OptimaGoal
Language: EN
NBA · Regular season

Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs: Preview and Stats

Golden 1 Center, Sacramento

Our picks

Our picks for Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs come out after the official NBA injury report, at most 48 hours before tip-off, and at the latest (3 hours before tip-off).

We are waiting for the result of a team's previous game.

Our NBA model track record for this matchup

Our winner picks on these teams

  • Sacramento Kings 9 of 11 right (82%)
  • San Antonio Spurs 10 of 12 right (83%)

Settled NBA winner picks since 21 Oct 2026.

Game details

Stage
NBA, Regular season
Tip-off
Arena
Golden 1 Center
City
Sacramento
Since last match
Sacramento Kings: Boston Celtics San Antonio Spurs: New Orleans Pelicans
Next match
Sacramento Kings: Golden State Warriors San Antonio Spurs: Portland Trail Blazers

Missing production & availability impact

Share of last 10 games' offensive creation (PTS + AST) and minutes sidelined.

Sacramento Kings

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

San Antonio Spurs

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Official NBA injury report

Sacramento Kings

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

San Antonio Spurs

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Expected 8-man core rotation

Projected starters and key bench from recent usage and the official injury report.

Sacramento Kings

Projected Starters
  • G Darius Acuff Jr.
    37.5 MPG 27.6 PPG 3.9 RPG 7.7 APG
  • F-C Domantas Sabonis
    34.4 MPG 13.8 PPG 12.8 RPG 5.7 APG
  • G Zach LaVine
    32.6 MPG 21.7 PPG 3.2 RPG 2.4 APG
  • G-F De'Andre Hunter
    32.8 MPG 14.1 PPG 4.7 RPG 1.3 APG
  • F Precious Achiuwa
    26.1 MPG 9.9 PPG 6.5 RPG 1.0 APG
Key Bench
  • C Maxime Raynaud
    31.8 MPG 16.3 PPG 0.0 RPG 0.0 APG
  • F Keegan Murray
    24.3 MPG 11.0 PPG 1.7 RPG 1.3 APG
  • G Emanuel Sharp
    18.2 MPG 4.3 PPG 1.5 RPG 0.7 APG

San Antonio Spurs

Projected Starters
  • G Dylan Harper
    31.5 MPG 17.8 PPG 5.5 RPG 5.1 APG
  • F-C Victor Wembanyama
    29.4 MPG 32.6 PPG 11.4 RPG 2.9 APG
  • G De'Aaron Fox
    29.1 MPG 13.7 PPG 4.1 RPG 5.8 APG
  • G Stephon Castle
    28.7 MPG 12.9 PPG 5.3 RPG 5.4 APG
  • G-F Devin Vassell
    29.6 MPG 12.8 PPG 3.9 RPG 3.5 APG
Key Bench
  • F Julian Champagnie
    25.9 MPG 10.9 PPG 4.1 RPG 1.6 APG
  • F Tobias Harris
    34.3 MPG 17.7 PPG 0.0 RPG 0.0 APG
  • G-F Keldon Johnson
    24.9 MPG 7.8 PPG 5.8 RPG 2.5 APG

OptimaGoal power & pace ratings

Full NBA power ratings

Neutral-court net point rating and 48-minute tempo rank across all 30 NBA franchises.

Sacramento Kings

#28 of 30
Net rating -5.6 30d: +1.4
Pace: -0.4 (#6 of 30)

San Antonio Spurs

#3 of 30
Net rating +6.9 30d: -1.1
Pace: -2.7 (#27 of 30)

OptimaGoal tactical & efficiency profile (0–100)

Original 0–100 indices built from each team's last 10 played games before tip-off.

Sacramento Kings

Net 19
Shot quality (TS%) 44
3PT volume & accuracy 50
Ball security & passing 16
Rebounding control 43
Defensive disruption 31

ORtg 106.1 · DRtg 117.2 · Net -11.1 · TS 57.0%

San Antonio Spurs

Net 91
Shot quality (TS%) 54
3PT volume & accuracy 47
Ball security & passing 72
Rebounding control 66
Defensive disruption 76

ORtg 119.5 · DRtg 104.8 · Net +14.7 · TS 58.4%

Sacramento Kings · Record vs point differential Stronger profile than W-L (bounce candidate) 1W actual vs 1.9W expected (11 GP)
San Antonio Spurs · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 10W actual vs 9.6W expected (12 GP)

Halftime splits & clutch profile

Game-state outcomes and half-by-half scoring share over the last 15 games.

Sacramento Kings

Win rate when leading at HT 2/3 (67%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 0/12 (0%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 56.9 (52.1%) 2H: 52.3 (47.9%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 0-1 10+ pt margins: 1-9

San Antonio Spurs

Win rate when leading at HT 7/9 (78%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 4/6 (67%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 61.3 (52.8%) 2H: 54.7 (47.2%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 4-3 10+ pt margins: 7-1

Scoring environment and threshold hit counts across the last 10 games.

SACSAS
Points scored / game 109.5 121.6
Points allowed / game 121.0 106.6
Average game total 230.5 228.2
Average 1st-half total 121.7 119.3
Possessions / 48 min 103.2 100.7
Games with 220+ pts 7/10 8/10
Games with 230+ pts 6/10 4/10
Games with 240+ pts 3/10 1/10
Scored 115+ pts 3/10 9/10

Schedule density & travel spot

Rest days, multi-game compression and current home/road stretch entering tip-off.

Sacramento Kings

1 day rest
1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Homestand · Game 5

San Antonio Spurs

1 day rest
1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Road trip · Game 5

Primary offensive threats

Available rotation leaders by scoring and shot share over the last 10 games.

Sacramento Kings

  • #1 Darius Acuff Jr. G 25.2% pts share
    27.6 PPG · 3.9 RPG · 7.7 APG · 3.4 3PM 26.3% FGA
  • #2 Zach LaVine G 19.8% pts share
    21.7 PPG · 3.2 RPG · 2.4 APG · 2.8 3PM 16.4% FGA
  • #3 Domantas Sabonis F-C 12.6% pts share
    13.8 PPG · 12.8 RPG · 5.7 APG · 0.2 3PM 10.0% FGA

San Antonio Spurs

  • #1 Victor Wembanyama F-C 26.8% pts share
    32.6 PPG · 11.4 RPG · 2.9 APG · 2.1 3PM 22.7% FGA
  • #2 Dylan Harper G 14.6% pts share
    17.8 PPG · 5.5 RPG · 5.1 APG · 1.3 3PM 14.7% FGA
  • #3 De'Aaron Fox G 11.3% pts share
    13.7 PPG · 4.1 RPG · 5.8 APG · 1.1 3PM 9.9% FGA

Last five games

Sacramento Kings

  • L 100-107 vs Orlando Magic (H) 11 Nov
  • L 108-114 vs Miami Heat (H) 9 Nov
  • L 109-124 vs San Antonio Spurs (H) 7 Nov
  • L 103-116 vs Los Angeles Lakers (H) 5 Nov
  • W 115-100 at Dallas Mavericks (A) 3 Nov

San Antonio Spurs

  • W 124-119 at Chicago Bulls (A) 12 Nov
  • W 122-96 at Phoenix Suns (A) 10 Nov
  • W 125-103 at Portland Trail Blazers (A) 8 Nov
  • W 124-109 at Sacramento Kings (A) 7 Nov
  • W 112-111 vs Dallas Mavericks (H) 5 Nov

Most recent first, all games of the season, overtime included.

Last 10 head-to-head meetings

SAC · 3W SAS · 7W
Avg total pts: 240.9 SAC avg: 116.7 SAS avg: 124.2 225+ pt games: 9/10 SAC at home: 2-3
  • 6 Nov 2026 SAC 109‑124 SAS
  • 27 Oct 2026 SAS 130‑103 SAC
  • 17 Mar 2026 SAC 104‑132 SAS
  • 21 Feb 2026 SAS 139‑122 SAC
  • 16 Nov 2025 SAS 123‑110 SAC
  • 7 Mar 2025 SAC 127‑109 SAS
  • 6 Dec 2024 SAS 113‑140 SAC
  • 1 Dec 2024 SAC 125‑127 SAS
  • 11 Nov 2024 SAS 116‑96 SAC
  • 7 Mar 2024 SAC 131‑129 SAS

Season profile comparison

SACSAS
Record 1-10 10-2
At home 0-6 4-2
On the road 1-4 6-0
Conference 14 of 15, Western Conference 2 of 15, Western Conference
Streak Lost 4 in a row Won 5 in a row
Days of rest 1 1
Our team rating #28 of 30 #3 of 30
Pace #6 of 30 #27 of 30

Western Conference standings

Full NBA standings
# Team W L PCT GB Home Road L10 Streak
1 Los Angeles Lakers 11 2 .846 – 5-1 6-1 8-2 W7
2 San Antonio Spurs 10 2 .833 0.5 4-2 6-0 10-0 W10
3 Houston Rockets 9 3 .750 1.5 6-1 3-2 7-3 W2
4 Minnesota Timberwolves 9 3 .750 1.5 5-1 4-2 7-3 W5
5 Portland Trail Blazers 8 3 .727 2.0 3-2 5-1 7-3 W2
6 Golden State Warriors 8 4 .667 2.5 6-1 2-3 8-2 L1
7 Oklahoma City Thunder 8 4 .667 2.5 5-0 3-4 6-4 L2
8 Memphis Grizzlies 7 4 .636 3.0 2-4 5-0 6-4 L1
9 Denver Nuggets 6 4 .600 3.5 3-2 3-2 6-4 W1
10 Dallas Mavericks 7 5 .583 3.5 5-2 2-3 6-4 L1
11 Phoenix Suns 5 6 .455 5.0 5-3 0-3 5-5 W2
12 New Orleans Pelicans 4 8 .333 6.5 3-4 1-4 4-6 L4
13 LA Clippers 2 8 .200 7.5 2-3 0-5 2-8 L1
14 Sacramento Kings 1 10 .091 9.0 0-6 1-4 1-9 L4
15 Utah Jazz 1 11 .083 9.5 1-6 0-5 0-10 L10

Solid cut lines mark Top 6 (direct Play-offs) and Top 10 (Play-in Tournament).

More NBA games

Games

Times are UTC.