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Süper Lig · Matchday 12

Kocaelispor vs Fenerbahçe: Match Preview & Stats

Kocaelispor crest Kocaelispor
vs
Fenerbahçe crest Fenerbahçe
Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu, Kocaeli

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Kocaelispor: 3 of 5 right
  • Fenerbahçe: 5 of 8 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Süper Lig, Matchday 12
Kick-off
Venue
Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu, Kocaeli
Since last match
Kocaelispor: 14 days (Süper Lig) · Eyüpspor (0‑2) Fenerbahçe: 13 days (Süper Lig) · Çorum FK (0‑5)
Next match
Kocaelispor: 7 days (Süper Lig) later Fenerbahçe: 4 days (Champions League) later · Shakhtar Donetsk

Last starting XI

Kocaelispor 4-2-3-1

  1. 83 Öztasdelen
  2. 22 Yildiz
  3. 2 Dijksteel
  4. 5 Ortakaya
  5. 99 Rivas
  6. 14 Show
  7. 20 Susoho
  8. 7 Agyei
  9. 10 Kutlu
  10. 32 Baku
  11. 97 Ayé

Coach: Selçuk İnan at Eyüpspor, 2-0 · Süper Lig · 7 Nov

Fenerbahçe 4-2-3-1

  1. 31 Ederson
  2. 27 Semedo
  3. 37 Škriniar
  4. 21 Oppong
  5. 22 Mercan
  6. 6 Guendouzi
  7. 16 Yüksek
  8. 11 Greenwood
  9. 17 Kahveci
  10. 18 Aydin
  11. 9 Lukaku

Coach: Emre Belözoglu at Çorum FK, 5-0 · Süper Lig · 8 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Kocaelispor

  • GK Aleksandar JovanovicInjured · Doubtful
  • DF Massadio HaïdaraInjured · Doubtful
  • DF Tanguy ZoukrouInjured · Doubtful
  • MF ShowInjured · Doubtful
  • FW Bruno PetkovicInjured · Late November 2026

Fenerbahçe

  • DF Archie BrownSuspended
  • DF Jayden OosterwoldeInjured · Return unknown
  • DF Nathan AkéInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Marco AsensioInjured · Early January 2027
  • FW Romelu LukakuInjured · Doubtful

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Kocaelispor

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 11.0%
Missing minutes share 13.0%
5 players out 2 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • MF Show 8% attack · 7% mins
  • DF Massadio Haïdara 3% attack · 3% mins

Fenerbahçe

High impact
Missing attack share 16.0%
Missing minutes share 16.0%
5 players out 3 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • FW Romelu Lukaku 8% attack · 5% mins
  • DF Archie Brown 6% attack · 6% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Kocaelispor Fenerbahçe
Box & Territory Pressure 37 57
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 39 40
Finishing Efficiency 74 90
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 68 54
Underlying Play Power 47 63
Kocaelispor Results above play quality (running hot)
Fenerbahçe Results above play quality (running hot)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Kocaelispor

When scoring first 100% won · 100% unbeaten (5 matches)
When conceding first 22% points rescued · 11% won (9 matches)
1st Half: 57% 2nd Half: 43%
First 15': 7% Last 15' (76-90'): 29%

Fenerbahçe

When scoring first 60% won · 70% unbeaten (10 matches)
When conceding first 50% points rescued · 25% won (4 matches)
1st Half: 54% 2nd Half: 46%
First 15': 26% Last 15' (76-90'): 14%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Kocaelispor

  1. 1. MF Berkan Kutlu 4G · 1A
    Team attack 17.0% Team shots 16.0%
  2. 2. FW Florian Ayé 1G · 1A
    Team attack 10.0% Team shots 10.0%
  3. 3. FW Daniel Agyei 2G · 0A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 10.0%

Fenerbahçe

  1. 1. FW Mason Greenwood 6G · 1A
    Team attack 16.0% Team shots 18.0%
  2. 2. FW Oğuz Aydin 3G · 4A
    Team attack 13.0% Team shots 14.0%
  3. 3. FW İrfan Kahveci 5G · 2A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 10.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Kocaelispor Fenerbahçe
Over 1.5 goals 7/10 9/10
Over 2.5 goals 5/10 9/10
Over 3.5 goals 0/10 5/10
Both teams scored 4/10 4/10
Clean sheet 5/10 5/10
Failed to score 2/10 2/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 1.4 / 0.7 2.6 / 1.4

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Kocaelispor

  • W 2-0 at Eyüpspor (A) Süper Lig · 7 Nov
  • D 0-0 vs Rizespor (H) Süper Lig · 31 Oct
  • W 3-0 vs Mazıdağı Fosfat Spor (H) Turkish Cup · 27 Oct
  • W 2-1 at Alanyaspor (A) Süper Lig · 23 Oct
  • L 1-2 vs Göztepe (H) Süper Lig · 18 Oct

Fenerbahçe

  • W 5-0 at Çorum FK (A) Süper Lig · 8 Nov
  • W 3-2 vs Liverpool (H) Champions League · 4 Nov
  • L 1-2 vs Göztepe (H) Süper Lig · 31 Oct
  • L 1-2 at Galatasaray (A) Süper Lig · 26 Oct
  • D 2-2 vs Slavia Prague (H) Champions League · 20 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Kocaelispor

Fenerbahçe

Goals in each 15-minute period, Süper Lig this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Kocaelispor

Player G A
Berkan Kutlu (1 pen) 5 1
Daniel Agyei 2 0
Florian Ayé 1 1
Show 1 1
Makana Baku 1 0

Fenerbahçe

Player G A
Vedat Muriqi 7 1
Mason Greenwood (1 pen) 6 2
İrfan Kahveci 5 3
Oğuz Aydin 3 5
Mattéo Guendouzi 2 1

Goals and assists in the Süper Lig this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Kocaelispor Fenerbahçe
  • 4.0 Corners won 5.5
  • 5.3 Corners conceded 4.9
  • 2.1 Yellow cards 1.7
  • 1.8 Opponents' yellow cards 1.6

Per match in the Süper Lig this season. Average per club and match: 4.7 corners, 1.9 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

KocaelisporFenerbahçe
Attack 6 94 1.2 goals per match this season2.6 goals per match this season
Defence 76 94 0.8 conceded per match this season0.9 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Süper Lig clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1675Elo #264 Elo rating 1952Elo #46

Head-to-head

0Kocaelispor wins
0draws
2Fenerbahçe wins

2 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 2 Feb 2026 · Süper Lig Kocaelispor 0-2 Fenerbahçe
  • 23 Aug 2025 · Süper Lig Fenerbahçe 3-1 Kocaelispor

Table

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Galatasaray 11 911 27:15 +12 28
2 Trabzonspor 11 812 26:8 +18 25
3 Amed Sportif 11 722 28:15 +13 23
4 Beşiktaş 11 713 23:12 +11 22
5 Kasımpaşa 11 551 17:11 +6 20
6 Fenerbahçe 11 614 29:10 +19 19
7 Kocaelispor 11 614 13:9 +4 19
8 Başakşehir 11 524 19:17 +2 17
9 Çorum FK 11 515 21:21 0 16
10 Göztepe 11 434 22:19 +3 15
11 Rizespor 11 425 13:16 -3 14
12 Erzurumspor FK 11 425 10:17 -7 14
13 Alanyaspor 11 335 9:18 -9 12
14 Gençlerbirliği 11 326 12:21 -9 11
15 Konyaspor 11 227 6:14 -8 8
16 Gaziantep FK 11 227 9:19 -10 8
17 Samsunspor 11 218 11:26 -15 7
18 Eyüpspor 11 1010 3:30 -27 3

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Süper Lig: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely TitleRelegated
Kocaelispor 19
Fenerbahçe 19

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Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

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Times are UTC.