OptimaGoal
EN
Europa League · League phase, matchday 5

Crystal Palace vs Real Sociedad: Match Preview & Stats

Crystal Palace crest Crystal Palace
vs
Real Sociedad crest Real Sociedad
Selhurst Park, London

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Crystal Palace: 4 of 8 right
  • Real Sociedad: 6 of 8 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Europa League, League phase, matchday 5
Kick-off
Venue
Selhurst Park, London
Since last match
Crystal Palace: 5 days (Premier League) · Coventry City Real Sociedad: 4 days (LaLiga) · Racing Santander
Next match
Crystal Palace: 2 days (Premier League) later Real Sociedad: 3 days (LaLiga) later

Last starting XI

Crystal Palace 3-4-2-1

  1. 1 Henderson
  2. 26 Richards
  3. 5 Disasi
  4. 8 Lerma
  5. 30 Mingueza
  6. 20 Wharton
  7. 23 Timber
  8. 3 Mitchell
  9. 18 Kamada
  10. 11 Pino
  11. 22 Larsen

Coach: Pierre Sage vs Liverpool, 1-3 · Premier League · 8 Nov

Real Sociedad 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Remiro
  2. 2 Aramburu
  3. 6 Martín
  4. 5 Zubeldia
  5. 3 Muñoz
  6. 8 Turrientes
  7. 18 Soler
  8. 14 Kubo
  9. 24 Sučić
  10. 7 Barrenetxea
  11. 9 Óskarsson

Coach: Pellegrino Matarazzo vs Rayo Vallecano, 1-0 · LaLiga · 8 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Crystal Palace

  • FW Jean-Philippe MatetaSuspended
  • DF Chadi RiadInjured · Late June 2027
  • DF Takehiro TomiyasuInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Ismaïla SarrInjured · Mid November 2026

Real Sociedad

  • DF Aihen MuñozInjured · Late November 2026
  • DF Mamadou SarrInjured · Doubtful
  • DF Álvaro OdriozolaInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Luka SučićInjured · Doubtful
  • FW Ander BarrenetxeaInjured · Out for the season
  • FW Mikel OyarzabalInjured · Doubtful

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Crystal Palace

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 8.0%
Missing minutes share 4.0%
4 players out 1 regular starter out
Key absences:
  • FW Jean-Philippe Mateta 7% attack · 2% mins

Real Sociedad

High impact
Missing attack share 32.0%
Missing minutes share 25.0%
6 players out 4 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • FW Mikel Oyarzabal 13% attack · 6% mins
  • MF Luka Sučić 9% attack · 5% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Crystal Palace Real Sociedad
Box & Territory Pressure 41 51
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 61 46
Finishing Efficiency 32 86
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 15 41
Underlying Play Power 31 58
Crystal Palace Playing above results (positive regression candidate)
Real Sociedad Results above play quality (running hot)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Crystal Palace

When scoring first 67% won · 67% unbeaten (3 matches)
When conceding first 36% points rescued · 18% won (11 matches)
1st Half: 35% 2nd Half: 65%
First 15': 10% Last 15' (76-90'): 25%

Real Sociedad

When scoring first 80% won · 100% unbeaten (10 matches)
When conceding first 0% points rescued · 0% won (4 matches)
1st Half: 53% 2nd Half: 47%
First 15': 13% Last 15' (76-90'): 10%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Crystal Palace

  1. 1. MF Yéremi Pino 3G · 0A
    Team attack 19.0% Team shots 17.0%
  2. 2. MF Daichi Kamada 3G · 0A
    Team attack 16.0% Team shots 14.0%
  3. 3. MF Adam Wharton 0G · 2A
    Team attack 11.0% Team shots 6.0%

Real Sociedad

  1. 1. FW Orri Óskarsson 5G · 0A
    Team attack 14.0% Team shots 15.0%
  2. 2. MF Gonçalo Guedes 2G · 2A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 15.0%
  3. 3. MF Carlos Soler 1G · 2A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 7.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Crystal Palace Real Sociedad
Over 1.5 goals 8/10 9/10
Over 2.5 goals 5/10 7/10
Over 3.5 goals 5/10 4/10
Both teams scored 5/10 8/10
Clean sheet 2/10 2/10
Failed to score 4/10 0/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 1.0 / 1.9 2.4 / 1.3

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Crystal Palace

  • L 1-3 vs Liverpool (H) Premier League · 8 Nov
  • D 1-1 vs Hoffenheim (H) Europa League · 5 Nov
  • L 0-2 at Tottenham Hotspur (A) Premier League · 31 Oct
  • W 1-0 at Fulham (A) EFL Cup · 28 Oct
  • L 0-2 vs Newcastle United (H) Premier League · 25 Oct

Real Sociedad

  • W 1-0 vs Rayo Vallecano (H) LaLiga · 8 Nov
  • D 1-1 vs Lyon (H) Europa League · 5 Nov
  • L 1-2 at Athletic Club (A) LaLiga · 1 Nov
  • W 2-1 vs Levante (H) LaLiga · 25 Oct
  • W 6-0 at Lillestrøm (A) Europa League · 22 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Crystal Palace

Real Sociedad

Goals in each 15-minute period, Europa League this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Crystal Palace

Player G A
Yéremi Pino 3 0
Daichi Kamada 2 0
Chris Richards 1 0
Edward Nketiah 1 0
Jean-Philippe Mateta 1 0

Real Sociedad

Player G A
Sergio Gómez 3 0
Luka Sučić 2 0
Orri Óskarsson 2 0
Beñat Turrientes 1 1
Arsen Zakharyan 1 0

Goals and assists in the Europa League this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Crystal Palace Real Sociedad
  • 4.2 Corners won 5.0
  • 4.0 Corners conceded 4.0
  • 2.0 Yellow cards 2.2
  • 1.8 Opponents' yellow cards 2.5

Per match in the Europa League this season. Average per club and match: 4.7 corners, 1.9 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

Crystal PalaceReal Sociedad
Attack 74 89 2.3 goals per match this season2.3 goals per match this season
Defence 77 57 1.5 conceded per match this season1.0 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Europa League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1967Elo #39 Elo rating 1919Elo #54

Head-to-head

Crystal Palace and Real Sociedad have not met in our records since 2010.

Table

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Benfica 4 400 13:3 +10 12
2 AFC Bournemouth 4 400 11:2 +9 12
3 Ferencváros 4 400 11:3 +8 12
4 Union St.Gilloise 4 310 10:2 +8 10
5 Juventus 4 310 11:4 +7 10
6 Olympiacos 4 310 4:1 +3 10
7 Bayer Leverkusen 4 301 8:1 +7 9
8 Beşiktaş 4 211 11:8 +3 7
9 Dinamo Zagreb 4 211 5:4 +1 7
10 Levski Sofia 4 211 4:3 +1 7
11 Sunderland 4 211 4:4 0 7
12 NEC Nijmegen 4 211 8:9 -1 7
13 Lyon 4 211 6:7 -1 7
14 AZ Alkmaar 4 202 7:4 +3 6
15 Anderlecht 4 202 6:3 +3 6
16 OFI Crete 4 202 5:4 +1 6
17 Rennes 4 130 4:3 +1 6
18 Omonia Nicosia 4 202 6:7 -1 6
19 Torreense 4 202 7:9 -2 6
20 Real Sociedad 4 121 9:4 +5 5
21 Crystal Palace 4 121 9:6 +3 5
22 Hoffenheim 4 112 6:6 0 4
23 Sparta Prague 4 112 6:6 0 4
24 Sturm Graz 4 112 3:6 -3 4
25 NK Celje 4 112 5:9 -4 4
26 Salzburg 4 112 3:8 -5 4
27 Celta Vigo 4 103 4:6 -2 3
28 Jagiellonia Białystok 4 103 4:7 -3 3
29 Milan 4 103 4:7 -3 3
30 Viktoria Plzeň 4 103 3:7 -4 3
31 Marseille 4 103 2:6 -4 3
32 Celtic 4 103 6:11 -5 3
33 Hapoel Beer Sheva 4 013 1:8 -7 1
34 Lillestrøm 4 013 2:10 -8 1
35 Lech Poznań 4 013 2:12 -10 1
36 Ararat Armenia 4 004 4:14 -10 0

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Europa League: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely Top 8Play-off round Win it
Crystal Palace 5
Real Sociedad 5

For members

Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

Become a member

Every Europa League club's projection →

More Europa League matches

All fixtures

Times are UTC.