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Bundesliga · Matchday 10

Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV: Match Preview & Stats

Werder Bremen crest Werder Bremen
vs
Hamburger SV crest Hamburger SV
Weserstadion, Bremen

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Werder Bremen: 1 of 5 right
  • Hamburger SV: 3 of 5 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Bundesliga, Matchday 10
Kick-off
Venue
Weserstadion, Bremen
Since last match
Werder Bremen: 14 days (Bundesliga) · VfB Stuttgart (1‑0) Hamburger SV: 15 days (Bundesliga) · Borussia Mönchengladbach (3‑1)
Next match
Werder Bremen: 5 days (Bundesliga) later Hamburger SV: 5 days (Bundesliga) later

Last starting XI

Werder Bremen 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Hein
  2. 13 Arthur
  3. 5 Pieper
  4. 32 Friedl
  5. 2 Deman
  6. 44 Regeer
  7. 14 Lynen
  8. 18 Dinkçi
  9. 15 Reis
  10. 17 Grüll
  11. 10 Füllkrug

Coach: Daniel Thioune at VfB Stuttgart, 0-1 · Bundesliga · 7 Nov

Hamburger SV 3-5-2

  1. 1 Fernandes
  2. 43 Nandja
  3. 33 Bornauw
  4. 17 Omari
  5. 7 El Ouahdi
  6. 5 Adeline
  7. 6 Lokonga
  8. 28 Muheim
  9. 3 Wolfe
  10. 27 Daka
  11. 11 Grønbæk

Coach: Merlin Polzin vs Borussia Mönchengladbach, 3-1 · Bundesliga · 6 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Werder Bremen

  • DF Felix AguInjured · Mid November 2026
  • DF Moussa N'DiayeInjured · Mid November 2026
  • MF Jens StageInjured · Mid November 2026
  • MF Skelly AlveroInjured · Mid November 2026
  • FW Keke ToppInjured · Early January 2027
  • FW Mitchell WeiserInjured · Late November 2026
  • FW Paul ErevbenagieInjured · Mid November 2026
  • FW Salim MusahInjured · Early January 2027

Hamburger SV

  • DF Nicolás CapaldoInjured · About a week
  • MF Bilal NadirInjured · Late December 2026
  • MF Fábio VieiraInjured · Mid November 2026
  • MF Miro MuheimInjured · Doubtful
  • MF Nicolai RembergInjured · Late June 2027

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Werder Bremen

Low impact
Missing attack share 6.0%
Missing minutes share 4.0%
8 players out
Key absences:
  • FW Mitchell Weiser 5% attack · 2% mins

Hamburger SV

High impact
Missing attack share 29.0%
Missing minutes share 20.0%
5 players out 4 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • MF Miro Muheim 12% attack · 4% mins
  • MF Fábio Vieira 7% attack · 3% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 9 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Werder Bremen Hamburger SV
Box & Territory Pressure 57 37
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 47 54
Finishing Efficiency 88 49
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 35 24
Underlying Play Power 53 28
Werder Bremen Balanced (results match underlying play)
Hamburger SV Playing above results (positive regression candidate)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 9 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Werder Bremen

When scoring first 80% won · 100% unbeaten (5 matches)
When conceding first 40% points rescued · 10% won (10 matches)
1st Half: 22% 2nd Half: 78%
First 15': 9% Last 15' (76-90'): 39%

Hamburger SV

When scoring first 83% won · 100% unbeaten (6 matches)
When conceding first 11% points rescued · 11% won (9 matches)
1st Half: 39% 2nd Half: 61%
First 15': 22% Last 15' (76-90'): 17%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Werder Bremen

  1. 1. FW Niclas Füllkrug 9G · 0A
    Team attack 25.0% Team shots 23.0%
  2. 2. FW Marco Grüll 2G · 7A
    Team attack 19.0% Team shots 15.0%
  3. 3. MF Chuki 0G · 2A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 10.0%

Hamburger SV

  1. 1. MF Albert Grønbæk 1G · 4A
    Team attack 15.0% Team shots 7.0%
  2. 2. FW Yussuf Poulsen 2G · 0A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 9.0%
  3. 3. FW Terem Moffi 2G · 0A
    Team attack 8.0% Team shots 7.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Werder Bremen Hamburger SV
Over 1.5 goals 9/10 8/10
Over 2.5 goals 7/10 7/10
Over 3.5 goals 7/10 6/10
Both teams scored 8/10 5/10
Clean sheet 1/10 1/10
Failed to score 1/10 4/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 1.9 / 1.8 1.1 / 2.3

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Werder Bremen

  • L 0-1 at VfB Stuttgart (A) Bundesliga · 7 Nov
  • W 2-0 vs Hoffenheim (H) Bundesliga · 31 Oct
  • L 2-3 at Borussia Dortmund (A) DFB Pokal · 27 Oct
  • W 3-2 at Mainz 05 (A) Bundesliga · 24 Oct
  • D 2-2 vs Paderborn (H) Bundesliga · 17 Oct

Hamburger SV

  • W 3-1 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach (H) Bundesliga · 6 Nov
  • L 1-3 at Eintracht Frankfurt (A) Bundesliga · 1 Nov
  • L 1-3 vs Eintracht Frankfurt (H) DFB Pokal · 27 Oct
  • L 0-1 at Paderborn (A) Bundesliga · 24 Oct
  • W 1-0 vs VfB Stuttgart (H) Bundesliga · 17 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Werder Bremen

Hamburger SV

Goals in each 15-minute period, Bundesliga this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Werder Bremen

Player G A
Niclas Füllkrug (3 pens) 9 0
Marco Grüll 2 7
Eren Dinkçi 2 1
Ludovit Reis 2 0
Dariusz Stalmach 1 0

Hamburger SV

Player G A
Miro Muheim 3 1
Terem Moffi 2 0
Yussuf Poulsen 2 0
Albert Grønbæk 1 4
Nicolás Capaldo 1 0

Goals and assists in the Bundesliga this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Werder Bremen Hamburger SV
  • 4.4 Corners won 4.1
  • 5.4 Corners conceded 5.7
  • 1.7 Yellow cards 1.8
  • 1.2 Opponents' yellow cards 1.6

Per match in the Bundesliga this season. Average per club and match: 5.2 corners, 1.8 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

Werder BremenHamburger SV
Attack 35 24 1.9 goals per match this season1.1 goals per match this season
Defence 59 24 1.7 conceded per match this season2.2 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Bundesliga clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1843Elo #94 Elo rating 1803Elo #127

Head-to-head

11Werder Bremen wins
2draws
7Hamburger SV wins

20 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 18 Apr 2026 · Bundesliga Werder Bremen 3-1 Hamburger SV
  • 7 Dec 2025 · Bundesliga Hamburger SV 3-2 Werder Bremen
  • 27 Feb 2022 · 2. Bundesliga Hamburger SV 2-3 Werder Bremen
  • 18 Sep 2021 · 2. Bundesliga Werder Bremen 0-2 Hamburger SV
  • 24 Feb 2018 · Bundesliga Werder Bremen 1-0 Hamburger SV

Table

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Bayern München 9 630 29:9 +20 21
2 Borussia Dortmund 9 630 16:7 +9 21
3 Freiburg 9 612 20:10 +10 19
4 RB Leipzig 9 603 27:13 +14 18
5 Bayer Leverkusen 9 513 20:17 +3 16
6 Werder Bremen 9 432 17:15 +2 15
7 Elversberg 9 414 17:18 -1 13
8 VfB Stuttgart 9 405 15:15 0 12
9 Hoffenheim 9 405 16:17 -1 12
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 9 333 15:20 -5 12
11 Hamburger SV 9 405 10:20 -10 12
12 Mainz 05 9 315 18:19 -1 10
13 Paderborn 9 243 8:11 -3 10
14 Augsburg 9 234 20:20 0 9
15 1. FC Köln 9 234 10:14 -4 9
16 Union Berlin 9 144 7:21 -14 7
17 Schalke 04 9 135 5:11 -6 6
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 9 117 12:25 -13 4

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Bundesliga: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely TitleTop 4Rel. play-offRelegated
Werder Bremen 15
Hamburger SV 12

For members

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Times are UTC.