Serie A · Matchday 12

Parma vs Roma: Match Preview & Stats

Parma

Roma

Saturday 21 November 2026, 17:00 UTC Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on Thursday 19 November 2026, 17:00 UTC. (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

Parma: 4 of 6 right
Roma: 7 of 9 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition: Serie A, Matchday 12
Kick-off: Saturday 21 November 2026, 17:00 UTC
Venue: Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
Since last match: Parma: 14 days (Serie A) · Bologna (1‑2) Roma: 13 days (Serie A) · Sassuolo (3‑0)
Next match: Parma: 6 days (Serie A) later Roma: 4 days (Champions League) later · Paris Saint-Germain

Last starting XI

Parma 3-5-2

30 Daffara
15 Del Prato
37 Troilo
3 Ndiaye
8 Cremaschi
80 Fabbian
4 Sierro
6 Keita
14 Valeri
76 Lontani
9 Romero

Coach: Alberto Gilardino vs Bologna, 1-2 · Serie A · 7 Nov

Roma 3-4-2-1

32 Vásquez
26 Balerdi
5 N'Dicka
22 Hermoso
20 Molina
4 Cristante
17 Koné
43 Wesley
18 Soulé
86 Mora
14 Malen

Coach: Gian Piero Gasperini vs Sassuolo, 3-0 · Serie A · 7 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Parma

DF Abdoulaye NdiayeSuspended
DF Dominik DrobničInjured · Late November 2026
MF Adrián BernabéInjured · About 1-2 weeks
FW David RomeroInjured · Late November 2026

Roma

GK Mile SvilarInjured · Late November 2026
GK Pierluigi GolliniInjured · About 1-2 weeks
MF Devyne RenschInjured · Late November 2026
MF Lorenzo PellegriniInjured · Late November 2026
MF Paulo DybalaInjured · Back in training

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Parma

Moderate impact

Missing attack share 18.0%

Missing minutes share 12.0%

4 players out 2 regular starters out

Key absences:

FW David Romero 11% attack · 4% mins
MF Adrián Bernabé 6% attack · 2% mins

Roma

Moderate impact

Missing attack share 6.0%

Missing minutes share 13.0%

5 players out 1 regular starter out

Key absences:

MF Paulo Dybala 3% attack · 2% mins
GK Pierluigi Gollini 0% attack · 6% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Parma Roma

Box & Territory Pressure 39 71

Set-Piece & Corner Threat 29 51

Finishing Efficiency 68 89

Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 48 61

Underlying Play Power 19 69

Parma Results above play quality (running hot)

Roma Results above play quality (running hot)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Parma

When scoring first 100% won · 100% unbeaten (3 matches)

When conceding first 9% points rescued · 0% won (11 matches)

1st Half: 17% 2nd Half: 83%

First 15': 0% Last 15' (76-90'): 50%

Roma

When scoring first 64% won · 82% unbeaten (11 matches)

When conceding first 100% points rescued · 67% won (3 matches)

1st Half: 51% 2nd Half: 49%

First 15': 12% Last 15' (76-90'): 20%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Parma

1. FW Simone Lontani 3G · 0A

Team attack 11.0% Team shots 17.0%
2. MF Emanuele Valeri 0G · 0A

Team attack 10.0% Team shots 2.0%
3. FW El Bilal Touré 0G · 1A

Team attack 9.0% Team shots 13.0%

Roma

1. FW Donyell Malen 6G · 3A

Team attack 20.0% Team shots 20.0%
2. MF Matias Soulé 2G · 4A

Team attack 13.0% Team shots 13.0%
3. MF Rodrigo Mora 3G · 2A

Team attack 9.0% Team shots 7.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Scoring trends

Scoring trends	Parma	Roma
Over 1.5 goals	9/10	9/10
Over 2.5 goals	7/10	8/10
Over 3.5 goals	0/10	7/10
Both teams scored	5/10	6/10
Clean sheet	2/10	4/10
Failed to score	4/10	1/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded)	0.9 / 1.6	2.8 / 1.6

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Parma

L 1-2 vs Bologna (H) Serie A · 7 Nov
W 3-0 at Atalanta (A) Serie A · 2 Nov
D 0-0 vs Udinese (H) Serie A · 28 Oct
L 1-2 at Lazio (A) Serie A · 24 Oct
L 0-3 vs Torino (H) Serie A · 19 Oct

Roma

W 3-0 vs Sassuolo (H) Serie A · 7 Nov
L 2-3 at Manchester United (A) Champions League · 3 Nov
W 5-2 at Udinese (A) Serie A · 31 Oct
W 4-2 vs Cagliari (H) Serie A · 27 Oct
D 3-3 at Napoli (A) Serie A · 24 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Parma

1-15 minutes: 0 scored, 2 conceded
16-30 minutes: 0 scored, 3 conceded
31-45 minutes: 2 scored, 2 conceded
46-60 minutes: 3 scored, 3 conceded
61-75 minutes: 0 scored, 4 conceded
76-90 minutes: 4 scored, 3 conceded

Roma

1-15 minutes: 4 scored, 1 conceded
16-30 minutes: 6 scored, 1 conceded
31-45 minutes: 5 scored, 0 conceded
46-60 minutes: 4 scored, 4 conceded
61-75 minutes: 4 scored, 0 conceded
76-90 minutes: 8 scored, 4 conceded

Goals in each 15-minute period, Serie A this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Parma

Player	G	A
Simone Lontani	3	0
David Romero	2	0
Giovanni Fabbian	1	2
Pontus Almqvist	1	1
Vincent Sierro (1 pen)	1	1

Roma

Player	G	A
Donyell Malen	8	2
Rodrigo Mora	4	0
Matias Soulé	3	3
Niccolò Pisilli	3	0
Emanuele Lulli	2	1

Goals and assists in the Serie A this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Parma Roma

3.2 Corners won 6.4
6.6 Corners conceded 3.3
1.5 Yellow cards 1.6
1.5 Opponents' yellow cards 1.4

Per match in the Serie A this season. Average per club and match: 4.9 corners, 1.6 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

ParmaRoma

Attack 5 95 0.8 goals per match this season2.8 goals per match this season

Defence 47 95 1.5 conceded per match this season0.9 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Serie A clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1735Elo #191 Elo rating 2028Elo #23

Head-to-head

3Parma wins

3draws

15Roma wins

21 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

10 May 2026 · Serie A Parma 2-3 Roma
29 Oct 2025 · Serie A Roma 2-1 Parma
16 Feb 2025 · Serie A Parma 0-1 Roma
22 Dec 2024 · Serie A Roma 5-0 Parma
14 Mar 2021 · Serie A Parma 2-0 Roma

Table

Serie A: Table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Lazio	11	9	2	0	25:9	+16	29
2	Inter	11	9	1	1	28:13	+15	28
3	Roma	11	8	3	0	31:10	+21	27
4	Milan	11	7	3	1	23:13	+10	24
5	Como	11	7	2	2	18:10	+8	23
6	Frosinone	11	6	2	3	24:15	+9	20
7	Juventus	11	5	3	3	15:12	+3	18
8	Bologna	11	5	2	4	16:14	+2	17
9	Cagliari	11	5	1	5	10:15	-5	16
10	Napoli	11	4	3	4	18:14	+4	15
11	Torino	11	4	2	5	15:17	-2	14
12	Atalanta	11	4	2	5	17:20	-3	14
13	Genoa	11	4	1	6	11:16	-5	13
14	Lecce	11	3	1	7	12:22	-10	10
15	Fiorentina	11	2	3	6	17:25	-8	9
16	Parma	11	2	2	7	9:17	-8	8
17	Sassuolo	11	2	2	7	16:29	-13	8
18	Monza	11	2	1	8	17:25	-8	7
19	Venezia	11	2	0	9	8:21	-13	6
20	Udinese	11	1	2	8	12:25	-13	5

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Serie A: average points, likely range and chances.

Club	Pts	Avg pts	Likely	Title	Top 4	Relegated
Parma	8
Roma	27

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Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

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Times are UTC.