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Serie A · Matchday 12

Lazio vs Lecce: Match Preview & Stats

Stadio Olimpico, Roma

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Lazio: 4 of 6 right
  • Lecce: 3 of 6 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Serie A, Matchday 12
Kick-off
Venue
Stadio Olimpico, Roma
Since last match
Lazio: 13 days (Serie A) · Napoli (1‑1) Lecce: 14 days (Serie A) · Torino (1‑1)
Next match
Lazio: 7 days (Serie A) later Lecce: 9 days (Serie A) later

Last starting XI

Lazio 4-3-3

  1. 35 Mandas
  2. 15 Floriani
  3. 37 Šutalo
  4. 25 Provstgaard
  5. 17 Tavares
  6. 16 Frattesi
  7. 21 Belahyane
  8. 24 Taylor
  9. 11 Isaksen
  10. 9 Pinamonti
  11. 14 Noslin

Coach: Gennaro Gattuso at Napoli, 1-1 · Serie A · 8 Nov

Lecce 3-5-2

  1. 30 Falcone
  2. 17 Veiga
  3. 4 Gaspar
  4. 44 Gabriel
  5. 2 Dembélé
  6. 77 Kaba
  7. 79 Ngom
  8. 14 Maleh
  9. 25 Gallo
  10. 9 Štulić
  11. 7 Fatah

Coach: Eusebio Di Francesco at Torino, 1-1 · Serie A · 7 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Lazio

  • DF Josip ŠutaloInjured · Early December 2026
  • DF Nuno TavaresInjured · Early December 2026
  • FW Albert GuðmundssonInjured · Late November 2026
  • FW Mattia ZaccagniInjured · Early December 2026

Lecce

  • MF Ivan IlićInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Medon BerishaInjured · Doubtful
  • FW Joël MonteiroInjured · Late November 2026
  • FW Santiago PierottiInjured · Late November 2026

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Lazio

High impact
Missing attack share 29.0%
Missing minutes share 19.0%
4 players out 3 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • FW Mattia Zaccagni 18% attack · 7% mins
  • DF Nuno Tavares 9% attack · 6% mins

Lecce

High impact
Missing attack share 12.0%
Missing minutes share 9.0%
4 players out 3 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • FW Joël Monteiro 6% attack · 4% mins
  • MF Ivan Ilić 4% attack · 2% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Lazio Lecce
Box & Territory Pressure 56 43
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 37 70
Finishing Efficiency 91 59
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 86 15
Underlying Play Power 64 28
Lazio Results above play quality (running hot)
Lecce Playing above results (positive regression candidate)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Lazio

When scoring first 78% won · 100% unbeaten (9 matches)
When conceding first 67% points rescued · 67% won (6 matches)
1st Half: 48% 2nd Half: 52%
First 15': 17% Last 15' (76-90'): 17%

Lecce

When scoring first 100% won · 100% unbeaten (6 matches)
When conceding first 11% points rescued · 0% won (9 matches)
1st Half: 50% 2nd Half: 50%
First 15': 28% Last 15' (76-90'): 22%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Lazio

  1. 1. FW Tijjani Noslin 4G · 4A
    Team attack 13.0% Team shots 11.0%
  2. 2. FW Gustav Isaksen 4G · 1A
    Team attack 11.0% Team shots 15.0%
  3. 3. MF Davide Frattesi 3G · 0A
    Team attack 10.0% Team shots 11.0%

Lecce

  1. 1. FW Konan N’Dri 2G · 0A
    Team attack 11.0% Team shots 13.0%
  2. 2. MF Lassana Coulibaly 2G · 1A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 7.0%
  3. 3. FW Amar Fatah 1G · 0A
    Team attack 7.0% Team shots 9.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Scoring trends Lazio Lecce
Over 1.5 goals 9/10 9/10
Over 2.5 goals 7/10 7/10
Over 3.5 goals 3/10 3/10
Both teams scored 7/10 5/10
Clean sheet 3/10 1/10
Failed to score 0/10 4/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 2.4 / 0.9 1.0 / 2.2

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Lazio

  • D 1-1 at Napoli (A) Serie A · 8 Nov
  • W 2-1 vs Cagliari (H) Serie A · 1 Nov
  • W 6-2 at Sassuolo (A) Serie A · 27 Oct
  • W 2-1 vs Parma (H) Serie A · 24 Oct
  • W 3-0 at Juventus (A) Serie A · 18 Oct

Lecce

  • D 1-1 at Torino (A) Serie A · 7 Nov
  • L 1-2 vs Genoa (H) Serie A · 1 Nov
  • L 1-5 at Frosinone (A) Serie A · 29 Oct
  • L 0-2 vs Juventus (H) Serie A · 25 Oct
  • W 3-0 at Udinese (A) Serie A · 18 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Lazio

  • 1-15 minutes: 5 scored, 1 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 3 scored, 1 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 4 scored, 1 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 6 scored, 3 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 3 scored, 2 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 4 scored, 1 conceded

Lecce

  • 1-15 minutes: 3 scored, 3 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 1 scored, 8 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 2 scored, 2 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 1 scored, 2 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 2 scored, 5 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 3 scored, 2 conceded

Goals in each 15-minute period, Serie A this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Lazio

Player G A
Tijjani Noslin 4 4
Gustav Isaksen 4 1
Davide Frattesi 4 0
Mattia Zaccagni (1 pen) 2 5
Andrea Pinamonti 2 1

Lecce

Player G A
Lassana Coulibaly 2 2
Tiago Gabriel 2 1
Konan N’Dri 2 0
Olaf Gorter 1 1
Amar Fatah 1 0

Goals and assists in the Serie A this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Lazio Lecce
  • 4.8 Corners won 4.5
  • 4.4 Corners conceded 4.1
  • 1.5 Yellow cards 1.9
  • 2.5 Opponents' yellow cards 0.6

Per match in the Serie A this season. Average per club and match: 4.9 corners, 1.6 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

LazioLecce
Attack 63 0 2.3 goals per match this season1.1 goals per match this season
Defence 79 21 0.8 conceded per match this season2.0 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Serie A clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1958Elo #41 Elo rating 1712Elo #224

Head-to-head

6Lazio wins
3draws
5Lecce wins

14 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 24 Jan 2026 · Serie A Lecce 0-0 Lazio
  • 23 Nov 2025 · Serie A Lazio 2-0 Lecce
  • 25 May 2025 · Serie A Lazio 0-1 Lecce
  • 21 Dec 2024 · Serie A Lecce 1-2 Lazio
  • 14 Jan 2024 · Serie A Lazio 1-0 Lecce

Table

Serie A: Table
#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Lazio 11 920 25:9 +16 29
2 Inter 11 911 28:13 +15 28
3 Roma 11 830 31:10 +21 27
4 Milan 11 731 23:13 +10 24
5 Como 11 722 18:10 +8 23
6 Frosinone 11 623 24:15 +9 20
7 Juventus 11 533 15:12 +3 18
8 Bologna 11 524 16:14 +2 17
9 Cagliari 11 515 10:15 -5 16
10 Napoli 11 434 18:14 +4 15
11 Torino 11 425 15:17 -2 14
12 Atalanta 11 425 17:20 -3 14
13 Genoa 11 416 11:16 -5 13
14 Lecce 11 317 12:22 -10 10
15 Fiorentina 11 236 17:25 -8 9
16 Parma 11 227 9:17 -8 8
17 Sassuolo 11 227 16:29 -13 8
18 Monza 11 218 17:25 -8 7
19 Venezia 11 209 8:21 -13 6
20 Udinese 11 128 12:25 -13 5

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Serie A: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely TitleTop 4Relegated
Lazio 29
Lecce 10

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Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

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Times are UTC.