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MLS · Round of 16

FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers: Match Preview & Stats

FC Dallas crest FC Dallas
vs
Portland Timbers crest Portland Timbers
Toyota Stadium, Frisco, Texas

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • FC Dallas: 2 of 4 right
  • Portland Timbers: 3 of 4 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
MLS, Round of 16
Kick-off
Local time
16:00 (US Eastern time)
Venue
Toyota Stadium, Frisco, Texas
Since last match
FC Dallas: 13 days (MLS) · Colorado Rapids (3‑1) Portland Timbers: 13 days (MLS) · Austin FC (0‑2)
Next match
FC Dallas: 7 days (MLS) later Portland Timbers: 7 days (MLS) later

Last starting XI

FC Dallas 4-4-2

  1. 42 Daniel
  2. 14 Johansson
  3. 25 Ibeagha
  4. 3 Urhoghide
  5. 18 Moore
  6. 21 Valiente
  7. 17 Ramiro
  8. 55 Ferreira
  9. 77 Kamungo
  10. 7 Job
  11. 9 Musa

Coach: Eric Quill vs Colorado Rapids, 3-1 · MLS · 8 Nov

Portland Timbers 4-3-3

  1. 41 Pantemis
  2. 12 Hernández
  3. 20 Surman
  4. 2 Waterman
  5. 23 Smith
  6. 10 Da Costa
  7. 30 Caicedo
  8. 73 Izoita
  9. 99 Velde
  10. 14 Janssen
  11. 7 Lassiter

Coach: Martí Cifuentes at Austin FC, 2-0 · MLS · 8 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

FC Dallas

No absences reported.

Portland Timbers

  • GK Trey MuseInjured · Late November 2026
  • DF Alex BonetigInjured · Late November 2026
  • DF Brandon ByeInjured · Mid November 2026
  • DF Juan MosqueraInjured · Mid November 2026
  • DF Zac McGrawInjured · Late November 2026

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

FC Dallas

Low impact

Full squad available — no listed absences

Portland Timbers

Low impact
Missing attack share 0.0%
Missing minutes share 1.0%
5 players out

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

FC Dallas Portland Timbers
Box & Territory Pressure 67 62
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 37 50
Finishing Efficiency 69 75
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 67 42
Underlying Play Power 70 63
FC Dallas Balanced (results match underlying play)
Portland Timbers Playing above results (positive regression candidate)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

FC Dallas

When scoring first 67% won · 89% unbeaten (9 matches)
When conceding first 60% points rescued · 40% won (5 matches)
1st Half: 43% 2nd Half: 57%
First 15': 4% Last 15' (76-90'): 43%

Portland Timbers

When scoring first 71% won · 100% unbeaten (7 matches)
When conceding first 29% points rescued · 14% won (7 matches)
1st Half: 50% 2nd Half: 50%
First 15': 18% Last 15' (76-90'): 21%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

FC Dallas

  1. 1. FW Petar Musa 4G · 1A
    Team attack 19.0% Team shots 19.0%
  2. 2. MF Joaquín Valiente 2G · 1A
    Team attack 11.0% Team shots 8.0%
  3. 3. MF Kaick Ferreira 2G · 1A
    Team attack 10.0% Team shots 10.0%

Portland Timbers

  1. 1. FW Kristoffer Velde 4G · 0A
    Team attack 19.0% Team shots 26.0%
  2. 2. MF David Da Costa 4G · 2A
    Team attack 15.0% Team shots 7.0%
  3. 3. FW Ariel Lassiter 5G · 1A
    Team attack 14.0% Team shots 13.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

FC Dallas Portland Timbers
Over 1.5 goals 7/10 8/10
Over 2.5 goals 5/10 6/10
Over 3.5 goals 3/10 5/10
Both teams scored 5/10 6/10
Clean sheet 4/10 2/10
Failed to score 2/10 3/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 1.5 / 1.0 1.6 / 1.6

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

FC Dallas

  • W 3-1 vs Colorado Rapids (H) MLS · 8 Nov
  • D 1-1 at Sporting Kansas City (A) MLS · 31 Oct
  • L 0-2 vs Columbus Crew (H) MLS · 29 Oct
  • W 3-0 vs San Jose Earthquakes (H) MLS · 25 Oct
  • D 2-2 at Houston Dynamo FC (A) MLS · 18 Oct

Portland Timbers

  • W 2-0 at Austin FC (A) MLS · 8 Nov
  • W 3-1 vs Houston Dynamo FC (H) MLS · 2 Nov
  • W 3-2 at St. Louis City (A) MLS · 29 Oct
  • W 3-2 vs Charlotte FC (H) MLS · 25 Oct
  • D 0-0 vs Colorado Rapids (H) MLS · 18 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

FC Dallas

Portland Timbers

Goals in each 15-minute period, MLS this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

FC Dallas

Player G A
Petar Musa (5 pens) 22 5
Logan Farrington (1 pen) 10 4
Santiago Moreno (1 pen) 5 3
Kaick Ferreira 5 2
Joaquín Valiente 3 9

Portland Timbers

Player G A
Kristoffer Velde 12 6
Kevin Kelsy 9 2
Ariel Lassiter 8 4
David Da Costa 7 9
Vincent Janssen (2 pens) 5 3

Goals and assists in the MLS this season.

Corners and yellow cards

FC Dallas Portland Timbers
  • 4.7 Corners won 4.8
  • 5.8 Corners conceded 5.5
  • 2.3 Yellow cards 1.6
  • 1.9 Opponents' yellow cards 2.1

Per match in the MLS this season. Average per club and match: 5.0 corners, 1.9 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

FC DallasPortland Timbers
Attack 59 66 1.8 goals per match this season1.8 goals per match this season
Defence 66 31 1.5 conceded per match this season1.8 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's MLS clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1765Elo #153 Elo rating 1717Elo #213

Head-to-head

13FC Dallas wins
14draws
12Portland Timbers wins

39 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 13 Sep 2026 · MLS FC Dallas 2-1 Portland Timbers
  • 23 Jul 2026 · MLS Portland Timbers 2-2 FC Dallas
  • 28 Sep 2025 · MLS Portland Timbers 2-2 FC Dallas
  • 10 Aug 2025 · MLS FC Dallas 2-0 Portland Timbers
  • 6 Oct 2024 · MLS Portland Timbers 0-0 FC Dallas

Table

Western

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 34 1978 74:34 +40 64
2 FC Dallas 34 16108 62:51 +11 58
3 St. Louis City 34 15910 59:48 +11 54
4 San Jose Earthquakes 34 141010 57:51 +6 52
5 Houston Dynamo FC 34 14911 43:43 0 51
6 Los Angeles FC 34 121111 52:40 +12 47
7 Portland Timbers 34 13714 62:61 +1 46
8 Seattle Sounders FC 34 121012 44:46 -2 46
9 Real Salt Lake 34 13615 53:52 +1 45
10 Minnesota United 34 111112 56:58 -2 44
11 LA Galaxy 34 111112 50:57 -7 44
12 Colorado Rapids 34 12715 47:50 -3 43
13 San Diego FC 34 91114 57:63 -6 38
14 Austin FC 34 81016 42:65 -23 34
15 Sporting Kansas City 34 7522 40:81 -41 26

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the MLS: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely ShieldPlay-offs
FC Dallas 58
Portland Timbers 46

For members

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Times are UTC.