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Süper Lig · Matchday 12

Kasımpaşa vs Alanyaspor: Match Preview & Stats

Kasımpaşa crest Kasımpaşa
vs
Alanyaspor crest Alanyaspor
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, İstanbul

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Kasımpaşa: 3 of 5 right
  • Alanyaspor: 2 of 5 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Süper Lig, Matchday 12
Kick-off
Venue
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu, İstanbul
Since last match
Kasımpaşa: 15 days (Süper Lig) · Gaziantep FK (0‑2) Alanyaspor: 13 days (Süper Lig) · Trabzonspor (0‑2)
Next match
Kasımpaşa: 5 days (Süper Lig) later Alanyaspor: 5 days (Süper Lig) later

Last starting XI

Kasımpaşa 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Gianniotis
  2. 2 Winck
  3. 4 Arous
  4. 27 Ilie
  5. 45 Karapo
  6. 51 Da Silva
  7. 26 Demirbay
  8. 17 Rak-Sakyi
  9. 10 Hajradinović
  10. 7 Kol
  11. 9 Benedyczak

Coach: Özgür Öcal at Gaziantep FK, 2-0 · Süper Lig · 6 Nov

Alanyaspor 3-4-2-1

  1. 48 Victor
  2. 3 Lima
  3. 4 Özyurt
  4. 5 Aliti
  5. 94 Hadërgjonaj
  6. 58 Maestro
  7. 55 Gezek
  8. 88 Özdemir
  9. 11 Ruan
  10. 16 Hwang
  11. 17 Usluoğlu

Coach: João Pereira vs Trabzonspor, 0-2 · Süper Lig · 8 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Kasımpaşa

  • DF Godfried FrimpongInjured · Doubtful
  • DF Kamil CörekciInjured · Late November 2026
  • DF Kevin MouangaInjured · Doubtful
  • MF Fousseni DiabatéInjured · Doubtful
  • FW Mortadha Ben OuanesInjured · Doubtful

Alanyaspor

  • DF Fatih AksoyInjured · Doubtful
  • MF Paolo FernandesInjured · Doubtful

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Kasımpaşa

Low impact
Missing attack share 3.0%
Missing minutes share 4.0%
5 players out
Key absences:
  • MF Fousseni Diabaté 3% attack · 0% mins

Alanyaspor

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 9.0%
Missing minutes share 8.0%
2 players out 1 regular starter out
Key absences:
  • MF Paolo Fernandes 6% attack · 2% mins
  • DF Fatih Aksoy 3% attack · 5% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 9 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Kasımpaşa Alanyaspor
Box & Territory Pressure 38 37
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 57 58
Finishing Efficiency 74 20
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 62 25
Underlying Play Power 54 28
Kasımpaşa Results above play quality (running hot)
Alanyaspor Playing above results (positive regression candidate)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 9 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Kasımpaşa

When scoring first 62% won · 88% unbeaten (8 matches)
When conceding first 67% points rescued · 17% won (6 matches)
1st Half: 52% 2nd Half: 48%
First 15': 24% Last 15' (76-90'): 24%

Alanyaspor

When scoring first 57% won · 71% unbeaten (7 matches)
When conceding first 17% points rescued · 0% won (6 matches)
1st Half: 33% 2nd Half: 67%
First 15': 13% Last 15' (76-90'): 20%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Kasımpaşa

  1. 1. FW Adrian Benedyczak 5G · 2A
    Team attack 22.0% Team shots 24.0%
  2. 2. MF Kerem Demirbay 0G · 2A
    Team attack 10.0% Team shots 9.0%
  3. 3. FW Ali Kol 0G · 1A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 14.0%

Alanyaspor

  1. 1. MF Florent Hadërgjonaj 0G · 1A
    Team attack 14.0% Team shots 2.0%
  2. 2. MF Gaïus Makouta 2G · 0A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 8.0%
  3. 3. MF Ruan 1G · 1A
    Team attack 11.0% Team shots 14.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Kasımpaşa Alanyaspor
Over 1.5 goals 8/10 8/10
Over 2.5 goals 6/10 7/10
Over 3.5 goals 5/10 3/10
Both teams scored 7/10 5/10
Clean sheet 3/10 2/10
Failed to score 1/10 4/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 1.8 / 1.1 1.1 / 1.8

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Kasımpaşa

  • W 2-0 at Gaziantep FK (A) Süper Lig · 6 Nov
  • D 2-2 vs Beşiktaş (H) Süper Lig · 1 Nov
  • W 3-1 vs Çorluspor 1947 (H) Turkish Cup · 29 Oct
  • W 1-0 at Eyüpspor (A) Süper Lig · 24 Oct
  • W 4-1 vs Samsunspor (H) Süper Lig · 18 Oct

Alanyaspor

  • L 0-2 vs Trabzonspor (H) Süper Lig · 8 Nov
  • L 0-5 at Gençlerbirliği (A) Süper Lig · 2 Nov
  • W 4-1 vs 12 Bingölspor (H) Turkish Cup · 27 Oct
  • L 1-2 vs Kocaelispor (H) Süper Lig · 23 Oct
  • L 0-3 at Fenerbahçe (A) Süper Lig · 17 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Kasımpaşa

Alanyaspor

Goals in each 15-minute period, Süper Lig this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Kasımpaşa

Player G A
Adrian Benedyczak (2 pens) 7 2
Cláudio Winck 2 2
Adem Arous 2 1
Güven Yalcin 2 0
Haris Hajradinović 1 2

Alanyaspor

Player G A
Ruan 2 1
Arda Usluoğlu 2 0
Gaïus Makouta 2 0
Nuno Lima 1 0
Paolo Fernandes 1 0

Goals and assists in the Süper Lig this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Kasımpaşa Alanyaspor
  • 4.1 Corners won 4.8
  • 6.5 Corners conceded 3.9
  • 2.5 Yellow cards 1.5
  • 1.6 Opponents' yellow cards 2.1

Per match in the Süper Lig this season. Average per club and match: 4.7 corners, 1.9 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

KasımpaşaAlanyaspor
Attack 59 29 1.5 goals per match this season0.8 goals per match this season
Defence 29 41 1.0 conceded per match this season1.6 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Süper Lig clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1709Elo #228 Elo rating 1657Elo #289

Head-to-head

13Kasımpaşa wins
4draws
7Alanyaspor wins

24 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 19 Apr 2026 · Süper Lig Kasımpaşa 1-0 Alanyaspor
  • 23 Nov 2025 · Süper Lig Alanyaspor 1-2 Kasımpaşa
  • 15 Mar 2025 · Süper Lig Kasımpaşa 2-1 Alanyaspor
  • 20 Oct 2024 · Süper Lig Alanyaspor 1-2 Kasımpaşa
  • 4 Feb 2024 · Süper Lig Kasımpaşa 2-1 Alanyaspor

Table

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Galatasaray 11 911 27:15 +12 28
2 Trabzonspor 11 812 26:8 +18 25
3 Amed Sportif 11 722 28:15 +13 23
4 Beşiktaş 11 713 23:12 +11 22
5 Kasımpaşa 11 551 17:11 +6 20
6 Fenerbahçe 11 614 29:10 +19 19
7 Kocaelispor 11 614 13:9 +4 19
8 Başakşehir 11 524 19:17 +2 17
9 Çorum FK 11 515 21:21 0 16
10 Göztepe 11 434 22:19 +3 15
11 Rizespor 11 425 13:16 -3 14
12 Erzurumspor FK 11 425 10:17 -7 14
13 Alanyaspor 11 335 9:18 -9 12
14 Gençlerbirliği 11 326 12:21 -9 11
15 Konyaspor 11 227 6:14 -8 8
16 Gaziantep FK 11 227 9:19 -10 8
17 Samsunspor 11 218 11:26 -15 7
18 Eyüpspor 11 1010 3:30 -27 3

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Süper Lig: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely TitleRelegated
Kasımpaşa 20
Alanyaspor 12

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Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

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Times are UTC.