Bundesliga · Matchday 10 Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig: Match Preview & Stats
Our picks
Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off
To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)
See today's ready predictions →Our record
Union Berlin: 2 of 5 right
RB Leipzig: 8 of 8 right
Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.
Match facts
- Competition
- Bundesliga, Matchday 10
- Kick-off
- Venue
- Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin
- Since last match
- Union Berlin: 12 days (Bundesliga) · Freiburg (2‑0) RB Leipzig: 14 days (Bundesliga) · Augsburg (5‑2)
- Next match
- Union Berlin: 7 days (Bundesliga) later RB Leipzig: 3 days (Champions League) later · Lens
Last starting XI
Union Berlin 4-1-3-2
- 1 Rønnow
- 19 Haberer
- 4 Van Den Bosch
- 5 Friedrich
- 17 Köhn
- 8 Khedira
- 30 Imeri
- 13 Schäfer
- 20 Aebischer
- 21 Skarke
- 9 Burcu
Coach: Mauro Lustrinelli 
at Freiburg, 0-2 · Bundesliga · 8 Nov
RB Leipzig 4-3-3
- 12 Vandevoordt
- 17 Baku
- 4 Orbán
- 23 Lukeba
- 22 Raum
- 10 Gruda
- 21 El Aynaoui
- 6 Banzuzi
- 28 Nkunku
- 40 Rômulo
- 27 Gomis
Coach: Martín Demichelis 
vs Augsburg, 5-2 · Bundesliga · 7 Nov
Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.
Injuries and suspensions
Union Berlin
- DF Andrik MarkgrafInjured · Early March 2027
- DF Robert SkovInjured · Mid November 2026
- DF Stanley N'SokiInjured · Mid November 2026
RB Leipzig
- DF Max FinkgräfeInjured · Late November 2026
- MF Assan OuédraogoInjured · Late December 2026
- FW Marc GuiuInjured · A few weeks
Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.
Missing Players Impact
Union Berlin
Low impact RB Leipzig
Low impact Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 9 matches accounted for by unavailable players.
Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)
Union Berlin RB Leipzig Union Berlin Playing above results (positive regression candidate) RB Leipzig Results above play quality (running hot) OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 9 matches before kick-off.
Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.
Key Attacking Threats
Union Berlin
- 1. FW Tim Skarke 2G · 1ATeam attack 14.0% Team shots 12.0%
- 2. MF Janik Haberer 2G · 0ATeam attack 10.0% Team shots 9.0%
- 3. DF Tom Rothe 0G · 1ATeam attack 9.0% Team shots 8.0%
RB Leipzig
- 1. FW Antonio Nusa 3G · 5ATeam attack 16.0% Team shots 13.0%
- 2. FW Rômulo 4G · 0ATeam attack 12.0% Team shots 12.0%
- 3. FW Christopher Nkunku 4G · 2ATeam attack 11.0% Team shots 8.0%
Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.
Scoring trends
| Scoring trends | Union Berlin | RB Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 | 9/10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 | 7/10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 | 6/10 |
| Both teams scored | 4/10 | 5/10 |
| Clean sheet | 2/10 | 4/10 |
| Failed to score | 5/10 | 1/10 |
| Goals per match (scored / conceded) | 0.7 / 2.6 | 2.4 / 1.8 |
Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.
Form guide
Union Berlin
- L 0-2 at Freiburg (A) Bundesliga · 8 Nov
- D 1-1 vs
1. FC Köln (H) Bundesliga · 1 Nov - L 0-5 at 1. FC Köln (A) DFB Pokal · 27 Oct
- D 1-1 at Augsburg (A) Bundesliga · 24 Oct
- D 0-0 vs
Borussia Dortmund (H) Bundesliga · 17 Oct
RB Leipzig
- W 5-2 vs Augsburg (H) Bundesliga · 7 Nov
- L 2-3 vs
Manchester City (H) Champions League · 4 Nov - W 2-0 at
Schalke 04 (A) Bundesliga · 31 Oct - W 2-1 at RW Essen (A) DFB Pokal · 27 Oct
- W 4-0 vs
Elversberg (H) Bundesliga · 24 Oct
Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.
When the goals come
Union Berlin
- 1-15 minutes: 2 scored, 3 conceded
- 16-30 minutes: 0 scored, 3 conceded
- 31-45 minutes: 0 scored, 2 conceded
- 46-60 minutes: 0 scored, 4 conceded
- 61-75 minutes: 1 scored, 6 conceded
- 76-90 minutes: 4 scored, 3 conceded
RB Leipzig
- 1-15 minutes: 2 scored, 3 conceded
- 16-30 minutes: 3 scored, 1 conceded
- 31-45 minutes: 6 scored, 2 conceded
- 46-60 minutes: 4 scored, 3 conceded
- 61-75 minutes: 5 scored, 2 conceded
- 76-90 minutes: 7 scored, 2 conceded
Goals in each 15-minute period, Bundesliga this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.
Top scorers
Union Berlin
| Player | G | A |
|---|---|---|
| Tim Skarke | 2 | 1 |
| Janik Haberer | 2 | 0 |
| Leopold Querfeld | 1 | 1 |
| Emmanuel Latte Lath | 1 | 0 |
| Livan Burcu | 1 | 0 |
RB Leipzig
| Player | G | A |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Nkunku | 5 | 2 |
| Rômulo | 5 | 0 |
| Antonio Nusa (1 pen) | 4 | 7 |
| Tidiam Gomis | 3 | 2 |
| Ezechiel Banzuzi | 2 | 2 |
Goals and assists in the Bundesliga this season.
Corners and yellow cards
Union Berlin RB Leipzig - 3.1 Corners won 5.1
- 5.7 Corners conceded 5.8
- 2.7 Yellow cards 0.9
- 1.9 Opponents' yellow cards 1.6
Per match in the Bundesliga this season. Average per club and match: 5.2 corners, 1.8 yellow cards.
Attack and defence ratings
Union BerlinRB Leipzig0 to 100 against this season's Bundesliga clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.
Head-to-head
7Union Berlin wins9RB Leipzig wins19 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.
- 24 Apr 2026 · Bundesliga RB Leipzig 3-1 Union Berlin
- 12 Dec 2025 · Bundesliga Union Berlin 3-1 RB Leipzig
- 1 Feb 2025 · Bundesliga Union Berlin 0-0 RB Leipzig
- 14 Sep 2024 · Bundesliga RB Leipzig 0-0 Union Berlin
- 4 Feb 2024 · Bundesliga RB Leipzig 2-0 Union Berlin
Table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 29:9 | +20 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16:7 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 | Freiburg | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20:10 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 27:13 | +14 | 18 |
| 5 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |  Werder Bremen | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:15 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 | Elversberg | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17:18 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 |  VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 |  Hoffenheim | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:20 | -5 | 12 |
| 11 |  Hamburger SV | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10:20 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 |  Mainz 05 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 |  Paderborn | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Augsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 20:20 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 9 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:21 | -14 | 7 |
| 17 | Schalke 04 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5:11 | -6 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12:25 | -13 | 4 |
Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table
Season projection
MembersWhere these two clubs are projected to finish in the Bundesliga: average points, likely range and chances.
| Club | Pts | Avg pts | Likely | Title | Top 4 | Rel. play-off | Relegated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin | 7 | ||||||
| RB Leipzig | 18 |
For members
Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.
Become a memberMore Bundesliga matches
All fixtures- Bayern München 1. FC Köln Our pick
- Bayer Leverkusen Paderborn Our pick
- Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Dortmund Our pick
- Eintracht Frankfurt Hoffenheim Our pick
- Elversberg Freiburg Our pick
- Schalke 04 VfB Stuttgart Our pick
Times are UTC.