Serie A · Matchday 12 Atalanta vs Inter: Match Preview & Stats
Our picks
Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off
To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)
See today's ready predictions →Our record
Atalanta: 5 of 9 right
Inter: 7 of 9 right
Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.
Match facts
- Competition
- Serie A, Matchday 12
- Kick-off
- Venue
- New Balance Arena, Bergamo
- Since last match
- Atalanta: 14 days (Serie A) · Monza (0‑1) Inter: 14 days (Serie A) · Como (2‑0)
- Next match
- Atalanta: 4 days (Conference League) later · Borac Banja Luka Inter: 3 days (Champions League) later · VfB Stuttgart
Last starting XI
Atalanta 4-2-3-1
- 12 Carnesecchi
- 77 Zappacosta
- 3 Scalvini
- 23 Kolašinac
- 47 Bernasconi
- 13 Éderson
- 15 Pašalić
- 99 Elmas
- 17 De Ketelaere
- 59 Zalewski
- 9 Krstović
Coach: Maurizio Sarri 
at Monza, 1-0 · Serie A · 8 Nov
Inter 3-5-2
- 1 Martínez
- 25 Akanji
- 6 Bastoni
- 30 Augusto
- 99 Spence
- 18 Barella
- 10 Çalhanoglu
- 7 Zieliński
- 11 Dimarco
- 9 Esposito
- 9 Thuram
Coach: Cristian Chivu 
vs Como, 2-0 · Serie A · 8 Nov
Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.
Injuries and suspensions
Atalanta
- GK Thomas PompeiInjured · Late November 2026
- DF Isak HienInjured · Back in training
- DF Odilon KossounouInjured · Doubtful
- DF Thomas KristensenInjured · Late November 2026
- MF Giacomo RaspadoriInjured · Late November 2026
- MF Gianluca GaetanoInjured · Late November 2026
- MF Raoul BellanovaInjured · Late November 2026
Inter
- DF Djed SpenceInjured · A few days
- MF Aleksandar StankovićInjured · Mid December 2026
- MF Piotr ZielińskiInjured · Doubtful
- FW Ange-Yoan BonnyInjured · About 1-2 weeks
- FW Lautaro MartínezInjured · Back in training
- FW Luis HenriqueInjured · Late November 2026
- FW Marcus ThuramInjured · Doubtful
Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.
Missing Players Impact
Atalanta
High impact - MF Gianluca Gaetano 4% attack · 3% mins
- DF Thomas Kristensen 2% attack · 5% mins
Inter
High impact - FW Marcus Thuram 14% attack · 7% mins
- FW Lautaro Martínez 11% attack · 2% mins
Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.
Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)
Atalanta Inter Atalanta Playing above results (positive regression candidate) Inter Balanced (results match underlying play) OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.
Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing
Atalanta
Inter
Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.
Key Attacking Threats
Atalanta
- 1. FW Nikola Krstović 7G · 2ATeam attack 19.0% Team shots 19.0%
- 2. MF Charles De Ketelaere 1G · 3ATeam attack 15.0% Team shots 13.0%
- 3. MF Eljif Elmas 2G · 1ATeam attack 10.0% Team shots 7.0%
Inter
- 1. DF Carlos Augusto 2G · 1ATeam attack 8.0% Team shots 7.0%
- 2. MF Federico Dimarco 0G · 1ATeam attack 7.0% Team shots 10.0%
- 3. MF Nicolò Barella 0G · 2ATeam attack 7.0% Team shots 7.0%
Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.
Scoring trends
| Scoring trends | Atalanta | Inter |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 | 9/10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 | 7/10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 | 4/10 |
| Both teams scored | 6/10 | 5/10 |
| Clean sheet | 1/10 | 5/10 |
| Failed to score | 3/10 | 0/10 |
| Goals per match (scored / conceded) | 1.6 / 1.9 | 2.2 / 1.1 |
Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.
Form guide
Atalanta
- W 1-0 at Monza (A) Serie A · 8 Nov
- D 1-1 vs
Kairat Almaty (H) Conference League · 5 Nov - L 0-3 vs
Parma (H) Serie A · 2 Nov - D 2-2 at
Fiorentina (A) Serie A · 29 Oct - D 4-4 vs
Frosinone (H) Serie A · 25 Oct
Inter
- W 2-0 vs Como (H) Serie A · 8 Nov
- W 3-0 at
Feyenoord (A) Champions League · 3 Nov - L 1-3 at
Milan (A) Serie A · 31 Oct - W 2-0 at
Venezia (A) Serie A · 28 Oct - W 2-1 vs Fiorentina (H) Serie A · 25 Oct
Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.
When the goals come
Atalanta
- 1-15 minutes: 4 scored, 1 conceded
- 16-30 minutes: 0 scored, 4 conceded
- 31-45 minutes: 5 scored, 3 conceded
- 46-60 minutes: 3 scored, 6 conceded
- 61-75 minutes: 3 scored, 2 conceded
- 76-90 minutes: 2 scored, 4 conceded
Inter
- 1-15 minutes: 4 scored, 5 conceded
- 16-30 minutes: 4 scored, 2 conceded
- 31-45 minutes: 3 scored, 2 conceded
- 46-60 minutes: 5 scored, 2 conceded
- 61-75 minutes: 3 scored, 1 conceded
- 76-90 minutes: 9 scored, 1 conceded
Goals in each 15-minute period, Serie A this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.
Top scorers
Atalanta
| Player | G | A |
|---|---|---|
| Nikola Krstović | 7 | 2 |
| Éderson (1 pen) | 2 | 0 |
| Charles De Ketelaere | 1 | 3 |
| Nicola Zalewski | 1 | 3 |
| Eljif Elmas | 1 | 1 |
Inter
| Player | G | A |
|---|---|---|
| Marcus Thuram | 6 | 2 |
| Lautaro Martínez | 4 | 0 |
| Francesco Pio Esposito | 3 | 1 |
| Hakan Çalhanoglu (1 pen) | 3 | 0 |
| Carlos Augusto | 2 | 2 |
Goals and assists in the Serie A this season.
Corners and yellow cards
Atalanta Inter - 4.0 Corners won 6.1
- 5.7 Corners conceded 3.0
- 1.0 Yellow cards 1.4
- 1.4 Opponents' yellow cards 1.7
Per match in the Serie A this season. Average per club and match: 4.9 corners, 1.6 yellow cards.
Attack and defence ratings
AtalantaInter0 to 100 against this season's Serie A clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.
Head-to-head
5Atalanta wins16Inter wins32 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.
- 14 Mar 2026 · Serie A Inter 1-1 Atalanta
- 28 Dec 2025 · Serie A Atalanta 0-1 Inter
- 16 Mar 2025 · Serie A Atalanta 0-2 Inter
- 2 Jan 2025 · Supercoppa Inter 2-0 Atalanta
- 30 Aug 2024 · Serie A Inter 4-0 Atalanta
Table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 25:9 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 | Inter | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28:13 | +15 | 28 |
| 3 |  Roma | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 31:10 | +21 | 27 |
| 4 | Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | +10 | 24 |
| 5 | Como | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | +8 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24:15 | +9 | 20 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | +3 | 18 |
| 8 |  Bologna | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16:14 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |  Cagliari | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 |  Napoli | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | +4 | 15 |
| 11 |  Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 |  Genoa | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 |  Lecce | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12:22 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 17:25 | -8 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sassuolo | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16:29 | -13 | 8 |
| 18 | Monza | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 8:21 | -13 | 6 |
| 20 |  Udinese | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12:25 | -13 | 5 |
Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table
Season projection
MembersWhere these two clubs are projected to finish in the Serie A: average points, likely range and chances.
| Club | Pts | Avg pts | Likely | Title | Top 4 | Relegated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | 14 | |||||
| Inter | 28 |
For members
Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.
Become a memberMore Serie A matches
All fixtures- Napoli Torino Our pick
- Juventus Venezia Our pick
- Bologna Udinese Our pick
- Sassuolo Genoa Our pick
- Milan Frosinone Our pick
- Monza Fiorentina Our pick
Times are UTC.