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Bundesliga · Matchday 10

Elversberg vs Freiburg: Match Preview & Stats

Elversberg crest Elversberg
vs
Freiburg crest Freiburg
URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Elversberg: 4 of 5 right
  • Freiburg: 7 of 8 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Bundesliga, Matchday 10
Kick-off
Venue
URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg
Since last match
Elversberg: 14 days (Bundesliga) · Borussia Dortmund (2‑1) Freiburg: 12 days (Bundesliga) · Union Berlin (2‑0)
Next match
Elversberg: 7 days (Bundesliga) later Freiburg: 5 days (Conference League) later · FC Twente

Last starting XI

Elversberg 4-2-3-1

  1. 20 Kristof
  2. 26 Sirch
  3. 19 Pinckert
  4. 31 Rohr
  5. 21 Günther
  6. 43 Keidel
  7. 8 Poręba
  8. 25 Petkov
  9. 40 Onyeka
  10. 7 Krattenmacher
  11. 42 Mokwa

Coach: Vincent Wagner at Borussia Dortmund, 1-2 · Bundesliga · 7 Nov

Freiburg 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Backhaus
  2. 29 Treu
  3. 28 Ginter
  4. 3 Lienhart
  5. 33 Makengo
  6. 8 Eggestein
  7. 16 Engelhardt
  8. 19 Beste
  9. 14 Suzuki
  10. 7 Scherhant
  11. 20 Matanović

Coach: Julian Schuster vs Union Berlin, 2-0 · Bundesliga · 8 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Elversberg

  • DF Jan GyamerahInjured · A few weeks
  • DF Lukas PinckertInjured · About 1-2 weeks
  • FW Noah DarvichInjured · Doubtful
  • FW Tom ZimmerschiedInjured · Mid November 2026

Freiburg

  • – Florent MuslijaInjured · Late December 2026

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Elversberg

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 8.0%
Missing minutes share 16.0%
4 players out 2 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • DF Lukas Pinckert 3% attack · 8% mins
  • FW Noah Darvich 4% attack · 3% mins

Freiburg

Low impact
Missing attack share 0.0%
Missing minutes share 0.0%
1 player out

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 9 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Elversberg Freiburg
Box & Territory Pressure 39 55
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 43 77
Finishing Efficiency 89 47
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 15 33
Underlying Play Power 28 53
Elversberg Results above play quality (running hot)
Freiburg Balanced (results match underlying play)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 9 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Elversberg

When scoring first 100% won · 100% unbeaten (3 matches)
When conceding first 20% points rescued · 20% won (5 matches)
1st Half: 53% 2nd Half: 47%
First 15': 29% Last 15' (76-90'): 29%

Freiburg

When scoring first 89% won · 89% unbeaten (9 matches)
When conceding first 33% points rescued · 17% won (6 matches)
1st Half: 43% 2nd Half: 57%
First 15': 13% Last 15' (76-90'): 23%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Elversberg

  1. 1. FW Lukas Petkov 2G · 2A
    Team attack 16.0% Team shots 18.0%
  2. 2. FW Maurice Krattenmacher 4G · 1A
    Team attack 14.0% Team shots 14.0%
  3. 3. MF Felix Keidel 2G · 1A
    Team attack 11.0% Team shots 7.0%

Freiburg

  1. 1. FW Derry Scherhant 2G · 2A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 11.0%
  2. 2. FW Vincenzo Grifo 1G · 2A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 10.0%
  3. 3. FW Igor Matanović 1G · 0A
    Team attack 10.0% Team shots 16.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Elversberg Freiburg
Over 1.5 goals 8/10 9/10
Over 2.5 goals 7/10 8/10
Over 3.5 goals 5/10 4/10
Both teams scored 6/10 7/10
Clean sheet 1/10 2/10
Failed to score 4/10 1/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 1.7 / 2.0 1.7 / 1.6

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Elversberg

  • L 1-2 at Borussia Dortmund (A) Bundesliga · 7 Nov
  • W 4-1 vs Mainz 05 (H) Bundesliga · 30 Oct
  • L 0-2 vs Darmstadt (H) DFB Pokal · 27 Oct
  • L 0-4 at RB Leipzig (A) Bundesliga · 24 Oct
  • W 4-3 vs Augsburg (H) Bundesliga · 17 Oct

Freiburg

  • W 2-0 vs Union Berlin (H) Bundesliga · 8 Nov
  • W 1-0 at Trabzonspor (A) Conference League · 5 Nov
  • W 2-1 at Augsburg (A) Bundesliga · 31 Oct
  • W 3-2 vs Wolfsburg (H) DFB Pokal · 28 Oct
  • L 1-3 vs Bayern München (H) Bundesliga · 25 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Elversberg

Freiburg

Goals in each 15-minute period, Bundesliga this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Elversberg

Player G A
Maurice Krattenmacher 4 1
Lukas Petkov 2 2
David Mokwa 2 1
Felix Keidel 2 1
Cole Campbell 2 0

Freiburg

Player G A
Yuito Suzuki 5 0
Igor Matanović 4 1
Maximilian Eggestein 3 0
Derry Scherhant 2 3
Yannik Engelhardt 2 1

Goals and assists in the Bundesliga this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Elversberg Freiburg
  • 4.3 Corners won 4.8
  • 7.7 Corners conceded 3.2
  • 1.7 Yellow cards 1.9
  • 2.0 Opponents' yellow cards 1.3

Per match in the Bundesliga this season. Average per club and match: 5.2 corners, 1.8 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

ElversbergFreiburg
Attack 41 59 1.9 goals per match this season2.2 goals per match this season
Defence 6 71 2.0 conceded per match this season1.1 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Bundesliga clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1778Elo #139 Elo rating 1944Elo #48

Head-to-head

Elversberg and Freiburg have not met in our records since 2010.

Table

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Bayern München 9 630 29:9 +20 21
2 Borussia Dortmund 9 630 16:7 +9 21
3 Freiburg 9 612 20:10 +10 19
4 RB Leipzig 9 603 27:13 +14 18
5 Bayer Leverkusen 9 513 20:17 +3 16
6 Werder Bremen 9 432 17:15 +2 15
7 Elversberg 9 414 17:18 -1 13
8 VfB Stuttgart 9 405 15:15 0 12
9 Hoffenheim 9 405 16:17 -1 12
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 9 333 15:20 -5 12
11 Hamburger SV 9 405 10:20 -10 12
12 Mainz 05 9 315 18:19 -1 10
13 Paderborn 9 243 8:11 -3 10
14 Augsburg 9 234 20:20 0 9
15 1. FC Köln 9 234 10:14 -4 9
16 Union Berlin 9 144 7:21 -14 7
17 Schalke 04 9 135 5:11 -6 6
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 9 117 12:25 -13 4

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Bundesliga: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely TitleTop 4Rel. play-offRelegated
Elversberg 13
Freiburg 19

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Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

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