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Serie A · Matchday 12

Milan vs Frosinone: Match Preview & Stats

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Milan: 5 of 9 right
  • Frosinone: 5 of 6 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Serie A, Matchday 12
Kick-off
Venue
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
Since last match
Milan: 14 days (Serie A) · Genoa (1‑2) Frosinone: 15 days (Serie A) · Cagliari (1‑0)
Next match
Milan: 4 days (Europa League) later · Olympiacos Frosinone: 5 days (Serie A) later

Last starting XI

Milan 3-4-3

  1. 16 Maignan
  2. 34 Gila
  3. 5 De Winter
  4. 13 Diawara
  5. 19 Moreira
  6. 10 Modrić
  7. 14 Rabiot
  8. 80 Musah
  9. 11 Pulisic
  10. 9 Ramos
  11. 70 Cissè

Coach: Ruben Amorim at Genoa, 2-1 · Serie A · 8 Nov

Frosinone 4-2-3-1

  1. 22 Palmisani
  2. 20 Oyono
  3. 3 Calvani
  4. 30 Monterisi
  5. 79 Bracaglia
  6. 16 Cichella
  7. 14 Calò
  8. 7 Ghedjemis
  9. 10 Schmid
  10. 17 Kvernadze
  11. 11 Bîrligea

Coach: Massimiliano Alvini at Cagliari, 0-1 · Serie A · 7 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Milan

  • GK Pietro TerraccianoInjured · Doubtful
  • DF Fikayo TomoriInjured · Doubtful
  • DF Matteo GabbiaInjured · Early January 2027
  • DF Strahinja PavlovićInjured · About 1-2 weeks
  • MF Alexis SaelemaekersInjured · Mid January 2027
  • MF Ruben Loftus-CheekInjured · Doubtful
  • FW Samuel ChukwuezeInjured · Mid January 2027

Frosinone

  • DF Gabriele BracagliaSuspended
  • DF Aleksa TerzićInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Florian GrillitschInjured · Late November 2026
  • FW Antonio RaimondoInjured · Late January 2027

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Milan

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 10.0%
Missing minutes share 14.0%
7 players out 2 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • DF Strahinja Pavlović 3% attack · 6% mins

Frosinone

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 18.0%
Missing minutes share 14.0%
4 players out 2 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • FW Antonio Raimondo 13% attack · 6% mins
  • DF Gabriele Bracaglia 2% attack · 6% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Milan Frosinone
Box & Territory Pressure 41 78
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 32 73
Finishing Efficiency 84 87
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 78 67
Underlying Play Power 56 51
Milan Results above play quality (running hot)
Frosinone Results above play quality (running hot)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Milan

When scoring first 80% won · 100% unbeaten (10 matches)
When conceding first 20% points rescued · 0% won (5 matches)
1st Half: 48% 2nd Half: 52%
First 15': 26% Last 15' (76-90'): 4%

Frosinone

When scoring first 75% won · 100% unbeaten (8 matches)
When conceding first 0% points rescued · 0% won (3 matches)
1st Half: 58% 2nd Half: 42%
First 15': 17% Last 15' (76-90'): 17%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Milan

  1. 1. MF Adrien Rabiot 4G · 3A
    Team attack 14.0% Team shots 10.0%
  2. 2. FW Christian Pulisic 4G · 0A
    Team attack 13.0% Team shots 11.0%
  3. 3. MF Alphadjo Cissè 6G · 0A
    Team attack 13.0% Team shots 10.0%

Frosinone

  1. 1. MF Giacomo Calò 5G · 0A
    Team attack 17.0% Team shots 15.0%
  2. 2. FW Giorgi Kvernadze 3G · 3A
    Team attack 15.0% Team shots 14.0%
  3. 3. FW Farès Ghedjemis 1G · 4A
    Team attack 14.0% Team shots 15.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Scoring trends Milan Frosinone
Over 1.5 goals 10/10 9/10
Over 2.5 goals 7/10 5/10
Over 3.5 goals 4/10 4/10
Both teams scored 5/10 6/10
Clean sheet 3/10 2/10
Failed to score 2/10 2/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 2.0 / 1.4 2.2 / 1.5

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Milan

  • W 2-1 at Genoa (A) Serie A · 8 Nov
  • L 0-2 vs Ferencváros (H) Europa League · 5 Nov
  • W 3-1 vs Inter (H) Serie A · 31 Oct
  • L 2-4 vs Bologna (H) Serie A · 28 Oct
  • W 2-0 at Udinese (A) Serie A · 25 Oct

Frosinone

  • L 0-1 at Cagliari (A) Serie A · 7 Nov
  • W 2-0 vs Torino (H) Serie A · 1 Nov
  • W 5-1 vs Lecce (H) Serie A · 29 Oct
  • D 4-4 at Atalanta (A) Serie A · 25 Oct
  • W 4-2 vs Sassuolo (H) Serie A · 16 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Milan

  • 1-15 minutes: 6 scored, 2 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 3 scored, 1 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 2 scored, 1 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 1 scored, 0 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 10 scored, 4 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 1 scored, 5 conceded

Frosinone

  • 1-15 minutes: 4 scored, 2 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 6 scored, 2 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 4 scored, 5 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 4 scored, 2 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 2 scored, 2 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 4 scored, 2 conceded

Goals in each 15-minute period, Serie A this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Milan

Player G A
Adrien Rabiot 5 4
Alphadjo Cissè 5 0
Diego Moreira 4 3
Christian Pulisic 4 1
Gonçalo Ramos (1 pen) 2 2

Frosinone

Player G A
Antonio Raimondo 8 0
Giacomo Calò (1 pen) 5 1
Giorgi Kvernadze 3 4
Romano Schmid 2 4
Daniel Bîrligea 2 0

Goals and assists in the Serie A this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Milan Frosinone
  • 2.7 Corners won 7.0
  • 4.1 Corners conceded 6.3
  • 1.9 Yellow cards 1.8
  • 1.5 Opponents' yellow cards 2.3

Per match in the Serie A this season. Average per club and match: 4.9 corners, 1.6 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

MilanFrosinone
Attack 79 42 2.1 goals per match this season2.2 goals per match this season
Defence 68 11 1.2 conceded per match this season1.4 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Serie A clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1967Elo #38 Elo rating 1815Elo #118

Head-to-head

4Milan wins
2draws
0Frosinone wins

6 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 3 Feb 2024 · Serie A Frosinone 2-3 Milan
  • 2 Dec 2023 · Serie A Milan 3-1 Frosinone
  • 19 May 2019 · Serie A Milan 2-0 Frosinone
  • 26 Dec 2018 · Serie A Frosinone 0-0 Milan
  • 1 May 2016 · Serie A Milan 3-3 Frosinone

Table

Serie A: Table
#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Lazio 11 920 25:9 +16 29
2 Inter 11 911 28:13 +15 28
3 Roma 11 830 31:10 +21 27
4 Milan 11 731 23:13 +10 24
5 Como 11 722 18:10 +8 23
6 Frosinone 11 623 24:15 +9 20
7 Juventus 11 533 15:12 +3 18
8 Bologna 11 524 16:14 +2 17
9 Cagliari 11 515 10:15 -5 16
10 Napoli 11 434 18:14 +4 15
11 Torino 11 425 15:17 -2 14
12 Atalanta 11 425 17:20 -3 14
13 Genoa 11 416 11:16 -5 13
14 Lecce 11 317 12:22 -10 10
15 Fiorentina 11 236 17:25 -8 9
16 Parma 11 227 9:17 -8 8
17 Sassuolo 11 227 16:29 -13 8
18 Monza 11 218 17:25 -8 7
19 Venezia 11 209 8:21 -13 6
20 Udinese 11 128 12:25 -13 5

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Serie A: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely TitleTop 4Relegated
Milan 24
Frosinone 20

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Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

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Times are UTC.