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NBA · Regular season

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Dallas Mavericks: Preview and Stats

Cleveland Cavaliers 6-6
vs
Dallas Mavericks 7-5
Rocket Arena, Cleveland

Our picks

Our picks for Cleveland Cavaliers vs Dallas Mavericks come out after the official NBA injury report, at most 48 hours before tip-off, and at the latest (3 hours before tip-off).

We are waiting for the result of a team's previous game.

Our NBA model track record for this matchup

Our winner picks on these teams

  • Cleveland Cavaliers 7 of 12 right (58%)
  • Dallas Mavericks 8 of 12 right (67%)

Settled NBA winner picks since 22 Oct 2026.

Game details

Stage
NBA, Regular season
Tip-off
Arena
Rocket Arena
City
Cleveland
Since last match
Cleveland Cavaliers: Miami Heat Dallas Mavericks: Minnesota Timberwolves (133‑94)
Next match
Cleveland Cavaliers: Chicago Bulls Dallas Mavericks: Boston Celtics

Missing production & availability impact

Share of last 10 games' offensive creation (PTS + AST) and minutes sidelined.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Dallas Mavericks

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Official NBA injury report

Cleveland Cavaliers

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Dallas Mavericks

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Expected 8-man core rotation

Projected starters and key bench from recent usage and the official injury report.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Projected Starters
  • G James Harden
    32.5 MPG 17.2 PPG 4.4 RPG 5.5 APG
  • G Donovan Mitchell
    32.4 MPG 22.0 PPG 4.5 RPG 5.9 APG
  • C Evan Mobley
    31.6 MPG 16.5 PPG 7.0 RPG 3.7 APG
  • G Peyton Watson
    27.1 MPG 11.4 PPG 5.2 RPG 2.8 APG
  • C Jarrett Allen
    24.6 MPG 11.8 PPG 8.5 RPG 1.8 APG
Key Bench
  • G Meleek Thomas
    22.9 MPG 13.1 PPG 2.8 RPG 1.2 APG
  • G Sam Merrill
    23.3 MPG 8.1 PPG 3.4 RPG 1.7 APG
  • G-F Mario Hezonja
    18.9 MPG 7.5 PPG 5.7 RPG 1.5 APG

Dallas Mavericks

Projected Starters
  • F Cooper Flagg
    35.4 MPG 25.0 PPG 7.3 RPG 7.1 APG
  • F P.J. Washington
    32.4 MPG 14.1 PPG 7.0 RPG 1.1 APG
  • G Kyrie Irving
    31.6 MPG 22.1 PPG 3.4 RPG 4.8 APG
  • F Zaccharie Risacher
    23.3 MPG 8.5 PPG 4.8 RPG 1.5 APG
  • F-C Daniel Gafford
    22.2 MPG 10.3 PPG 5.8 RPG 1.7 APG
Key Bench
  • F Naji Marshall
    22.7 MPG 10.1 PPG 2.7 RPG 4.0 APG
  • G Walter Clayton Jr.
    18.7 MPG 7.7 PPG 3.2 RPG 3.8 APG
  • F Caleb Martin
    18.8 MPG 4.0 PPG 2.2 RPG 1.8 APG

OptimaGoal power & pace ratings

Full NBA power ratings

Neutral-court net point rating and 48-minute tempo rank across all 30 NBA franchises.

Cleveland Cavaliers

#11 of 30
Net rating +1.5 30d: -3.0
Pace: -1.5 (#15 of 30)

Dallas Mavericks

#17 of 30
Net rating -1.4 30d: +3.0
Pace: -0.2 (#5 of 30)

OptimaGoal tactical & efficiency profile (0–100)

Original 0–100 indices built from each team's last 10 played games before tip-off.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Net 58
Shot quality (TS%) 53
3PT volume & accuracy 66
Ball security & passing 70
Rebounding control 47
Defensive disruption 55

ORtg 115.3 · DRtg 112.4 · Net +2.9 · TS 58.2%

Dallas Mavericks

Net 54
Shot quality (TS%) 43
3PT volume & accuracy 42
Ball security & passing 28
Rebounding control 58
Defensive disruption 59

ORtg 110.0 · DRtg 108.6 · Net +1.4 · TS 56.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 6W actual vs 6.7W expected (12 GP)
Dallas Mavericks · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 7W actual vs 6.4W expected (12 GP)

Halftime splits & clutch profile

Game-state outcomes and half-by-half scoring share over the last 15 games.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Win rate when leading at HT 4/5 (80%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 2/10 (20%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 55.5 (49.3%) 2H: 57.2 (50.7%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 2-2 10+ pt margins: 3-5

Dallas Mavericks

Win rate when leading at HT 5/5 (100%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 2/9 (22%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 58.0 (50.2%) 2H: 57.6 (49.8%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 3-2 10+ pt margins: 5-5

Scoring environment and threshold hit counts across the last 10 games.

CLEDAL
Points scored / game 116.6 112.7
Points allowed / game 113.7 111.3
Average game total 230.3 224.0
Average 1st-half total 112.3 114.5
Possessions / 48 min 100.1 102.5
Games with 220+ pts 8/10 7/10
Games with 230+ pts 5/10 1/10
Games with 240+ pts 3/10 1/10
Scored 115+ pts 6/10 4/10

Schedule density & travel spot

Rest days, multi-game compression and current home/road stretch entering tip-off.

Cleveland Cavaliers

0 days (Back-to-back)
2 in 4 nights 3 in 6 nights Homestand · Game 1

Dallas Mavericks

1 day rest
2 in 4 nights 3 in 6 nights Road trip · Game 2

Primary offensive threats

Available rotation leaders by scoring and shot share over the last 10 games.

Cleveland Cavaliers

  • #1 Donovan Mitchell G 18.9% pts share
    22.0 PPG · 4.5 RPG · 5.9 APG · 2.8 3PM 17.8% FGA
  • #2 James Harden G 14.8% pts share
    17.2 PPG · 4.4 RPG · 5.5 APG · 2.8 3PM 14.0% FGA
  • #3 Evan Mobley C 14.2% pts share
    16.5 PPG · 7.0 RPG · 3.7 APG · 2.0 3PM 12.4% FGA

Dallas Mavericks

  • #1 Cooper Flagg F 22.2% pts share
    25.0 PPG · 7.3 RPG · 7.1 APG · 1.3 3PM 21.0% FGA
  • #2 Kyrie Irving G 19.6% pts share
    22.1 PPG · 3.4 RPG · 4.8 APG · 3.2 3PM 19.7% FGA
  • #3 Naji Marshall F 9.0% pts share
    10.1 PPG · 2.7 RPG · 4.0 APG · 0.9 3PM 9.4% FGA

Last five games

Cleveland Cavaliers

  • W 115-107 at New York Knicks (A) 12 Nov
  • L 112-124 at Charlotte Hornets (A) 10 Nov
  • L 97-109 vs New York Knicks (H) 8 Nov
  • W 119-95 vs Philadelphia 76ers (H) 7 Nov
  • L 116-124 at Oklahoma City Thunder (A) 5 Nov

Dallas Mavericks

  • L 94-133 at Minnesota Timberwolves (A) 13 Nov
  • W 125-122 vs Indiana Pacers (H) 10 Nov
  • W 130-93 vs Brooklyn Nets (H) 9 Nov
  • W 112-100 vs Utah Jazz (H) 7 Nov
  • L 111-112 at San Antonio Spurs (A) 5 Nov

Most recent first, all games of the season, overtime included.

Last 10 head-to-head meetings

CLE · 8W DAL · 2W
Avg total pts: 229.3 CLE avg: 120.1 DAL avg: 109.2 225+ pt games: 6/10 CLE at home: 3-2
  • 15 Mar 2026 CLE 120‑130 DAL
  • 13 Mar 2026 DAL 105‑138 CLE
  • 2 Feb 2025 CLE 144‑101 DAL
  • 3 Jan 2025 DAL 122‑134 CLE
  • 27 Feb 2024 CLE 121‑119 DAL
  • 27 Dec 2023 DAL 110‑113 CLE
  • 17 Dec 2022 CLE 100‑99 (OT) DAL
  • 14 Dec 2022 DAL 90‑105 CLE
  • 30 Mar 2022 CLE 112‑120 DAL
  • 29 Nov 2021 DAL 96‑114 CLE

Season profile comparison

CLEDAL
Record 6-6 7-5
At home 4-2 5-2
On the road 2-4 2-3
Conference 6 of 15, Eastern Conference 10 of 15, Western Conference
Streak – –
Days of rest 0 (second night of a back-to-back) 1
Our team rating #11 of 30 #18 of 30
Pace #15 of 30 #5 of 30

Inter-conference matchup — both conference tables shown with Play-off (#6) and Play-in (#10) cut lines.

Eastern Conference standings

Full NBA standings
# Team W L PCT GB Home Road L10 Streak
1 Boston Celtics 10 2 .833 – 5-0 5-2 9-1 W5
2 Philadelphia 76ers 10 3 .769 0.5 5-2 5-1 7-3 W1
3 Detroit Pistons 8 3 .727 1.5 3-2 5-1 7-3 W2
4 Atlanta Hawks 7 5 .583 3.0 3-3 4-2 5-5 L1
5 New York Knicks 6 5 .545 3.5 4-3 2-2 6-4 L1
6 Cleveland Cavaliers 6 6 .500 4.0 4-2 2-4 5-5 W1
7 Miami Heat 5 6 .455 4.5 1-3 4-3 5-5 W2
8 Toronto Raptors 5 7 .417 5.0 2-3 3-4 3-7 L3
9 Orlando Magic 4 7 .364 5.5 0-4 4-3 4-6 W2
10 Charlotte Hornets 4 8 .333 6.0 3-4 1-4 3-7 L1
11 Indiana Pacers 4 8 .333 6.0 1-4 3-4 3-7 W1
12 Washington Wizards 4 9 .308 6.5 2-3 2-6 2-8 L6
13 Brooklyn Nets 3 8 .273 6.5 1-3 2-5 3-7 W1
14 Chicago Bulls 1 9 .100 8.0 0-4 1-5 1-9 L8
15 Milwaukee Bucks 1 11 .083 9.0 1-6 0-5 1-9 L8

Solid cut lines mark Top 6 (direct Play-offs) and Top 10 (Play-in Tournament).

Western Conference standings

Full NBA standings
# Team W L PCT GB Home Road L10 Streak
1 Los Angeles Lakers 11 2 .846 – 5-1 6-1 8-2 W7
2 San Antonio Spurs 10 2 .833 0.5 4-2 6-0 10-0 W10
3 Houston Rockets 9 3 .750 1.5 6-1 3-2 7-3 W2
4 Minnesota Timberwolves 9 3 .750 1.5 5-1 4-2 7-3 W5
5 Portland Trail Blazers 8 3 .727 2.0 3-2 5-1 7-3 W2
6 Golden State Warriors 8 4 .667 2.5 6-1 2-3 8-2 L1
7 Oklahoma City Thunder 8 4 .667 2.5 5-0 3-4 6-4 L2
8 Memphis Grizzlies 7 4 .636 3.0 2-4 5-0 6-4 L1
9 Denver Nuggets 6 4 .600 3.5 3-2 3-2 6-4 W1
10 Dallas Mavericks 7 5 .583 3.5 5-2 2-3 6-4 L1
11 Phoenix Suns 5 6 .455 5.0 5-3 0-3 5-5 W2
12 New Orleans Pelicans 4 8 .333 6.5 3-4 1-4 4-6 L4
13 LA Clippers 2 8 .200 7.5 2-3 0-5 2-8 L1
14 Sacramento Kings 1 10 .091 9.0 0-6 1-4 1-9 L4
15 Utah Jazz 1 11 .083 9.5 1-6 0-5 0-10 L10

Solid cut lines mark Top 6 (direct Play-offs) and Top 10 (Play-in Tournament).

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