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NBA · Regular season

Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks: Preview and Stats

Utah Jazz 1-11
vs
Dallas Mavericks 7-5
Delta Center, Salt Lake City

Our picks

Our picks for Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks come out after the official NBA injury report, at most 48 hours before tip-off, and at the latest (3 hours before tip-off).

We are waiting for the result of a team's previous game.

Our NBA model track record for this matchup

Our winner picks on these teams

  • Utah Jazz 10 of 12 right (83%)
  • Dallas Mavericks 8 of 12 right (67%)

Settled NBA winner picks since 22 Oct 2026.

Game details

Stage
NBA, Regular season
Tip-off
Arena
Delta Center
City
Salt Lake City
Since last match
Utah Jazz: Phoenix Suns Dallas Mavericks: LA Clippers
Next match
Utah Jazz: Los Angeles Lakers Dallas Mavericks: Denver Nuggets

Missing production & availability impact

Share of last 10 games' offensive creation (PTS + AST) and minutes sidelined.

Utah Jazz

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Dallas Mavericks

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Official NBA injury report

Utah Jazz

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Dallas Mavericks

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Expected 8-man core rotation

Projected starters and key bench from recent usage and the official injury report.

Utah Jazz

Projected Starters
  • F Ace Bailey
    32.6 MPG 14.2 PPG 6.8 RPG 1.8 APG
  • G Keyonte George
    32.6 MPG 20.3 PPG 5.1 RPG 6.2 APG
  • G Darryn Peterson
    31.0 MPG 17.1 PPG 4.1 RPG 4.3 APG
  • F-C Lauri Markkanen
    29.5 MPG 18.3 PPG 6.5 RPG 1.7 APG
  • F-C Jaxson Hayes
    24.8 MPG 8.0 PPG 6.3 RPG 1.4 APG
Key Bench
  • C Jusuf Nurkić
    28.4 MPG 12.4 PPG 0.0 RPG 0.0 APG
  • G Josh Green
    20.0 MPG 3.6 PPG 1.8 RPG 1.1 APG
  • G Josh Okogie
    19.5 MPG 4.4 PPG 3.5 RPG 1.2 APG

Dallas Mavericks

Projected Starters
  • F Cooper Flagg
    35.4 MPG 25.0 PPG 7.3 RPG 7.1 APG
  • F P.J. Washington
    32.4 MPG 14.1 PPG 7.0 RPG 1.1 APG
  • G Kyrie Irving
    31.6 MPG 22.1 PPG 3.4 RPG 4.8 APG
  • F Zaccharie Risacher
    23.3 MPG 8.5 PPG 4.8 RPG 1.5 APG
  • F-C Daniel Gafford
    22.2 MPG 10.3 PPG 5.8 RPG 1.7 APG
Key Bench
  • F Naji Marshall
    22.7 MPG 10.1 PPG 2.7 RPG 4.0 APG
  • G Walter Clayton Jr.
    18.7 MPG 7.7 PPG 3.2 RPG 3.8 APG
  • F Caleb Martin
    18.8 MPG 4.0 PPG 2.2 RPG 1.8 APG

OptimaGoal power & pace ratings

Full NBA power ratings

Neutral-court net point rating and 48-minute tempo rank across all 30 NBA franchises.

Utah Jazz

#29 of 30
Net rating -6.5 30d: -2.6
Pace: -1.4 (#14 of 30)

Dallas Mavericks

#17 of 30
Net rating -1.4 30d: +3.0
Pace: -0.2 (#5 of 30)

OptimaGoal tactical & efficiency profile (0–100)

Original 0–100 indices built from each team's last 10 played games before tip-off.

Utah Jazz

Net 18
Shot quality (TS%) 20
3PT volume & accuracy 38
Ball security & passing 19
Rebounding control 55
Defensive disruption 60

ORtg 101.3 · DRtg 112.7 · Net -11.4 · TS 53.4%

Dallas Mavericks

Net 54
Shot quality (TS%) 43
3PT volume & accuracy 42
Ball security & passing 28
Rebounding control 58
Defensive disruption 59

ORtg 110.0 · DRtg 108.6 · Net +1.4 · TS 56.8%

Utah Jazz · Record vs point differential Stronger profile than W-L (bounce candidate) 1W actual vs 2.3W expected (12 GP)
Dallas Mavericks · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 7W actual vs 6.4W expected (12 GP)

Halftime splits & clutch profile

Game-state outcomes and half-by-half scoring share over the last 15 games.

Utah Jazz

Win rate when leading at HT 2/4 (50%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 0/10 (0%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 55.2 (49.6%) 2H: 56.1 (50.4%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 1-3 10+ pt margins: 1-8

Dallas Mavericks

Win rate when leading at HT 5/5 (100%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 2/9 (22%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 58.0 (50.2%) 2H: 57.6 (49.8%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 3-2 10+ pt margins: 5-5

Scoring environment and threshold hit counts across the last 10 games.

UTADAL
Points scored / game 105.6 112.7
Points allowed / game 117.5 111.3
Average game total 223.1 224.0
Average 1st-half total 111.4 114.5
Possessions / 48 min 102.1 102.5
Games with 220+ pts 5/10 7/10
Games with 230+ pts 3/10 1/10
Games with 240+ pts 1/10 1/10
Scored 115+ pts 1/10 4/10

Schedule density & travel spot

Rest days, multi-game compression and current home/road stretch entering tip-off.

Utah Jazz

1 day rest
1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Homestand · Game 3

Dallas Mavericks

0 days (Back-to-back)
1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Road trip · Game 2

Primary offensive threats

Available rotation leaders by scoring and shot share over the last 10 games.

Utah Jazz

  • #1 Keyonte George G 19.2% pts share
    20.3 PPG · 5.1 RPG · 6.2 APG · 1.4 3PM 18.3% FGA
  • #2 Darryn Peterson G 16.2% pts share
    17.1 PPG · 4.1 RPG · 4.3 APG · 2.4 3PM 17.1% FGA
  • #3 Lauri Markkanen F-C 17.3% pts share
    18.3 PPG · 6.5 RPG · 1.7 APG · 4.0 3PM 16.5% FGA

Dallas Mavericks

  • #1 Cooper Flagg F 22.2% pts share
    25.0 PPG · 7.3 RPG · 7.1 APG · 1.3 3PM 21.0% FGA
  • #2 Kyrie Irving G 19.6% pts share
    22.1 PPG · 3.4 RPG · 4.8 APG · 3.2 3PM 19.7% FGA
  • #3 Naji Marshall F 9.0% pts share
    10.1 PPG · 2.7 RPG · 4.0 APG · 0.9 3PM 9.4% FGA

Last five games

Utah Jazz

  • L 108-123 vs Orlando Magic (H) 12 Nov
  • L 109-115 vs Miami Heat (H) 11 Nov
  • L 100-115 at Minnesota Timberwolves (A) 9 Nov
  • L 100-112 at Dallas Mavericks (A) 7 Nov
  • L 113-120 at New Orleans Pelicans (A) 5 Nov

Dallas Mavericks

  • L 94-133 at Minnesota Timberwolves (A) 13 Nov
  • W 125-122 vs Indiana Pacers (H) 10 Nov
  • W 130-93 vs Brooklyn Nets (H) 9 Nov
  • W 112-100 vs Utah Jazz (H) 7 Nov
  • L 111-112 at San Antonio Spurs (A) 5 Nov

Most recent first, all games of the season, overtime included.

Last 10 head-to-head meetings

UTA · 3W DAL · 7W
Avg total pts: 230.9 UTA avg: 111.1 DAL avg: 119.8 225+ pt games: 5/10 UTA at home: 3-2
  • 6 Nov 2026 DAL 112‑100 UTA
  • 17 Jan 2026 DAL 138‑120 UTA
  • 15 Jan 2026 DAL 144‑122 UTA
  • 8 Jan 2026 UTA 116‑114 DAL
  • 15 Dec 2025 UTA 140‑133 (OT) DAL
  • 30 Nov 2024 UTA 94‑106 DAL
  • 14 Nov 2024 UTA 115‑113 DAL
  • 28 Oct 2024 DAL 110‑102 UTA
  • 25 Mar 2024 UTA 105‑115 DAL
  • 21 Mar 2024 DAL 113‑97 UTA

Season profile comparison

UTADAL
Record 1-11 7-5
At home 1-6 5-2
On the road 0-5 2-3
Conference 15 of 15, Western Conference 10 of 15, Western Conference
Streak Lost 5 in a row –
Days of rest 1 0 (second night of a back-to-back)
Our team rating #29 of 30 #18 of 30
Pace #14 of 30 #5 of 30

Western Conference standings

Full NBA standings
# Team W L PCT GB Home Road L10 Streak
1 Los Angeles Lakers 11 2 .846 – 5-1 6-1 8-2 W7
2 San Antonio Spurs 10 2 .833 0.5 4-2 6-0 10-0 W10
3 Houston Rockets 9 3 .750 1.5 6-1 3-2 7-3 W2
4 Minnesota Timberwolves 9 3 .750 1.5 5-1 4-2 7-3 W5
5 Portland Trail Blazers 8 3 .727 2.0 3-2 5-1 7-3 W2
6 Golden State Warriors 8 4 .667 2.5 6-1 2-3 8-2 L1
7 Oklahoma City Thunder 8 4 .667 2.5 5-0 3-4 6-4 L2
8 Memphis Grizzlies 7 4 .636 3.0 2-4 5-0 6-4 L1
9 Denver Nuggets 6 4 .600 3.5 3-2 3-2 6-4 W1
10 Dallas Mavericks 7 5 .583 3.5 5-2 2-3 6-4 L1
11 Phoenix Suns 5 6 .455 5.0 5-3 0-3 5-5 W2
12 New Orleans Pelicans 4 8 .333 6.5 3-4 1-4 4-6 L4
13 LA Clippers 2 8 .200 7.5 2-3 0-5 2-8 L1
14 Sacramento Kings 1 10 .091 9.0 0-6 1-4 1-9 L4
15 Utah Jazz 1 11 .083 9.5 1-6 0-5 0-10 L10

Solid cut lines mark Top 6 (direct Play-offs) and Top 10 (Play-in Tournament).

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