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Europa League · League phase, matchday 5

Sunderland vs Jagiellonia Białystok: Match Preview & Stats

Sunderland crest Sunderland
vs
Jagiellonia Białystok crest Jagiellonia Białystok
Stadium of Light, Sunderland

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Sunderland: 3 of 8 right
  • Jagiellonia Białystok: 3 of 3 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Europa League, League phase, matchday 5
Kick-off
Venue
Stadium of Light, Sunderland
Since last match
Sunderland: 5 days (Premier League) · Aston Villa Jagiellonia Białystok: 5 days (Ekstraklasa) · Levski Sofia (1‑0)
Next match
Sunderland: 2 days (Premier League) later Jagiellonia Białystok: 2 days (Ekstraklasa) later

Last starting XI

Sunderland 4-2-3-1

  1. 22 Roefs
  2. 12 Meunier
  3. 20 Mukiele
  4. 13 O'Nien
  5. 17 Reinildo
  6. 34 Xhaka
  7. 27 Sadiki
  8. 32 Hume
  9. 28 Le Fée
  10. 7 Talbi
  11. 9 Brobbey

Coach: Régis Le Bris vs Chelsea, 1-0 · Premier League · 8 Nov

Jagiellonia Białystok 4-3-3

  1. 50 Abramowicz
  2. 27 Conceição
  3. 3 Stojinović
  4. 44 Konstantopoulos
  5. 23 Montóia
  6. 11 Imaz
  7. 6 Romanczuk
  8. 19 Klynge
  9. 10 Agbonifo
  10. 99 Prelec
  11. 7 Szmyt

Coach: Adrian Siemieniec at Levski Sofia, 0-1 · Europa League · 5 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Sunderland

  • DF Daniel BallardInjured · Mid December 2026
  • MF Granit XhakaInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Habib DiarraInjured · Late November 2026
  • FW Brian BrobbeyInjured · Late November 2026
  • FW Romaine MundleInjured · Early January 2027

Jagiellonia Białystok

  • DF Norbert WojtuszekInjured · Early December 2026
  • FW Youssuf SyllaInjured · Doubtful

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Sunderland

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 23.0%
Missing minutes share 12.0%
5 players out 2 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • FW Brian Brobbey 12% attack · 4% mins
  • MF Granit Xhaka 8% attack · 7% mins

Jagiellonia Białystok

Low impact
Missing attack share 1.0%
Missing minutes share 3.0%
2 players out

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 9 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Sunderland Jagiellonia Białystok
Box & Territory Pressure 58 33
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 69 26
Finishing Efficiency 15 52
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 16 25
Underlying Play Power 57 31
Sunderland Playing above results (positive regression candidate)
Jagiellonia Białystok Balanced (results match underlying play)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 9 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Sunderland

When scoring first 80% won · 100% unbeaten (5 matches)
When conceding first 22% points rescued · 11% won (9 matches)
1st Half: 43% 2nd Half: 57%
First 15': 14% Last 15' (76-90'): 14%

Jagiellonia Białystok

When scoring first 60% won · 80% unbeaten (5 matches)
When conceding first 33% points rescued · 17% won (6 matches)
1st Half: 50% 2nd Half: 50%
First 15': 8% Last 15' (76-90'): 8%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Sunderland

  1. 1. MF Enzo Le Fée 2G · 1A
    Team attack 14.0% Team shots 9.0%
  2. 2. FW Nilson Angulo 0G · 2A
    Team attack 8.0% Team shots 7.0%
  3. 3. FW Malick Fofana 0G · 0A
    Team attack 6.0% Team shots 9.0%

Jagiellonia Białystok

  1. 1. MF Anders Klynge 0G · 1A
    Team attack 14.0% Team shots 6.0%
  2. 2. FW Kajetan Szmyt 1G · 0A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 12.0%
  3. 3. FW Nik Prelec 0G · 1A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 12.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Sunderland Jagiellonia Białystok
Over 1.5 goals 8/10 6/10
Over 2.5 goals 4/10 6/10
Over 3.5 goals 3/10 4/10
Both teams scored 5/10 5/10
Clean sheet 2/10 2/10
Failed to score 4/10 3/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 1.1 / 1.8 1.1 / 1.5

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Sunderland

  • W 1-0 vs Chelsea (H) Premier League · 8 Nov
  • L 0-2 vs Dinamo Zagreb (H) Europa League · 5 Nov
  • L 1-3 at Coventry City (A) Premier League · 31 Oct
  • W 3-2 vs Brentford (H) EFL Cup · 28 Oct
  • D 0-0 vs Leeds United (H) Premier League · 25 Oct

Jagiellonia Białystok

  • W 1-0 vs GKS Katowice (H) Ekstraklasa · 8 Nov
  • L 0-1 at Levski Sofia (A) Europa League · 5 Nov
  • W 3-1 at Wieczysta Kraków (A) Ekstraklasa · 31 Oct
  • W 1-0 vs Wisła Płock (H) Ekstraklasa · 25 Oct
  • L 0-3 vs Anderlecht (H) Europa League · 22 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Sunderland

Jagiellonia Białystok

Goals in each 15-minute period, Europa League this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Sunderland

Player G A
Enzo Le Fée (1 pen) 1 0
Jules Ahoka 1 0
Noah Sadiki 1 0
Timur Tuterov 1 0

Jagiellonia Białystok

Player G A
Kajetan Szmyt 1 0
Kamil Józwiak 1 0
Ousmane Sow 1 0
Rodrigo Conceição 1 0

Goals and assists in the Europa League this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Sunderland Jagiellonia Białystok
  • 8.0 Corners won 2.8
  • 3.2 Corners conceded 6.0
  • 2.5 Yellow cards 3.0
  • 1.2 Opponents' yellow cards 2.5

Per match in the Europa League this season. Average per club and match: 4.7 corners, 1.9 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

SunderlandJagiellonia Białystok
Attack 26 20 1.0 goals per match this season1.0 goals per match this season
Defence 83 17 1.0 conceded per match this season1.8 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Europa League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1893Elo #61 Elo rating 1734Elo #193

Head-to-head

Sunderland and Jagiellonia Białystok have not met in our records since 2010.

Table

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Benfica 4 400 13:3 +10 12
2 AFC Bournemouth 4 400 11:2 +9 12
3 Ferencváros 4 400 11:3 +8 12
4 Union St.Gilloise 4 310 10:2 +8 10
5 Juventus 4 310 11:4 +7 10
6 Olympiacos 4 310 4:1 +3 10
7 Bayer Leverkusen 4 301 8:1 +7 9
8 Beşiktaş 4 211 11:8 +3 7
9 Dinamo Zagreb 4 211 5:4 +1 7
10 Levski Sofia 4 211 4:3 +1 7
11 Sunderland 4 211 4:4 0 7
12 NEC Nijmegen 4 211 8:9 -1 7
13 Lyon 4 211 6:7 -1 7
14 AZ Alkmaar 4 202 7:4 +3 6
15 Anderlecht 4 202 6:3 +3 6
16 OFI Crete 4 202 5:4 +1 6
17 Rennes 4 130 4:3 +1 6
18 Omonia Nicosia 4 202 6:7 -1 6
19 Torreense 4 202 7:9 -2 6
20 Real Sociedad 4 121 9:4 +5 5
21 Crystal Palace 4 121 9:6 +3 5
22 Hoffenheim 4 112 6:6 0 4
23 Sparta Prague 4 112 6:6 0 4
24 Sturm Graz 4 112 3:6 -3 4
25 NK Celje 4 112 5:9 -4 4
26 Salzburg 4 112 3:8 -5 4
27 Celta Vigo 4 103 4:6 -2 3
28 Jagiellonia Białystok 4 103 4:7 -3 3
29 Milan 4 103 4:7 -3 3
30 Viktoria Plzeň 4 103 3:7 -4 3
31 Marseille 4 103 2:6 -4 3
32 Celtic 4 103 6:11 -5 3
33 Hapoel Beer Sheva 4 013 1:8 -7 1
34 Lillestrøm 4 013 2:10 -8 1
35 Lech Poznań 4 013 2:12 -10 1
36 Ararat Armenia 4 004 4:14 -10 0

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Europa League: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely Top 8Play-off round Win it
Sunderland 7
Jagiellonia Białystok 3

For members

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Times are UTC.