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Süper Lig · Matchday 12

Galatasaray vs Samsunspor: Match Preview & Stats

RAMS Park, İstanbul

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Galatasaray: 7 of 8 right
  • Samsunspor: 4 of 5 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Süper Lig, Matchday 12
Kick-off
Venue
RAMS Park, İstanbul
Since last match
Galatasaray: 13 days (Süper Lig) · Amed Sportif (4‑3) Samsunspor: 14 days (Süper Lig) · Konyaspor (1‑0)
Next match
Galatasaray: 3 days (Champions League) later · Aston Villa Samsunspor: 7 days (Süper Lig) later

Last starting XI

Galatasaray 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Çakir
  2. 7 Sallai
  3. 6 Sánchez
  4. 4 Jakobs
  5. 13 Elmali
  6. 34 Torreira
  7. 99 Lemina
  8. 17 Akgün
  9. 83 Batrakov
  10. 27 Leão
  11. 21 Yilmaz

Coach: Okan Buruk vs Amed Sportif, 4-3 · Süper Lig · 7 Nov

Samsunspor 4-2-3-1

  1. 25 Bayazit
  2. 2 Mendes
  3. 16 Eraković
  4. 3 Drapiński
  5. 17 Tómasson
  6. 4 Watt
  7. 8 Onur
  8. 10 Coulibaly
  9. 42 Sekongo
  10. 77 Sousa
  11. 18 Bayo

Coach: Nenad Bjelica vs Konyaspor, 1-0 · Süper Lig · 7 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Galatasaray

  • FW Rafael LeãoInjured · Late November 2026
  • FW Victor OsimhenInjured · Late November 2026

Samsunspor

  • MF Anto SekongoInjured · Doubtful
  • MF Celil YükselInjured · Late November 2026
  • FW Fatih KayaInjured · Late November 2026

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Galatasaray

High impact
Missing attack share 25.0%
Missing minutes share 10.0%
2 players out 2 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • FW Victor Osimhen 13% attack · 5% mins
  • FW Rafael Leão 12% attack · 5% mins

Samsunspor

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 16.0%
Missing minutes share 11.0%
3 players out 2 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • MF Anto Sekongo 7% attack · 5% mins
  • MF Celil Yüksel 5% attack · 5% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Galatasaray Samsunspor
Box & Territory Pressure 67 37
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 70 39
Finishing Efficiency 66 31
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 40 21
Underlying Play Power 60 23
Galatasaray Results above play quality (running hot)
Samsunspor Playing above results (positive regression candidate)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Galatasaray

When scoring first 77% won · 85% unbeaten (13 matches)
When conceding first 50% points rescued · 50% won (2 matches)
1st Half: 51% 2nd Half: 49%
First 15': 20% Last 15' (76-90'): 20%

Samsunspor

When scoring first 80% won · 80% unbeaten (5 matches)
When conceding first 20% points rescued · 10% won (10 matches)
1st Half: 57% 2nd Half: 43%
First 15': 5% Last 15' (76-90'): 29%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Galatasaray

  1. 1. MF Aleksey Batrakov 6G · 3A
    Team attack 15.0% Team shots 8.0%
  2. 2. FW Bariş Alper Yilmaz 2G · 2A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 7.0%
  3. 3. MF Yunus Akgün 2G · 0A
    Team attack 8.0% Team shots 6.0%

Samsunspor

  1. 1. FW Tanguy Coulibaly 2G · 2A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 6.0%
  2. 2. FW Emre Kilinç 0G · 1A
    Team attack 11.0% Team shots 6.0%
  3. 3. DF Logi Tómasson 2G · 0A
    Team attack 10.0% Team shots 8.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Scoring trends Galatasaray Samsunspor
Over 1.5 goals 8/10 7/10
Over 2.5 goals 7/10 5/10
Over 3.5 goals 6/10 3/10
Both teams scored 5/10 4/10
Clean sheet 4/10 2/10
Failed to score 1/10 4/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 2.2 / 1.5 0.8 / 2.3

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Galatasaray

  • W 4-3 vs Amed Sportif (H) Süper Lig · 7 Nov
  • W 2-0 vs VfB Stuttgart (H) Champions League · 3 Nov
  • W 4-0 at Konyaspor (A) Süper Lig · 30 Oct
  • W 2-1 vs Fenerbahçe (H) Süper Lig · 26 Oct
  • W 4-2 at Lille (A) Champions League · 21 Oct

Samsunspor

  • W 1-0 vs Konyaspor (H) Süper Lig · 7 Nov
  • L 2-5 at Başakşehir (A) Süper Lig · 1 Nov
  • L 1-2 vs Amed Sportif (H) Süper Lig · 24 Oct
  • L 1-4 at Kasımpaşa (A) Süper Lig · 18 Oct
  • L 0-3 vs Trabzonspor (H) Süper Lig · 10 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Galatasaray

  • 1-15 minutes: 3 scored, 1 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 4 scored, 1 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 5 scored, 2 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 5 scored, 1 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 3 scored, 7 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 7 scored, 3 conceded

Samsunspor

  • 1-15 minutes: 1 scored, 6 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 3 scored, 4 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 4 scored, 5 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 0 scored, 2 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 1 scored, 6 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 2 scored, 3 conceded

Goals in each 15-minute period, Süper Lig this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Galatasaray

Player G A
Victor Osimhen (1 pen) 9 3
Gabriel Sara 2 5
Aleksey Batrakov 2 3
Bariş Alper Yilmaz 2 1
Abdülkerim Bardakci 2 0

Samsunspor

Player G A
Tanguy Coulibaly 2 2
Logi Tómasson 2 0
Emre Kilinç 1 1
Fatih Kaya 1 1
Josafat Mendes 1 1

Goals and assists in the Süper Lig this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Galatasaray Samsunspor
  • 7.5 Corners won 4.0
  • 3.5 Corners conceded 6.0
  • 1.5 Yellow cards 1.5
  • 2.2 Opponents' yellow cards 1.7

Per match in the Süper Lig this season. Average per club and match: 4.7 corners, 1.9 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

GalatasaraySamsunspor
Attack 100 47 2.5 goals per match this season1.0 goals per match this season
Defence 100 18 1.4 conceded per match this season2.4 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Süper Lig clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1988Elo #29 Elo rating 1680Elo #258

Head-to-head

7Galatasaray wins
0draws
1Samsunspor wins

8 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 2 May 2026 · Süper Lig Samsunspor 4-1 Galatasaray
  • 5 Dec 2025 · Süper Lig Galatasaray 3-2 Samsunspor
  • 11 Apr 2025 · Süper Lig Samsunspor 0-2 Galatasaray
  • 10 Nov 2024 · Süper Lig Galatasaray 3-2 Samsunspor
  • 2 Feb 2024 · Süper Lig Samsunspor 0-2 Galatasaray

Table

Süper Lig: Table
#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Galatasaray 11 911 27:15 +12 28
2 Trabzonspor 11 812 26:8 +18 25
3 Amed Sportif 11 722 28:15 +13 23
4 Beşiktaş 11 713 23:12 +11 22
5 Kasımpaşa 11 551 17:11 +6 20
6 Fenerbahçe 11 614 29:10 +19 19
7 Kocaelispor 11 614 13:9 +4 19
8 Başakşehir 11 524 19:17 +2 17
9 Çorum FK 11 515 21:21 0 16
10 Göztepe 11 434 22:19 +3 15
11 Rizespor 11 425 13:16 -3 14
12 Erzurumspor FK 11 425 10:17 -7 14
13 Alanyaspor 11 335 9:18 -9 12
14 Gençlerbirliği 11 326 12:21 -9 11
15 Konyaspor 11 227 6:14 -8 8
16 Gaziantep FK 11 227 9:19 -10 8
17 Samsunspor 11 218 11:26 -15 7
18 Eyüpspor 11 1010 3:30 -27 3

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Süper Lig: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely TitleRelegated
Galatasaray 28
Samsunspor 7

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Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

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Times are UTC.