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NBA · Regular season

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Memphis Grizzlies: Preview and Stats

Minnesota Timberwolves 9-3
vs
Memphis Grizzlies 7-4
Target Center, Minneapolis

Our picks

Our picks for Minnesota Timberwolves vs Memphis Grizzlies come out after the official NBA injury report, at most 48 hours before tip-off, and at the latest (3 hours before tip-off).

We are waiting for the result of a team's previous game.

Our NBA model track record for this matchup

Our winner picks on these teams

  • Minnesota Timberwolves 8 of 12 right (67%)
  • Memphis Grizzlies 3 of 11 right (27%)

Settled NBA winner picks since 21 Oct 2026.

Game details

Stage
NBA, Regular season
Tip-off
Arena
Target Center
City
Minneapolis
Since last match
Minnesota Timberwolves: New York Knicks Memphis Grizzlies: Golden State Warriors
Next match
Minnesota Timberwolves: Brooklyn Nets Memphis Grizzlies: Charlotte Hornets

Missing production & availability impact

Share of last 10 games' offensive creation (PTS + AST) and minutes sidelined.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Memphis Grizzlies

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Official NBA injury report

Minnesota Timberwolves

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Memphis Grizzlies

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Expected 8-man core rotation

Projected starters and key bench from recent usage and the official injury report.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Projected Starters
  • F Jaden McDaniels
    33.9 MPG 17.1 PPG 6.2 RPG 3.9 APG
  • G Ayo Dosunmu
    31.6 MPG 18.7 PPG 4.4 RPG 3.2 APG
  • F Jonathan Kuminga
    30.4 MPG 12.6 PPG 5.9 RPG 2.7 APG
  • G LaMelo Ball
    27.9 MPG 19.0 PPG 3.2 RPG 6.4 APG
  • C Rudy Gobert
    28.9 MPG 7.6 PPG 11.4 RPG 1.4 APG
Key Bench
  • G-F Terrence Shannon Jr
    21.6 MPG 10.3 PPG 3.6 RPG 3.3 APG
  • F Trey Lyles
    18.9 MPG 6.2 PPG 4.0 RPG 0.8 APG
  • G Donte DiVincenzo
    24.1 MPG 10.4 PPG 0.0 RPG 0.0 APG

Memphis Grizzlies

Projected Starters
  • F Cameron Boozer
    32.1 MPG 16.8 PPG 9.7 RPG 5.5 APG
  • G-F Ty Jerome
    30.7 MPG 24.1 PPG 3.1 RPG 4.8 APG
  • G Cedric Coward
    28.3 MPG 13.4 PPG 8.9 RPG 2.8 APG
  • F Jaylen Wells
    27.2 MPG 12.0 PPG 2.8 RPG 1.4 APG
  • F Jerami Grant
    23.4 MPG 10.3 PPG 2.2 RPG 2.0 APG
Key Bench
  • C Zach Edey
    20.8 MPG 7.8 PPG 7.6 RPG 1.0 APG
  • G Cam Spencer
    19.8 MPG 9.9 PPG 3.3 RPG 5.1 APG
  • F-C Isaiah Stewart
    18.2 MPG 10.8 PPG 3.1 RPG 0.8 APG

OptimaGoal power & pace ratings

Full NBA power ratings

Neutral-court net point rating and 48-minute tempo rank across all 30 NBA franchises.

Minnesota Timberwolves

#9 of 30
Net rating +3.3 30d: 0.0
Pace: -0.2 (#4 of 30)

Memphis Grizzlies

#16 of 30
Net rating -1.1 30d: +3.5
Pace: -1.1 (#12 of 30)

OptimaGoal tactical & efficiency profile (0–100)

Original 0–100 indices built from each team's last 10 played games before tip-off.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Net 81
Shot quality (TS%) 59
3PT volume & accuracy 58
Ball security & passing 27
Rebounding control 55
Defensive disruption 78

ORtg 114.3 · DRtg 103.4 · Net +11.0 · TS 59.1%

Memphis Grizzlies

Net 63
Shot quality (TS%) 61
3PT volume & accuracy 68
Ball security & passing 26
Rebounding control 59
Defensive disruption 51

ORtg 114.0 · DRtg 109.6 · Net +4.5 · TS 59.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves · Record vs point differential Stronger profile than W-L (bounce candidate) 9W actual vs 10.1W expected (12 GP)
Memphis Grizzlies · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 7W actual vs 7.4W expected (11 GP)

Halftime splits & clutch profile

Game-state outcomes and half-by-half scoring share over the last 15 games.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Win rate when leading at HT 9/11 (82%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 0/3 (0%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 58.2 (49.8%) 2H: 58.6 (50.2%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 1-2 10+ pt margins: 8-3

Memphis Grizzlies

Win rate when leading at HT 6/8 (75%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 0/6 (0%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 58.7 (50.5%) 2H: 57.6 (49.5%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 2-3 10+ pt margins: 5-5

Scoring environment and threshold hit counts across the last 10 games.

MINMEM
Points scored / game 118.6 117.4
Points allowed / game 107.2 112.8
Average game total 225.8 230.2
Average 1st-half total 111.4 116.5
Possessions / 48 min 102.7 101.9
Games with 220+ pts 7/10 7/10
Games with 230+ pts 3/10 4/10
Games with 240+ pts 1/10 3/10
Scored 115+ pts 7/10 6/10

Schedule density & travel spot

Rest days, multi-game compression and current home/road stretch entering tip-off.

Minnesota Timberwolves

1 day rest
1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Homestand · Game 3

Memphis Grizzlies

1 day rest
1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Road trip · Game 1

Primary offensive threats

Available rotation leaders by scoring and shot share over the last 10 games.

Minnesota Timberwolves

  • #1 LaMelo Ball G 16.0% pts share
    19.0 PPG · 3.2 RPG · 6.4 APG · 3.6 3PM 15.6% FGA
  • #2 Ayo Dosunmu G 15.8% pts share
    18.7 PPG · 4.4 RPG · 3.2 APG · 2.1 3PM 15.3% FGA
  • #3 Jaden McDaniels F 14.4% pts share
    17.1 PPG · 6.2 RPG · 3.9 APG · 1.3 3PM 15.3% FGA

Memphis Grizzlies

  • #1 Ty Jerome G-F 20.5% pts share
    24.1 PPG · 3.1 RPG · 4.8 APG · 2.3 3PM 19.8% FGA
  • #2 Cameron Boozer F 14.3% pts share
    16.8 PPG · 9.7 RPG · 5.5 APG · 2.0 3PM 15.5% FGA
  • #3 Cedric Coward G 11.4% pts share
    13.4 PPG · 8.9 RPG · 2.8 APG · 2.4 3PM 12.3% FGA

Last five games

Minnesota Timberwolves

  • W 133-94 vs Dallas Mavericks (H) 13 Nov
  • W 115-100 vs Utah Jazz (H) 9 Nov
  • W 115-109 at New Orleans Pelicans (A) 7 Nov
  • W 117-107 at Houston Rockets (A) 5 Nov
  • W 112-100 vs Milwaukee Bucks (H) 3 Nov

Memphis Grizzlies

  • L 118-123 vs Denver Nuggets (H) 12 Nov
  • W 118-102 at Toronto Raptors (A) 10 Nov
  • L 97-128 vs Oklahoma City Thunder (H) 7 Nov
  • L 103-107 vs Indiana Pacers (H) 5 Nov
  • L 134-135 vs New Orleans Pelicans (H) 3 Nov

Most recent first, all games of the season, overtime included.

Last 10 head-to-head meetings

MIN · 6W MEM · 4W
Avg total pts: 235.7 MIN avg: 121.3 MEM avg: 114.4 225+ pt games: 7/10 MIN at home: 3-2
  • 3 Mar 2026 MIN 117‑110 MEM
  • 2 Feb 2026 MEM 137‑128 MIN
  • 31 Jan 2026 MEM 114‑131 MIN
  • 17 Dec 2025 MIN 110‑116 MEM
  • 10 Apr 2025 MEM 125‑141 MIN
  • 20 Jan 2025 MEM 108‑106 MIN
  • 11 Jan 2025 MIN 125‑127 MEM
  • 28 Feb 2024 MIN 110‑101 MEM
  • 18 Jan 2024 MIN 118‑103 MEM
  • 8 Dec 2023 MEM 103‑127 MIN

Season profile comparison

MINMEM
Record 9-3 7-4
At home 5-1 2-4
On the road 4-2 5-0
Conference 4 of 15, Western Conference 8 of 15, Western Conference
Streak Won 5 in a row –
Days of rest 1 1
Our team rating #9 of 30 #16 of 30
Pace #4 of 30 #12 of 30

Western Conference standings

Full NBA standings
# Team W L PCT GB Home Road L10 Streak
1 Los Angeles Lakers 11 2 .846 – 5-1 6-1 8-2 W7
2 San Antonio Spurs 10 2 .833 0.5 4-2 6-0 10-0 W10
3 Houston Rockets 9 3 .750 1.5 6-1 3-2 7-3 W2
4 Minnesota Timberwolves 9 3 .750 1.5 5-1 4-2 7-3 W5
5 Portland Trail Blazers 8 3 .727 2.0 3-2 5-1 7-3 W2
6 Golden State Warriors 8 4 .667 2.5 6-1 2-3 8-2 L1
7 Oklahoma City Thunder 8 4 .667 2.5 5-0 3-4 6-4 L2
8 Memphis Grizzlies 7 4 .636 3.0 2-4 5-0 6-4 L1
9 Denver Nuggets 6 4 .600 3.5 3-2 3-2 6-4 W1
10 Dallas Mavericks 7 5 .583 3.5 5-2 2-3 6-4 L1
11 Phoenix Suns 5 6 .455 5.0 5-3 0-3 5-5 W2
12 New Orleans Pelicans 4 8 .333 6.5 3-4 1-4 4-6 L4
13 LA Clippers 2 8 .200 7.5 2-3 0-5 2-8 L1
14 Sacramento Kings 1 10 .091 9.0 0-6 1-4 1-9 L4
15 Utah Jazz 1 11 .083 9.5 1-6 0-5 0-10 L10

Solid cut lines mark Top 6 (direct Play-offs) and Top 10 (Play-in Tournament).

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