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Championship · Matchday 17

Bristol City vs Wrexham: Match Preview & Stats

Bristol City crest Bristol City
vs
Wrexham crest Wrexham
Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Bristol City: 1 of 7 right
  • Wrexham: 2 of 7 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Championship, Matchday 17
Kick-off
Venue
Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol
Since last match
Bristol City: 3 days (Championship) · Middlesbrough Wrexham: 3 days (Championship) · Lincoln City
Next match
Bristol City: 3 days (Championship) later Wrexham: 3 days (Championship) later

Last starting XI

Bristol City 4-2-3-1

  1. 40 Collins
  2. 19 Tanner
  3. 16 Dickie
  4. 2 Eissat
  5. 3 Pring
  6. 8 Williams
  7. 4 Randell
  8. 21 Cardines
  9. 12 Knight
  10. 10 Twine
  11. 9 Tolaj

Coach: Michael Skubala vs Norwich City, 0-5 · Championship · 7 Nov

Wrexham 3-5-1-1

  1. 22 Patterson
  2. 4 Cleworth
  3. 6 Worrall
  4. 2 Doyle
  5. 12 Kaboré
  6. 15 Dobson
  7. 8 Whiteman
  8. 20 Rathbone
  9. 3 Ekomié
  10. 27 O'Brien
  11. 19 Moore

Coach: Phil Parkinson vs Wolverhampton Wanderers, 1-1 · Championship · 7 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Bristol City

  • DF Noah EileInjured · Doubtful

Wrexham

  • MF Callum O'HareInjured · Doubtful
  • MF Issa KaboréInjured · Doubtful
  • MF Josh WindassInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Liberato CacaceInjured · Return unknown
  • MF Nathan BroadheadInjured · Doubtful
  • FW Sam SmithInjured · Early January 2027
  • – Sebastian RevanInjured · Doubtful

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Bristol City

Low impact
Missing attack share 0.0%
Missing minutes share 1.0%
1 player out

Wrexham

High impact
Missing attack share 25.0%
Missing minutes share 17.0%
7 players out 2 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • MF Callum O'Hare 10% attack · 5% mins
  • MF Issa Kaboré 5% attack · 6% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Bristol City Wrexham
Box & Territory Pressure 49 46
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 72 58
Finishing Efficiency 15 38
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 19 25
Underlying Play Power 58 40
Bristol City Playing above results (positive regression candidate)
Wrexham Balanced (results match underlying play)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Bristol City

When scoring first 67% won · 83% unbeaten (6 matches)
When conceding first 25% points rescued · 12% won (8 matches)
1st Half: 44% 2nd Half: 56%
First 15': 12% Last 15' (76-90'): 44%

Wrexham

When scoring first 67% won · 83% unbeaten (6 matches)
When conceding first 50% points rescued · 0% won (8 matches)
1st Half: 39% 2nd Half: 61%
First 15': 6% Last 15' (76-90'): 17%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Bristol City

  1. 1. FW Dominic Ballard 2G · 0A
    Team attack 16.0% Team shots 18.0%
  2. 2. FW Rio Cardines 0G · 2A
    Team attack 14.0% Team shots 4.0%
  3. 3. FW Scott Twine 3G · 0A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 9.0%

Wrexham

  1. 1. FW Kieffer Moore 3G · 2A
    Team attack 19.0% Team shots 21.0%
  2. 2. MF Ben Whiteman 1G · 2A
    Team attack 11.0% Team shots 8.0%
  3. 3. MF Oliver Rathbone 2G · 1A
    Team attack 7.0% Team shots 7.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Bristol City Wrexham
Over 1.5 goals 5/10 9/10
Over 2.5 goals 4/10 4/10
Over 3.5 goals 3/10 2/10
Both teams scored 4/10 6/10
Clean sheet 2/10 1/10
Failed to score 5/10 3/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 0.7 / 1.7 1.2 / 1.6

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Bristol City

  • L 0-5 vs Norwich City (H) Championship · 7 Nov
  • L 1-2 vs Wolverhampton Wanderers (H) Championship · 4 Nov
  • W 3-2 at Bolton Wanderers (A) Championship · 31 Oct
  • D 0-0 at Stoke City (A) Championship · 24 Oct
  • L 0-1 vs Sheffield United (H) Championship · 17 Oct

Wrexham

  • D 1-1 vs Wolverhampton Wanderers (H) Championship · 7 Nov
  • W 2-0 vs Middlesbrough (H) Championship · 4 Nov
  • L 0-1 at Sheffield United (A) Championship · 30 Oct
  • L 0-2 at Blackburn Rovers (A) Championship · 24 Oct
  • W 4-1 vs Preston North End (H) Championship · 17 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Bristol City

Wrexham

Goals in each 15-minute period, Championship this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Bristol City

Player G A
Scott Twine (1 pen) 5 0
Dominic Ballard 4 0
Lorent Tolaj 2 1
Jason Knight 1 1
Lisav Naif Eissat 1 0

Wrexham

Player G A
Kieffer Moore 5 2
Oliver Rathbone 2 1
Jacques Ekomié 2 0
Daniel Imray 1 3
Ben Whiteman 1 2

Goals and assists in the Championship this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Bristol City Wrexham
  • 5.3 Corners won 4.7
  • 5.5 Corners conceded 4.5
  • 1.3 Yellow cards 1.3
  • 1.7 Opponents' yellow cards 2.0

Per match in the Championship this season. Average per club and match: 5.2 corners, 1.9 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

Bristol CityWrexham
Attack 22 57 1.1 goals per match this season1.2 goals per match this season
Defence 35 48 1.6 conceded per match this season1.3 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Championship clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1645Elo #299 Elo rating 1713Elo #222

Head-to-head

0Bristol City wins
1draw
1Wrexham wins

2 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 17 Feb 2026 · Championship Bristol City 2-2 Wrexham
  • 26 Nov 2025 · Championship Wrexham 2-0 Bristol City

Table

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Birmingham City 15 852 28:14 +14 29
2 Middlesbrough 15 852 30:19 +11 29
3 Stoke City 15 924 24:18 +6 29
4 Southampton 15 843 29:15 +14 28
5 Wolverhampton Wanderers 15 843 26:18 +8 28
6 West Bromwich Albion 15 843 23:15 +8 28
7 Swansea City 15 825 22:18 +4 26
8 Queens Park Rangers 15 663 24:18 +6 24
9 West Ham United 15 654 37:23 +14 23
10 Sheffield United 15 645 21:19 +2 22
11 Portsmouth 15 645 20:18 +2 22
12 Norwich City 15 708 32:24 +8 21
13 Blackburn Rovers 15 636 22:23 -1 21
14 Cardiff City 15 465 27:27 0 18
15 Wrexham 15 465 18:20 -2 18
16 Millwall 15 537 23:27 -4 18
17 Bristol City 15 537 16:24 -8 18
18 Bolton Wanderers 15 528 20:29 -9 17
19 Charlton Athletic 15 456 13:23 -10 17
20 Watford 15 438 13:23 -10 15
21 Lincoln City 15 438 15:26 -11 15
22 Burnley 15 177 22:31 -9 10
23 Derby County 15 249 14:30 -16 10
24 Preston North End 15 2211 13:30 -17 8

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Championship: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely TitlePromotedPlay-offsRelegated
Bristol City 18
Wrexham 18

For members

Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

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Times are UTC.