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NBA · Regular season

Philadelphia 76ers vs Milwaukee Bucks: Preview and Stats

Philadelphia 76ers 10-3
vs
Milwaukee Bucks 1-11
Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia

Our picks

Our picks for Philadelphia 76ers vs Milwaukee Bucks come out after the official NBA injury report, at most 48 hours before tip-off, and at the latest (3 hours before tip-off).

We are waiting for the result of a team's previous game.

Our NBA model track record for this matchup

Our winner picks on these teams

  • Philadelphia 76ers 10 of 13 right (77%)
  • Milwaukee Bucks 10 of 12 right (83%)

Settled NBA winner picks since 20 Oct 2026.

Game details

Stage
NBA, Regular season
Tip-off
Arena
Xfinity Mobile Arena
City
Philadelphia
Since last match
Philadelphia 76ers: Orlando Magic Milwaukee Bucks: Portland Trail Blazers
Next match
Philadelphia 76ers: Portland Trail Blazers Milwaukee Bucks: Toronto Raptors

Missing production & availability impact

Share of last 10 games' offensive creation (PTS + AST) and minutes sidelined.

Philadelphia 76ers

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Milwaukee Bucks

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Official NBA injury report

Philadelphia 76ers

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Milwaukee Bucks

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Expected 8-man core rotation

Projected starters and key bench from recent usage and the official injury report.

Philadelphia 76ers

Projected Starters
  • G Tyrese Maxey
    35.3 MPG 26.1 PPG 3.3 RPG 5.7 APG
  • G-F Jaylen Brown
    34.8 MPG 20.8 PPG 6.6 RPG 3.2 APG
  • G VJ Edgecombe
    33.9 MPG 13.1 PPG 5.9 RPG 3.7 APG
  • F LeBron James
    32.2 MPG 15.0 PPG 6.6 RPG 6.6 APG
  • F-C Joel Embiid
    30.4 MPG 16.5 PPG 8.5 RPG 3.0 APG
Key Bench
  • F-C Dean Wade
    25.2 MPG 3.6 PPG 4.0 RPG 1.9 APG
  • G Anfernee Simons
    22.0 MPG 11.4 PPG 2.3 RPG 1.4 APG
  • G Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
    20.6 MPG 4.9 PPG 2.4 RPG 1.8 APG

Milwaukee Bucks

Projected Starters
  • G Tyler Herro
    30.9 MPG 20.3 PPG 4.6 RPG 4.1 APG
  • F Kyle Kuzma
    26.7 MPG 11.1 PPG 4.9 RPG 2.4 APG
  • G Jaime Jaquez Jr.
    26.6 MPG 15.2 PPG 5.0 RPG 2.6 APG
  • F-C Myles Turner
    26.2 MPG 5.7 PPG 5.9 RPG 2.9 APG
  • G Brayden Burries
    23.5 MPG 10.1 PPG 5.7 RPG 2.3 APG
Key Bench
  • G Ryan Rollins
    22.3 MPG 10.9 PPG 4.2 RPG 4.0 APG
  • G Cormac Ryan
    26.2 MPG 15.2 PPG 0.0 RPG 0.0 APG
  • G AJ Green
    18.5 MPG 6.1 PPG 1.9 RPG 1.5 APG

OptimaGoal power & pace ratings

Full NBA power ratings

Neutral-court net point rating and 48-minute tempo rank across all 30 NBA franchises.

Philadelphia 76ers

#8 of 30
Net rating +3.9 30d: -0.6
Pace: -0.8 (#10 of 30)

Milwaukee Bucks

#30 of 30
Net rating -8.1 30d: -2.7
Pace: -2.1 (#22 of 30)

OptimaGoal tactical & efficiency profile (0–100)

Original 0–100 indices built from each team's last 10 played games before tip-off.

Philadelphia 76ers

Net 49
Shot quality (TS%) 40
3PT volume & accuracy 42
Ball security & passing 58
Rebounding control 49
Defensive disruption 50

ORtg 110.3 · DRtg 110.5 · Net -0.2 · TS 56.4%

Milwaukee Bucks

Net 12
Shot quality (TS%) 21
3PT volume & accuracy 50
Ball security & passing 19
Rebounding control 38
Defensive disruption 45

ORtg 103.4 · DRtg 118.9 · Net -15.5 · TS 53.6%

Philadelphia 76ers · Record vs point differential Outperforming point differential (close-game luck) 10W actual vs 7.2W expected (13 GP)
Milwaukee Bucks · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 1W actual vs 1.7W expected (12 GP)

Halftime splits & clutch profile

Game-state outcomes and half-by-half scoring share over the last 15 games.

Philadelphia 76ers

Win rate when leading at HT 7/7 (100%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 2/7 (29%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 56.1 (50.9%) 2H: 54.1 (49.1%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 3-0 10+ pt margins: 3-5

Milwaukee Bucks

Win rate when leading at HT 1/5 (20%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 1/10 (10%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 51.4 (47.5%) 2H: 56.8 (52.5%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 0-0 10+ pt margins: 1-11

Scoring environment and threshold hit counts across the last 10 games.

PHIMIL
Points scored / game 109.8 104.0
Points allowed / game 110.0 119.6
Average game total 219.8 223.6
Average 1st-half total 112.1 106.0
Possessions / 48 min 99.5 100.6
Games with 220+ pts 5/10 5/10
Games with 230+ pts 3/10 4/10
Games with 240+ pts 1/10 2/10
Scored 115+ pts 3/10 1/10

Schedule density & travel spot

Rest days, multi-game compression and current home/road stretch entering tip-off.

Philadelphia 76ers

2 days rest
1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Homestand · Game 3

Milwaukee Bucks

1 day rest
1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Road trip · Game 1

Primary offensive threats

Available rotation leaders by scoring and shot share over the last 10 games.

Philadelphia 76ers

  • #1 Tyrese Maxey G 23.8% pts share
    26.1 PPG · 3.3 RPG · 5.7 APG · 2.4 3PM 19.7% FGA
  • #2 Jaylen Brown G-F 18.9% pts share
    20.8 PPG · 6.6 RPG · 3.2 APG · 1.7 3PM 18.9% FGA
  • #3 LeBron James F 13.7% pts share
    15.0 PPG · 6.6 RPG · 6.6 APG · 1.0 3PM 15.2% FGA

Milwaukee Bucks

  • #1 Tyler Herro G 19.5% pts share
    20.3 PPG · 4.6 RPG · 4.1 APG · 2.7 3PM 17.4% FGA
  • #2 Jaime Jaquez Jr. G 14.6% pts share
    15.2 PPG · 5.0 RPG · 2.6 APG · 1.8 3PM 13.8% FGA
  • #3 Ryan Rollins G 10.5% pts share
    10.9 PPG · 4.2 RPG · 4.0 APG · 1.8 3PM 11.3% FGA

Last five games

Philadelphia 76ers

  • W 123-112 vs Toronto Raptors (H) 13 Nov
  • L 101-123 vs Boston Celtics (H) 11 Nov
  • W 127-121 at Chicago Bulls (A) 8 Nov
  • L 95-119 at Cleveland Cavaliers (A) 7 Nov
  • W 112-106 at Detroit Pistons (A) 5 Nov

Milwaukee Bucks

  • L 112-123 vs Los Angeles Lakers (H) 12 Nov
  • L 85-117 at New York Knicks (A) 11 Nov
  • L 97-117 vs Boston Celtics (H) 9 Nov
  • L 107-121 vs Toronto Raptors (H) 7 Nov
  • L 102-109 at Boston Celtics (A) 5 Nov

Most recent first, all games of the season, overtime included.

Last 10 head-to-head meetings

PHI · 5W MIL · 5W
Avg total pts: 237.5 PHI avg: 119.4 MIL avg: 118.1 225+ pt games: 8/10 PHI at home: 3-2
  • 24 Oct 2026 PHI 127‑116 MIL
  • 12 Apr 2026 PHI 126‑106 MIL
  • 27 Jan 2026 PHI 139‑122 MIL
  • 5 Dec 2025 MIL 101‑116 PHI
  • 20 Nov 2025 MIL 114‑123 (OT) PHI
  • 3 Apr 2025 PHI 113‑126 MIL
  • 9 Feb 2025 MIL 135‑127 PHI
  • 19 Jan 2025 MIL 123‑109 PHI
  • 23 Oct 2024 PHI 109‑124 MIL
  • 14 Mar 2024 MIL 114‑105 PHI

Season profile comparison

PHIMIL
Record 10-3 1-11
At home 5-2 1-6
On the road 5-1 0-5
Conference 2 of 15, Eastern Conference 15 of 15, Eastern Conference
Streak – Lost 5 in a row
Days of rest 2 1
Our team rating #8 of 30 #30 of 30
Pace #10 of 30 #21 of 30

Eastern Conference standings

Full NBA standings
# Team W L PCT GB Home Road L10 Streak
1 Boston Celtics 10 2 .833 – 5-0 5-2 9-1 W5
2 Philadelphia 76ers 10 3 .769 0.5 5-2 5-1 7-3 W1
3 Detroit Pistons 8 3 .727 1.5 3-2 5-1 7-3 W2
4 Atlanta Hawks 7 5 .583 3.0 3-3 4-2 5-5 L1
5 New York Knicks 6 5 .545 3.5 4-3 2-2 6-4 L1
6 Cleveland Cavaliers 6 6 .500 4.0 4-2 2-4 5-5 W1
7 Miami Heat 5 6 .455 4.5 1-3 4-3 5-5 W2
8 Toronto Raptors 5 7 .417 5.0 2-3 3-4 3-7 L3
9 Orlando Magic 4 7 .364 5.5 0-4 4-3 4-6 W2
10 Charlotte Hornets 4 8 .333 6.0 3-4 1-4 3-7 L1
11 Indiana Pacers 4 8 .333 6.0 1-4 3-4 3-7 W1
12 Washington Wizards 4 9 .308 6.5 2-3 2-6 2-8 L6
13 Brooklyn Nets 3 8 .273 6.5 1-3 2-5 3-7 W1
14 Chicago Bulls 1 9 .100 8.0 0-4 1-5 1-9 L8
15 Milwaukee Bucks 1 11 .083 9.0 1-6 0-5 1-9 L8

Solid cut lines mark Top 6 (direct Play-offs) and Top 10 (Play-in Tournament).

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