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MLS · Round of 16

St. Louis City vs Los Angeles FC: Match Preview & Stats

St. Louis City crest St. Louis City
vs
Los Angeles FC crest Los Angeles FC
Energizer Park, St. Louis, Missouri

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • St. Louis City: 1 of 4 right
  • Los Angeles FC: 1 of 3 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
MLS, Round of 16
Kick-off
Local time
20:00 (US Eastern time)
Venue
Energizer Park, St. Louis, Missouri
Since last match
St. Louis City: 16 days (MLS) · Houston Dynamo FC (0‑1) Los Angeles FC: 16 days (MLS) · Seattle Sounders FC (2‑1)
Next match
St. Louis City: 5 days (MLS) later Los Angeles FC: 5 days (MLS) later

Last starting XI

St. Louis City 3-4-3

  1. 39 Lundt
  2. 5 MacNaughton
  3. 32 Baumgartl
  4. 27 Fall
  5. 6 Wallem
  6. 21 Polvara
  7. 8 Durkin
  8. 14 Totland
  9. 77 Jeong
  10. 9 Navarro
  11. 7 Ostrák

Coach: Yoann Damet at Houston Dynamo FC, 1-0 · MLS · 8 Nov

Los Angeles FC 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Lloris
  2. 14 Palencia
  3. 5 Porteous
  4. 4 Segura
  5. 23 Cheberko
  6. 66 Choinière
  7. 8 Delgado
  8. 9 Sieb
  9. 10 Walta
  10. 99 Bouanga
  11. 7 Son

Coach: Xavi Tamarit at Seattle Sounders FC, 1-2 · MLS · 8 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

St. Louis City

  • GK Roman BürkiInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Carlo HolseInjured · Return unknown
  • FW Célio PompeuInjured · Return unknown

Los Angeles FC

  • GK Hugo LlorisInjured · Late December 2026
  • DF Aaron LongInjured · Mid November 2026
  • MF Timothy TillmanInjured · Mid November 2026

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

St. Louis City

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 17.0%
Missing minutes share 10.0%
3 players out 2 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • MF Carlo Holse 17% attack · 6% mins
  • GK Roman Bürki 0% attack · 5% mins

Los Angeles FC

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 2.0%
Missing minutes share 13.0%
3 players out 2 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • GK Hugo Lloris 0% attack · 8% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

St. Louis City Los Angeles FC
Box & Territory Pressure 50 58
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 43 47
Finishing Efficiency 89 38
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 42 41
Underlying Play Power 47 70
St. Louis City Results above play quality (running hot)
Los Angeles FC Playing above results (positive regression candidate)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

St. Louis City

When scoring first 62% won · 88% unbeaten (8 matches)
When conceding first 40% points rescued · 40% won (5 matches)
1st Half: 61% 2nd Half: 39%
First 15': 23% Last 15' (76-90'): 16%

Los Angeles FC

When scoring first 40% won · 100% unbeaten (5 matches)
When conceding first 33% points rescued · 0% won (9 matches)
1st Half: 29% 2nd Half: 71%
First 15': 6% Last 15' (76-90'): 24%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

St. Louis City

  1. 1. FW Rafael Navarro 5G · 3A
    Team attack 20.0% Team shots 19.0%
  2. 2. MF Conrad Wallem 0G · 2A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 4.0%
  3. 3. MF Alexandru Mățan 0G · 4A
    Team attack 7.0% Team shots 4.0%

Los Angeles FC

  1. 1. FW Denis Bouanga 6G · 0A
    Team attack 19.0% Team shots 17.0%
  2. 2. FW Heung-Min Son 2G · 3A
    Team attack 17.0% Team shots 18.0%
  3. 3. FW Armindo Sieb 1G · 0A
    Team attack 11.0% Team shots 17.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

St. Louis City Los Angeles FC
Over 1.5 goals 6/10 9/10
Over 2.5 goals 6/10 6/10
Over 3.5 goals 4/10 5/10
Both teams scored 4/10 8/10
Clean sheet 4/10 1/10
Failed to score 4/10 1/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 1.7 / 1.3 1.4 / 1.6

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

St. Louis City

  • W 1-0 at Houston Dynamo FC (A) MLS · 8 Nov
  • L 0-1 vs San Diego FC (H) MLS · 31 Oct
  • L 2-3 vs Portland Timbers (H) MLS · 29 Oct
  • L 0-3 at Real Salt Lake (A) MLS · 25 Oct
  • D 0-0 vs Columbus Crew (N) US Open Cup · 22 Oct

Los Angeles FC

  • L 1-2 at Seattle Sounders FC (A) MLS · 8 Nov
  • L 1-3 vs Minnesota United (H) MLS · 2 Nov
  • D 2-2 vs LA Galaxy (H) MLS · 26 Oct
  • D 1-1 at New York City FC (A) MLS · 17 Oct
  • W 3-1 vs Austin FC (H) MLS · 15 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

St. Louis City

Los Angeles FC

Goals in each 15-minute period, MLS this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

St. Louis City

Player G A
Simon Becher 9 4
Rafael Navarro (2 pens) 9 3
Marcel Hartel 6 3
Carlo Holse 6 2
Daniel Edelman 5 3

Los Angeles FC

Player G A
Denis Bouanga (1 pen) 18 5
Heung-Min Son 7 12
David Martínez 6 0
Marco Delgado 2 3
Mathieu Choinière 2 3

Goals and assists in the MLS this season.

Corners and yellow cards

St. Louis City Los Angeles FC
  • 5.1 Corners won 6.5
  • 5.0 Corners conceded 5.0
  • 1.8 Yellow cards 1.7
  • 1.9 Opponents' yellow cards 2.0

Per match in the MLS this season. Average per club and match: 5.0 corners, 1.9 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

St. Louis CityLos Angeles FC
Attack 52 72 1.7 goals per match this season1.5 goals per match this season
Defence 48 97 1.4 conceded per match this season1.2 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's MLS clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1739Elo #185 Elo rating 1777Elo #143

Head-to-head

1St. Louis City wins
2draws
5Los Angeles FC wins

8 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 14 May 2026 · MLS St. Louis City 2-1 Los Angeles FC
  • 15 Mar 2026 · MLS Los Angeles FC 2-0 St. Louis City
  • 28 Sep 2025 · MLS St. Louis City 0-3 Los Angeles FC
  • 27 Apr 2025 · MLS Los Angeles FC 2-2 St. Louis City
  • 3 Oct 2024 · MLS Los Angeles FC 1-0 St. Louis City

Table

Western

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 34 1978 74:34 +40 64
2 FC Dallas 34 16108 62:51 +11 58
3 St. Louis City 34 15910 59:48 +11 54
4 San Jose Earthquakes 34 141010 57:51 +6 52
5 Houston Dynamo FC 34 14911 43:43 0 51
6 Los Angeles FC 34 121111 52:40 +12 47
7 Portland Timbers 34 13714 62:61 +1 46
8 Seattle Sounders FC 34 121012 44:46 -2 46
9 Real Salt Lake 34 13615 53:52 +1 45
10 Minnesota United 34 111112 56:58 -2 44
11 LA Galaxy 34 111112 50:57 -7 44
12 Colorado Rapids 34 12715 47:50 -3 43
13 San Diego FC 34 91114 57:63 -6 38
14 Austin FC 34 81016 42:65 -23 34
15 Sporting Kansas City 34 7522 40:81 -41 26

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the MLS: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely ShieldPlay-offs
St. Louis City 54
Los Angeles FC 47

For members

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Times are UTC.