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NBA · Regular season

Washington Wizards vs Orlando Magic: Preview and Stats

Washington Wizards 4-9
vs
Orlando Magic 4-7
Capital One Arena, Washington

Our picks

Our picks for Washington Wizards vs Orlando Magic come out after the official NBA injury report, at most 48 hours before tip-off, and at the latest (3 hours before tip-off).

We are waiting for the result of a team's previous game.

Our NBA model track record for this matchup

Our winner picks on these teams

  • Washington Wizards 10 of 13 right (77%)
  • Orlando Magic 4 of 11 right (36%)

Settled NBA winner picks since 21 Oct 2026.

Game details

Stage
NBA, Regular season
Tip-off
Arena
Capital One Arena
City
Washington
Since last match
Washington Wizards: Chicago Bulls Orlando Magic: Brooklyn Nets
Next match
Washington Wizards: Boston Celtics Orlando Magic: Detroit Pistons

Missing production & availability impact

Share of last 10 games' offensive creation (PTS + AST) and minutes sidelined.

Washington Wizards

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Orlando Magic

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Official NBA injury report

Washington Wizards

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Orlando Magic

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Expected 8-man core rotation

Projected starters and key bench from recent usage and the official injury report.

Washington Wizards

Projected Starters
  • G Trae Young
    35.9 MPG 18.9 PPG 3.5 RPG 8.0 APG
  • F Kyshawn George
    34.0 MPG 18.5 PPG 4.1 RPG 5.2 APG
  • F AJ Dybantsa
    33.8 MPG 15.0 PPG 6.1 RPG 2.3 APG
  • F-C Anthony Davis
    35.0 MPG 27.5 PPG 11.0 RPG 1.6 APG
  • C Alex Sarr
    28.4 MPG 12.3 PPG 8.2 RPG 1.1 APG
Key Bench
  • G Bilal Coulibaly
    25.8 MPG 5.8 PPG 4.2 RPG 0.9 APG
  • G Tre Johnson
    23.9 MPG 8.3 PPG 2.2 RPG 1.0 APG
  • G Bub Carrington
    18.7 MPG 4.1 PPG 1.7 RPG 2.1 APG

Orlando Magic

Projected Starters
  • F Franz Wagner
    37.6 MPG 23.6 PPG 6.6 RPG 8.2 APG
  • G Desmond Bane
    34.8 MPG 18.0 PPG 3.9 RPG 2.4 APG
  • F-C Wendell Carter Jr.
    33.1 MPG 12.8 PPG 9.7 RPG 1.3 APG
  • G Anthony Black
    31.6 MPG 17.8 PPG 6.0 RPG 5.5 APG
  • F Tristan da Silva
    30.8 MPG 15.2 PPG 3.9 RPG 1.5 APG
Key Bench
  • G Jase Richardson
    22.4 MPG 6.3 PPG 1.9 RPG 2.4 APG
  • F Jamal Cain
    20.1 MPG 7.8 PPG 3.4 RPG 0.4 APG
  • G Jevon Carter
    14.7 MPG 4.4 PPG 0.9 RPG 1.7 APG

OptimaGoal power & pace ratings

Full NBA power ratings

Neutral-court net point rating and 48-minute tempo rank across all 30 NBA franchises.

Washington Wizards

#26 of 30
Net rating -4.6 30d: -1.2
Pace: -2.1 (#21 of 30)

Orlando Magic

#21 of 30
Net rating -2.8 30d: -1.9
Pace: -1.6 (#17 of 30)

OptimaGoal tactical & efficiency profile (0–100)

Original 0–100 indices built from each team's last 10 played games before tip-off.

Washington Wizards

Net 28
Shot quality (TS%) 33
3PT volume & accuracy 27
Ball security & passing 34
Rebounding control 34
Defensive disruption 57

ORtg 106.0 · DRtg 114.0 · Net -8.0 · TS 55.4%

Orlando Magic

Net 35
Shot quality (TS%) 37
3PT volume & accuracy 54
Ball security & passing 19
Rebounding control 58
Defensive disruption 42

ORtg 106.0 · DRtg 111.4 · Net -5.4 · TS 56.0%

Washington Wizards · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 4W actual vs 4.3W expected (13 GP)
Orlando Magic · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 4W actual vs 3.7W expected (11 GP)

Halftime splits & clutch profile

Game-state outcomes and half-by-half scoring share over the last 15 games.

Washington Wizards

Win rate when leading at HT 2/3 (67%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 2/12 (17%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 54.4 (49.0%) 2H: 56.5 (51.0%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 1-1 10+ pt margins: 2-8

Orlando Magic

Win rate when leading at HT 4/5 (80%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 1/10 (10%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 54.6 (52.2%) 2H: 50.0 (47.8%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 0-1 10+ pt margins: 1-6

Scoring environment and threshold hit counts across the last 10 games.

WASORL
Points scored / game 107.6 106.8
Points allowed / game 115.7 112.2
Average game total 223.3 219.0
Average 1st-half total 114.5 111.3
Possessions / 48 min 99.5 99.7
Games with 220+ pts 5/10 5/10
Games with 230+ pts 4/10 3/10
Games with 240+ pts 2/10 1/10
Scored 115+ pts 2/10 3/10

Schedule density & travel spot

Rest days, multi-game compression and current home/road stretch entering tip-off.

Washington Wizards

1 day rest
1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Homestand · Game 2

Orlando Magic

1 day rest
1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Road trip · Game 5

Primary offensive threats

Available rotation leaders by scoring and shot share over the last 10 games.

Washington Wizards

  • #1 Trae Young G 17.6% pts share
    18.9 PPG · 3.5 RPG · 8.0 APG · 2.0 3PM 15.7% FGA
  • #2 Anthony Davis F-C 25.6% pts share
    27.5 PPG · 11.0 RPG · 1.6 APG · 1.0 3PM 22.2% FGA
  • #3 Kyshawn George F 17.2% pts share
    18.5 PPG · 4.1 RPG · 5.2 APG · 3.0 3PM 15.7% FGA

Orlando Magic

  • #1 Franz Wagner F 22.1% pts share
    23.6 PPG · 6.6 RPG · 8.2 APG · 1.2 3PM 21.6% FGA
  • #2 Anthony Black G 16.7% pts share
    17.8 PPG · 6.0 RPG · 5.5 APG · 2.1 3PM 14.3% FGA
  • #3 Desmond Bane G 16.9% pts share
    18.0 PPG · 3.9 RPG · 2.4 APG · 4.0 3PM 17.2% FGA

Last five games

Washington Wizards

  • L 140-144 vs Detroit Pistons (H) 13 Nov
  • L 101-114 at Indiana Pacers (A) 12 Nov
  • L 111-122 at Detroit Pistons (A) 10 Nov
  • L 75-114 at Oklahoma City Thunder (A) 8 Nov
  • L 132-139 at Atlanta Hawks (A) 7 Nov

Orlando Magic

  • W 123-108 at Utah Jazz (A) 12 Nov
  • W 107-100 at Sacramento Kings (A) 11 Nov
  • L 119-126 at Golden State Warriors (A) 8 Nov
  • L 104-117 at Phoenix Suns (A) 6 Nov
  • L 94-103 vs Washington Wizards (H) 3 Nov

Most recent first, all games of the season, overtime included.

Last 10 head-to-head meetings

WAS · 2W ORL · 8W
Avg total pts: 222.4 WAS avg: 105.2 ORL avg: 117.2 225+ pt games: 5/10 WAS at home: 1-4
  • 2 Nov 2026 ORL 94‑103 WAS
  • 12 Mar 2026 ORL 136‑131 (OT) WAS
  • 3 Mar 2026 ORL 126‑109 WAS
  • 6 Jan 2026 WAS 120‑112 ORL
  • 1 Nov 2025 WAS 94‑125 ORL
  • 3 Apr 2025 WAS 97‑109 ORL
  • 21 Mar 2025 WAS 105‑120 ORL
  • 23 Feb 2025 ORL 110‑90 WAS
  • 10 Nov 2024 ORL 121‑94 WAS
  • 6 Mar 2024 WAS 109‑119 ORL

Season profile comparison

WASORL
Record 4-9 4-7
At home 2-3 0-4
On the road 2-6 4-3
Conference 12 of 15, Eastern Conference 9 of 15, Eastern Conference
Streak Lost 5 in a row Won 2 in a row
Days of rest 1 1
Our team rating #26 of 30 #21 of 30
Pace #22 of 30 #17 of 30

Eastern Conference standings

Full NBA standings
# Team W L PCT GB Home Road L10 Streak
1 Boston Celtics 10 2 .833 – 5-0 5-2 9-1 W5
2 Philadelphia 76ers 10 3 .769 0.5 5-2 5-1 7-3 W1
3 Detroit Pistons 8 3 .727 1.5 3-2 5-1 7-3 W2
4 Atlanta Hawks 7 5 .583 3.0 3-3 4-2 5-5 L1
5 New York Knicks 6 5 .545 3.5 4-3 2-2 6-4 L1
6 Cleveland Cavaliers 6 6 .500 4.0 4-2 2-4 5-5 W1
7 Miami Heat 5 6 .455 4.5 1-3 4-3 5-5 W2
8 Toronto Raptors 5 7 .417 5.0 2-3 3-4 3-7 L3
9 Orlando Magic 4 7 .364 5.5 0-4 4-3 4-6 W2
10 Charlotte Hornets 4 8 .333 6.0 3-4 1-4 3-7 L1
11 Indiana Pacers 4 8 .333 6.0 1-4 3-4 3-7 W1
12 Washington Wizards 4 9 .308 6.5 2-3 2-6 2-8 L6
13 Brooklyn Nets 3 8 .273 6.5 1-3 2-5 3-7 W1
14 Chicago Bulls 1 9 .100 8.0 0-4 1-5 1-9 L8
15 Milwaukee Bucks 1 11 .083 9.0 1-6 0-5 1-9 L8

Solid cut lines mark Top 6 (direct Play-offs) and Top 10 (Play-in Tournament).

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