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Liga MX · Matchday 17

Chivas vs Cruz Azul: Match Preview & Stats

Estadio Akron, Zapopan

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Chivas: 2 of 4 right
  • Cruz Azul: 4 of 4 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Liga MX, Matchday 17
Kick-off
Local time
17:07 (Mexico City time)
Venue
Estadio Akron, Zapopan
Since last match
Chivas: 13 days (Liga MX) · León (1‑1) Cruz Azul: 14 days (Liga MX) · Tigres (2‑3)
Next match
Chivas: not scheduled yet Cruz Azul: not scheduled yet

Last starting XI

Chivas 3-4-2-1

  1. 1 Rangel
  2. 23 Aguirre
  3. 3 Campillo
  4. 7 Romo
  5. 37 Ledezma
  6. 28 González
  7. 6 Govea
  8. 5 González
  9. 25 Alvarado
  10. 10 Álvarez
  11. 30 Sandoval

Coach: Gabriel Milito at León, 1-1 · Liga MX · 9 Nov

Cruz Azul 5-4-1

  1. 23 Mier
  2. 22 Rodarte
  3. 33 Piovi
  4. 5 Orozco
  5. 16 Márquez
  6. 3 Campos
  7. 20 Paradela
  8. 6 Lira
  9. 18 Romero
  10. 10 Montaño
  11. 7 Ibánez

Coach: Joel Huiqui at Tigres, 3-2 · Liga MX · 8 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Chivas

No absences reported.

Cruz Azul

  • MF Amaury MoralesInjured · Early January 2027

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Chivas

Low impact

Full squad available — no listed absences

Cruz Azul

Low impact
Missing attack share 0.0%
Missing minutes share 0.0%
1 player out

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Chivas Cruz Azul
Box & Territory Pressure 50 56
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 51 39
Finishing Efficiency 81 91
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 79 32
Underlying Play Power 63 66
Chivas Results above play quality (running hot)
Cruz Azul Results above play quality (running hot)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Chivas

When scoring first 73% won · 100% unbeaten (11 matches)
When conceding first 75% points rescued · 0% won (4 matches)
1st Half: 46% 2nd Half: 54%
First 15': 23% Last 15' (76-90'): 19%

Cruz Azul

When scoring first 89% won · 100% unbeaten (9 matches)
When conceding first 33% points rescued · 17% won (6 matches)
1st Half: 50% 2nd Half: 50%
First 15': 9% Last 15' (76-90'): 21%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Chivas

  1. 1. FW Santiago Sandoval 4G · 1A
    Team attack 15.0% Team shots 16.0%
  2. 2. FW Ricardo Marín 3G · 1A
    Team attack 11.0% Team shots 10.0%
  3. 3. MF Roberto Alvarado 1G · 0A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 13.0%

Cruz Azul

  1. 1. MF Andrés Montaño 6G · 4A
    Team attack 18.0% Team shots 14.0%
  2. 2. FW Gabriel Fernández 4G · 0A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 18.0%
  3. 3. FW Nicolás Ibánez 3G · 3A
    Team attack 11.0% Team shots 10.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Scoring trends Chivas Cruz Azul
Over 1.5 goals 8/10 9/10
Over 2.5 goals 4/10 8/10
Over 3.5 goals 2/10 6/10
Both teams scored 5/10 7/10
Clean sheet 4/10 1/10
Failed to score 1/10 2/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 1.7 / 0.9 2.5 / 1.7

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Chivas

  • D 1-1 at León (A) Liga MX · 9 Nov
  • W 4-2 vs Atlante (H) Liga MX · 1 Nov
  • W 1-0 at Monterrey (A) Liga MX · 25 Oct
  • W 1-0 vs Necaxa (H) Liga MX · 21 Oct
  • D 1-1 vs Tigres (H) Liga MX · 17 Oct

Cruz Azul

  • W 3-2 at Tigres (A) Liga MX · 8 Nov
  • W 2-1 vs León (H) Liga MX · 2 Nov
  • W 3-1 at Querétaro FC (A) Liga MX · 26 Oct
  • W 2-1 at Pachuca (A) Liga MX · 22 Oct
  • W 5-0 vs FC Juárez (H) Liga MX · 18 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Chivas

  • 1-15 minutes: 6 scored, 1 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 1 scored, 1 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 5 scored, 2 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 3 scored, 2 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 6 scored, 5 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 5 scored, 4 conceded

Cruz Azul

  • 1-15 minutes: 3 scored, 2 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 5 scored, 4 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 9 scored, 5 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 6 scored, 8 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 5 scored, 2 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 9 scored, 5 conceded

Goals in each 15-minute period, Liga MX this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Chivas

Player G A
Ricardo Marín (2 pens) 6 2
Roberto Alvarado 5 1
Santiago Sandoval 5 1
Bryan González 2 1
Efraín Álvarez 1 3

Cruz Azul

Player G A
Andrés Montaño (4 pens) 6 5
Nicolás Ibánez 6 3
Gabriel Fernández (1 pen) 5 1
José Paradela 3 5
Jeremy Márquez 3 2

Goals and assists in the Liga MX this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Chivas Cruz Azul
  • 7.6 Corners won 5.8
  • 4.4 Corners conceded 5.6
  • 1.1 Yellow cards 2.2
  • 1.6 Opponents' yellow cards 2.4

Per match in the Liga MX this season. Average per club and match: 5.5 corners, 1.9 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

ChivasCruz Azul
Attack 76 94 1.6 goals per match this season2.3 goals per match this season
Defence 94 76 0.9 conceded per match this season1.6 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Liga MX clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1838Elo #97 Elo rating 1897Elo #60

Head-to-head

7Chivas wins
12draws
17Cruz Azul wins

36 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 17 May 2026 · Liga MX Chivas 1-2 Cruz Azul
  • 14 May 2026 · Liga MX Cruz Azul 2-2 Chivas
  • 22 Feb 2026 · Liga MX Cruz Azul 2-1 Chivas
  • 1 Dec 2025 · Liga MX Cruz Azul 3-2 Chivas
  • 28 Nov 2025 · Liga MX Chivas 0-0 Cruz Azul

Table

Liga MX: Table
#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Cruz Azul 16 1024 37:26 +11 32
2 CF América 16 862 38:23 +15 30
3 Chivas 16 862 26:15 +11 30
4 Toluca 16 763 35:21 +14 27
5 Atlas 16 835 27:30 -3 27
6 Santos Laguna 16 817 23:20 +3 25
7 León 16 655 23:21 +2 23
8 Pachuca 16 646 29:20 +9 22
9 Tijuana 16 574 25:22 +3 22
10 Monterrey 15 636 26:25 +1 21
11 Pumas 16 565 24:26 -2 21
12 Querétaro FC 15 627 18:23 -5 20
13 Puebla 16 547 19:23 -4 19
14 Atlético de San Luis 16 547 19:24 -5 19
15 Tigres 16 367 17:25 -8 15
16 Atlante 16 358 16:26 -10 14
17 Necaxa 16 349 17:28 -11 13
18 FC Juárez 16 3211 13:34 -21 11

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Liga MX: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely 1stLiguilla
Chivas 30
Cruz Azul 32

For members

Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

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Times are UTC.