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Brasileirão Série A · Matchday 36

Atlético-MG vs Corinthians: Match Preview & Stats

Atlético-MG crest Atlético-MG
vs
Corinthians crest Corinthians
Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Atlético-MG: 2 of 4 right
  • Corinthians: 2 of 4 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Brasileirão Série A, Matchday 36
Kick-off
Local time
20:00 (Brasília time)
Venue
Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
Since last match
Atlético-MG: 4 days (Copa Sudamericana) · Boca Juniors Corinthians: 6 days (Brasileirão Série A) · Botafogo
Next match
Atlético-MG: 3 days (Brasileirão Série A) later Corinthians: 3 days (Brasileirão Série A) later

Last starting XI

Atlético-MG 4-2-3-1

  1. 22 Everson
  2. 23 Preciado
  3. 40 Vitão
  4. 3 Duarte
  5. 36 Pascini
  6. 25 Pérez
  7. 39 Cissé
  8. 10 Scarpa
  9. 5 Alexsander
  10. 92 Dudu
  11. 29 Soares

Coach: Eduardo Domínguez at Botafogo, 0-1 · Série A · 5 Nov

Corinthians 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Souza
  2. 20 Milans
  3. 5 Ramalho
  4. 13 Henrique
  5. 26 Angileri
  6. 49 André
  7. 7 Bidon
  8. 37 Kaio
  9. 8 Garro
  10. 21 Bidu
  11. 9 Alberto

Coach: Clarence Seedorf at São Paulo, 0-0 · Série A · 5 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Atlético-MG

  • MF Alan FrancoInjured · About 1-2 weeks
  • MF Victor HugoInjured · About 1-2 weeks
  • FW Alan MindaInjured · About 1-2 weeks
  • FW ReinierInjured · Out for the season
  • FW Thiago BorbasInjured · Mid November 2026

Corinthians

  • DF Gabriel PaulistaInjured · About 1-2 weeks
  • MF Alex SantanaInjured · Mid November 2026
  • MF KaykeInjured · Out for the season
  • MF RanieleInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Rodrigo GarroInjured · Early December 2026
  • FW Zakaria LabyadInjured · Out for the season

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Atlético-MG

High impact
Missing attack share 33.0%
Missing minutes share 18.0%
5 players out 3 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • MF Victor Hugo 11% attack · 5% mins
  • FW Reinier 8% attack · 4% mins

Corinthians

High impact
Missing attack share 14.0%
Missing minutes share 13.0%
6 players out 3 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • MF Rodrigo Garro 11% attack · 6% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Atlético-MG Corinthians
Box & Territory Pressure 52 49
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 54 56
Finishing Efficiency 39 29
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 43 53
Underlying Play Power 37 44
Atlético-MG Results above play quality (running hot)
Corinthians Playing above results (positive regression candidate)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Atlético-MG

When scoring first 86% won · 86% unbeaten (7 matches)
When conceding first 38% points rescued · 12% won (8 matches)
1st Half: 43% 2nd Half: 57%
First 15': 10% Last 15' (76-90'): 33%

Corinthians

When scoring first 67% won · 67% unbeaten (3 matches)
When conceding first 18% points rescued · 0% won (11 matches)
1st Half: 7% 2nd Half: 93%
First 15': 7% Last 15' (76-90'): 43%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Atlético-MG

  1. 1. MF Bernard 3G · 0A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 7.0%
  2. 2. FW Igor Gomes 1G · 0A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 6.0%
  3. 3. DF Renan Lodi 1G · 1A
    Team attack 6.0% Team shots 5.0%

Corinthians

  1. 1. FW Kaio 2G · 1A
    Team attack 13.0% Team shots 13.0%
  2. 2. FW Yuri Alberto 1G · 0A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 16.0%
  3. 3. FW Bidu 2G · 0A
    Team attack 10.0% Team shots 11.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Atlético-MG Corinthians
Over 1.5 goals 7/10 8/10
Over 2.5 goals 4/10 5/10
Over 3.5 goals 2/10 3/10
Both teams scored 4/10 7/10
Clean sheet 2/10 2/10
Failed to score 4/10 2/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 1.1 / 1.3 1.0 / 1.7

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Atlético-MG

  • D 1-1 vs Grêmio (H) Copa do Brasil · 7 Nov
  • L 0-1 at Botafogo (A) Brasileirão Série A · 5 Nov
  • L 0-2 at Grêmio (A) Copa do Brasil · 1 Nov
  • L 0-1 vs Cruzeiro (H) Brasileirão Série A · 29 Oct
  • L 2-3 at Flamengo (A) Brasileirão Série A · 26 Oct

Corinthians

  • D 0-0 at São Paulo (A) Brasileirão Série A · 5 Nov
  • W 2-0 vs Mirassol (H) Brasileirão Série A · 30 Oct
  • L 2-3 at Vasco da Gama (A) Brasileirão Série A · 24 Oct
  • D 1-1 vs Vitória (H) Brasileirão Série A · 19 Oct
  • L 1-4 at Palmeiras (A) Brasileirão Série A · 11 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Atlético-MG

Corinthians

Goals in each 15-minute period, Brasileirão Série A this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Atlético-MG

Player G A
Bernard 5 3
Tomás Cuello 5 2
Reinier 4 2
Victor Hugo 4 2
Mateo Cassierra 3 2

Corinthians

Player G A
Bidu 5 1
André 4 2
Yuri Alberto (1 pen) 4 2
Gustavo Henrique 4 1
Rodrigo Garro 3 7

Goals and assists in the Brasileirão Série A this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Atlético-MG Corinthians
  • 5.2 Corners won 5.2
  • 5.7 Corners conceded 4.7
  • 1.7 Yellow cards 2.8
  • 2.2 Opponents' yellow cards 3.0

Per match in the Brasileirão Série A this season. Average per club and match: 5.3 corners, 2.4 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

Atlético-MGCorinthians
Attack 53 32 1.3 goals per match this season1.1 goals per match this season
Defence 63 68 1.2 conceded per match this season1.2 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Brasileirão Série A clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1756Elo #166 Elo rating 1726Elo #203

Head-to-head

14Atlético-MG wins
9draws
14Corinthians wins

37 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 24 May 2026 · Brasileirão Série A Corinthians 1-0 Atlético-MG
  • 18 Oct 2025 · Brasileirão Série A Corinthians 1-0 Atlético-MG
  • 25 May 2025 · Brasileirão Série A Atlético-MG 0-0 Corinthians
  • 28 Jul 2024 · Brasileirão Série A Atlético-MG 2-1 Corinthians
  • 14 Apr 2024 · Brasileirão Série A Corinthians 0-0 Atlético-MG

Table

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Flamengo 34 2374 71:29 +42 76
2 Palmeiras 34 21103 62:23 +39 73
3 Cruzeiro 34 18610 55:48 +7 60
4 Fluminense 34 1699 55:42 +13 57
5 Athletico Paranaense 34 15910 51:43 +8 54
6 Bahia 34 14119 50:45 +5 53
7 Atlético-MG 34 14812 44:40 +4 50
8 RB Bragantino 34 13813 44:39 +5 47
9 Santos 34 121111 50:49 +1 47
10 São Paulo 34 12814 39:39 0 44
11 Botafogo 34 11914 46:53 -7 42
12 Coritiba 34 11914 40:51 -11 42
13 Vasco da Gama 33 11814 43:50 -7 41
14 Mirassol 34 101014 39:48 -9 40
15 Internacional 34 91114 38:42 -4 38
16 Vitória 34 10816 35:51 -16 38
17 Corinthians 34 91015 36:42 -6 37
18 Grêmio 34 91015 38:47 -9 37
19 Remo 34 61117 37:57 -20 29
20 Chapecoense 33 4920 33:68 -35 21

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Brasileirão Série A: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely TitleLibertadoresRelegated
Atlético-MG 50
Corinthians 37

For members

Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

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Times are UTC.