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Liga MX · Matchday 17

FC Juárez vs Atlas: Match Preview & Stats

Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, Ciudad Juárez

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • FC Juárez: 1 of 4 right
  • Atlas: 2 of 4 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Liga MX, Matchday 17
Kick-off
Local time
21:00 (Mexico City time)
Venue
Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, Ciudad Juárez
Since last match
FC Juárez: 14 days (Liga MX) · Atlético de San Luis (0‑1) Atlas: 13 days (Liga MX) · Pachuca (1‑4)
Next match
FC Juárez: not scheduled yet Atlas: not scheduled yet

Last starting XI

FC Juárez 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Jurado
  2. 33 Nevárez
  3. 2 Sepúlveda
  4. 26 Piña
  5. 14 López
  6. 5 García
  7. 13 Dourado
  8. 9 Madson
  9. 183 Rodríguez
  10. 8 Castilho
  11. 19 Estupiñán

Coach: Gustavo Lema at Atlético de San Luis, 1-0 · Liga MX · 7 Nov

Atlas 3-4-2-1

  1. 12 Vargas
  2. 19 Frías
  3. 28 Capasso
  4. 44 Purata
  5. 23 Hernández
  6. 18 Montiel
  7. 26 Rocha
  8. 16 Valenzuela
  9. 20 Zenón
  10. 10 Esteves
  11. 9 Monzón

Coach: Hernán Crespo vs Pachuca, 1-4 · Liga MX · 7 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

FC Juárez

  • MF Lucas RomeroInjured · Early April 2027
  • FW Ettson AyónInjured · Doubtful
  • – Bryan RomeroInjured · Doubtful

Atlas

  • DF Adonis FríasSuspended
  • – Edyairth OrtegaSuspended
  • MF DukInjured · Late March 2027
  • MF Édgar ZaldívarInjured · Doubtful

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

FC Juárez

Low impact
Missing attack share 0.0%
Missing minutes share 0.0%
3 players out

Atlas

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 6.0%
Missing minutes share 10.0%
4 players out 1 regular starter out
Key absences:
  • DF Adonis Frías 2% attack · 6% mins
  • MF Duk 3% attack · 1% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

FC Juárez Atlas
Box & Territory Pressure 33 50
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 54 63
Finishing Efficiency 33 63
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 57 25
Underlying Play Power 37 43
FC Juárez Balanced (results match underlying play)
Atlas Balanced (results match underlying play)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

FC Juárez

When scoring first 60% won · 60% unbeaten (5 matches)
When conceding first 20% points rescued · 0% won (10 matches)
1st Half: 38% 2nd Half: 62%
First 15': 0% Last 15' (76-90'): 46%

Atlas

When scoring first 78% won · 100% unbeaten (9 matches)
When conceding first 17% points rescued · 0% won (6 matches)
1st Half: 38% 2nd Half: 62%
First 15': 21% Last 15' (76-90'): 29%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

FC Juárez

  1. 1. FW Óscar Estupiñán 6G · 0A
    Team attack 25.0% Team shots 21.0%
  2. 2. MF José Luis Rodriguez 1G · 1A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 10.0%
  3. 3. FW Madson 1G · 0A
    Team attack 8.0% Team shots 10.0%

Atlas

  1. 1. MF Luís Esteves 4G · 3A
    Team attack 19.0% Team shots 16.0%
  2. 2. FW Florián Monzón 4G · 1A
    Team attack 15.0% Team shots 16.0%
  3. 3. MF Kevin Zenón 2G · 3A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 10.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Scoring trends FC Juárez Atlas
Over 1.5 goals 8/10 9/10
Over 2.5 goals 4/10 5/10
Over 3.5 goals 2/10 5/10
Both teams scored 5/10 8/10
Clean sheet 2/10 2/10
Failed to score 3/10 0/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 1.0 / 1.5 1.8 / 2.2

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

FC Juárez

  • W 1-0 at Atlético de San Luis (A) Liga MX · 7 Nov
  • W 3-1 vs Querétaro FC (H) Liga MX · 31 Oct
  • D 1-1 at Necaxa (A) Liga MX · 24 Oct
  • L 0-1 vs Atlante (H) Liga MX · 21 Oct
  • L 0-5 at Cruz Azul (A) Liga MX · 18 Oct

Atlas

  • L 1-4 vs Pachuca (H) Liga MX · 7 Nov
  • W 1-0 at Atlético de San Luis (A) Liga MX · 31 Oct
  • W 4-3 vs Puebla (H) Liga MX · 25 Oct
  • L 2-5 vs CF América (H) Liga MX · 22 Oct
  • W 2-0 at Necaxa (A) Liga MX · 17 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

FC Juárez

  • 1-15 minutes: 0 scored, 5 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 1 scored, 5 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 4 scored, 6 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 1 scored, 4 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 1 scored, 4 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 6 scored, 10 conceded

Atlas

  • 1-15 minutes: 6 scored, 2 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 1 scored, 11 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 3 scored, 2 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 4 scored, 5 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 6 scored, 3 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 7 scored, 7 conceded

Goals in each 15-minute period, Liga MX this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

FC Juárez

Player G A
Óscar Estupiñán (4 pens) 8 0
José Luis Rodriguez 2 3
Luca Martínez Dupuy 1 0
Madson 1 0
Rodrigo Dourado 1 0

Atlas

Player G A
Luís Esteves (2 pens) 5 3
Florián Monzón 5 1
Manuel Capasso 3 0
Ryan Mmaee 3 0
Kevin Zenón 2 3

Goals and assists in the Liga MX this season.

Corners and yellow cards

FC Juárez Atlas
  • 4.1 Corners won 5.9
  • 7.2 Corners conceded 5.8
  • 2.6 Yellow cards 1.9
  • 1.9 Opponents' yellow cards 1.6

Per match in the Liga MX this season. Average per club and match: 5.5 corners, 1.9 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

FC JuárezAtlas
Attack 24 41 0.8 goals per match this season1.7 goals per match this season
Defence 6 29 2.1 conceded per match this season1.9 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Liga MX clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1652Elo #294 Elo rating 1702Elo #237

Head-to-head

2FC Juárez wins
3draws
8Atlas wins

13 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 28 Feb 2026 · Liga MX FC Juárez 3-1 Atlas
  • 4 Oct 2025 · Liga MX Atlas 3-1 FC Juárez
  • 5 Apr 2025 · Liga MX Atlas 1-1 FC Juárez
  • 6 Jul 2024 · Liga MX FC Juárez 2-2 Atlas
  • 29 Jan 2024 · Liga MX Atlas 2-1 FC Juárez

Table

Liga MX: Table
#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Cruz Azul 16 1024 37:26 +11 32
2 CF América 16 862 38:23 +15 30
3 Chivas 16 862 26:15 +11 30
4 Toluca 16 763 35:21 +14 27
5 Atlas 16 835 27:30 -3 27
6 Santos Laguna 16 817 23:20 +3 25
7 León 16 655 23:21 +2 23
8 Pachuca 16 646 29:20 +9 22
9 Tijuana 16 574 25:22 +3 22
10 Monterrey 15 636 26:25 +1 21
11 Pumas 16 565 24:26 -2 21
12 Querétaro FC 15 627 18:23 -5 20
13 Puebla 16 547 19:23 -4 19
14 Atlético de San Luis 16 547 19:24 -5 19
15 Tigres 16 367 17:25 -8 15
16 Atlante 16 358 16:26 -10 14
17 Necaxa 16 349 17:28 -11 13
18 FC Juárez 16 3211 13:34 -21 11

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Liga MX: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely 1stLiguilla
FC Juárez 11
Atlas 27

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Times are UTC.