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Serie A · Matchday 12

Monza vs Fiorentina: Match Preview & Stats

Monza crest Monza
vs
Fiorentina crest Fiorentina
U-Power Stadium, Monza

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Monza: 6 of 6 right
  • Fiorentina: 3 of 6 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Serie A, Matchday 12
Kick-off
Venue
U-Power Stadium, Monza
Since last match
Monza: 15 days (Serie A) · Atalanta (0‑1) Fiorentina: 15 days (Serie A) · Juventus (2‑2)
Next match
Monza: 5 days (Serie A) later Fiorentina: 5 days (Serie A) later

Last starting XI

Monza 3-5-2

  1. 1 Törnqvist
  2. 60 Kouadio
  3. 2 Goglichidze
  4. 3 Lucchesi
  5. 27 Touré
  6. 14 Akinsanmiro
  7. 21 Colombo
  8. 80 Mout
  9. 7 Mangas
  10. 9 Varela
  11. 46 Robinson

Coach: Ivan Jurić vs Atalanta, 0-1 · Serie A · 8 Nov

Fiorentina 4-2-3-1

  1. 43 de Gea
  2. 20 Jiménez
  3. 3 Drăgușin
  4. 33 Viery
  5. 17 Mário
  6. 27 Ndour
  7. 42 Oulaï
  8. 30 Mastantuono
  9. 28 Pote
  10. 25 Njie
  11. 32 Pellegrino

Coach: Paolo Vanoli vs Juventus, 2-2 · Serie A · 8 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Monza

  • – Ivan JurićSuspended
  • DF Yvan Kouadio MayeInjured · Back in training
  • MF Mathis MoutInjured · Doubtful
  • MF Michael FolorunshoInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Samuele BirindelliInjured · Doubtful

Fiorentina

  • DF Marin PongračićInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Arthur AttaInjured · Doubtful
  • MF Fabiano ParisiInjured · Early December 2026

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Monza

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 15.0%
Missing minutes share 13.0%
5 players out 2 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • MF Samuele Birindelli 10% attack · 7% mins
  • MF Michael Folorunsho 3% attack · 3% mins

Fiorentina

Low impact
Missing attack share 5.0%
Missing minutes share 4.0%
3 players out
Key absences:
  • MF Arthur Atta 3% attack · 2% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 9 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Monza Fiorentina
Box & Territory Pressure 48 64
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 38 48
Finishing Efficiency 84 49
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 27 25
Underlying Play Power 56 61
Monza Playing above results (positive regression candidate)
Fiorentina Playing above results (positive regression candidate)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 9 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Monza

When scoring first 40% won · 60% unbeaten (5 matches)
When conceding first 0% points rescued · 0% won (8 matches)
1st Half: 44% 2nd Half: 56%
First 15': 6% Last 15' (76-90'): 17%

Fiorentina

When scoring first 20% won · 60% unbeaten (5 matches)
When conceding first 44% points rescued · 22% won (9 matches)
1st Half: 35% 2nd Half: 65%
First 15': 5% Last 15' (76-90'): 20%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Monza

  1. 1. FW Gustavo Varela 7G · 1A
    Team attack 23.0% Team shots 18.0%
  2. 2. MF Jay Robinson 2G · 1A
    Team attack 10.0% Team shots 10.0%
  3. 3. MF Dany Mota 0G · 2A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 10.0%

Fiorentina

  1. 1. FW Franco Mastantuono 4G · 0A
    Team attack 18.0% Team shots 24.0%
  2. 2. FW Alieu Njie 3G · 2A
    Team attack 15.0% Team shots 12.0%
  3. 3. FW Mateo Pellegrino 4G · 0A
    Team attack 11.0% Team shots 9.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Monza Fiorentina
Over 1.5 goals 8/10 10/10
Over 2.5 goals 7/10 9/10
Over 3.5 goals 5/10 5/10
Both teams scored 7/10 9/10
Clean sheet 2/10 1/10
Failed to score 1/10 0/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 1.5 / 1.8 2.0 / 1.8

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Monza

  • L 0-1 vs Atalanta (H) Serie A · 8 Nov
  • L 1-2 at Bologna (A) Serie A · 31 Oct
  • L 1-4 vs Napoli (H) Serie A · 28 Oct
  • L 2-3 at Torino (A) Serie A · 23 Oct
  • W 4-0 vs Cagliari (H) Serie A · 19 Oct

Fiorentina

  • D 2-2 vs Juventus (H) Serie A · 8 Nov
  • W 4-2 at Sassuolo (A) Serie A · 2 Nov
  • D 2-2 vs Atalanta (H) Serie A · 29 Oct
  • L 1-2 at Inter (A) Serie A · 25 Oct
  • L 1-3 vs Como (H) Serie A · 18 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Monza

Fiorentina

Goals in each 15-minute period, Serie A this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Monza

Player G A
Gustavo Varela (2 pens) 9 1
Jay Robinson 2 1
Ricardo Mangas 1 2
Andrea Colpani 1 0
Eddy Kouadio 1 0

Fiorentina

Player G A
Franco Mastantuono 4 0
Mateo Pellegrino 4 0
Alieu Njie 3 2
Álex Jiménez 2 2
João Mário 1 0

Goals and assists in the Serie A this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Monza Fiorentina
  • 4.1 Corners won 4.8
  • 4.3 Corners conceded 4.7
  • 1.9 Yellow cards 2.2
  • 1.7 Opponents' yellow cards 2.0

Per match in the Serie A this season. Average per club and match: 4.9 corners, 1.6 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

MonzaFiorentina
Attack 11 58 1.5 goals per match this season1.5 goals per match this season
Defence 0 42 2.3 conceded per match this season2.3 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Serie A clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1716Elo #214 Elo rating 1824Elo #108

Head-to-head

2Monza wins
2draws
3Fiorentina wins

7 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 13 Jan 2025 · Serie A Monza 2-1 Fiorentina
  • 1 Sep 2024 · Serie A Fiorentina 2-2 Monza
  • 13 May 2024 · Serie A Fiorentina 2-1 Monza
  • 22 Dec 2023 · Serie A Monza 0-1 Fiorentina
  • 23 Apr 2023 · Serie A Monza 3-2 Fiorentina

Table

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Lazio 11 920 25:9 +16 29
2 Inter 11 911 28:13 +15 28
3 Roma 11 830 31:10 +21 27
4 Milan 11 731 23:13 +10 24
5 Como 11 722 18:10 +8 23
6 Frosinone 11 623 24:15 +9 20
7 Juventus 11 533 15:12 +3 18
8 Bologna 11 524 16:14 +2 17
9 Cagliari 11 515 10:15 -5 16
10 Napoli 11 434 18:14 +4 15
11 Torino 11 425 15:17 -2 14
12 Atalanta 11 425 17:20 -3 14
13 Genoa 11 416 11:16 -5 13
14 Lecce 11 317 12:22 -10 10
15 Fiorentina 11 236 17:25 -8 9
16 Parma 11 227 9:17 -8 8
17 Sassuolo 11 227 16:29 -13 8
18 Monza 11 218 17:25 -8 7
19 Venezia 11 209 8:21 -13 6
20 Udinese 11 128 12:25 -13 5

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Serie A: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely TitleTop 4Relegated
Monza 7
Fiorentina 9

For members

Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

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Times are UTC.