MLS · Round of 32

Orlando City vs FC Cincinnati: Match Preview & Stats

Orlando City

FC Cincinnati

Friday 20 November 2026, 00:30 UTC Inter.co Stadium, Orlando, Florida

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on Wednesday 18 November 2026, 00:30 UTC. (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

Orlando City: 2 of 4 right
FC Cincinnati: 2 of 5 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition: MLS, Round of 32
Kick-off: Friday 20 November 2026, 00:30 UTC
Local time: 19:30 (US Eastern time)
Venue: Inter.co Stadium, Orlando, Florida
Since last match: Orlando City: 12 days (MLS) · New England Revolution (1‑0) FC Cincinnati: 12 days (MLS) · Nashville SC (0‑2)
Next match: Orlando City: not scheduled yet FC Cincinnati: not scheduled yet

Last starting XI

Orlando City 4-4-2

71 Crépeau
19 Taifi
4 Brekalo
16 Cartagena
27 Nogueira
19 Pašalić
8 Ojeda
20 Atuesta
77 Angulo
7 Griezmann
10 Ojeda

Coach: Martin Perelman vs New England Revolution, 1-0 · MLS · 7 Nov

FC Cincinnati 3-5-2

18 Celentano
24 Smith
15 Hadebe
11 Gidi
23 Douděra
20 Bucha
10 Ferreira
5 Nwobodo
29 Ramírez
9 Denkey
16 Barlow

Coach: Pat Noonan vs Nashville SC, 0-2 · MLS · 7 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Orlando City

DF Robin JanssonInjured · Late November 2026
FW Tyrese SpicerInjured · Mid November 2026

FC Cincinnati

DF Nick HagglundInjured · Late November 2026

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Orlando City

Low impact

Missing attack share 0.0%

Missing minutes share 3.0%

2 players out

FC Cincinnati

Moderate impact

Missing attack share 1.0%

Missing minutes share 6.0%

1 player out 1 regular starter out

Key absences:

DF Nick Hagglund 1% attack · 6% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Orlando City FC Cincinnati

Box & Territory Pressure 49 63

Set-Piece & Corner Threat 31 42

Finishing Efficiency 90 34

Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 39 25

Underlying Play Power 19 72

Orlando City Results above play quality (running hot)

FC Cincinnati Playing above results (positive regression candidate)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Orlando City

When scoring first 71% won · 100% unbeaten (7 matches)

When conceding first 50% points rescued · 25% won (8 matches)

1st Half: 41% 2nd Half: 59%

First 15': 9% Last 15' (76-90'): 38%

FC Cincinnati

When scoring first 62% won · 88% unbeaten (8 matches)

When conceding first 29% points rescued · 0% won (7 matches)

1st Half: 29% 2nd Half: 71%

First 15': 19% Last 15' (76-90'): 33%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Orlando City

1. FW Martín Ojeda 5G · 3A

Team attack 25.0% Team shots 26.0%
2. FW Antoine Griezmann 6G · 4A

Team attack 24.0% Team shots 18.0%
3. MF Iván Angulo 4G · 1A

Team attack 13.0% Team shots 9.0%

FC Cincinnati

1. FW Kévin Denkey 4G · 1A

Team attack 17.0% Team shots 16.0%
2. MF Evander Ferreira 1G · 3A

Team attack 15.0% Team shots 18.0%
3. FW Tom Barlow 4G · 2A

Team attack 14.0% Team shots 15.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Scoring trends

Scoring trends	Orlando City	FC Cincinnati
Over 1.5 goals	9/10	9/10
Over 2.5 goals	9/10	6/10
Over 3.5 goals	8/10	5/10
Both teams scored	8/10	6/10
Clean sheet	1/10	2/10
Failed to score	1/10	2/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded)	2.0 / 2.4	1.5 / 1.6

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Orlando City

W 1-0 vs New England Revolution (H) MLS · 7 Nov
L 0-4 at Charlotte FC (A) MLS · 31 Oct
D 2-2 at Chicago Fire FC (A) MLS · 29 Oct
D 2-2 vs New York City FC (H) MLS · 24 Oct
W 4-1 vs DC United (H) MLS · 17 Oct

FC Cincinnati

L 0-2 vs Nashville SC (H) MLS · 7 Nov
W 1-0 vs Philadelphia Union (H) MLS · 31 Oct
D 2-2 at Inter Miami CF (A) MLS · 28 Oct
W 2-0 at DC United (A) MLS · 24 Oct
W 2-1 vs DC United (H) MLS · 21 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Orlando City

1-15 minutes: 5 scored, 10 conceded
16-30 minutes: 14 scored, 13 conceded
31-45 minutes: 7 scored, 11 conceded
46-60 minutes: 11 scored, 16 conceded
61-75 minutes: 9 scored, 8 conceded
76-90 minutes: 17 scored, 20 conceded

FC Cincinnati

1-15 minutes: 7 scored, 4 conceded
16-30 minutes: 6 scored, 14 conceded
31-45 minutes: 14 scored, 14 conceded
46-60 minutes: 10 scored, 17 conceded
61-75 minutes: 7 scored, 10 conceded
76-90 minutes: 23 scored, 16 conceded

Goals in each 15-minute period, MLS this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Orlando City

Player	G	A
Martín Ojeda (5 pens)	16	4
Antoine Griezmann	14	7
Iván Angulo	7	5
Tyrese Spicer	6	1
Griffin Dorsey	3	1

FC Cincinnati

Player	G	A
Kévin Denkey (3 pens)	17	3
Evander Ferreira (3 pens)	14	13
Tom Barlow	10	4
Pavel Bucha	6	5
Kenji Mboma Dem	6	1

Goals and assists in the MLS this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Orlando City FC Cincinnati

4.0 Corners won 5.0
6.9 Corners conceded 5.3
2.1 Yellow cards 2.1
2.0 Opponents' yellow cards 1.7

Per match in the MLS this season. Average per club and match: 5.0 corners, 1.9 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

Orlando CityFC Cincinnati

Attack 93 83 1.9 goals per match this season2.0 goals per match this season

Defence 10 24 2.3 conceded per match this season2.2 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's MLS clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1723Elo #206 Elo rating 1732Elo #196

Head-to-head

5Orlando City wins

5draws

5FC Cincinnati wins

15 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

15 Aug 2026 · MLS Orlando City 1-1 FC Cincinnati
23 May 2026 · MLS FC Cincinnati 6-2 Orlando City
28 Sep 2025 · MLS FC Cincinnati 1-1 Orlando City
28 Jun 2025 · MLS Orlando City 1-2 FC Cincinnati
5 Oct 2024 · MLS FC Cincinnati 1-3 Orlando City

Table

Eastern

MLS: Eastern
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	23	8	3	71:25	+46	77
2	Inter Miami CF	34	16	12	6	80:59	+21	60
3	New England Revolution	34	18	4	12	55:47	+8	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	16	7	11	64:54	+10	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	15	9	10	66:51	+15	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	14	8	12	66:52	+14	50
7	Columbus Crew	34	14	5	15	59:52	+7	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	12	10	12	67:75	-8	46
9	Orlando City	34	13	7	14	63:78	-15	46
10	New York City FC	34	10	12	12	49:45	+4	42
11	Red Bull New York	34	12	6	16	48:62	-14	42
12	Toronto FC	34	9	12	13	52:67	-15	39
13	Atlanta United	34	9	6	19	43:60	-17	33
14	DC United	34	7	12	15	39:61	-22	33
15	CF Montréal	34	6	8	20	37:69	-32	26

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the MLS: average points, likely range and chances.

Club	Pts	Avg pts	Likely	Shield	Play-offs
Orlando City	46
FC Cincinnati	46

For members

Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

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Times are UTC.