OptimaGoal
EN
NBA · Regular season

New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers: Preview and Stats

New York Knicks 6-5
vs
Indiana Pacers 4-8
Madison Square Garden, New York

Our picks

Our picks for New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers come out after the official NBA injury report, at most 48 hours before tip-off, and at the latest (3 hours before tip-off).

We are waiting for the result of a team's previous game.

Our NBA model track record for this matchup

Our winner picks on these teams

  • New York Knicks 8 of 11 right (73%)
  • Indiana Pacers 7 of 12 right (58%)

Settled NBA winner picks since 20 Oct 2026.

Game details

Stage
NBA, Regular season
Tip-off
Arena
Madison Square Garden
City
New York
Since last match
New York Knicks: Portland Trail Blazers Indiana Pacers: Cleveland Cavaliers
Next match
New York Knicks: Cleveland Cavaliers Indiana Pacers: Oklahoma City Thunder

Missing production & availability impact

Share of last 10 games' offensive creation (PTS + AST) and minutes sidelined.

New York Knicks

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Indiana Pacers

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Official NBA injury report

New York Knicks

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Indiana Pacers

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Expected 8-man core rotation

Projected starters and key bench from recent usage and the official injury report.

New York Knicks

Projected Starters
  • G Jalen Brunson
    33.3 MPG 26.5 PPG 2.9 RPG 5.4 APG
  • G-F OG Anunoby
    32.9 MPG 17.1 PPG 5.4 RPG 2.6 APG
  • F-C Karl-Anthony Towns
    32.1 MPG 21.1 PPG 13.7 RPG 3.8 APG
  • G Josh Hart
    31.1 MPG 7.4 PPG 6.9 RPG 3.9 APG
  • G Landry Shamet
    26.0 MPG 10.1 PPG 1.6 RPG 1.9 APG
Key Bench
  • G-F Mikal Bridges
    23.5 MPG 6.1 PPG 3.2 RPG 2.2 APG
  • G Miles McBride
    19.4 MPG 8.4 PPG 1.6 RPG 1.2 APG
  • C Andre Drummond
    12.4 MPG 3.5 PPG 7.5 RPG 1.1 APG

Indiana Pacers

Projected Starters
  • F Pascal Siakam
    32.2 MPG 21.9 PPG 7.2 RPG 4.9 APG
  • G-F Andrew Nembhard
    33.4 MPG 17.1 PPG 2.1 RPG 8.0 APG
  • G-F Aaron Nesmith
    25.7 MPG 12.0 PPG 2.0 RPG 1.8 APG
  • G Quenton Jackson
    22.7 MPG 10.0 PPG 3.7 RPG 2.7 APG
  • G-F Kelly Oubre Jr.
    23.5 MPG 11.1 PPG 2.9 RPG 1.1 APG
Key Bench
  • F Jarace Walker
    21.7 MPG 7.7 PPG 5.7 RPG 1.7 APG
  • C Jay Huff
    19.0 MPG 7.8 PPG 4.0 RPG 1.0 APG
  • F Obi Toppin
    20.1 MPG 11.7 PPG 5.0 RPG 1.7 APG

OptimaGoal power & pace ratings

Full NBA power ratings

Neutral-court net point rating and 48-minute tempo rank across all 30 NBA franchises.

New York Knicks

#7 of 30
Net rating +4.6 30d: -2.7
Pace: -4.6 (#30 of 30)

Indiana Pacers

#19 of 30
Net rating -1.8 30d: -0.6
Pace: -0.7 (#8 of 30)

OptimaGoal tactical & efficiency profile (0–100)

Original 0–100 indices built from each team's last 10 played games before tip-off.

New York Knicks

Net 73
Shot quality (TS%) 43
3PT volume & accuracy 62
Ball security & passing 44
Rebounding control 74
Defensive disruption 57

ORtg 114.4 · DRtg 106.1 · Net +8.3 · TS 56.8%

Indiana Pacers

Net 46
Shot quality (TS%) 50
3PT volume & accuracy 51
Ball security & passing 47
Rebounding control 30
Defensive disruption 52

ORtg 108.8 · DRtg 110.3 · Net -1.6 · TS 57.8%

New York Knicks · Record vs point differential Stronger profile than W-L (bounce candidate) 6W actual vs 7.8W expected (11 GP)
Indiana Pacers · Record vs point differential Stronger profile than W-L (bounce candidate) 4W actual vs 5.1W expected (12 GP)

Halftime splits & clutch profile

Game-state outcomes and half-by-half scoring share over the last 15 games.

New York Knicks

Win rate when leading at HT 6/9 (67%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 3/6 (50%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 55.0 (50.6%) 2H: 53.7 (49.4%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 3-3 10+ pt margins: 5-0

Indiana Pacers

Win rate when leading at HT 4/6 (67%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 1/9 (11%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 55.1 (49.3%) 2H: 56.7 (50.7%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 2-3 10+ pt margins: 3-5

Scoring environment and threshold hit counts across the last 10 games.

NYKIND
Points scored / game 111.3 111.1
Points allowed / game 103.2 112.7
Average game total 214.5 223.8
Average 1st-half total 106.6 112.0
Possessions / 48 min 97.3 102.1
Games with 220+ pts 3/10 4/10
Games with 230+ pts 2/10 3/10
Games with 240+ pts 2/10 3/10
Scored 115+ pts 3/10 3/10

Schedule density & travel spot

Rest days, multi-game compression and current home/road stretch entering tip-off.

New York Knicks

0 days (Back-to-back)
1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Homestand · Game 3

Indiana Pacers

1 day rest
1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Road trip · Game 1

Primary offensive threats

Available rotation leaders by scoring and shot share over the last 10 games.

New York Knicks

  • #1 Jalen Brunson G 23.8% pts share
    26.5 PPG · 2.9 RPG · 5.4 APG · 2.8 3PM 23.7% FGA
  • #2 Karl-Anthony Towns F-C 19.0% pts share
    21.1 PPG · 13.7 RPG · 3.8 APG · 1.8 3PM 15.9% FGA
  • #3 OG Anunoby G-F 15.4% pts share
    17.1 PPG · 5.4 RPG · 2.6 APG · 2.3 3PM 13.3% FGA

Indiana Pacers

  • #1 Pascal Siakam F 19.7% pts share
    21.9 PPG · 7.2 RPG · 4.9 APG · 1.7 3PM 18.6% FGA
  • #2 Andrew Nembhard G-F 15.4% pts share
    17.1 PPG · 2.1 RPG · 8.0 APG · 2.9 3PM 15.1% FGA
  • #3 Aaron Nesmith G-F 10.8% pts share
    12.0 PPG · 2.0 RPG · 1.8 APG · 1.9 3PM 12.4% FGA

Last five games

New York Knicks

  • L 107-115 vs Cleveland Cavaliers (H) 12 Nov
  • W 117-85 vs Milwaukee Bucks (H) 11 Nov
  • W 109-97 at Cleveland Cavaliers (A) 8 Nov
  • W 135-105 vs Chicago Bulls (H) 5 Nov
  • W 103-90 vs Brooklyn Nets (H) 3 Nov

Indiana Pacers

  • W 114-101 vs Washington Wizards (H) 12 Nov
  • L 122-125 at Dallas Mavericks (A) 10 Nov
  • L 102-114 at Denver Nuggets (A) 7 Nov
  • W 107-103 at Memphis Grizzlies (A) 5 Nov
  • L 104-108 vs Atlanta Hawks (H) 3 Nov

Most recent first, all games of the season, overtime included.

Last 10 head-to-head meetings

NYK · 5W IND · 5W
Avg total pts: 232.8 NYK avg: 117.5 IND avg: 115.3 225+ pt games: 6/10 NYK at home: 2-3
  • 17 Mar 2026 NYK 136‑110 IND
  • 13 Mar 2026 IND 92‑101 NYK
  • 10 Feb 2026 NYK 134‑137 (OT) IND
  • 18 Dec 2025 IND 113‑114 NYK
  • 31 May 2025 IND 125‑108 NYK
  • 29 May 2025 NYK 111‑94 IND
  • 27 May 2025 IND 130‑121 NYK
  • 25 May 2025 IND 100‑106 NYK
  • 23 May 2025 NYK 109‑114 IND
  • 21 May 2025 NYK 135‑138 (OT) IND

Season profile comparison

NYKIND
Record 6-5 4-8
At home 4-3 1-4
On the road 2-2 3-4
Conference 5 of 15, Eastern Conference 10 of 15, Eastern Conference
Streak – –
Days of rest 0 (second night of a back-to-back) 1
Our team rating #6 of 30 #19 of 30
Pace #30 of 30 #8 of 30

Eastern Conference standings

Full NBA standings
# Team W L PCT GB Home Road L10 Streak
1 Boston Celtics 10 2 .833 – 5-0 5-2 9-1 W5
2 Philadelphia 76ers 10 3 .769 0.5 5-2 5-1 7-3 W1
3 Detroit Pistons 8 3 .727 1.5 3-2 5-1 7-3 W2
4 Atlanta Hawks 7 5 .583 3.0 3-3 4-2 5-5 L1
5 New York Knicks 6 5 .545 3.5 4-3 2-2 6-4 L1
6 Cleveland Cavaliers 6 6 .500 4.0 4-2 2-4 5-5 W1
7 Miami Heat 5 6 .455 4.5 1-3 4-3 5-5 W2
8 Toronto Raptors 5 7 .417 5.0 2-3 3-4 3-7 L3
9 Orlando Magic 4 7 .364 5.5 0-4 4-3 4-6 W2
10 Charlotte Hornets 4 8 .333 6.0 3-4 1-4 3-7 L1
11 Indiana Pacers 4 8 .333 6.0 1-4 3-4 3-7 W1
12 Washington Wizards 4 9 .308 6.5 2-3 2-6 2-8 L6
13 Brooklyn Nets 3 8 .273 6.5 1-3 2-5 3-7 W1
14 Chicago Bulls 1 9 .100 8.0 0-4 1-5 1-9 L8
15 Milwaukee Bucks 1 11 .083 9.0 1-6 0-5 1-9 L8

Solid cut lines mark Top 6 (direct Play-offs) and Top 10 (Play-in Tournament).

More NBA games

Games

Times are UTC.