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Copa Sudamericana · Final

Atlético-MG vs Boca Juniors: Match Preview & Stats

Atlético-MG crest Atlético-MG
vs
Boca Juniors crest Boca Juniors
Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, Barranquilla

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Atlético-MG: 2 of 4 right
  • Boca Juniors: 1 of 1 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Copa Sudamericana, Final
Kick-off
Local time
19:30 (Brasília time)
Venue
Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez, Barranquilla (neutral venue)
Since last match
Atlético-MG: 7 days (Brasileirão Série A) · Mirassol Boca Juniors: 7 days (Copa Argentina) · Vasco da Gama (1‑3)
Next match
Atlético-MG: 4 days (Brasileirão Série A) later · Corinthians Boca Juniors: 4 days (Liga Profesional Argentina) later

Last starting XI

Atlético-MG 4-2-3-1

  1. 22 Everson
  2. 23 Preciado
  3. 40 Vitão
  4. 3 Duarte
  5. 36 Pascini
  6. 25 Pérez
  7. 39 Cissé
  8. 10 Scarpa
  9. 5 Alexsander
  10. 92 Dudu
  11. 29 Soares

Coach: Eduardo Domínguez at Botafogo, 0-1 · Série A · 5 Nov

Boca Juniors 4-3-3

  1. 1 Montero
  2. 17 Lozano
  3. 2 Di Lollo
  4. 42 Herrera
  5. 3 Blanco
  6. 25 Ascacíbar
  7. 5 Paredes
  8. 18 Delgado
  9. 20 Velasco
  10. 16 Merentiel
  11. 22 Villa

Coach: Rodolfo Arruabarrena vs Defensa y Justicia, 1-0 · Liga Profesional · 7 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Atlético-MG

  • MF Alan FrancoInjured · About 1-2 weeks
  • MF Victor HugoInjured · About 1-2 weeks
  • FW Alan MindaInjured · About 1-2 weeks
  • FW ReinierInjured · Out for the season
  • FW Thiago BorbasInjured · Mid November 2026

Boca Juniors

  • GK Agustín MarchesínInjured · Late December 2026
  • DF Matías SatasInjured · Out for the season
  • MF Rodrigo Andrés BattagliaInjured · Doubtful
  • FW Adam BareiroInjured · Doubtful

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Atlético-MG

High impact
Missing attack share 33.0%
Missing minutes share 18.0%
5 players out 3 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • MF Victor Hugo 11% attack · 5% mins
  • FW Reinier 8% attack · 4% mins

Boca Juniors

Low impact
Missing attack share 0.0%
Missing minutes share 2.0%
4 players out

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 9 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Atlético-MG Boca Juniors
Box & Territory Pressure 52 56
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 54 45
Finishing Efficiency 39 45
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 43 82
Underlying Play Power 37 80
Atlético-MG Results above play quality (running hot)
Boca Juniors Balanced (results match underlying play)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 9 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Atlético-MG

When scoring first 86% won · 86% unbeaten (7 matches)
When conceding first 38% points rescued · 12% won (8 matches)
1st Half: 43% 2nd Half: 57%
First 15': 10% Last 15' (76-90'): 33%

Boca Juniors

When scoring first 82% won · 100% unbeaten (11 matches)
When conceding first 67% points rescued · 33% won (3 matches)
1st Half: 43% 2nd Half: 57%
First 15': 13% Last 15' (76-90'): 26%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Atlético-MG

  1. 1. MF Bernard 3G · 0A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 7.0%
  2. 2. FW Igor Gomes 1G · 0A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 6.0%
  3. 3. DF Renan Lodi 1G · 1A
    Team attack 6.0% Team shots 5.0%

Boca Juniors

  1. 1. FW Miguel Merentiel 4G · 0A
    Team attack 14.0% Team shots 14.0%
  2. 2. FW Leonel Flores 3G · 1A
    Team attack 11.0% Team shots 12.0%
  3. 3. DF Lautaro Blanco 0G · 4A
    Team attack 10.0% Team shots 2.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Atlético-MG Boca Juniors
Over 1.5 goals 7/10 6/10
Over 2.5 goals 4/10 5/10
Over 3.5 goals 2/10 3/10
Both teams scored 4/10 4/10
Clean sheet 2/10 5/10
Failed to score 4/10 1/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 1.1 / 1.3 1.8 / 0.7

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Atlético-MG

  • D 1-1 vs Grêmio (H) Copa do Brasil · 7 Nov
  • L 0-1 at Botafogo (A) Brasileirão Série A · 5 Nov
  • L 0-2 at Grêmio (A) Copa do Brasil · 1 Nov
  • L 0-1 vs Cruzeiro (H) Brasileirão Série A · 29 Oct
  • L 2-3 at Flamengo (A) Brasileirão Série A · 26 Oct

Boca Juniors

  • W 1-0 vs Defensa y Justicia (H) Liga Profesional Argentina · 7 Nov
  • W 1-0 vs River Plate (H) Liga Profesional Argentina · 1 Nov
  • W 1-0 at Independiente (A) Liga Profesional Argentina · 25 Oct
  • W 3-1 at Vasco da Gama (A) Copa Sudamericana · 21 Oct
  • W 2-1 vs Talleres (H) Liga Profesional Argentina · 17 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Atlético-MG

Boca Juniors

Goals in each 15-minute period, Copa Sudamericana this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Atlético-MG

Player G A
Bernard 5 0
Tomás Cuello 3 4
Reinier 3 1
Renan Lodi 1 2
Alan Minda 1 0

Boca Juniors

Player G A
Miguel Merentiel 4 1
Santiago Ascacíbar 2 0
Sebastián Villa 1 3
Milton Delgado 1 2
Leandro Paredes 1 1

Goals and assists in the Copa Sudamericana this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Atlético-MG Boca Juniors
  • 3.8 Corners won 5.4
  • 5.2 Corners conceded 3.5
  • 1.4 Yellow cards 1.2
  • 1.6 Opponents' yellow cards 2.1

Per match in the Copa Sudamericana this season. Average per club and match: 4.5 corners, 2.3 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

Atlético-MGBoca Juniors
Attack 84 100 1.3 goals per match this season
Defence 91 100 1.0 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Copa Sudamericana clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1756Elo #166 Elo rating 1878Elo #68

Head-to-head

0Atlético-MG wins
2draws
0Boca Juniors wins

2 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 20 Jul 2021 · Copa Libertadores Atlético-MG 0-0 Boca Juniors
  • 13 Jul 2021 · Copa Libertadores Boca Juniors 0-0 Atlético-MG

Table

Group B

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Atlético-MG 6 312 8:6 +2 10
2 Cienciano 6 222 5:7 -2 8
3 Juventud de las Piedras 6 141 10:7 +3 7
4 Academia Puerto Cabello 6 213 6:9 -3 7

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Times are UTC.