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Champions League · League phase, matchday 5

Como vs AEK Athens: Match Preview & Stats

Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Como: 7 of 9 right
  • AEK Athens: 2 of 3 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Champions League, League phase, matchday 5
Kick-off
Venue
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como
Since last match
Como: 3 days (Serie A) · Cagliari AEK Athens: 3 days (Super League 1) · Real Madrid (2‑3)
Next match
Como: 4 days (Serie A) later AEK Athens: 4 days (Super League 1) later

Last starting XI

Como 4-2-3-1

  1. 97 Sánchez
  2. 27 Couto
  3. 14 Ramón
  4. 2 Kempf
  5. 3 Valle
  6. 5 Perrone
  7. 6 Milla
  8. 21 Da Cunha
  9. 10 Paz
  10. 16 Baturina
  11. 9 Douvikas

Coach: Cesc Fàbregas at Inter, 0-2 · Serie A · 8 Nov

AEK Athens 4-4-2

  1. 91 Brignoli
  2. 12 Rota
  3. 2 Moukoudi
  4. 44 Relvas
  5. 2 Pilios
  6. 11 Koïta
  7. 16 Arriaga
  8. 6 Kairinen
  9. 7 Majer
  10. 8 Gaćinović
  11. 9 Jović

Coach: Marko Nikolić vs Real Madrid, 2-3 · Champions League · 4 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Como

  • DF Trevoh ChalobahInjured · Doubtful
  • FW Assane DiaoInjured · Late November 2026
  • FW Jayden AddaiInjured · Late November 2026
  • FW Jesús RodríguezInjured · Late November 2026
  • FW Moise KeanInjured · Doubtful

AEK Athens

  • MF Joao MárioInjured · About a week
  • FW Oleksandr ZubkovInjured · Late December 2026

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Como

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 7.0%
Missing minutes share 7.0%
5 players out 1 regular starter out
Key absences:
  • FW Assane Diao 4% attack · 2% mins

AEK Athens

Low impact
Missing attack share 2.0%
Missing minutes share 4.0%
2 players out

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Como AEK Athens
Box & Territory Pressure 61 34
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 42 38
Finishing Efficiency 88 51
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 47 20
Underlying Play Power 73 22
Como Results above play quality (running hot)
AEK Athens Playing above results (positive regression candidate)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Como

When scoring first 89% won · 89% unbeaten (9 matches)
When conceding first 60% points rescued · 40% won (5 matches)
1st Half: 43% 2nd Half: 57%
First 15': 8% Last 15' (76-90'): 24%

AEK Athens

When scoring first 67% won · 67% unbeaten (6 matches)
When conceding first 50% points rescued · 33% won (6 matches)
1st Half: 47% 2nd Half: 53%
First 15': 16% Last 15' (76-90'): 16%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Como

  1. 1. MF Nico Paz 5G · 5A
    Team attack 19.0% Team shots 25.0%
  2. 2. FW Anastasios Douvikas 8G · 1A
    Team attack 18.0% Team shots 16.0%
  3. 3. MF Lucas Da Cunha 2G · 1A
    Team attack 8.0% Team shots 9.0%

AEK Athens

  1. 1. DF Stavros Pilios 2G · 1A
    Team attack 15.0% Team shots 6.0%
  2. 2. MF Răzvan Marin 1G · 0A
    Team attack 15.0% Team shots 14.0%
  3. 3. MF Aboubakary Koïta 1G · 1A
    Team attack 14.0% Team shots 18.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Scoring trends Como AEK Athens
Over 1.5 goals 8/10 9/10
Over 2.5 goals 5/10 7/10
Over 3.5 goals 5/10 4/10
Both teams scored 5/10 6/10
Clean sheet 3/10 3/10
Failed to score 3/10 1/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 2.4 / 1.1 1.8 / 1.6

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Como

  • L 0-2 at Inter (A) Serie A · 8 Nov
  • W 9-1 at Lens (A) Champions League · 4 Nov
  • W 1-0 vs Venezia (H) Serie A · 1 Nov
  • W 3-1 at Torino (A) Serie A · 27 Oct
  • W 2-0 vs Sassuolo (H) Serie A · 24 Oct

AEK Athens

  • W 2-1 vs Levadiakos (H) Super League 1 · 8 Nov
  • L 2-3 vs Real Madrid (H) Champions League · 4 Nov
  • L 0-2 at Panathinaikos (A) Super League 1 · 1 Nov
  • W 5-0 vs Panetolikos (H) Super League 1 · 24 Oct
  • L 1-5 at Manchester City (A) Champions League · 20 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Como

  • 1-15 minutes: 3 scored, 0 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 1 scored, 1 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 3 scored, 0 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 6 scored, 2 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 2 scored, 1 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 4 scored, 2 conceded

AEK Athens

  • 1-15 minutes: 1 scored, 1 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 2 scored, 0 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 0 scored, 3 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 1 scored, 1 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 1 scored, 1 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 0 scored, 5 conceded

Goals in each 15-minute period, Champions League this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Como

Player G A
Anastasios Douvikas 6 1
Nico Paz 3 5
Martin Baturina 2 1
Assane Diao 2 0
Jacobo Ramón 1 2

AEK Athens

Player G A
Stavros Pilios 2 1
Aboubakary Koïta 1 1
Lovro Majer 1 0
Răzvan Marin 1 0

Goals and assists in the Champions League this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Como AEK Athens
  • 2.0 Corners won 3.0
  • 4.5 Corners conceded 5.8
  • 1.5 Yellow cards 1.5
  • 2.5 Opponents' yellow cards 1.2

Per match in the Champions League this season. Average per club and match: 4.7 corners, 1.7 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

ComoAEK Athens
Attack 51 14 4.8 goals per match this season1.3 goals per match this season
Defence 57 31 1.5 conceded per match this season2.8 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Champions League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1985Elo #33 Elo rating 1883Elo #66

Head-to-head

Como and AEK Athens have not met in our records since 2010.

Table

Champions League: Table
#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Paris Saint-Germain 4 400 20:5 +15 12
2 Real Madrid 4 400 13:7 +6 12
3 Arsenal 4 310 8:3 +5 10
4 Como 4 301 19:6 +13 9
5 Barcelona 4 301 14:6 +8 9
6 Aston Villa 4 301 12:6 +6 9
7 Manchester City 4 301 12:7 +5 9
8 Liverpool 4 301 14:10 +4 9
9 Club Brugge 4 301 11:7 +4 9
10 Sporting CP 4 301 8:4 +4 9
11 Real Betis 4 301 8:6 +2 9
12 Borussia Dortmund 4 301 7:5 +2 9
13 Bayern München 4 220 12:5 +7 8
14 VfB Stuttgart 4 211 7:4 +3 7
15 Inter 4 202 8:6 +2 6
16 LASK 4 202 10:9 +1 6
17 Manchester United 4 202 8:8 0 6
18 Galatasaray 4 202 8:9 -1 6
19 Fenerbahçe 4 121 6:11 -5 5
20 Roma 4 112 10:8 +2 4
21 Shakhtar Donetsk 4 112 4:4 0 4
22 Viking 4 112 9:10 -1 4
23 Atlético Madrid 4 112 4:5 -1 4
24 PSV Eindhoven 4 112 3:4 -1 4
25 Bodø/Glimt 4 112 4:9 -5 4
26 FC Porto 4 103 6:7 -1 3
27 Napoli 4 103 6:11 -5 3
28 Villarreal 4 103 8:14 -6 3
29 AEK Athens 4 103 5:11 -6 3
30 RB Leipzig 4 103 5:11 -6 3
31 Sabah FK 4 103 4:10 -6 3
32 Feyenoord 4 103 4:11 -7 3
33 Lens 4 103 4:16 -12 3
34 Slavia Prague 4 013 5:9 -4 1
35 Lille 4 013 4:10 -6 1
36 Slovan Bratislava 4 004 1:17 -16 0

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Champions League: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely Top 8Play-off round Win it
Como 9
AEK Athens 3

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Times are UTC.