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Europa League · League phase, matchday 5

Hoffenheim vs Sturm Graz: Match Preview & Stats

Hoffenheim crest Hoffenheim
vs
Sturm Graz crest Sturm Graz
SNP Arena, Sinsheim

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Hoffenheim: 3 of 8 right
  • Sturm Graz: 1 of 3 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Europa League, League phase, matchday 5
Kick-off
Venue
SNP Arena, Sinsheim
Since last match
Hoffenheim: 5 days (Bundesliga) · Eintracht Frankfurt Sturm Graz: 4 days (Bundesliga) · NK Celje (2‑3)
Next match
Hoffenheim: 2 days (Bundesliga) later Sturm Graz: 2 days (Bundesliga) later

Last starting XI

Hoffenheim 4-4-2

  1. 1 Baumann
  2. 5 Coufal
  3. 15 Kabak
  4. 28 Machida
  5. 39 Rots
  6. 27 Kramarić
  7. 7 Avdullahu
  8. 18 Burger
  9. 22 Prass
  10. 19 Lemperle
  11. 11 Asllani

Coach: Christian Ilzer vs Schalke 04, 2-1 · Bundesliga · 8 Nov

Sturm Graz 3-4-3

  1. 22 Helac
  2. 23 Malić
  3. 2 Quarshie
  4. 30 Koller
  5. 28 Heil
  6. 39 Weinhandl
  7. 4 Stankovič
  8. 27 Balbo
  9. 19 Seidl
  10. 14 Diakité
  11. 78 Matoshi

Coach: Fabio Ingolitsch vs NK Celje, 2-3 · Europa League · 5 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Hoffenheim

  • DF Albian HajdariInjured · Early January 2027
  • DF Robin HranácInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Bambasé ContéInjured · About 1-2 weeks
  • MF Nathan De CatInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Valentin GendreyInjured · Early January 2027
  • FW Patrick WimmerInjured · Mid November 2026

Sturm Graz

  • GK Daniil KhudyakovInjured · Out for the season
  • MF Emran SogloInjured · A few weeks
  • MF Filip RózgaInjured · A few weeks
  • MF Otar KiteishviliInjured · Return unknown
  • FW Leon GrgićInjured · A few weeks
  • FW Nelson WeiperInjured · A few weeks

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Hoffenheim

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 12.0%
Missing minutes share 8.0%
6 players out 1 regular starter out
Key absences:
  • MF Bambasé Conté 9% attack · 4% mins

Sturm Graz

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 1.0%
Missing minutes share 5.0%
6 players out 1 regular starter out

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 9 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Hoffenheim Sturm Graz
Box & Territory Pressure 69 50
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 53 76
Finishing Efficiency 33 18
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 15 23
Underlying Play Power 63 41
Hoffenheim Balanced (results match underlying play)
Sturm Graz Playing above results (positive regression candidate)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 9 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Hoffenheim

When scoring first 67% won · 78% unbeaten (9 matches)
When conceding first 0% points rescued · 0% won (6 matches)
1st Half: 43% 2nd Half: 57%
First 15': 17% Last 15' (76-90'): 22%

Sturm Graz

When scoring first 80% won · 80% unbeaten (5 matches)
When conceding first 0% points rescued · 0% won (7 matches)
1st Half: 78% 2nd Half: 22%
First 15': 33% Last 15' (76-90'): 22%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Hoffenheim

  1. 1. FW Fisnik Asllani 2G · 2A
    Team attack 14.0% Team shots 19.0%
  2. 2. MF Andrej Kramarić 2G · 3A
    Team attack 11.0% Team shots 8.0%
  3. 3. MF Alexander Prass 3G · 1A
    Team attack 10.0% Team shots 10.0%

Sturm Graz

  1. 1. FW Oumar Diakité 3G · 0A
    Team attack 24.0% Team shots 20.0%
  2. 2. MF Simon Seidl 0G · 0A
    Team attack 17.0% Team shots 17.0%
  3. 3. MF Luca Weinhandl 0G · 1A
    Team attack 11.0% Team shots 10.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Hoffenheim Sturm Graz
Over 1.5 goals 10/10 8/10
Over 2.5 goals 7/10 6/10
Over 3.5 goals 3/10 4/10
Both teams scored 7/10 5/10
Clean sheet 2/10 3/10
Failed to score 1/10 3/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 1.7 / 1.5 1.7 / 1.7

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Hoffenheim

  • W 2-1 vs Schalke 04 (H) Bundesliga · 8 Nov
  • D 1-1 at Crystal Palace (A) Europa League · 5 Nov
  • L 0-2 at Werder Bremen (A) Bundesliga · 31 Oct
  • D 1-1 at Holstein Kiel (A) DFB Pokal · 28 Oct
  • W 3-0 vs Bayer Leverkusen (H) Bundesliga · 25 Oct

Sturm Graz

  • L 3-4 vs Salzburg (H) Bundesliga · 8 Nov
  • L 2-3 vs NK Celje (H) Europa League · 5 Nov
  • D 1-1 at Wolfsberger AC (A) Bundesliga · 1 Nov
  • D 2-2 vs Ried (H) Bundesliga · 25 Oct
  • W 1-0 vs Marseille (H) Europa League · 22 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Hoffenheim

Sturm Graz

Goals in each 15-minute period, Europa League this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Hoffenheim

Player G A
Andrej Kramarić 1 2
Adam Daghim 1 0
Adam Hložek 1 0
Alexander Prass 1 0
Fisnik Asllani 1 0

Sturm Graz

Player G A
Oumar Diakité 3 0

Goals and assists in the Europa League this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Hoffenheim Sturm Graz
  • 7.8 Corners won 5.5
  • 5.8 Corners conceded 4.2
  • 3.2 Yellow cards 2.2
  • 2.0 Opponents' yellow cards 2.0

Per match in the Europa League this season. Average per club and match: 4.7 corners, 1.9 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

HoffenheimSturm Graz
Attack 69 17 1.5 goals per match this season0.8 goals per match this season
Defence 49 46 1.5 conceded per match this season1.5 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Europa League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1885Elo #64 Elo rating 1765Elo #154

Head-to-head

Hoffenheim and Sturm Graz have not met in our records since 2010.

Table

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Benfica 4 400 13:3 +10 12
2 AFC Bournemouth 4 400 11:2 +9 12
3 Ferencváros 4 400 11:3 +8 12
4 Union St.Gilloise 4 310 10:2 +8 10
5 Juventus 4 310 11:4 +7 10
6 Olympiacos 4 310 4:1 +3 10
7 Bayer Leverkusen 4 301 8:1 +7 9
8 Beşiktaş 4 211 11:8 +3 7
9 Dinamo Zagreb 4 211 5:4 +1 7
10 Levski Sofia 4 211 4:3 +1 7
11 Sunderland 4 211 4:4 0 7
12 NEC Nijmegen 4 211 8:9 -1 7
13 Lyon 4 211 6:7 -1 7
14 AZ Alkmaar 4 202 7:4 +3 6
15 Anderlecht 4 202 6:3 +3 6
16 OFI Crete 4 202 5:4 +1 6
17 Rennes 4 130 4:3 +1 6
18 Omonia Nicosia 4 202 6:7 -1 6
19 Torreense 4 202 7:9 -2 6
20 Real Sociedad 4 121 9:4 +5 5
21 Crystal Palace 4 121 9:6 +3 5
22 Hoffenheim 4 112 6:6 0 4
23 Sparta Prague 4 112 6:6 0 4
24 Sturm Graz 4 112 3:6 -3 4
25 NK Celje 4 112 5:9 -4 4
26 Salzburg 4 112 3:8 -5 4
27 Celta Vigo 4 103 4:6 -2 3
28 Jagiellonia Białystok 4 103 4:7 -3 3
29 Milan 4 103 4:7 -3 3
30 Viktoria Plzeň 4 103 3:7 -4 3
31 Marseille 4 103 2:6 -4 3
32 Celtic 4 103 6:11 -5 3
33 Hapoel Beer Sheva 4 013 1:8 -7 1
34 Lillestrøm 4 013 2:10 -8 1
35 Lech Poznań 4 013 2:12 -10 1
36 Ararat Armenia 4 004 4:14 -10 0

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Europa League: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely Top 8Play-off round Win it
Hoffenheim 4
Sturm Graz 4

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Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

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Times are UTC.