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NBA · Regular season

Washington Wizards vs Houston Rockets: Preview and Stats

Washington Wizards 4-9
vs
Houston Rockets 9-3
Capital One Arena, Washington

Our picks

Our picks for Washington Wizards vs Houston Rockets come out after the official NBA injury report, at most 48 hours before tip-off, and at the latest (3 hours before tip-off).

We are waiting for the result of a team's previous game.

Our NBA model track record for this matchup

Our winner picks on these teams

  • Washington Wizards 10 of 13 right (77%)
  • Houston Rockets 8 of 12 right (67%)

Settled NBA winner picks since 21 Oct 2026.

Game details

Stage
NBA, Regular season
Tip-off
Arena
Capital One Arena
City
Washington
Since last match
Washington Wizards: Detroit Pistons (140‑144) Houston Rockets: Utah Jazz
Next match
Washington Wizards: Memphis Grizzlies Houston Rockets: Miami Heat

Missing production & availability impact

Share of last 10 games' offensive creation (PTS + AST) and minutes sidelined.

Washington Wizards

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Houston Rockets

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Official NBA injury report

Washington Wizards

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Houston Rockets

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Expected 8-man core rotation

Projected starters and key bench from recent usage and the official injury report.

Washington Wizards

Projected Starters
  • G Trae Young
    35.9 MPG 18.9 PPG 3.5 RPG 8.0 APG
  • F Kyshawn George
    34.0 MPG 18.5 PPG 4.1 RPG 5.2 APG
  • F AJ Dybantsa
    33.8 MPG 15.0 PPG 6.1 RPG 2.3 APG
  • F-C Anthony Davis
    35.0 MPG 27.5 PPG 11.0 RPG 1.6 APG
  • C Alex Sarr
    28.4 MPG 12.3 PPG 8.2 RPG 1.1 APG
Key Bench
  • G Bilal Coulibaly
    25.8 MPG 5.8 PPG 4.2 RPG 0.9 APG
  • G Tre Johnson
    23.9 MPG 8.3 PPG 2.2 RPG 1.0 APG
  • G Bub Carrington
    18.7 MPG 4.1 PPG 1.7 RPG 2.1 APG

Houston Rockets

Projected Starters
  • F Jabari Smith Jr.
    35.3 MPG 16.4 PPG 6.9 RPG 2.4 APG
  • F Kevin Durant
    33.8 MPG 20.1 PPG 6.0 RPG 3.5 APG
  • C Alperen Sengun
    35.5 MPG 19.9 PPG 9.6 RPG 8.4 APG
  • G-F Amen Thompson
    32.7 MPG 14.7 PPG 6.1 RPG 2.9 APG
  • G Fred VanVleet
    29.9 MPG 14.6 PPG 3.1 RPG 5.0 APG
Key Bench
  • F Tari Eason
    25.5 MPG 9.8 PPG 6.2 RPG 1.5 APG
  • G Reed Sheppard
    19.9 MPG 11.0 PPG 1.6 RPG 2.4 APG
  • G Marcus Smart
    20.6 MPG 8.6 PPG 2.6 RPG 2.1 APG

OptimaGoal power & pace ratings

Full NBA power ratings

Neutral-court net point rating and 48-minute tempo rank across all 30 NBA franchises.

Washington Wizards

#26 of 30
Net rating -4.6 30d: -1.2
Pace: -2.1 (#21 of 30)

Houston Rockets

#2 of 30
Net rating +7.2 30d: +0.9
Pace: -2.6 (#25 of 30)

OptimaGoal tactical & efficiency profile (0–100)

Original 0–100 indices built from each team's last 10 played games before tip-off.

Washington Wizards

Net 28
Shot quality (TS%) 33
3PT volume & accuracy 27
Ball security & passing 34
Rebounding control 34
Defensive disruption 57

ORtg 106.0 · DRtg 114.0 · Net -8.0 · TS 55.4%

Houston Rockets

Net 74
Shot quality (TS%) 55
3PT volume & accuracy 52
Ball security & passing 37
Rebounding control 56
Defensive disruption 67

ORtg 114.9 · DRtg 106.4 · Net +8.5 · TS 58.5%

Washington Wizards · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 4W actual vs 4.3W expected (13 GP)
Houston Rockets · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 9W actual vs 9.0W expected (12 GP)

Halftime splits & clutch profile

Game-state outcomes and half-by-half scoring share over the last 15 games.

Washington Wizards

Win rate when leading at HT 2/3 (67%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 2/12 (17%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 54.4 (49.0%) 2H: 56.5 (51.0%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 1-1 10+ pt margins: 2-8

Houston Rockets

Win rate when leading at HT 10/11 (91%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 1/2 (50%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 55.5 (49.6%) 2H: 56.3 (50.4%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 1-2 10+ pt margins: 7-2

Scoring environment and threshold hit counts across the last 10 games.

WASHOU
Points scored / game 107.6 114.3
Points allowed / game 115.7 105.8
Average game total 223.3 220.1
Average 1st-half total 114.5 105.2
Possessions / 48 min 99.5 99.4
Games with 220+ pts 5/10 6/10
Games with 230+ pts 4/10 3/10
Games with 240+ pts 2/10 0/10
Scored 115+ pts 2/10 5/10

Schedule density & travel spot

Rest days, multi-game compression and current home/road stretch entering tip-off.

Washington Wizards

2 days rest
2 in 4 nights 3 in 6 nights Homestand · Game 2

Houston Rockets

1 day rest
1 in 4 nights 2 in 6 nights Road trip · Game 1

Primary offensive threats

Available rotation leaders by scoring and shot share over the last 10 games.

Washington Wizards

  • #1 Trae Young G 17.6% pts share
    18.9 PPG · 3.5 RPG · 8.0 APG · 2.0 3PM 15.7% FGA
  • #2 Anthony Davis F-C 25.6% pts share
    27.5 PPG · 11.0 RPG · 1.6 APG · 1.0 3PM 22.2% FGA
  • #3 Kyshawn George F 17.2% pts share
    18.5 PPG · 4.1 RPG · 5.2 APG · 3.0 3PM 15.7% FGA

Houston Rockets

  • #1 Alperen Sengun C 17.4% pts share
    19.9 PPG · 9.6 RPG · 8.4 APG · 0.8 3PM 17.3% FGA
  • #2 Kevin Durant F 17.6% pts share
    20.1 PPG · 6.0 RPG · 3.5 APG · 1.2 3PM 15.1% FGA
  • #3 Fred VanVleet G 12.8% pts share
    14.6 PPG · 3.1 RPG · 5.0 APG · 3.0 3PM 12.7% FGA

Last five games

Washington Wizards

  • L 140-144 vs Detroit Pistons (H) 13 Nov
  • L 101-114 at Indiana Pacers (A) 12 Nov
  • L 111-122 at Detroit Pistons (A) 10 Nov
  • L 75-114 at Oklahoma City Thunder (A) 8 Nov
  • L 132-139 at Atlanta Hawks (A) 7 Nov

Houston Rockets

  • W 115-108 vs Golden State Warriors (H) 12 Nov
  • W 110-100 vs Denver Nuggets (H) 10 Nov
  • L 99-102 at Phoenix Suns (A) 8 Nov
  • L 107-117 vs Minnesota Timberwolves (H) 5 Nov
  • W 109-93 vs Boston Celtics (H) 3 Nov

Most recent first, all games of the season, overtime included.

Last 10 head-to-head meetings

WAS · 1W HOU · 9W
Avg total pts: 231.0 WAS avg: 109.2 HOU avg: 121.8 225+ pt games: 6/10 WAS at home: 0-5
  • 2 Mar 2026 WAS 118‑123 HOU
  • 12 Nov 2025 HOU 135‑112 WAS
  • 7 Jan 2025 WAS 112‑135 HOU
  • 11 Nov 2024 HOU 107‑92 WAS
  • 19 Mar 2024 WAS 114‑137 HOU
  • 14 Mar 2024 HOU 135‑119 WAS
  • 9 Apr 2023 WAS 109‑114 HOU
  • 25 Jan 2023 HOU 103‑108 WAS
  • 21 Mar 2022 HOU 115‑97 WAS
  • 5 Jan 2022 WAS 111‑114 HOU

Season profile comparison

WASHOU
Record 4-9 9-3
At home 2-3 6-1
On the road 2-6 3-2
Conference 12 of 15, Eastern Conference 3 of 15, Western Conference
Streak Lost 5 in a row Won 2 in a row
Days of rest 2 1
Our team rating #26 of 30 #2 of 30
Pace #22 of 30 #26 of 30

Inter-conference matchup — both conference tables shown with Play-off (#6) and Play-in (#10) cut lines.

Eastern Conference standings

Full NBA standings
# Team W L PCT GB Home Road L10 Streak
1 Boston Celtics 10 2 .833 – 5-0 5-2 9-1 W5
2 Philadelphia 76ers 10 3 .769 0.5 5-2 5-1 7-3 W1
3 Detroit Pistons 8 3 .727 1.5 3-2 5-1 7-3 W2
4 Atlanta Hawks 7 5 .583 3.0 3-3 4-2 5-5 L1
5 New York Knicks 6 5 .545 3.5 4-3 2-2 6-4 L1
6 Cleveland Cavaliers 6 6 .500 4.0 4-2 2-4 5-5 W1
7 Miami Heat 5 6 .455 4.5 1-3 4-3 5-5 W2
8 Toronto Raptors 5 7 .417 5.0 2-3 3-4 3-7 L3
9 Orlando Magic 4 7 .364 5.5 0-4 4-3 4-6 W2
10 Charlotte Hornets 4 8 .333 6.0 3-4 1-4 3-7 L1
11 Indiana Pacers 4 8 .333 6.0 1-4 3-4 3-7 W1
12 Washington Wizards 4 9 .308 6.5 2-3 2-6 2-8 L6
13 Brooklyn Nets 3 8 .273 6.5 1-3 2-5 3-7 W1
14 Chicago Bulls 1 9 .100 8.0 0-4 1-5 1-9 L8
15 Milwaukee Bucks 1 11 .083 9.0 1-6 0-5 1-9 L8

Solid cut lines mark Top 6 (direct Play-offs) and Top 10 (Play-in Tournament).

Western Conference standings

Full NBA standings
# Team W L PCT GB Home Road L10 Streak
1 Los Angeles Lakers 11 2 .846 – 5-1 6-1 8-2 W7
2 San Antonio Spurs 10 2 .833 0.5 4-2 6-0 10-0 W10
3 Houston Rockets 9 3 .750 1.5 6-1 3-2 7-3 W2
4 Minnesota Timberwolves 9 3 .750 1.5 5-1 4-2 7-3 W5
5 Portland Trail Blazers 8 3 .727 2.0 3-2 5-1 7-3 W2
6 Golden State Warriors 8 4 .667 2.5 6-1 2-3 8-2 L1
7 Oklahoma City Thunder 8 4 .667 2.5 5-0 3-4 6-4 L2
8 Memphis Grizzlies 7 4 .636 3.0 2-4 5-0 6-4 L1
9 Denver Nuggets 6 4 .600 3.5 3-2 3-2 6-4 W1
10 Dallas Mavericks 7 5 .583 3.5 5-2 2-3 6-4 L1
11 Phoenix Suns 5 6 .455 5.0 5-3 0-3 5-5 W2
12 New Orleans Pelicans 4 8 .333 6.5 3-4 1-4 4-6 L4
13 LA Clippers 2 8 .200 7.5 2-3 0-5 2-8 L1
14 Sacramento Kings 1 10 .091 9.0 0-6 1-4 1-9 L4
15 Utah Jazz 1 11 .083 9.5 1-6 0-5 0-10 L10

Solid cut lines mark Top 6 (direct Play-offs) and Top 10 (Play-in Tournament).

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