OptimaGoal
Language: EN
Serie A · Matchday 12

Como vs Cagliari: Match Preview & Stats

Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Como: 7 of 9 right
  • Cagliari: 5 of 6 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Serie A, Matchday 12
Kick-off
Venue
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como
Since last match
Como: 12 days (Serie A) · Inter (2‑0) Cagliari: 14 days (Serie A) · Frosinone (1‑0)
Next match
Como: 3 days (Champions League) later · AEK Athens Cagliari: 9 days (Serie A) later

Last starting XI

Como 4-2-3-1

  1. 97 Sánchez
  2. 27 Couto
  3. 14 Ramón
  4. 2 Kempf
  5. 3 Valle
  6. 5 Perrone
  7. 6 Milla
  8. 21 Da Cunha
  9. 10 Paz
  10. 16 Baturina
  11. 9 Douvikas

Coach: Cesc Fàbregas at Inter, 0-2 · Serie A · 8 Nov

Cagliari 4-3-3

  1. 1 Caprile
  2. 2 Pedro
  3. 22 Kofler
  4. 15 Rodríguez
  5. 36 Grandu
  6. 8 Adopo
  7. 17 Romano
  8. 14 Deiola
  9. 19 Trepy
  10. 31 Mendy
  11. 70 Maldini

Coach: Fabio Pisacane vs Frosinone, 1-0 · Serie A · 7 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Como

  • DF Trevoh ChalobahInjured · Doubtful
  • FW Assane DiaoInjured · Late November 2026
  • FW Jayden AddaiInjured · Late November 2026
  • FW Jesús RodríguezInjured · Late November 2026
  • FW Moise KeanInjured · Doubtful

Cagliari

  • DF Yerry MinaInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Giuseppe AurelioInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Harry WinksInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Mattia FeliciInjured · Out for the season
  • MF Riyad IdrissiInjured · Late November 2026
  • FW Alieu FaderaInjured · Late November 2026
  • FW M'Bala NzolaInjured · Late November 2026
  • FW Yael TrepyInjured · Late November 2026

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Como

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 7.0%
Missing minutes share 7.0%
5 players out 1 regular starter out
Key absences:
  • FW Assane Diao 4% attack · 2% mins

Cagliari

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 22.0%
Missing minutes share 15.0%
8 players out 2 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • FW M'Bala Nzola 9% attack · 2% mins
  • FW Alieu Fadera 7% attack · 2% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Como Cagliari
Box & Territory Pressure 61 33
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 42 32
Finishing Efficiency 88 77
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 47 63
Underlying Play Power 73 32
Como Results above play quality (running hot)
Cagliari Balanced (results match underlying play)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Como

When scoring first 89% won · 89% unbeaten (9 matches)
When conceding first 60% points rescued · 40% won (5 matches)
1st Half: 43% 2nd Half: 57%
First 15': 8% Last 15' (76-90'): 24%

Cagliari

When scoring first 62% won · 75% unbeaten (8 matches)
When conceding first 33% points rescued · 33% won (6 matches)
1st Half: 64% 2nd Half: 36%
First 15': 7% Last 15' (76-90'): 14%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Como

  1. 1. MF Nico Paz 5G · 5A
    Team attack 19.0% Team shots 25.0%
  2. 2. FW Anastasios Douvikas 8G · 1A
    Team attack 18.0% Team shots 16.0%
  3. 3. MF Lucas Da Cunha 2G · 1A
    Team attack 8.0% Team shots 9.0%

Cagliari

  1. 1. FW Daniel Maldini 5G · 0A
    Team attack 21.0% Team shots 14.0%
  2. 2. FW Paul Mendy 1G · 2A
    Team attack 15.0% Team shots 16.0%
  3. 3. MF Michel Ndary Adopo 1G · 1A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 8.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Scoring trends Como Cagliari
Over 1.5 goals 8/10 7/10
Over 2.5 goals 5/10 5/10
Over 3.5 goals 5/10 2/10
Both teams scored 5/10 5/10
Clean sheet 3/10 3/10
Failed to score 3/10 2/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 2.4 / 1.1 1.0 / 1.6

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Como

  • L 0-2 at Inter (A) Serie A · 8 Nov
  • W 9-1 at Lens (A) Champions League · 4 Nov
  • W 1-0 vs Venezia (H) Serie A · 1 Nov
  • W 3-1 at Torino (A) Serie A · 27 Oct
  • W 2-0 vs Sassuolo (H) Serie A · 24 Oct

Cagliari

  • W 1-0 vs Frosinone (H) Serie A · 7 Nov
  • L 1-2 at Lazio (A) Serie A · 1 Nov
  • L 2-4 at Roma (A) Serie A · 27 Oct
  • L 0-2 vs Bologna (H) Serie A · 24 Oct
  • L 0-4 at Monza (A) Serie A · 19 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Como

  • 1-15 minutes: 0 scored, 2 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 4 scored, 5 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 5 scored, 2 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 4 scored, 0 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 0 scored, 0 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 5 scored, 1 conceded

Cagliari

  • 1-15 minutes: 1 scored, 2 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 4 scored, 1 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 1 scored, 3 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 1 scored, 2 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 1 scored, 1 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 2 scored, 6 conceded

Goals in each 15-minute period, Serie A this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Como

Player G A
Anastasios Douvikas 5 0
Nico Paz 3 3
Martin Baturina 3 1
Assane Diao 2 1
Jacobo Ramón 2 0

Cagliari

Player G A
Daniel Maldini (1 pen) 5 0
M'Bala Nzola (1 pen) 2 0
Michel Ndary Adopo 1 2
Paul Mendy 1 2
Alessandro Romano 1 0

Goals and assists in the Serie A this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Como Cagliari
  • 6.6 Corners won 3.8
  • 4.1 Corners conceded 6.5
  • 1.1 Yellow cards 1.6
  • 1.8 Opponents' yellow cards 1.2

Per match in the Serie A this season. Average per club and match: 4.9 corners, 1.6 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

ComoCagliari
Attack 89 16 1.6 goals per match this season0.9 goals per match this season
Defence 84 37 0.9 conceded per match this season1.4 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Serie A clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1985Elo #33 Elo rating 1761Elo #159

Head-to-head

2Como wins
5draws
1Cagliari wins

8 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 7 Mar 2026 · Serie A Cagliari 1-2 Como
  • 8 Nov 2025 · Serie A Como 0-0 Cagliari
  • 10 May 2025 · Serie A Como 3-1 Cagliari
  • 26 Aug 2024 · Serie A Cagliari 1-1 Como
  • 14 Jan 2023 · Serie B Cagliari 2-0 Como

Table

Serie A: Table
#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Lazio 11 920 25:9 +16 29
2 Inter 11 911 28:13 +15 28
3 Roma 11 830 31:10 +21 27
4 Milan 11 731 23:13 +10 24
5 Como 11 722 18:10 +8 23
6 Frosinone 11 623 24:15 +9 20
7 Juventus 11 533 15:12 +3 18
8 Bologna 11 524 16:14 +2 17
9 Cagliari 11 515 10:15 -5 16
10 Napoli 11 434 18:14 +4 15
11 Torino 11 425 15:17 -2 14
12 Atalanta 11 425 17:20 -3 14
13 Genoa 11 416 11:16 -5 13
14 Lecce 11 317 12:22 -10 10
15 Fiorentina 11 236 17:25 -8 9
16 Parma 11 227 9:17 -8 8
17 Sassuolo 11 227 16:29 -13 8
18 Monza 11 218 17:25 -8 7
19 Venezia 11 209 8:21 -13 6
20 Udinese 11 128 12:25 -13 5

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Serie A: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely TitleTop 4Relegated
Como 23
Cagliari 16

For members

Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

Become a member

Every Serie A club's projection →

More Serie A matches

All fixtures

Times are UTC.