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Europa League · League phase, matchday 5

Torreense vs Celtic: Match Preview & Stats

Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, Leiria

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Torreense: 3 of 3 right
  • Celtic: 1 of 3 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Europa League, League phase, matchday 5
Kick-off
Venue
Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, Leiria
Since last match
Torreense: 3 days (Taça de Portugal) · Ararat Armenia (3‑2) Celtic: 5 days (Premiership) · Beşiktaş (3‑2)
Next match
Torreense: 3 days (Liga Portugal 2) later Celtic: 2 days (Premiership) later

Last starting XI

Torreense 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Paes
  2. 45 Mutombo
  3. 5 Diadie
  4. 4 Volnei
  5. 23 Vázquez
  6. 33 Marques
  7. 8 Alfaro
  8. 11 Pozo
  9. 19 Zoabi
  10. 7 Jean
  11. 14 Aguirre

Coach: Luis Tralhao vs Ararat Armenia, 3-2 · Europa League · 5 Nov

Celtic 4-2-3-1

  1. 26 Johnstone
  2. 3 Lotomba
  3. 20 Carter-Vickers
  4. 5 Scales
  5. 63 Tierney
  6. 42 McGregor
  7. 22 Baur
  8. 49 Forrest
  9. 8 Nygren
  10. 17 Tounekti
  11. 9 Høgh

Coach: Martin O'Neill vs Beşiktaş, 3-2 · Europa League · 5 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Torreense

  • FW Jorge AguirreSuspended
  • FW Adama BaradjiInjured · Mid November 2026

Celtic

  • DF Alistair JohnstonInjured · Mid November 2026
  • MF Mika BaurInjured · Doubtful

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Torreense

Low impact
Missing attack share 6.0%
Missing minutes share 2.0%
2 players out
Key absences:
  • FW Jorge Aguirre 6% attack · 1% mins

Celtic

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 9.0%
Missing minutes share 7.0%
2 players out 1 regular starter out
Key absences:
  • MF Mika Baur 9% attack · 7% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 4 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Torreense

When scoring first 67% won · 67% unbeaten (3 matches)
When conceding first No matches in sample
1st Half: 57% 2nd Half: 43%
First 15': 14% Last 15' (76-90'): 29%

Celtic

When scoring first 40% won · 80% unbeaten (5 matches)
When conceding first 33% points rescued · 33% won (9 matches)
1st Half: 48% 2nd Half: 52%
First 15': 19% Last 15' (76-90'): 19%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Torreense

  1. 1. DF Javi Vázquez 1G · 3A
    Team attack 20.0% Team shots 9.0%
  2. 2. FW Manuel Pozo 2G · 0A
    Team attack 14.0% Team shots 15.0%
  3. 3. FW Musa Drammeh 1G · 0A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 12.0%

Celtic

  1. 1. FW Camilo Durán 3G · 0A
    Team attack 24.0% Team shots 22.0%
  2. 2. FW Callum Osmand 1G · 1A
    Team attack 17.0% Team shots 16.0%
  3. 3. FW Haissem Hassan 0G · 1A
    Team attack 11.0% Team shots 9.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Scoring trends Torreense Celtic
Over 1.5 goals 6/10 8/10
Over 2.5 goals 5/10 6/10
Over 3.5 goals 3/10 4/10
Both teams scored 5/10 6/10
Clean sheet 4/10 2/10
Failed to score 3/10 2/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 1.2 / 1.3 1.9 / 1.5

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Torreense

  • L 2-3 vs União de Leiria (H) Liga Portugal 2 · 9 Nov
  • W 3-2 vs Ararat Armenia (H) Europa League · 5 Nov
  • D 0-0 at Portimonense (A) Liga Portugal 2 · 31 Oct
  • W 1-0 vs Amarante FC (H) Liga Portugal 2 · 26 Oct
  • L 1-4 at Ferencváros (A) Europa League · 22 Oct

Celtic

  • W 1-0 vs Kilmarnock (H) Premiership · 8 Nov
  • W 3-2 vs Beşiktaş (H) Europa League · 5 Nov
  • L 0-2 at Falkirk (A) Premiership · 1 Nov
  • D 2-2 vs Dundee United (H) Premiership · 28 Oct
  • W 2-1 at Hibernian (A) Premiership · 25 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Torreense

  • 1-15 minutes: 1 scored, 0 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 2 scored, 1 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 1 scored, 1 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 1 scored, 2 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 0 scored, 1 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 2 scored, 4 conceded

Celtic

  • 1-15 minutes: 0 scored, 1 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 0 scored, 2 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 1 scored, 2 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 1 scored, 2 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 2 scored, 2 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 2 scored, 2 conceded

Goals in each 15-minute period, Europa League this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Torreense

Player G A
Manuel Pozo 2 0
Javi Vázquez 1 3
Alejandro Alfaro 1 0
Jorge Aguirre 1 0
Musa Drammeh 1 0

Celtic

Player G A
Camilo Durán 3 0
Mika Baur 2 0
Callum Osmand 1 1

Goals and assists in the Europa League this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Torreense Celtic
  • 3.0 Corners won 6.0
  • 8.2 Corners conceded 6.0
  • 2.0 Yellow cards 1.2
  • 3.2 Opponents' yellow cards 1.8

Per match in the Europa League this season. Average per club and match: 4.7 corners, 1.9 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

TorreenseCeltic
Attack 3 57 1.8 goals per match this season1.5 goals per match this season
Defence 3 37 2.3 conceded per match this season2.8 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Europa League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1577Elo #341 Elo rating 1817Elo #117

Head-to-head

Torreense and Celtic have not met in our records since 2010.

Table

Europa League: Table
#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Benfica 4 400 13:3 +10 12
2 AFC Bournemouth 4 400 11:2 +9 12
3 Ferencváros 4 400 11:3 +8 12
4 Union St.Gilloise 4 310 10:2 +8 10
5 Juventus 4 310 11:4 +7 10
6 Olympiacos 4 310 4:1 +3 10
7 Bayer Leverkusen 4 301 8:1 +7 9
8 Beşiktaş 4 211 11:8 +3 7
9 Dinamo Zagreb 4 211 5:4 +1 7
10 Levski Sofia 4 211 4:3 +1 7
11 Sunderland 4 211 4:4 0 7
12 NEC Nijmegen 4 211 8:9 -1 7
13 Lyon 4 211 6:7 -1 7
14 AZ Alkmaar 4 202 7:4 +3 6
15 Anderlecht 4 202 6:3 +3 6
16 OFI Crete 4 202 5:4 +1 6
17 Rennes 4 130 4:3 +1 6
18 Omonia Nicosia 4 202 6:7 -1 6
19 Torreense 4 202 7:9 -2 6
20 Real Sociedad 4 121 9:4 +5 5
21 Crystal Palace 4 121 9:6 +3 5
22 Hoffenheim 4 112 6:6 0 4
23 Sparta Prague 4 112 6:6 0 4
24 Sturm Graz 4 112 3:6 -3 4
25 NK Celje 4 112 5:9 -4 4
26 Salzburg 4 112 3:8 -5 4
27 Celta Vigo 4 103 4:6 -2 3
28 Jagiellonia Białystok 4 103 4:7 -3 3
29 Milan 4 103 4:7 -3 3
30 Viktoria Plzeň 4 103 3:7 -4 3
31 Marseille 4 103 2:6 -4 3
32 Celtic 4 103 6:11 -5 3
33 Hapoel Beer Sheva 4 013 1:8 -7 1
34 Lillestrøm 4 013 2:10 -8 1
35 Lech Poznań 4 013 2:12 -10 1
36 Ararat Armenia 4 004 4:14 -10 0

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Europa League: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely Top 8Play-off round Win it
Torreense 6
Celtic 3

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Times are UTC.