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Bundesliga · Matchday 10

Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln: Match Preview & Stats

Bayern München crest Bayern München
vs
1. FC Köln crest 1. FC Köln
Allianz Arena, München

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Bayern München: 4 of 8 right
  • 1. FC Köln: 3 of 5 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Bundesliga, Matchday 10
Kick-off
Venue
Allianz Arena, München
Since last match
Bayern München: 13 days (Bundesliga) · Mainz 05 (1‑2) 1. FC Köln: 12 days (Bundesliga) · Bayer Leverkusen (1‑2)
Next match
Bayern München: 5 days (Champions League) later · Lille 1. FC Köln: 7 days (Bundesliga) later

Last starting XI

Bayern München 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Neuer
  2. 27 Laimer
  3. 4 Upamecano
  4. 4 Tah
  5. 2 Stanišić
  6. 6 Kimmich
  7. 45 Pavlović
  8. 11 Olise
  9. 42 Karl
  10. 11 Brown
  11. 9 Kane

Coach: Aaron Danks at Mainz 05, 2-1 · Bundesliga · 7 Nov

1. FC Köln 3-5-2

  1. 1 Schwäbe
  2. 2 Schmied
  3. 22 Simpson-Pusey
  4. 5 Krauß
  5. 28 Sebulonsen
  6. 37 Maina
  7. 23 Okon-Engstler
  8. 47 Moore
  9. 3 Sosa
  10. 30 Bülter
  11. 10 El Mala

Coach: Rene Wagner vs Bayer Leverkusen, 1-2 · Bundesliga · 8 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Bayern München

  • GK Manuel NeuerInjured · Early January 2027
  • MF Ismael SaibariInjured · Early February 2027
  • MF Jamal MusialaInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Serge GnabryInjured · Early January 2027
  • FW Luis DíazInjured · Late November 2026

1. FC Köln

  • DF Rav van den BergInjured · About 1-2 weeks
  • DF Timo HübersInjured · Early January 2027
  • MF Ellyes SkhiriInjured · Early January 2027
  • FW Imad RondićInjured · Late November 2026
  • FW Ragnar AcheInjured · Doubtful
  • FW Thijs DallingaInjured · Late June 2027

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Bayern München

High impact
Missing attack share 20.0%
Missing minutes share 15.0%
5 players out 3 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • MF Ismael Saibari 7% attack · 3% mins
  • FW Luis Díaz 7% attack · 3% mins

1. FC Köln

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 18.0%
Missing minutes share 7.0%
6 players out
Key absences:
  • FW Thijs Dallinga 7% attack · 2% mins
  • MF Ellyes Skhiri 5% attack · 3% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 9 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Bayern München 1. FC Köln
Box & Territory Pressure 83 57
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 67 65
Finishing Efficiency 57 19
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 53 74
Underlying Play Power 87 50
Bayern München Playing above results (positive regression candidate)
1. FC Köln Playing above results (positive regression candidate)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 9 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Bayern München

When scoring first 91% won · 100% unbeaten (11 matches)
When conceding first 100% points rescued · 0% won (3 matches)
1st Half: 34% 2nd Half: 66%
First 15': 9% Last 15' (76-90'): 19%

1. FC Köln

When scoring first 50% won · 100% unbeaten (4 matches)
When conceding first 30% points rescued · 10% won (10 matches)
1st Half: 32% 2nd Half: 68%
First 15': 16% Last 15' (76-90'): 42%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Bayern München

  1. 1. FW Harry Kane 6G · 9A
    Team attack 21.0% Team shots 22.0%
  2. 2. FW Michael Olise 5G · 3A
    Team attack 16.0% Team shots 16.0%
  3. 3. DF Konrad Laimer 2G · 1A
    Team attack 7.0% Team shots 6.0%

1. FC Köln

  1. 1. FW Saïd El Mala 3G · 0A
    Team attack 18.0% Team shots 23.0%
  2. 2. MF Linton Maina 1G · 2A
    Team attack 11.0% Team shots 7.0%
  3. 3. FW Marius Bülter 0G · 0A
    Team attack 8.0% Team shots 9.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Bayern München 1. FC Köln
Over 1.5 goals 10/10 8/10
Over 2.5 goals 9/10 6/10
Over 3.5 goals 8/10 3/10
Both teams scored 8/10 7/10
Clean sheet 2/10 2/10
Failed to score 0/10 2/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 3.5 / 1.3 1.5 / 1.4

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Bayern München

  • W 2-1 at Mainz 05 (A) Bundesliga · 7 Nov
  • W 2-0 at Atlético Madrid (A) Champions League · 3 Nov
  • D 2-2 vs Borussia Dortmund (H) Bundesliga · 31 Oct
  • W 6-1 vs Magdeburg (H) DFB Pokal · 28 Oct
  • W 3-1 at Freiburg (A) Bundesliga · 25 Oct

1. FC Köln

  • L 1-2 vs Bayer Leverkusen (H) Bundesliga · 8 Nov
  • D 1-1 at Union Berlin (A) Bundesliga · 1 Nov
  • W 5-0 vs Union Berlin (H) DFB Pokal · 27 Oct
  • D 0-0 vs Schalke 04 (H) Bundesliga · 24 Oct
  • L 0-1 at Eintracht Frankfurt (A) Bundesliga · 16 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Bayern München

1. FC Köln

Goals in each 15-minute period, Bundesliga this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Bayern München

Player G A
Michael Olise 6 3
Harry Kane (1 pen) 4 8
Luis Díaz 4 1
Dayot Upamecano 3 0
Ismael Saibari 2 2

1. FC Köln

Player G A
Saïd El Mala 3 0
Thijs Dallinga 2 0
Linton Maina 1 2
Malek El Mala 1 1
Ragnar Ache 1 0

Goals and assists in the Bundesliga this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Bayern München 1. FC Köln
  • 8.6 Corners won 5.6
  • 3.3 Corners conceded 5.7
  • 1.0 Yellow cards 2.4
  • 1.9 Opponents' yellow cards 2.6

Per match in the Bundesliga this season. Average per club and match: 5.2 corners, 1.8 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

Bayern München1. FC Köln
Attack 100 18 3.2 goals per match this season1.1 goals per match this season
Defence 100 35 1.0 conceded per match this season1.6 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Bundesliga clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

2259Elo #2 Elo rating 1782Elo #136

Head-to-head

21Bayern München wins
3draws
11. FC Köln wins

25 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 16 May 2026 · Bundesliga Bayern München 5-1 1. FC Köln
  • 14 Jan 2026 · Bundesliga 1. FC Köln 1-3 Bayern München
  • 29 Oct 2025 · DFB Pokal 1. FC Köln 1-4 Bayern München
  • 13 Apr 2024 · Bundesliga Bayern München 2-0 1. FC Köln
  • 24 Nov 2023 · Bundesliga 1. FC Köln 0-1 Bayern München

Table

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Bayern München 9 630 29:9 +20 21
2 Borussia Dortmund 9 630 16:7 +9 21
3 Freiburg 9 612 20:10 +10 19
4 RB Leipzig 9 603 27:13 +14 18
5 Bayer Leverkusen 9 513 20:17 +3 16
6 Werder Bremen 9 432 17:15 +2 15
7 Elversberg 9 414 17:18 -1 13
8 VfB Stuttgart 9 405 15:15 0 12
9 Hoffenheim 9 405 16:17 -1 12
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 9 333 15:20 -5 12
11 Hamburger SV 9 405 10:20 -10 12
12 Mainz 05 9 315 18:19 -1 10
13 Paderborn 9 243 8:11 -3 10
14 Augsburg 9 234 20:20 0 9
15 1. FC Köln 9 234 10:14 -4 9
16 Union Berlin 9 144 7:21 -14 7
17 Schalke 04 9 135 5:11 -6 6
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 9 117 12:25 -13 4

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Bundesliga: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely TitleTop 4Rel. play-offRelegated
Bayern München 21
1. FC Köln 9

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Times are UTC.