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MLS · Round of 16

San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo FC: Match Preview & Stats

PayPal Park, San Jose, California

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • San Jose Earthquakes: 3 of 4 right
  • Houston Dynamo FC: 2 of 4 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
MLS, Round of 16
Kick-off
Local time
22:00 (US Eastern time)
Venue
PayPal Park, San Jose, California
Since last match
San Jose Earthquakes: 17 days (MLS) · Minnesota United (3‑1) Houston Dynamo FC: 17 days (MLS) · St. Louis City (0‑1)
Next match
San Jose Earthquakes: 3 days (MLS) later Houston Dynamo FC: 3 days (MLS) later

Last starting XI

San Jose Earthquakes 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Gunn
  2. 28 Kikanović
  3. 5 Munie
  4. 18 Roberts
  5. 2 Ricketts
  6. 14 Vieira
  7. 23 Löwen
  8. 7 Bouda
  9. 10 Tsakiris
  10. 11 Werner
  11. 19 Judd

Coach: Bruce Arena at Minnesota United, 1-3 · MLS · 8 Nov

Houston Dynamo FC 5-3-2

  1. 31 Bond
  2. 36 Andrade
  3. 34 Resch
  4. 5 Halter
  5. 11 Ennali
  6. 21 Negri
  7. 30 Bouzat
  8. 6 Artur
  9. 19 Bogusz
  10. 9 Foster
  11. 20 Augusto

Coach: Ben Olsen vs St. Louis City, 0-1 · MLS · 8 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

San Jose Earthquakes

  • MF DeJuan JonesInjured · Late December 2026
  • FW Nonso AdimabuaInjured · Mid November 2026

Houston Dynamo FC

  • GK Jimmy MaurerInjured · Mid November 2026
  • DF Marcelo SaracchiInjured · Late November 2026

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

San Jose Earthquakes

Low impact
Missing attack share 0.0%
Missing minutes share 0.0%
2 players out

Houston Dynamo FC

Low impact
Missing attack share 0.0%
Missing minutes share 0.0%
2 players out

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

San Jose Earthquakes Houston Dynamo FC
Box & Territory Pressure 44 40
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 68 55
Finishing Efficiency 52 52
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 49 54
Underlying Play Power 50 21
San Jose Earthquakes Balanced (results match underlying play)
Houston Dynamo FC Results above play quality (running hot)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

San Jose Earthquakes

When scoring first 50% won · 75% unbeaten (8 matches)
When conceding first 67% points rescued · 0% won (6 matches)
1st Half: 68% 2nd Half: 32%
First 15': 37% Last 15' (76-90'): 16%

Houston Dynamo FC

When scoring first 60% won · 100% unbeaten (5 matches)
When conceding first 29% points rescued · 0% won (7 matches)
1st Half: 47% 2nd Half: 53%
First 15': 0% Last 15' (76-90'): 20%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

San Jose Earthquakes

  1. 1. FW Preston Judd 5G · 0A
    Team attack 16.0% Team shots 17.0%
  2. 2. MF Eduard Löwen 1G · 2A
    Team attack 11.0% Team shots 15.0%
  3. 3. MF Beau Leroux 0G · 3A
    Team attack 11.0% Team shots 10.0%

Houston Dynamo FC

  1. 1. FW Guilherme Augusto 3G · 2A
    Team attack 22.0% Team shots 22.0%
  2. 2. FW Mateusz Bogusz 3G · 1A
    Team attack 21.0% Team shots 20.0%
  3. 3. DF Lucas Halter 1G · 0A
    Team attack 7.0% Team shots 10.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Scoring trends San Jose Earthquakes Houston Dynamo FC
Over 1.5 goals 9/10 6/10
Over 2.5 goals 6/10 5/10
Over 3.5 goals 4/10 5/10
Both teams scored 8/10 5/10
Clean sheet 1/10 2/10
Failed to score 1/10 4/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 1.4 / 1.5 1.1 / 1.6

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

San Jose Earthquakes

  • L 1-3 at Minnesota United (A) MLS · 8 Nov
  • W 2-1 vs Real Salt Lake (H) MLS · 31 Oct
  • D 2-2 vs Colorado Rapids (H) MLS · 29 Oct
  • L 0-3 at FC Dallas (A) MLS · 25 Oct
  • D 1-1 vs Nashville SC (H) MLS · 18 Oct

Houston Dynamo FC

  • L 0-1 vs St. Louis City (H) MLS · 8 Nov
  • L 1-3 at Portland Timbers (A) MLS · 2 Nov
  • W 1-0 at Seattle Sounders FC (A) MLS · 29 Oct
  • D 0-0 vs Minnesota United (H) MLS · 25 Oct
  • D 2-2 vs FC Dallas (H) MLS · 18 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

San Jose Earthquakes

  • 1-15 minutes: 14 scored, 7 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 7 scored, 8 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 9 scored, 7 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 10 scored, 8 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 6 scored, 4 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 11 scored, 17 conceded

Houston Dynamo FC

  • 1-15 minutes: 1 scored, 5 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 7 scored, 7 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 12 scored, 6 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 6 scored, 6 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 9 scored, 4 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 8 scored, 15 conceded

Goals in each 15-minute period, MLS this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

San Jose Earthquakes

Player G A
Preston Judd 17 3
Ousseni Bouda 7 1
Timo Werner (3 pens) 6 6
Daniel Munie 5 1
Beau Leroux 4 7

Houston Dynamo FC

Player G A
Guilherme Augusto (1 pen) 16 8
Mateusz Bogusz (2 pens) 8 2
Lawrence Ennali 3 4
Héctor Herrera 3 0
Jack McGlynn 2 5

Goals and assists in the MLS this season.

Corners and yellow cards

San Jose Earthquakes Houston Dynamo FC
  • 6.0 Corners won 4.4
  • 4.9 Corners conceded 5.1
  • 2.2 Yellow cards 1.8
  • 1.8 Opponents' yellow cards 2.1

Per match in the MLS this season. Average per club and match: 5.0 corners, 1.9 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

San Jose EarthquakesHouston Dynamo FC
Attack 45 10 1.7 goals per match this season1.3 goals per match this season
Defence 14 76 1.5 conceded per match this season1.3 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's MLS clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1695Elo #248 Elo rating 1700Elo #240

Head-to-head

10San Jose Earthquakes wins
5draws
17Houston Dynamo FC wins

32 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 13 Sep 2026 · MLS San Jose Earthquakes 1-0 Houston Dynamo FC
  • 30 Aug 2026 · MLS Houston Dynamo FC 0-0 San Jose Earthquakes
  • 24 Aug 2025 · MLS Houston Dynamo FC 1-2 San Jose Earthquakes
  • 25 May 2025 · MLS San Jose Earthquakes 3-3 Houston Dynamo FC
  • 18 Jul 2024 · MLS San Jose Earthquakes 0-1 Houston Dynamo FC

Table

Western

MLS: Western
#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 34 1978 74:34 +40 64
2 FC Dallas 34 16108 62:51 +11 58
3 St. Louis City 34 15910 59:48 +11 54
4 San Jose Earthquakes 34 141010 57:51 +6 52
5 Houston Dynamo FC 34 14911 43:43 0 51
6 Los Angeles FC 34 121111 52:40 +12 47
7 Portland Timbers 34 13714 62:61 +1 46
8 Seattle Sounders FC 34 121012 44:46 -2 46
9 Real Salt Lake 34 13615 53:52 +1 45
10 Minnesota United 34 111112 56:58 -2 44
11 LA Galaxy 34 111112 50:57 -7 44
12 Colorado Rapids 34 12715 47:50 -3 43
13 San Diego FC 34 91114 57:63 -6 38
14 Austin FC 34 81016 42:65 -23 34
15 Sporting Kansas City 34 7522 40:81 -41 26

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the MLS: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely ShieldPlay-offs
San Jose Earthquakes 52
Houston Dynamo FC 51

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Times are UTC.