OptimaGoal
EN
NBA · Regular season

Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks: Preview and Stats

Boston Celtics 10-2
vs
Dallas Mavericks 7-5
TD Garden, Boston

Our picks

Our picks for Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks come out after the official NBA injury report, at most 48 hours before tip-off, and at the latest (3 hours before tip-off).

We are waiting for the result of a team's previous game.

Our NBA model track record for this matchup

Our winner picks on these teams

  • Boston Celtics 12 of 12 right (100%)
  • Dallas Mavericks 8 of 12 right (67%)

Settled NBA winner picks since 20 Oct 2026.

Game details

Stage
NBA, Regular season
Tip-off
Arena
TD Garden
City
Boston
Since last match
Boston Celtics: Toronto Raptors (93‑98) Dallas Mavericks: Cleveland Cavaliers
Next match
Boston Celtics: Orlando Magic Dallas Mavericks: Golden State Warriors

Missing production & availability impact

Share of last 10 games' offensive creation (PTS + AST) and minutes sidelined.

Boston Celtics

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Dallas Mavericks

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Official NBA injury report

Boston Celtics

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Dallas Mavericks

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Expected 8-man core rotation

Projected starters and key bench from recent usage and the official injury report.

Boston Celtics

Projected Starters
  • G-F Jayson Tatum
    33.2 MPG 26.7 PPG 6.0 RPG 7.1 APG
  • G Derrick White
    28.9 MPG 12.4 PPG 3.0 RPG 4.9 APG
  • F Paul George
    29.5 MPG 20.9 PPG 5.0 RPG 4.1 APG
  • G Payton Pritchard
    26.9 MPG 13.9 PPG 3.5 RPG 3.9 APG
  • C Neemias Queta
    22.6 MPG 9.2 PPG 7.0 RPG 1.9 APG
Key Bench
  • G Baylor Scheierman
    21.9 MPG 6.3 PPG 4.5 RPG 1.7 APG
  • G Devin Carter
    28.7 MPG 14.0 PPG 0.0 RPG 0.0 APG
  • F Sam Hauser
    21.1 MPG 8.0 PPG 3.6 RPG 1.0 APG

Dallas Mavericks

Projected Starters
  • F Cooper Flagg
    35.4 MPG 25.0 PPG 7.3 RPG 7.1 APG
  • F P.J. Washington
    32.4 MPG 14.1 PPG 7.0 RPG 1.1 APG
  • G Kyrie Irving
    31.6 MPG 22.1 PPG 3.4 RPG 4.8 APG
  • F Zaccharie Risacher
    23.3 MPG 8.5 PPG 4.8 RPG 1.5 APG
  • F-C Daniel Gafford
    22.2 MPG 10.3 PPG 5.8 RPG 1.7 APG
Key Bench
  • F Naji Marshall
    22.7 MPG 10.1 PPG 2.7 RPG 4.0 APG
  • G Walter Clayton Jr.
    18.7 MPG 7.7 PPG 3.2 RPG 3.8 APG
  • F Caleb Martin
    18.8 MPG 4.0 PPG 2.2 RPG 1.8 APG

OptimaGoal power & pace ratings

Full NBA power ratings

Neutral-court net point rating and 48-minute tempo rank across all 30 NBA franchises.

Boston Celtics

#1 of 30
Net rating +7.8 30d: -0.1
Pace: -3.9 (#29 of 30)

Dallas Mavericks

#17 of 30
Net rating -1.4 30d: +3.0
Pace: -0.2 (#5 of 30)

OptimaGoal tactical & efficiency profile (0–100)

Original 0–100 indices built from each team's last 10 played games before tip-off.

Boston Celtics

Net 89
Shot quality (TS%) 56
3PT volume & accuracy 70
Ball security & passing 35
Rebounding control 58
Defensive disruption 72

ORtg 116.0 · DRtg 102.1 · Net +13.9 · TS 58.7%

Dallas Mavericks

Net 54
Shot quality (TS%) 43
3PT volume & accuracy 42
Ball security & passing 28
Rebounding control 58
Defensive disruption 59

ORtg 110.0 · DRtg 108.6 · Net +1.4 · TS 56.8%

Boston Celtics · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 10W actual vs 9.7W expected (12 GP)
Dallas Mavericks · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 7W actual vs 6.4W expected (12 GP)

Halftime splits & clutch profile

Game-state outcomes and half-by-half scoring share over the last 15 games.

Boston Celtics

Win rate when leading at HT 8/10 (80%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 2/5 (40%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 58.3 (52.7%) 2H: 52.4 (47.3%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 3-0 10+ pt margins: 6-3

Dallas Mavericks

Win rate when leading at HT 5/5 (100%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 2/9 (22%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 58.0 (50.2%) 2H: 57.6 (49.8%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 3-2 10+ pt margins: 5-5

Scoring environment and threshold hit counts across the last 10 games.

BOSDAL
Points scored / game 115.1 112.7
Points allowed / game 101.3 111.3
Average game total 216.4 224.0
Average 1st-half total 111.9 114.5
Possessions / 48 min 98.2 102.5
Games with 220+ pts 4/10 7/10
Games with 230+ pts 3/10 1/10
Games with 240+ pts 1/10 1/10
Scored 115+ pts 6/10 4/10

Schedule density & travel spot

Rest days, multi-game compression and current home/road stretch entering tip-off.

Boston Celtics

3 days rest
1 in 4 nights 3 in 6 nights Homestand · Game 1

Dallas Mavericks

0 days (Back-to-back)
2 in 4 nights 2 in 6 nights Road trip · Game 2

Primary offensive threats

Available rotation leaders by scoring and shot share over the last 10 games.

Boston Celtics

  • #1 Jayson Tatum G-F 23.2% pts share
    26.7 PPG · 6.0 RPG · 7.1 APG · 2.6 3PM 20.9% FGA
  • #2 Paul George F 18.2% pts share
    20.9 PPG · 5.0 RPG · 4.1 APG · 3.4 3PM 18.4% FGA
  • #3 Derrick White G 10.8% pts share
    12.4 PPG · 3.0 RPG · 4.9 APG · 1.6 3PM 11.9% FGA

Dallas Mavericks

  • #1 Cooper Flagg F 22.2% pts share
    25.0 PPG · 7.3 RPG · 7.1 APG · 1.3 3PM 21.0% FGA
  • #2 Kyrie Irving G 19.6% pts share
    22.1 PPG · 3.4 RPG · 4.8 APG · 3.2 3PM 19.7% FGA
  • #3 Naji Marshall F 9.0% pts share
    10.1 PPG · 2.7 RPG · 4.0 APG · 0.9 3PM 9.4% FGA

Last five games

Boston Celtics

  • W 98-93 at Toronto Raptors (A) 12 Nov
  • W 123-101 at Philadelphia 76ers (A) 11 Nov
  • W 117-97 at Milwaukee Bucks (A) 9 Nov
  • W 119-80 at Charlotte Hornets (A) 7 Nov
  • W 109-102 vs Milwaukee Bucks (H) 5 Nov

Dallas Mavericks

  • L 94-133 at Minnesota Timberwolves (A) 13 Nov
  • W 125-122 vs Indiana Pacers (H) 10 Nov
  • W 130-93 vs Brooklyn Nets (H) 9 Nov
  • W 112-100 vs Utah Jazz (H) 7 Nov
  • L 111-112 at San Antonio Spurs (A) 5 Nov

Most recent first, all games of the season, overtime included.

Last 10 head-to-head meetings

BOS · 8W DAL · 2W
Avg total pts: 215.8 BOS avg: 111.8 DAL avg: 104.0 225+ pt games: 3/10 BOS at home: 5-1
  • 6 Mar 2026 BOS 120‑100 DAL
  • 3 Feb 2026 DAL 100‑110 BOS
  • 6 Feb 2025 BOS 120‑127 DAL
  • 25 Jan 2025 DAL 107‑122 BOS
  • 17 Jun 2024 BOS 106‑88 DAL
  • 14 Jun 2024 DAL 122‑84 BOS
  • 12 Jun 2024 DAL 99‑106 BOS
  • 9 Jun 2024 BOS 105‑98 DAL
  • 6 Jun 2024 BOS 107‑89 DAL
  • 1 Mar 2024 BOS 138‑110 DAL

Season profile comparison

BOSDAL
Record 10-2 7-5
At home 5-0 5-2
On the road 5-2 2-3
Conference 1 of 15, Eastern Conference 10 of 15, Western Conference
Streak Won 5 in a row –
Days of rest 3 0 (second night of a back-to-back)
Our team rating #1 of 30 #18 of 30
Pace #29 of 30 #5 of 30

Inter-conference matchup — both conference tables shown with Play-off (#6) and Play-in (#10) cut lines.

Eastern Conference standings

Full NBA standings
# Team W L PCT GB Home Road L10 Streak
1 Boston Celtics 10 2 .833 – 5-0 5-2 9-1 W5
2 Philadelphia 76ers 10 3 .769 0.5 5-2 5-1 7-3 W1
3 Detroit Pistons 8 3 .727 1.5 3-2 5-1 7-3 W2
4 Atlanta Hawks 7 5 .583 3.0 3-3 4-2 5-5 L1
5 New York Knicks 6 5 .545 3.5 4-3 2-2 6-4 L1
6 Cleveland Cavaliers 6 6 .500 4.0 4-2 2-4 5-5 W1
7 Miami Heat 5 6 .455 4.5 1-3 4-3 5-5 W2
8 Toronto Raptors 5 7 .417 5.0 2-3 3-4 3-7 L3
9 Orlando Magic 4 7 .364 5.5 0-4 4-3 4-6 W2
10 Charlotte Hornets 4 8 .333 6.0 3-4 1-4 3-7 L1
11 Indiana Pacers 4 8 .333 6.0 1-4 3-4 3-7 W1
12 Washington Wizards 4 9 .308 6.5 2-3 2-6 2-8 L6
13 Brooklyn Nets 3 8 .273 6.5 1-3 2-5 3-7 W1
14 Chicago Bulls 1 9 .100 8.0 0-4 1-5 1-9 L8
15 Milwaukee Bucks 1 11 .083 9.0 1-6 0-5 1-9 L8

Solid cut lines mark Top 6 (direct Play-offs) and Top 10 (Play-in Tournament).

Western Conference standings

Full NBA standings
# Team W L PCT GB Home Road L10 Streak
1 Los Angeles Lakers 11 2 .846 – 5-1 6-1 8-2 W7
2 San Antonio Spurs 10 2 .833 0.5 4-2 6-0 10-0 W10
3 Houston Rockets 9 3 .750 1.5 6-1 3-2 7-3 W2
4 Minnesota Timberwolves 9 3 .750 1.5 5-1 4-2 7-3 W5
5 Portland Trail Blazers 8 3 .727 2.0 3-2 5-1 7-3 W2
6 Golden State Warriors 8 4 .667 2.5 6-1 2-3 8-2 L1
7 Oklahoma City Thunder 8 4 .667 2.5 5-0 3-4 6-4 L2
8 Memphis Grizzlies 7 4 .636 3.0 2-4 5-0 6-4 L1
9 Denver Nuggets 6 4 .600 3.5 3-2 3-2 6-4 W1
10 Dallas Mavericks 7 5 .583 3.5 5-2 2-3 6-4 L1
11 Phoenix Suns 5 6 .455 5.0 5-3 0-3 5-5 W2
12 New Orleans Pelicans 4 8 .333 6.5 3-4 1-4 4-6 L4
13 LA Clippers 2 8 .200 7.5 2-3 0-5 2-8 L1
14 Sacramento Kings 1 10 .091 9.0 0-6 1-4 1-9 L4
15 Utah Jazz 1 11 .083 9.5 1-6 0-5 0-10 L10

Solid cut lines mark Top 6 (direct Play-offs) and Top 10 (Play-in Tournament).

More NBA games

Games

Times are UTC.