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Championship · Matchday 17

Cardiff City vs Preston North End: Match Preview & Stats

Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff (Caerdydd)

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Cardiff City: 4 of 7 right
  • Preston North End: 5 of 7 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Championship, Matchday 17
Kick-off
Venue
Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff (Caerdydd)
Since last match
Cardiff City: 3 days (Championship) · Norwich City Preston North End: 3 days (Championship) · West Ham United
Next match
Cardiff City: 4 days (Championship) later Preston North End: 3 days (Championship) later

Last starting XI

Cardiff City 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Trott
  2. 38 Ng
  3. 2 Fish
  4. 5 Bielik
  5. 3 Bagan
  6. 18 Robertson
  7. 45 Ashford
  8. 11 Tanner
  9. 10 Colwill
  10. 16 Willock
  11. 8 Moylan

Coach: Brian Barry-Murphy vs Burnley, 5-4 · Championship · 7 Nov

Preston North End 3-4-3

  1. 21 Nicholls
  2. 24 Offiah
  3. 6 Lindsay
  4. 16 Hughes
  5. 17 Mills
  6. 23 Moran
  7. 15 Thompson
  8. 3 Vukčević
  9. 7 Devine
  10. 10 Lang
  11. 11 Small

Coach: Jason Euell vs Southampton, 1-0 · Championship · 7 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Cardiff City

  • DF Dylan LawlorInjured · Late November 2026
  • – Calum ChambersInjured · Doubtful

Preston North End

  • DF Andrew HughesInjured · Doubtful
  • DF Lewis GibsonInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Alistair McCannInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Andrija VukčevićInjured · Doubtful
  • MF Harry ClarkeInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Liam GibbsInjured · Late November 2026
  • FW Johnny KennyInjured · Late November 2026

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Cardiff City

Low impact
Missing attack share 0.0%
Missing minutes share 1.0%
2 players out

Preston North End

High impact
Missing attack share 27.0%
Missing minutes share 23.0%
7 players out 4 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • FW Johnny Kenny 12% attack · 4% mins
  • MF Andrija Vukčević 6% attack · 7% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Cardiff City Preston North End
Box & Territory Pressure 62 39
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 53 54
Finishing Efficiency 72 15
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 46 19
Underlying Play Power 71 28
Cardiff City Playing above results (positive regression candidate)
Preston North End Playing above results (positive regression candidate)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Cardiff City

When scoring first 43% won · 100% unbeaten (7 matches)
When conceding first 38% points rescued · 12% won (8 matches)
1st Half: 63% 2nd Half: 37%
First 15': 15% Last 15' (76-90'): 15%

Preston North End

When scoring first 33% won · 67% unbeaten (6 matches)
When conceding first 0% points rescued · 0% won (9 matches)
1st Half: 62% 2nd Half: 38%
First 15': 31% Last 15' (76-90'): 31%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Cardiff City

  1. 1. FW Jack Moylan 9G · 3A
    Team attack 24.0% Team shots 24.0%
  2. 2. FW Ollie Tanner 3G · 3A
    Team attack 15.0% Team shots 16.0%
  3. 3. FW Yousef Salech 4G · 1A
    Team attack 13.0% Team shots 15.0%

Preston North End

  1. 1. FW Alfie Devine 1G · 1A
    Team attack 14.0% Team shots 12.0%
  2. 2. FW Callum Lang 2G · 0A
    Team attack 13.0% Team shots 10.0%
  3. 3. MF Léo Leroy 1G · 1A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 4.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Scoring trends Cardiff City Preston North End
Over 1.5 goals 8/10 7/10
Over 2.5 goals 7/10 5/10
Over 3.5 goals 5/10 4/10
Both teams scored 7/10 5/10
Clean sheet 1/10 1/10
Failed to score 2/10 4/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 2.1 / 1.8 0.8 / 2.0

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Cardiff City

  • W 5-4 vs Burnley (H) Championship · 7 Nov
  • D 3-3 vs West Ham United (H) Championship · 4 Nov
  • L 0-3 at Wolverhampton Wanderers (A) Championship · 31 Oct
  • W 1-0 vs Birmingham City (H) Championship · 24 Oct
  • D 2-2 at Middlesbrough (A) Championship · 17 Oct

Preston North End

  • W 1-0 vs Southampton (H) Championship · 7 Nov
  • L 2-3 vs Sheffield United (H) Championship · 3 Nov
  • L 0-2 at Stoke City (A) Championship · 31 Oct
  • D 1-1 vs West Bromwich Albion (H) Championship · 24 Oct
  • L 1-4 at Wrexham (A) Championship · 17 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Cardiff City

  • 1-15 minutes: 4 scored, 6 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 3 scored, 5 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 10 scored, 3 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 1 scored, 7 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 5 scored, 3 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 4 scored, 3 conceded

Preston North End

  • 1-15 minutes: 4 scored, 3 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 2 scored, 3 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 2 scored, 7 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 1 scored, 4 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 0 scored, 4 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 4 scored, 9 conceded

Goals in each 15-minute period, Championship this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Cardiff City

Player G A
Jack Moylan (3 pens) 10 3
Yousef Salech 5 1
Ollie Tanner 3 4
Cian Ashford 2 3
Callum Robinson 2 0

Preston North End

Player G A
Callum Lang 4 0
Jordan Thompson 2 1
Johnny Kenny 2 0
Alfie Devine 1 1
Léo Leroy 1 1

Goals and assists in the Championship this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Cardiff City Preston North End
  • 6.4 Corners won 4.7
  • 5.1 Corners conceded 6.1
  • 1.9 Yellow cards 2.3
  • 2.4 Opponents' yellow cards 1.1

Per match in the Championship this season. Average per club and match: 5.2 corners, 1.9 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

Cardiff CityPreston North End
Attack 70 4 1.8 goals per match this season0.9 goals per match this season
Defence 4 9 1.8 conceded per match this season2.0 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Championship clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1683Elo #251 Elo rating 1573Elo #343

Head-to-head

8Cardiff City wins
7draws
6Preston North End wins

21 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 8 Apr 2025 · Championship Preston North End 2-2 Cardiff City
  • 11 Dec 2024 · Championship Cardiff City 0-2 Preston North End
  • 10 Feb 2024 · Championship Cardiff City 0-2 Preston North End
  • 25 Nov 2023 · Championship Preston North End 1-2 Cardiff City
  • 11 Mar 2023 · Championship Preston North End 2-0 Cardiff City

Table

Championship: Table
#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Birmingham City 15 852 28:14 +14 29
2 Middlesbrough 15 852 30:19 +11 29
3 Stoke City 15 924 24:18 +6 29
4 Southampton 15 843 29:15 +14 28
5 Wolverhampton Wanderers 15 843 26:18 +8 28
6 West Bromwich Albion 15 843 23:15 +8 28
7 Swansea City 15 825 22:18 +4 26
8 Queens Park Rangers 15 663 24:18 +6 24
9 West Ham United 15 654 37:23 +14 23
10 Sheffield United 15 645 21:19 +2 22
11 Portsmouth 15 645 20:18 +2 22
12 Norwich City 15 708 32:24 +8 21
13 Blackburn Rovers 15 636 22:23 -1 21
14 Cardiff City 15 465 27:27 0 18
15 Wrexham 15 465 18:20 -2 18
16 Millwall 15 537 23:27 -4 18
17 Bristol City 15 537 16:24 -8 18
18 Bolton Wanderers 15 528 20:29 -9 17
19 Charlton Athletic 15 456 13:23 -10 17
20 Watford 15 438 13:23 -10 15
21 Lincoln City 15 438 15:26 -11 15
22 Burnley 15 177 22:31 -9 10
23 Derby County 15 249 14:30 -16 10
24 Preston North End 15 2211 13:30 -17 8

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Championship: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely TitlePromotedPlay-offsRelegated
Cardiff City 18
Preston North End 8

For members

Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

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