Brasileirão Série A · Matchday 35

Flamengo vs Athletico Paranaense: Match Preview & Stats

Flamengo

Athletico Paranaense

Wednesday 18 November 2026, 23:30 UTC Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã), Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on Monday 16 November 2026, 23:30 UTC. (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

Flamengo: 3 of 4 right
Athletico Paranaense: 1 of 3 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition: Brasileirão Série A, Matchday 35
Kick-off: Wednesday 18 November 2026, 23:30 UTC
Local time: 20:30 (Brasília time)
Venue: Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã), Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
Referee: Rafael Rodrigo Klein (5.1 yellow cards per match over the last 50 matches)
Since last match: Flamengo: 14 days (Brasileirão Série A) · Grêmio (3‑1) Athletico Paranaense: 14 days (Brasileirão Série A) · Vasco da Gama (1‑3)
Next match: Flamengo: 2 days (Brasileirão Série A) later · Palmeiras Athletico Paranaense: 3 days (Brasileirão Série A) later · Remo

Last starting XI

Flamengo 4-2-3-1

1 Rossi
2 Varela
3 Ortiz
4 Pereira
6 Lucas
5 Pulgar
21 Jorginho
15 Carrascal
10 De Arrascaeta
16 Lino
9 Pedro

Coach: Leonardo Jardim vs Grêmio, 3-1 · Série A · 4 Nov

Athletico Paranaense 3-4-2-1

1 Mycael
25 Dantas
33 Aguirre
4 Dias
29 Benavídez
16 Jádson
14 Gustavo
37 Esquivel
7 Mendoza
18 Vargas
9 Viveros

Coach: Odair Hellmann vs Vasco da Gama, 1-3 · Série A · 4 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Flamengo

DF Alex SandroInjured · About 1-2 weeks
DF DaniloInjured · Mid November 2026
MF Lucas PaquetáInjured · About 1-2 weeks

Athletico Paranaense

DF DantasSuspended
FW Kevin ViverosSuspended
DF ClaudinhoInjured · Out for the season

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Flamengo

Moderate impact

Missing attack share 11.0%

Missing minutes share 10.0%

3 players out 2 regular starters out

Key absences:

MF Lucas Paquetá 8% attack · 4% mins
DF Alex Sandro 1% attack · 5% mins

Athletico Paranaense

Moderate impact

Missing attack share 19.0%

Missing minutes share 11.0%

3 players out 2 regular starters out

Key absences:

FW Kevin Viveros 17% attack · 7% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Flamengo Athletico Paranaense

Box & Territory Pressure 59 52

Set-Piece & Corner Threat 56 61

Finishing Efficiency 86 88

Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 76 15

Underlying Play Power 72 46

Flamengo Results above play quality (running hot)

Athletico Paranaense Playing above results (positive regression candidate)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Flamengo

When scoring first 91% won · 100% unbeaten (11 matches)

When conceding first 100% points rescued · 50% won (2 matches)

1st Half: 45% 2nd Half: 55%

First 15': 14% Last 15' (76-90'): 24%

Athletico Paranaense

When scoring first 50% won · 90% unbeaten (10 matches)

When conceding first 25% points rescued · 0% won (4 matches)

1st Half: 64% 2nd Half: 36%

First 15': 24% Last 15' (76-90'): 16%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Flamengo

1. FW Pedro 5G · 1A

Team attack 17.0% Team shots 15.0%
2. FW Samuel Lino 3G · 2A

Team attack 15.0% Team shots 14.0%
3. FW Jorge Carrascal 2G · 3A

Team attack 14.0% Team shots 9.0%

Athletico Paranaense

1. MF Stiven Mendoza 1G · 1A

Team attack 9.0% Team shots 11.0%
2. MF Luiz Gustavo 2G · 1A

Team attack 9.0% Team shots 9.0%
3. FW Leozinho 2G · 0A

Team attack 9.0% Team shots 9.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Scoring trends

Scoring trends	Flamengo	Athletico Paranaense
Over 1.5 goals	7/10	10/10
Over 2.5 goals	6/10	7/10
Over 3.5 goals	4/10	6/10
Both teams scored	6/10	8/10
Clean sheet	4/10	0/10
Failed to score	2/10	2/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded)	1.9 / 0.8	1.7 / 2.1

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Flamengo

W 3-1 vs Grêmio (H) Brasileirão Série A · 4 Nov
W 4-1 at Vasco da Gama (A) Brasileirão Série A · 29 Oct
W 3-2 vs Atlético-MG (H) Brasileirão Série A · 26 Oct
D 0-0 vs Estudiantes (H) Copa Libertadores · 23 Oct
W 3-0 at Bahia (A) Brasileirão Série A · 18 Oct

Athletico Paranaense

L 1-3 vs Vasco da Gama (H) Brasileirão Série A · 4 Nov
L 0-2 at Grêmio (A) Brasileirão Série A · 30 Oct
D 1-1 at Vitória (A) Brasileirão Série A · 24 Oct
L 0-2 vs Palmeiras (H) Brasileirão Série A · 17 Oct
W 4-1 at Chapecoense (A) Brasileirão Série A · 12 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Flamengo

1-15 minutes: 13 scored, 3 conceded
16-30 minutes: 7 scored, 3 conceded
31-45 minutes: 12 scored, 3 conceded
46-60 minutes: 13 scored, 6 conceded
61-75 minutes: 12 scored, 4 conceded
76-90 minutes: 14 scored, 10 conceded

Athletico Paranaense

1-15 minutes: 13 scored, 7 conceded
16-30 minutes: 7 scored, 8 conceded
31-45 minutes: 7 scored, 8 conceded
46-60 minutes: 8 scored, 2 conceded
61-75 minutes: 4 scored, 7 conceded
76-90 minutes: 12 scored, 11 conceded

Goals in each 15-minute period, Brasileirão Série A this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Flamengo

Player	G	A
Pedro	20	6
Samuel Lino	12	9
Jorge Carrascal (1 pen)	7	9
Lucas Paquetá	7	1
Giorgian De Arrascaeta (1 pen)	4	4

Athletico Paranaense

Player	G	A
Kevin Viveros (4 pens)	21	3
Stiven Mendoza	6	1
Leozinho	5	0
Luiz Gustavo	4	1
Julimar (1 pen)	3	1

Goals and assists in the Brasileirão Série A this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Flamengo Athletico Paranaense

5.7 Corners won 5.4
4.2 Corners conceded 5.0
2.1 Yellow cards 2.3
2.4 Opponents' yellow cards 2.3

Per match in the Brasileirão Série A this season. Average per club and match: 5.3 corners, 2.4 yellow cards.

Referee: Rafael Rodrigo Klein, 5.1 yellow cards per match over the last 50 matches.

Attack and defence ratings

FlamengoAthletico Paranaense

Attack 100 63 2.1 goals per match this season1.5 goals per match this season

Defence 100 32 0.9 conceded per match this season1.3 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Brasileirão Série A clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1957Elo #42 Elo rating 1744Elo #177

Head-to-head

20Flamengo wins

12draws

16Athletico Paranaense wins

48 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

17 May 2026 · Brasileirão Série A Athletico Paranaense 1-1 Flamengo
29 Sep 2024 · Brasileirão Série A Flamengo 1-0 Athletico Paranaense
16 Jun 2024 · Brasileirão Série A Athletico Paranaense 1-1 Flamengo
14 Sep 2023 · Brasileirão Série A Flamengo 0-3 Athletico Paranaense
13 Jul 2023 · Copa do Brasil Athletico Paranaense 0-2 Flamengo

Table

Brasileirão Série A: Table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	34	23	7	4	71:29	+42	76
2	Palmeiras	34	21	10	3	62:23	+39	73
3	Cruzeiro	34	18	6	10	55:48	+7	60
4	Fluminense	34	16	9	9	55:42	+13	57
5	Athletico Paranaense	34	15	9	10	51:43	+8	54
6	Bahia	34	14	11	9	50:45	+5	53
7	Atlético-MG	34	14	8	12	44:40	+4	50
8	RB Bragantino	34	13	8	13	44:39	+5	47
9	Santos	34	12	11	11	50:49	+1	47
10	São Paulo	34	12	8	14	39:39	0	44
11	Botafogo	34	11	9	14	46:53	-7	42
12	Coritiba	34	11	9	14	40:51	-11	42
13	Vasco da Gama	33	11	8	14	43:50	-7	41
14	Mirassol	34	10	10	14	39:48	-9	40
15	Internacional	34	9	11	14	38:42	-4	38
16	Vitória	34	10	8	16	35:51	-16	38
17	Corinthians	34	9	10	15	36:42	-6	37
18	Grêmio	34	9	10	15	38:47	-9	37
19	Remo	34	6	11	17	37:57	-20	29
20	Chapecoense	33	4	9	20	33:68	-35	21

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Brasileirão Série A: average points, likely range and chances.

Club	Pts	Avg pts	Likely	Title	Libertadores	Relegated
Flamengo	76
Athletico Paranaense	54

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Times are UTC.