Bundesliga · Matchday 10 Bayer Leverkusen vs Paderborn: Match Preview & Stats
Our picks
Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off
To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)
See today's ready predictions →Our record
Bayer Leverkusen: 5 of 8 right
Paderborn: 2 of 5 right
Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.
Match facts
- Competition
- Bundesliga, Matchday 10
- Kick-off
- Venue
- BayArena, Leverkusen
- Since last match
- Bayer Leverkusen: 13 days (Bundesliga) · 1. FC Köln (1‑2) Paderborn: 14 days (Bundesliga) · Eintracht Frankfurt (2‑2)
- Next match
- Bayer Leverkusen: 5 days (Europa League) later · Dinamo Zagreb Paderborn: 7 days (Bundesliga) later
Last starting XI
Bayer Leverkusen 4-2-3-1
- 1 Flekken
- 6 Quansah
- 12 Tapsoba
- 2 Medina
- 3 Gutiérrez
- 6 Fernández
- 24 García
- 9 Moreira
- 10 Tillman
- 30 Maza
- 14 Schick
Coach: Carles Martínez 
at 1. FC Köln, 2-1 · Bundesliga · 8 Nov
Paderborn 3-5-2
- 15 Noll
- 21 ter Horst
- 25 Scheller
- 22 Hansen
- 17 Curda
- 6 Baack
- 5 Castañeda
- 40 Vidović
- 23 Obermair
- 2 Müller
- 30 Marino
Coach: Ralf Kettemann 
vs Eintracht Frankfurt, 2-2 · Bundesliga · 7 Nov
Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.
Injuries and suspensions
Bayer Leverkusen
- DF Guéla DouéInjured · A few weeks
- MF Martin TerrierInjured · Early December 2026
- MF Nathan TellaInjured · About a week
- FW Christian KofaneInjured · Doubtful
- FW Moussa DiabyInjured · Mid November 2026
Paderborn
- MF Sven MichelInjured · Doubtful
- FW Oliver Batista MeierInjured · Mid November 2026
Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.
Missing Players Impact
Bayer Leverkusen
Moderate impact - FW Moussa Diaby 4% attack · 3% mins
- MF Nathan Tella 3% attack · 2% mins
Paderborn
Low impact Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 9 matches accounted for by unavailable players.
Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)
Bayer Leverkusen Paderborn Bayer Leverkusen Balanced (results match underlying play) Paderborn Balanced (results match underlying play) OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 9 matches before kick-off.
Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing
Bayer Leverkusen
Paderborn
Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.
Key Attacking Threats
Bayer Leverkusen
- 1. FW Patrik Schick 7G · 1ATeam attack 20.0% Team shots 20.0%
- 2. MF Ibrahim Maza 3G · 2ATeam attack 15.0% Team shots 13.0%
- 3. MF Aleix García 1G · 2ATeam attack 9.0% Team shots 6.0%
Paderborn
- 1. MF Laurin Curda 0G · 1ATeam attack 12.0% Team shots 9.0%
- 2. MF Raphael Obermair 1G · 0ATeam attack 11.0% Team shots 8.0%
- 3. FW Steffen Tigges 2G · 1ATeam attack 11.0% Team shots 14.0%
Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.
Scoring trends
| Scoring trends | Bayer Leverkusen | Paderborn |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 | 5/10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 | 4/10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 | 3/10 |
| Both teams scored | 5/10 | 3/10 |
| Clean sheet | 3/10 | 3/10 |
| Failed to score | 2/10 | 6/10 |
| Goals per match (scored / conceded) | 2.3 / 1.5 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.
Form guide
Bayer Leverkusen
- W 2-1 at 1. FC Köln (A) Bundesliga · 8 Nov
- L 0-1 vs
Marseille (H) Europa League · 5 Nov - L 2-4 vs
VfB Stuttgart (H) Bundesliga · 31 Oct - W 5-2 vs 1. FC Nürnberg (H) DFB Pokal · 28 Oct
- L 0-3 at
Hoffenheim (A) Bundesliga · 25 Oct
Paderborn
- D 2-2 vs Eintracht Frankfurt (H) Bundesliga · 7 Nov
- D 0-0 at
Borussia Mönchengladbach (A) Bundesliga · 31 Oct - L 0-1 vs VfB Stuttgart (H) DFB Pokal · 28 Oct
- W 1-0 vs
Hamburger SV (H) Bundesliga · 24 Oct - D 2-2 at
Werder Bremen (A) Bundesliga · 17 Oct
Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.
When the goals come
Bayer Leverkusen
- 1-15 minutes: 4 scored, 4 conceded
- 16-30 minutes: 4 scored, 1 conceded
- 31-45 minutes: 1 scored, 2 conceded
- 46-60 minutes: 3 scored, 4 conceded
- 61-75 minutes: 2 scored, 1 conceded
- 76-90 minutes: 6 scored, 5 conceded
Paderborn
- 1-15 minutes: 0 scored, 1 conceded
- 16-30 minutes: 3 scored, 3 conceded
- 31-45 minutes: 2 scored, 0 conceded
- 46-60 minutes: 0 scored, 2 conceded
- 61-75 minutes: 2 scored, 1 conceded
- 76-90 minutes: 1 scored, 4 conceded
Goals in each 15-minute period, Bundesliga this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.
Top scorers
Bayer Leverkusen
| Player | G | A |
|---|---|---|
| Patrik Schick | 8 | 2 |
| Ibrahim Maza | 3 | 3 |
| Christian Kofane | 2 | 0 |
| Miguel Gutiérrez | 1 | 4 |
| Aleix García | 1 | 2 |
Paderborn
| Player | G | A |
|---|---|---|
| Steffen Tigges | 2 | 1 |
| Stefano Marino | 2 | 0 |
| Marvin Pieringer (1 pen) | 1 | 0 |
| Raphael Obermair | 1 | 0 |
| Rayan Philippe | 1 | 0 |
Goals and assists in the Bundesliga this season.
Corners and yellow cards
Bayer Leverkusen Paderborn - 7.2 Corners won 4.6
- 3.3 Corners conceded 5.6
- 2.3 Yellow cards 1.4
- 2.8 Opponents' yellow cards 1.3
Per match in the Bundesliga this season. Average per club and match: 5.2 corners, 1.8 yellow cards.
Attack and defence ratings
Bayer LeverkusenPaderborn0 to 100 against this season's Bundesliga clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.
Head-to-head
5Bayer Leverkusen wins0Paderborn wins7 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.
- 29 Oct 2025 · DFB Pokal Paderborn 2-4 Bayer Leverkusen
- 6 Dec 2023 · DFB Pokal Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 Paderborn
- 19 Jan 2020 · Bundesliga Paderborn 1-4 Bayer Leverkusen
- 29 Oct 2019 · DFB Pokal Bayer Leverkusen 1-0 Paderborn
- 17 Aug 2019 · Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen 3-2 Paderborn
Table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 29:9 | +20 | 21 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16:7 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 |  Freiburg | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20:10 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 27:13 | +14 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:15 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 |  Elversberg | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17:18 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Hoffenheim | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:20 | -5 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10:20 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 |  Mainz 05 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Paderborn | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 |  Augsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 20:20 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 9 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:21 | -14 | 7 |
| 17 |  Schalke 04 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5:11 | -6 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12:25 | -13 | 4 |
Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table
Season projection
MembersWhere these two clubs are projected to finish in the Bundesliga: average points, likely range and chances.
| Club | Pts | Avg pts | Likely | Title | Top 4 | Rel. play-off | Relegated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen | 16 | ||||||
| Paderborn | 10 |
For members
Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.
Become a memberMore Bundesliga matches
All fixtures- Bayern München 1. FC Köln Our pick
- Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Dortmund Our pick
- Eintracht Frankfurt Hoffenheim Our pick
- Elversberg Freiburg Our pick
- Union Berlin RB Leipzig Our pick
- Schalke 04 VfB Stuttgart Our pick
Times are UTC.