NBA · Regular season, NBA Cup game

Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings: Preview and Stats

Thursday 26 November 2026, 03:00 UTC Chase Center, San Francisco

Our picks

Our picks for Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings come out after the official NBA injury report, at most 48 hours before tip-off, and at the latest Thursday 26 November 2026, 00:00 UTC (3 hours before tip-off).

We are waiting for the result of a team's previous game.

Our NBA model track record for this matchup

Our winner picks on these teams

Golden State Warriors 9 of 12 right (75%)
Sacramento Kings 9 of 11 right (82%)

Settled NBA winner picks since 22 Oct 2026.

Game details

Stage: NBA, Regular season, NBA Cup game
Tip-off: Thursday 26 November 2026, 03:00 UTC
Arena: Chase Center
City: San Francisco
Since last match: Golden State Warriors: Boston Celtics Sacramento Kings: San Antonio Spurs

Missing production & availability impact

Share of last 10 games' offensive creation (PTS + AST) and minutes sidelined.

Golden State Warriors

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Sacramento Kings

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Official NBA injury report

Golden State Warriors

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Sacramento Kings

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Expected 8-man core rotation

Projected starters and key bench from recent usage and the official injury report.

Golden State Warriors

Projected Starters

G Brandin Podziemski

33.6 MPG 17.2 PPG 5.4 RPG 4.3 APG
F Yaxel Lendeborg

31.9 MPG 23.0 PPG 7.3 RPG 3.6 APG
F-C Draymond Green

27.1 MPG 3.1 PPG 5.0 RPG 7.6 APG
G Stephen Curry

26.8 MPG 28.9 PPG 4.1 RPG 4.2 APG
G Moses Moody

31.1 MPG 17.4 PPG 0.0 RPG 0.0 APG

Key Bench

G De'Anthony Melton

22.8 MPG 11.1 PPG 4.8 RPG 2.6 APG
F Jimmy Butler III

29.7 MPG 21.0 PPG 0.0 RPG 0.0 APG
F Georges Niang

21.1 MPG 8.5 PPG 3.2 RPG 1.6 APG

Sacramento Kings

Projected Starters

G Darius Acuff Jr.

37.5 MPG 27.6 PPG 3.9 RPG 7.7 APG
F-C Domantas Sabonis

34.4 MPG 13.8 PPG 12.8 RPG 5.7 APG
G Zach LaVine

32.6 MPG 21.7 PPG 3.2 RPG 2.4 APG
G-F De'Andre Hunter

32.8 MPG 14.1 PPG 4.7 RPG 1.3 APG
F Precious Achiuwa

26.1 MPG 9.9 PPG 6.5 RPG 1.0 APG

Key Bench

C Maxime Raynaud

31.8 MPG 16.3 PPG 0.0 RPG 0.0 APG
F Keegan Murray

24.3 MPG 11.0 PPG 1.7 RPG 1.3 APG
G Emanuel Sharp

18.2 MPG 4.3 PPG 1.5 RPG 0.7 APG

OptimaGoal power & pace ratings

Full NBA power ratings

Neutral-court net point rating and 48-minute tempo rank across all 30 NBA franchises.

Golden State Warriors

#10 of 30

Net rating +2.0 30d: +5.0

Pace: -2.3 (#24 of 30)

Sacramento Kings

#28 of 30

Net rating -5.6 30d: +1.4

Pace: -0.4 (#6 of 30)

OptimaGoal tactical & efficiency profile (0–100)

Original 0–100 indices built from each team's last 10 played games before tip-off.

Golden State Warriors

Net 83

Shot quality (TS%) 82

3PT volume & accuracy 85

Ball security & passing 33

Rebounding control 60

Defensive disruption 61

ORtg 119.3 · DRtg 107.7 · Net +11.6 · TS 62.4%

Sacramento Kings

Net 19

Shot quality (TS%) 44

3PT volume & accuracy 50

Ball security & passing 16

Rebounding control 43

Defensive disruption 31

ORtg 106.1 · DRtg 117.2 · Net -11.1 · TS 57.0%

Golden State Warriors · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 8W actual vs 8.6W expected (12 GP)

Sacramento Kings · Record vs point differential Stronger profile than W-L (bounce candidate) 1W actual vs 1.9W expected (11 GP)

Halftime splits & clutch profile

Game-state outcomes and half-by-half scoring share over the last 15 games.

Golden State Warriors

Win rate when leading at HT 5/5 (100%)

Comeback wins when trailing at HT 2/8 (25%)

Scoring split (1H vs 2H)

1H: 55.5 (47.2%) 2H: 62.1 (52.8%)

Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 4-2 10+ pt margins: 5-2

Sacramento Kings

Win rate when leading at HT 2/3 (67%)

Comeback wins when trailing at HT 0/12 (0%)

Scoring split (1H vs 2H)

1H: 56.9 (52.1%) 2H: 52.3 (47.9%)

Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 0-1 10+ pt margins: 1-9

Pace & total-points trends

Scoring environment and threshold hit counts across the last 10 games.

GSW

SAC

Points scored / game 121.9 109.5

Points allowed / game 110.0 121.0

Average game total 231.9 230.5

Average 1st-half total 109.9 121.7

Possessions / 48 min 101.1 103.2

Games with 220+ pts 9/10 7/10

Games with 230+ pts 5/10 6/10

Games with 240+ pts 3/10 3/10

Scored 115+ pts 8/10 3/10

Schedule density & travel spot

Rest days, multi-game compression and current home/road stretch entering tip-off.

Golden State Warriors

2 days rest

1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Homestand · Game 1

Sacramento Kings

1 day rest

1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Road trip · Game 1

Primary offensive threats

Available rotation leaders by scoring and shot share over the last 10 games.

Golden State Warriors

#1 Stephen Curry G 23.7% pts share

28.9 PPG · 4.1 RPG · 4.2 APG · 4.8 3PM 18.8% FGA
#2 Yaxel Lendeborg F 18.9% pts share

23.0 PPG · 7.3 RPG · 3.6 APG · 2.7 3PM 17.1% FGA
#3 Brandin Podziemski G 14.1% pts share

17.2 PPG · 5.4 RPG · 4.3 APG · 3.0 3PM 14.4% FGA

Sacramento Kings

#1 Darius Acuff Jr. G 25.2% pts share

27.6 PPG · 3.9 RPG · 7.7 APG · 3.4 3PM 26.3% FGA
#2 Zach LaVine G 19.8% pts share

21.7 PPG · 3.2 RPG · 2.4 APG · 2.8 3PM 16.4% FGA
#3 Domantas Sabonis F-C 12.6% pts share

13.8 PPG · 12.8 RPG · 5.7 APG · 0.2 3PM 10.0% FGA

Last five games

Golden State Warriors

L 108-115 at Houston Rockets (A) 12 Nov
W 138-87 vs New Orleans Pelicans (H) 10 Nov
W 126-119 vs Orlando Magic (H) 8 Nov
W 120-100 vs Miami Heat (H) 6 Nov
W 116-113 vs Phoenix Suns (H) 3 Nov

Sacramento Kings

L 100-107 vs Orlando Magic (H) 11 Nov
L 108-114 vs Miami Heat (H) 9 Nov
L 109-124 vs San Antonio Spurs (H) 7 Nov
L 103-116 vs Los Angeles Lakers (H) 5 Nov
W 115-100 at Dallas Mavericks (A) 3 Nov

Most recent first, all games of the season, overtime included.

Last 10 head-to-head meetings

GSW · 4W SAC · 6W

Avg total pts: 235.5 GSW avg: 118.6 SAC avg: 116.9 225+ pt games: 8/10 GSW at home: 3-2

10 Apr 2026 SAC 124‑118 GSW
7 Apr 2026 GSW 110‑105 SAC
9 Jan 2026 GSW 137‑103 SAC
5 Nov 2025 SAC 121‑116 GSW
13 Mar 2025 GSW 130‑104 SAC
21 Feb 2025 SAC 108‑132 GSW
22 Jan 2025 SAC 123‑117 GSW
5 Jan 2025 GSW 99‑129 SAC
16 Apr 2024 SAC 118‑94 GSW
25 Jan 2024 GSW 133‑134 SAC

Season profile comparison

GSW

SAC

Record 8-4 1-10

At home 6-1 0-6

On the road 2-3 1-4

Conference 6 of 15, Western Conference 14 of 15, Western Conference

Streak – Lost 4 in a row

Days of rest 2 1

Our team rating #10 of 30 #28 of 30

Pace #24 of 30 #6 of 30

Western Conference standings

Full NBA standings

#	Team	W	L	PCT	GB	Home	Road	L10	Streak
1	Los Angeles Lakers	11	2	.846	–	5-1	6-1	8-2	W7
2	San Antonio Spurs	10	2	.833	0.5	4-2	6-0	10-0	W10
3	Houston Rockets	9	3	.750	1.5	6-1	3-2	7-3	W2
4	Minnesota Timberwolves	9	3	.750	1.5	5-1	4-2	7-3	W5
5	Portland Trail Blazers	8	3	.727	2.0	3-2	5-1	7-3	W2
6	Golden State Warriors	8	4	.667	2.5	6-1	2-3	8-2	L1
7	Oklahoma City Thunder	8	4	.667	2.5	5-0	3-4	6-4	L2
8	Memphis Grizzlies	7	4	.636	3.0	2-4	5-0	6-4	L1
9	Denver Nuggets	6	4	.600	3.5	3-2	3-2	6-4	W1
10	Dallas Mavericks	7	5	.583	3.5	5-2	2-3	6-4	L1
11	Phoenix Suns	5	6	.455	5.0	5-3	0-3	5-5	W2
12	New Orleans Pelicans	4	8	.333	6.5	3-4	1-4	4-6	L4
13	LA Clippers	2	8	.200	7.5	2-3	0-5	2-8	L1
14	Sacramento Kings	1	10	.091	9.0	0-6	1-4	1-9	L4
15	Utah Jazz	1	11	.083	9.5	1-6	0-5	0-10	L10

Solid cut lines mark Top 6 (direct Play-offs) and Top 10 (Play-in Tournament).

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