OptimaGoal
Language: EN
Champions League · League phase, matchday 5

Manchester City vs Napoli: Match Preview & Stats

Etihad Stadium, Manchester

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Manchester City: 4 of 8 right
  • Napoli: 6 of 9 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Champions League, League phase, matchday 5
Kick-off
Venue
Etihad Stadium, Manchester
Since last match
Manchester City: 3 days (Premier League) · Fulham Napoli: 3 days (Serie A) · Torino
Next match
Manchester City: 4 days (Premier League) later Napoli: 4 days (Serie A) later

Last starting XI

Manchester City 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Donnarumma
  2. 45 Khusanov
  3. 3 Dias
  4. 6 Guéhi
  5. 4 Gvardiol
  6. 8 Anderson
  7. 17 Fernández
  8. 7 Ndiaye
  9. 7 Cherki
  10. 11 Doku
  11. 9 Haaland

Coach: Enzo Maresca at Nottingham Forest, 1-3 · Premier League · 7 Nov

Napoli 3-5-2

  1. 32 Milinković-Savić
  2. 31 Beukema
  3. 13 Rrahmani
  4. 16 Marín
  5. 21 Vergara
  6. 7 De Bruyne
  7. 6 Gilmour
  8. 8 McTominay
  9. 17 Olivera
  10. 19 Højlund
  11. 70 Lang

Coach: Massimiliano Allegri vs Lazio, 1-1 · Serie A · 8 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Manchester City

  • DF Marc GuéhiInjured · Late November 2026
  • FW Antoine SemenyoInjured · Mid December 2026

Napoli

  • DF Rafa MarínSuspended
  • DF Alessandro BuongiornoInjured · Doubtful
  • DF Benoît BadiashileInjured · Early December 2026
  • DF Giovanni Di LorenzoInjured · About 1-2 weeks
  • MF Alisson SantosInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Costantino FavasuliInjured · Doubtful
  • MF David NeresInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Leonardo SpinazzolaInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Stanislav LobotkaInjured · Late December 2026

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Manchester City

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 7.0%
Missing minutes share 9.0%
2 players out 1 regular starter out
Key absences:
  • FW Antoine Semenyo 6% attack · 3% mins
  • DF Marc Guéhi 2% attack · 6% mins

Napoli

High impact
Missing attack share 16.0%
Missing minutes share 24.0%
9 players out 4 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • DF Giovanni Di Lorenzo 4% attack · 6% mins
  • DF Rafa Marín 3% attack · 7% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Manchester City Napoli
Box & Territory Pressure 81 58
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 59 44
Finishing Efficiency 57 81
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 17 20
Underlying Play Power 77 65
Manchester City Playing above results (positive regression candidate)
Napoli Playing above results (positive regression candidate)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Manchester City

When scoring first 90% won · 90% unbeaten (10 matches)
When conceding first 20% points rescued · 20% won (5 matches)
1st Half: 32% 2nd Half: 68%
First 15': 6% Last 15' (76-90'): 24%

Napoli

When scoring first 56% won · 78% unbeaten (9 matches)
When conceding first 17% points rescued · 0% won (6 matches)
1st Half: 42% 2nd Half: 58%
First 15': 12% Last 15' (76-90'): 21%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Manchester City

  1. 1. FW Erling Haaland 8G · 0A
    Team attack 17.0% Team shots 21.0%
  2. 2. MF Rayan Cherki 4G · 0A
    Team attack 11.0% Team shots 13.0%
  3. 3. MF Enzo Fernández 2G · 0A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 10.0%

Napoli

  1. 1. MF Scott McTominay 5G · 0A
    Team attack 14.0% Team shots 19.0%
  2. 2. MF Kevin De Bruyne 3G · 1A
    Team attack 14.0% Team shots 6.0%
  3. 3. MF Matteo Politano 2G · 4A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 7.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Scoring trends Manchester City Napoli
Over 1.5 goals 9/10 9/10
Over 2.5 goals 9/10 6/10
Over 3.5 goals 7/10 5/10
Both teams scored 8/10 7/10
Clean sheet 1/10 1/10
Failed to score 1/10 2/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 2.5 / 2.0 1.8 / 1.9

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Manchester City

  • L 1-3 at Nottingham Forest (A) Premier League · 7 Nov
  • W 3-2 at RB Leipzig (A) Champions League · 4 Nov
  • L 0-1 vs Brighton & Hove Albion (H) Premier League · 31 Oct
  • D 2-2 vs Brighton & Hove Albion (H) EFL Cup · 28 Oct
  • L 1-2 at Aston Villa (A) Premier League · 24 Oct

Napoli

  • D 1-1 vs Lazio (H) Serie A · 8 Nov
  • L 1-4 at FC Porto (A) Champions League · 4 Nov
  • L 0-2 at Juventus (A) Serie A · 1 Nov
  • W 4-1 at Monza (A) Serie A · 28 Oct
  • D 3-3 vs Roma (H) Serie A · 24 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Manchester City

  • 1-15 minutes: 1 scored, 2 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 0 scored, 0 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 2 scored, 1 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 4 scored, 2 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 2 scored, 2 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 3 scored, 0 conceded

Napoli

  • 1-15 minutes: 2 scored, 1 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 0 scored, 3 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 2 scored, 0 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 0 scored, 0 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 1 scored, 3 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 1 scored, 4 conceded

Goals in each 15-minute period, Champions League this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Manchester City

Player G A
Erling Haaland 5 0
Phil Foden 3 1
Elliot Anderson 1 1
Enzo Fernández 1 1
Rayan Cherki 1 0

Napoli

Player G A
Scott McTominay 3 0
Matteo Politano 1 1
Amir Rrahmani 1 0

Goals and assists in the Champions League this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Manchester City Napoli
  • 6.8 Corners won 2.8
  • 3.0 Corners conceded 5.0
  • 1.8 Yellow cards 3.0
  • 1.5 Opponents' yellow cards 1.0

Per match in the Champions League this season. Average per club and match: 4.7 corners, 1.7 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

Manchester CityNapoli
Attack 94 23 3.0 goals per match this season1.5 goals per match this season
Defence 94 51 1.8 conceded per match this season2.8 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Champions League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

2215Elo #4 Elo rating 1960Elo #40

Head-to-head

3Manchester City wins
1draw
1Napoli wins

5 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 18 Sep 2025 · Champions League Manchester City 2-0 Napoli
  • 1 Nov 2017 · Champions League Napoli 2-4 Manchester City
  • 17 Oct 2017 · Champions League Manchester City 2-1 Napoli
  • 22 Nov 2011 · Champions League Napoli 2-1 Manchester City
  • 14 Sep 2011 · Champions League Manchester City 1-1 Napoli

Table

Champions League: Table
#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Paris Saint-Germain 4 400 20:5 +15 12
2 Real Madrid 4 400 13:7 +6 12
3 Arsenal 4 310 8:3 +5 10
4 Como 4 301 19:6 +13 9
5 Barcelona 4 301 14:6 +8 9
6 Aston Villa 4 301 12:6 +6 9
7 Manchester City 4 301 12:7 +5 9
8 Liverpool 4 301 14:10 +4 9
9 Club Brugge 4 301 11:7 +4 9
10 Sporting CP 4 301 8:4 +4 9
11 Real Betis 4 301 8:6 +2 9
12 Borussia Dortmund 4 301 7:5 +2 9
13 Bayern München 4 220 12:5 +7 8
14 VfB Stuttgart 4 211 7:4 +3 7
15 Inter 4 202 8:6 +2 6
16 LASK 4 202 10:9 +1 6
17 Manchester United 4 202 8:8 0 6
18 Galatasaray 4 202 8:9 -1 6
19 Fenerbahçe 4 121 6:11 -5 5
20 Roma 4 112 10:8 +2 4
21 Shakhtar Donetsk 4 112 4:4 0 4
22 Viking 4 112 9:10 -1 4
23 Atlético Madrid 4 112 4:5 -1 4
24 PSV Eindhoven 4 112 3:4 -1 4
25 Bodø/Glimt 4 112 4:9 -5 4
26 FC Porto 4 103 6:7 -1 3
27 Napoli 4 103 6:11 -5 3
28 Villarreal 4 103 8:14 -6 3
29 AEK Athens 4 103 5:11 -6 3
30 RB Leipzig 4 103 5:11 -6 3
31 Sabah FK 4 103 4:10 -6 3
32 Feyenoord 4 103 4:11 -7 3
33 Lens 4 103 4:16 -12 3
34 Slavia Prague 4 013 5:9 -4 1
35 Lille 4 013 4:10 -6 1
36 Slovan Bratislava 4 004 1:17 -16 0

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Champions League: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely Top 8Play-off round Win it
Manchester City 9
Napoli 3

For members

Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

Become a member

Every Champions League club's projection →

More Champions League matches

All fixtures

Times are UTC.