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NBA · Regular season, NBA Cup game

Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs: Preview and Stats

Portland Trail Blazers 8-3
vs
San Antonio Spurs 10-2
Moda Center, Portland

Our picks

Our picks for Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs come out after the official NBA injury report, at most 48 hours before tip-off, and at the latest (3 hours before tip-off).

We are waiting for the result of a team's previous game.

Our NBA model track record for this matchup

Our winner picks on these teams

  • Portland Trail Blazers 9 of 11 right (82%)
  • San Antonio Spurs 10 of 12 right (83%)

Settled NBA winner picks since 21 Oct 2026.

Game details

Stage
NBA, Regular season, NBA Cup game
Tip-off
Arena
Moda Center
City
Portland
Since last match
Portland Trail Blazers: Philadelphia 76ers San Antonio Spurs: Sacramento Kings

Missing production & availability impact

Share of last 10 games' offensive creation (PTS + AST) and minutes sidelined.

Portland Trail Blazers

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

San Antonio Spurs

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Official NBA injury report

Portland Trail Blazers

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

San Antonio Spurs

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Expected 8-man core rotation

Projected starters and key bench from recent usage and the official injury report.

Portland Trail Blazers

Projected Starters
  • F Deni Avdija
    33.5 MPG 23.5 PPG 5.7 RPG 6.7 APG
  • G Damian Lillard
    29.7 MPG 19.3 PPG 3.2 RPG 4.0 APG
  • F Toumani Camara
    29.0 MPG 12.6 PPG 3.6 RPG 1.3 APG
  • G Jrue Holiday
    26.7 MPG 13.9 PPG 3.2 RPG 4.2 APG
  • C Donovan Clingan
    25.8 MPG 10.8 PPG 10.8 RPG 1.5 APG
Key Bench
  • G Sidy Cissoko
    22.7 MPG 8.8 PPG 3.5 RPG 1.9 APG
  • G Scoot Henderson
    22.5 MPG 7.7 PPG 2.1 RPG 1.6 APG
  • F-C Robert Williams III
    16.5 MPG 8.2 PPG 6.1 RPG 0.9 APG

San Antonio Spurs

Projected Starters
  • G Dylan Harper
    31.5 MPG 17.8 PPG 5.5 RPG 5.1 APG
  • F-C Victor Wembanyama
    29.4 MPG 32.6 PPG 11.4 RPG 2.9 APG
  • G De'Aaron Fox
    29.1 MPG 13.7 PPG 4.1 RPG 5.8 APG
  • G Stephon Castle
    28.7 MPG 12.9 PPG 5.3 RPG 5.4 APG
  • G-F Devin Vassell
    29.6 MPG 12.8 PPG 3.9 RPG 3.5 APG
Key Bench
  • F Julian Champagnie
    25.9 MPG 10.9 PPG 4.1 RPG 1.6 APG
  • F Tobias Harris
    34.3 MPG 17.7 PPG 0.0 RPG 0.0 APG
  • G-F Keldon Johnson
    24.9 MPG 7.8 PPG 5.8 RPG 2.5 APG

OptimaGoal power & pace ratings

Full NBA power ratings

Neutral-court net point rating and 48-minute tempo rank across all 30 NBA franchises.

Portland Trail Blazers

#12 of 30
Net rating +1.5 30d: -0.2
Pace: -0.5 (#7 of 30)

San Antonio Spurs

#3 of 30
Net rating +6.9 30d: -1.1
Pace: -2.7 (#27 of 30)

OptimaGoal tactical & efficiency profile (0–100)

Original 0–100 indices built from each team's last 10 played games before tip-off.

Portland Trail Blazers

Net 61
Shot quality (TS%) 68
3PT volume & accuracy 66
Ball security & passing 26
Rebounding control 52
Defensive disruption 57

ORtg 116.0 · DRtg 112.2 · Net +3.8 · TS 60.4%

San Antonio Spurs

Net 91
Shot quality (TS%) 54
3PT volume & accuracy 47
Ball security & passing 72
Rebounding control 66
Defensive disruption 76

ORtg 119.5 · DRtg 104.8 · Net +14.7 · TS 58.4%

Portland Trail Blazers · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 8W actual vs 7.8W expected (11 GP)
San Antonio Spurs · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 10W actual vs 9.6W expected (12 GP)

Halftime splits & clutch profile

Game-state outcomes and half-by-half scoring share over the last 15 games.

Portland Trail Blazers

Win rate when leading at HT 4/7 (57%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 3/5 (60%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 59.7 (52.1%) 2H: 54.8 (47.9%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 1-0 10+ pt margins: 5-5

San Antonio Spurs

Win rate when leading at HT 7/9 (78%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 4/6 (67%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 61.3 (52.8%) 2H: 54.7 (47.2%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 4-3 10+ pt margins: 7-1

Scoring environment and threshold hit counts across the last 10 games.

PORSAS
Points scored / game 119.1 121.6
Points allowed / game 115.2 106.6
Average game total 234.3 228.2
Average 1st-half total 118.6 119.3
Possessions / 48 min 102.7 100.7
Games with 220+ pts 9/10 8/10
Games with 230+ pts 4/10 4/10
Games with 240+ pts 4/10 1/10
Scored 115+ pts 7/10 9/10

Schedule density & travel spot

Rest days, multi-game compression and current home/road stretch entering tip-off.

Portland Trail Blazers

1 day rest
1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Homestand · Game 4

San Antonio Spurs

1 day rest
1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Road trip · Game 5

Primary offensive threats

Available rotation leaders by scoring and shot share over the last 10 games.

Portland Trail Blazers

  • #1 Deni Avdija F 19.7% pts share
    23.5 PPG · 5.7 RPG · 6.7 APG · 1.9 3PM 18.6% FGA
  • #2 Damian Lillard G 16.2% pts share
    19.3 PPG · 3.2 RPG · 4.0 APG · 2.5 3PM 16.3% FGA
  • #3 Jrue Holiday G 11.7% pts share
    13.9 PPG · 3.2 RPG · 4.2 APG · 2.8 3PM 10.7% FGA

San Antonio Spurs

  • #1 Victor Wembanyama F-C 26.8% pts share
    32.6 PPG · 11.4 RPG · 2.9 APG · 2.1 3PM 22.7% FGA
  • #2 Dylan Harper G 14.6% pts share
    17.8 PPG · 5.5 RPG · 5.1 APG · 1.3 3PM 14.7% FGA
  • #3 De'Aaron Fox G 11.3% pts share
    13.7 PPG · 4.1 RPG · 5.8 APG · 1.1 3PM 9.9% FGA

Last five games

Portland Trail Blazers

  • W 118-108 vs Oklahoma City Thunder (H) 12 Nov
  • W 123-103 vs Oklahoma City Thunder (H) 11 Nov
  • L 103-125 vs San Antonio Spurs (H) 8 Nov
  • L 118-124 at Los Angeles Lakers (A) 7 Nov
  • W 132-119 at Phoenix Suns (A) 5 Nov

San Antonio Spurs

  • W 124-119 at Chicago Bulls (A) 12 Nov
  • W 122-96 at Phoenix Suns (A) 10 Nov
  • W 125-103 at Portland Trail Blazers (A) 8 Nov
  • W 124-109 at Sacramento Kings (A) 7 Nov
  • W 112-111 vs Dallas Mavericks (H) 5 Nov

Most recent first, all games of the season, overtime included.

Last 10 head-to-head meetings

POR · 3W SAS · 7W
Avg total pts: 217.4 POR avg: 104.1 SAS avg: 113.3 225+ pt games: 4/10 POR at home: 1-4
  • 7 Nov 2026 POR 103‑125 SAS
  • 28 Apr 2026 SAS 114‑95 POR
  • 26 Apr 2026 POR 93‑114 SAS
  • 24 Apr 2026 POR 108‑120 SAS
  • 21 Apr 2026 SAS 103‑106 POR
  • 19 Apr 2026 SAS 111‑98 POR
  • 8 Apr 2026 SAS 112‑101 POR
  • 3 Jan 2026 SAS 110‑115 POR
  • 26 Nov 2025 POR 102‑115 SAS
  • 6 Apr 2025 POR 120‑109 SAS

Season profile comparison

PORSAS
Record 8-3 10-2
At home 3-2 4-2
On the road 5-1 6-0
Conference 5 of 15, Western Conference 2 of 15, Western Conference
Streak Won 2 in a row Won 5 in a row
Days of rest 1 1
Our team rating #12 of 30 #3 of 30
Pace #7 of 30 #27 of 30

Western Conference standings

Full NBA standings
# Team W L PCT GB Home Road L10 Streak
1 Los Angeles Lakers 11 2 .846 – 5-1 6-1 8-2 W7
2 San Antonio Spurs 10 2 .833 0.5 4-2 6-0 10-0 W10
3 Houston Rockets 9 3 .750 1.5 6-1 3-2 7-3 W2
4 Minnesota Timberwolves 9 3 .750 1.5 5-1 4-2 7-3 W5
5 Portland Trail Blazers 8 3 .727 2.0 3-2 5-1 7-3 W2
6 Golden State Warriors 8 4 .667 2.5 6-1 2-3 8-2 L1
7 Oklahoma City Thunder 8 4 .667 2.5 5-0 3-4 6-4 L2
8 Memphis Grizzlies 7 4 .636 3.0 2-4 5-0 6-4 L1
9 Denver Nuggets 6 4 .600 3.5 3-2 3-2 6-4 W1
10 Dallas Mavericks 7 5 .583 3.5 5-2 2-3 6-4 L1
11 Phoenix Suns 5 6 .455 5.0 5-3 0-3 5-5 W2
12 New Orleans Pelicans 4 8 .333 6.5 3-4 1-4 4-6 L4
13 LA Clippers 2 8 .200 7.5 2-3 0-5 2-8 L1
14 Sacramento Kings 1 10 .091 9.0 0-6 1-4 1-9 L4
15 Utah Jazz 1 11 .083 9.5 1-6 0-5 0-10 L10

Solid cut lines mark Top 6 (direct Play-offs) and Top 10 (Play-in Tournament).

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