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Brasileirão Série A · Matchday 35

Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras: Match Preview & Stats

Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Cruzeiro: 2 of 3 right
  • Palmeiras: 2 of 4 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Brasileirão Série A, Matchday 35
Kick-off
Local time
20:30 (Brasília time)
Venue
Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
Referee
Anderson Daronco (4.6 yellow cards per match over the last 50 matches)
Since last match
Cruzeiro: 12 days (Brasileirão Série A) · Bahia (3‑2) Palmeiras: 10 days (Copa do Brasil) · Remo (6‑1)
Next match
Cruzeiro: 3 days (Brasileirão Série A) later · Chapecoense Palmeiras: 2 days (Brasileirão Série A) later · Flamengo

Last starting XI

Cruzeiro 4-2-3-1

  1. 81 Otávio
  2. 23 Fágner
  3. 34 Jesus
  4. 15 Bruno
  5. 27 Rojas
  6. 29 Romero
  7. 5 Lucas
  8. 99 Arroyo
  9. 9 Rodrigues
  10. 8 Gérson
  11. 19 Jorge

Coach: Artur Jorge vs Bahia, 3-2 · Série A · 6 Nov

Palmeiras 3-4-2-1

  1. 1 Miguel
  2. 26 Murilo
  3. 15 Gómez
  4. 3 Fuchs
  5. 12 Khellven
  6. 8 Pereira
  7. 17 Freitas
  8. 56 Arthur
  9. 18 Mauricio
  10. 11 Arias
  11. 9 Roque

Coach: Abel Ferreira vs Remo, 6-1 · Série A · 5 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Cruzeiro

  • DF Jonathan JesusSuspended
  • DF Kauã MoraesSuspended
  • FW WesleySuspended
  • DF Fabrício BrunoInjured · About 1-2 weeks
  • DF João MarceloInjured · Out for the season
  • MF Felipe MoraisInjured · Back in training
  • FW Gabriel PecInjured · Mid November 2026
  • FW Luis SinisterraInjured · Late December 2026
  • FW Keny ArroyoInternational duty

Palmeiras

  • DF JeftéInjured · Mid December 2026
  • DF MuriloInjured · Late November 2026
  • FW PaulinhoInjured · About 1-2 weeks

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Cruzeiro

High impact
Missing attack share 25.0%
Missing minutes share 28.0%
9 players out 4 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • FW Keny Arroyo 14% attack · 6% mins
  • DF João Marcelo 2% attack · 6% mins

Palmeiras

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 3.0%
Missing minutes share 8.0%
3 players out 1 regular starter out
Key absences:
  • DF Murilo 1% attack · 7% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 9 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Cruzeiro Palmeiras
Box & Territory Pressure 65 57
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 34 45
Finishing Efficiency 69 76
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 61 81
Underlying Play Power 76 83
Cruzeiro Balanced (results match underlying play)
Palmeiras Balanced (results match underlying play)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 9 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Cruzeiro

When scoring first 86% won · 100% unbeaten (7 matches)
When conceding first 50% points rescued · 50% won (8 matches)
1st Half: 30% 2nd Half: 70%
First 15': 7% Last 15' (76-90'): 37%

Palmeiras

When scoring first 89% won · 89% unbeaten (9 matches)
When conceding first 50% points rescued · 0% won (2 matches)
1st Half: 61% 2nd Half: 39%
First 15': 26% Last 15' (76-90'): 13%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Cruzeiro

  1. 1. FW Kaio Jorge 8G · 2A
    Team attack 21.0% Team shots 19.0%
  2. 2. MF Matheus Pereira 3G · 4A
    Team attack 19.0% Team shots 18.0%
  3. 3. FW Gérson 0G · 2A
    Team attack 7.0% Team shots 7.0%

Palmeiras

  1. 1. FW José López 3G · 3A
    Team attack 15.0% Team shots 14.0%
  2. 2. MF Jhon Arias 2G · 1A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 11.0%
  3. 3. MF Mauricio 3G · 0A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 9.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Scoring trends Cruzeiro Palmeiras
Over 1.5 goals 8/10 6/10
Over 2.5 goals 7/10 4/10
Over 3.5 goals 5/10 2/10
Both teams scored 7/10 4/10
Clean sheet 3/10 5/10
Failed to score 0/10 2/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 2.1 / 1.4 1.9 / 0.6

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Cruzeiro

  • W 3-2 vs Bahia (H) Brasileirão Série A · 6 Nov
  • W 1-0 at Atlético-MG (A) Brasileirão Série A · 29 Oct
  • W 1-0 vs Remo (H) Brasileirão Série A · 23 Oct
  • W 4-2 at Grêmio (A) Brasileirão Série A · 18 Oct
  • L 2-4 at RB Bragantino (A) Brasileirão Série A · 13 Oct

Palmeiras

  • L 1-2 at Vasco da Gama (A) Copa do Brasil · 8 Nov
  • W 6-1 vs Remo (H) Brasileirão Série A · 5 Nov
  • W 1-0 vs Vasco da Gama (H) Copa do Brasil · 1 Nov
  • D 0-0 at Santos (A) Brasileirão Série A · 28 Oct
  • W 2-0 vs RB Bragantino (H) Brasileirão Série A · 24 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Cruzeiro

  • 1-15 minutes: 6 scored, 7 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 6 scored, 9 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 10 scored, 11 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 8 scored, 7 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 10 scored, 2 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 15 scored, 12 conceded

Palmeiras

  • 1-15 minutes: 12 scored, 2 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 11 scored, 1 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 11 scored, 5 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 10 scored, 6 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 8 scored, 4 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 10 scored, 5 conceded

Goals in each 15-minute period, Brasileirão Série A this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Cruzeiro

Player G A
Kaio Jorge (4 pens) 14 2
Matheus Pereira 9 7
Christian 5 3
Keny Arroyo 4 7
Néiser Villarreal 3 1

Palmeiras

Player G A
José López 10 7
Mauricio (1 pen) 10 1
Jhon Arias 6 4
Vitor Roque (2 pens) 5 1
Allan 4 3

Goals and assists in the Brasileirão Série A this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Cruzeiro Palmeiras
  • 5.3 Corners won 5.9
  • 4.9 Corners conceded 5.5
  • 2.5 Yellow cards 2.2
  • 2.3 Opponents' yellow cards 3.0

Per match in the Brasileirão Série A this season. Average per club and match: 5.3 corners, 2.4 yellow cards.

Referee: Anderson Daronco, 4.6 yellow cards per match over the last 50 matches.

Attack and defence ratings

CruzeiroPalmeiras
Attack 89 95 1.6 goals per match this season1.8 goals per match this season
Defence 79 95 1.4 conceded per match this season0.7 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Brasileirão Série A clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1824Elo #110 Elo rating 1924Elo #52

Head-to-head

10Cruzeiro wins
12draws
9Palmeiras wins

31 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 17 May 2026 · Brasileirão Série A Palmeiras 1-1 Cruzeiro
  • 26 Oct 2025 · Brasileirão Série A Palmeiras 0-0 Cruzeiro
  • 1 Jun 2025 · Brasileirão Série A Cruzeiro 2-1 Palmeiras
  • 5 Dec 2024 · Brasileirão Série A Cruzeiro 1-2 Palmeiras
  • 21 Jul 2024 · Brasileirão Série A Palmeiras 2-0 Cruzeiro

Table

Brasileirão Série A: Table
#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Flamengo 34 2374 71:29 +42 76
2 Palmeiras 34 21103 62:23 +39 73
3 Cruzeiro 34 18610 55:48 +7 60
4 Fluminense 34 1699 55:42 +13 57
5 Athletico Paranaense 34 15910 51:43 +8 54
6 Bahia 34 14119 50:45 +5 53
7 Atlético-MG 34 14812 44:40 +4 50
8 RB Bragantino 34 13813 44:39 +5 47
9 Santos 34 121111 50:49 +1 47
10 São Paulo 34 12814 39:39 0 44
11 Botafogo 34 11914 46:53 -7 42
12 Coritiba 34 11914 40:51 -11 42
13 Vasco da Gama 33 11814 43:50 -7 41
14 Mirassol 34 101014 39:48 -9 40
15 Internacional 34 91114 38:42 -4 38
16 Vitória 34 10816 35:51 -16 38
17 Corinthians 34 91015 36:42 -6 37
18 Grêmio 34 91015 38:47 -9 37
19 Remo 34 61117 37:57 -20 29
20 Chapecoense 33 4920 33:68 -35 21

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Brasileirão Série A: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely TitleLibertadoresRelegated
Cruzeiro 60
Palmeiras 73

For members

Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

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Times are UTC.