conceded
- 16-30 minutes: 6 scored, 1 conceded
- 31-45 minutes: 7 scored, 7 conceded
- 46-60 minutes: 5 scored, 1 conceded
- 61-75 minutes: 4 scored, 2 conceded
- 76-90 minutes: 4 scored, 2 conceded
Goals in each 15-minute period, Championship this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.
Top scorers
Stoke City
| Player | G | A |
|---|---|---|
| Jack McGlynn | 5 | 2 |
| Ethan Galbraith | 3 | 4 |
| Ben Wilmot | 3 | 0 |
| Eric Bocat | 2 | 2 |
| Sam Gallagher | 2 | 1 |
Birmingham City
| Player | G | A |
|---|---|---|
| August Priske (1 pen) | 6 | 1 |
| Liam Millar | 4 | 3 |
| Jay Stansfield | 4 | 1 |
| Demarai Gray (1 pen) | 3 | 0 |
| Alexander Cochrane | 2 | 2 |
Goals and assists in the Championship this season.
Corners and yellow cards
Stoke City Birmingham City - 4.5 Corners won 5.5
- 5.5 Corners conceded 4.2
- 2.1 Yellow cards 2.1
- 2.1 Opponents' yellow cards 1.7
Per match in the Championship this season. Average per club and match: 5.2 corners, 1.9 yellow cards.
Attack and defence ratings
Stoke CityBirmingham City0 to 100 against this season's Championship clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.
Head-to-head
4Stoke City wins7Birmingham City wins17 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.
- 24 Jan 2026 · Championship Birmingham City 1-1 Stoke City
- 13 Sep 2025 · Championship Stoke City 1-0 Birmingham City
- 20 Jan 2024 · Championship Stoke City 1-2 Birmingham City
- 26 Dec 2023 · Championship Birmingham City 1-3 Stoke City
- 10 Apr 2023 · Championship Birmingham City 0-0 Stoke City
Table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 28:14 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30:19 | +11 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:18 | +6 | 29 |
| 4 |  Southampton | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 29:15 | +14 | 28 |
| 5 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26:18 | +8 | 28 |
| 6 |  West Bromwich Albion | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23:15 | +8 | 28 |
| 7 | Swansea City | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 22:18 | +4 | 26 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24:18 | +6 | 24 |
| 9 |  West Ham United | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 37:23 | +14 | 23 |
| 10 |  Sheffield United | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21:19 | +2 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20:18 | +2 | 22 |
| 12 |  Norwich City | 15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 32:24 | +8 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 27:27 | 0 | 18 |
| 15 |  Wrexham | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 18 |
| 18 |  Bolton Wanderers | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20:29 | -9 | 17 |
| 19 |  Charlton Athletic | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13:23 | -10 | 17 |
| 20 |  Watford | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13:23 | -10 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:26 | -11 | 15 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 22:31 | -9 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14:30 | -16 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13:30 | -17 | 8 |
Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table
Season projection
MembersWhere these two clubs are projected to finish in the Championship: average points, likely range and chances.
| Club | Pts | Avg pts | Likely | Title | Promoted | Play-offs | Relegated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 29 | ||||||
| Birmingham City | 29 |
For members
Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.
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Times are UTC.