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Champions League · League phase, matchday 5

Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund: Match Preview & Stats

Emirates Stadium, London

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Arsenal: 7 of 8 right
  • Borussia Dortmund: 4 of 8 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Champions League, League phase, matchday 5
Kick-off
Venue
Emirates Stadium, London
Since last match
Arsenal: 3 days (Premier League) · Newcastle United Borussia Dortmund: 3 days (Bundesliga) · Borussia Mönchengladbach
Next match
Arsenal: 4 days (Premier League) later Borussia Dortmund: 4 days (Bundesliga) later

Last starting XI

Arsenal 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Raya
  2. 12 Timber
  3. 15 Konsa
  4. 6 Gabriel
  5. 5 Calafiori
  6. 39 Guimarães
  7. 4 Rice
  8. 20 Madueke
  9. 8 Ødegaard
  10. 17 Tzolis
  11. 29 Havertz

Coach: Mikel Arteta vs Hull City, 1-0 · Premier League · 7 Nov

Borussia Dortmund 4-3-3

  1. 1 Kobel
  2. 22 Gadou
  3. 3 Anton
  4. 4 Schlotterbeck
  5. 24 Svensson
  6. 16 Bellingham
  7. 25 Veerman
  8. 8 Nmecha
  9. 19 Karetsas
  10. 21 Silva
  11. 17 Chukwuemeka

Coach: Niko Kovač vs Elversberg, 2-1 · Bundesliga · 7 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Arsenal

  • DF Ezri KonsaInjured · A few days
  • FW Bukayo SakaInjured · Late November 2026

Borussia Dortmund

  • DF Emre CanInjured · Mid November 2026
  • MF Giannis KonstanteliasInjured · Late May 2027
  • FW Justin LermaInjured · About 1-2 weeks
  • FW Serhou GuirassyInjured · Doubtful

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Arsenal

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 10.0%
Missing minutes share 11.0%
2 players out 2 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • FW Bukayo Saka 7% attack · 3% mins
  • DF Ezri Konsa 3% attack · 8% mins

Borussia Dortmund

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 15.0%
Missing minutes share 6.0%
4 players out 1 regular starter out
Key absences:
  • FW Serhou Guirassy 15% attack · 6% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 9 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Arsenal Borussia Dortmund
Box & Territory Pressure 68 66
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 57 58
Finishing Efficiency 64 15
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 74 82
Underlying Play Power 65 62
Arsenal Results above play quality (running hot)
Borussia Dortmund Balanced (results match underlying play)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 9 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Arsenal

When scoring first 83% won · 100% unbeaten (12 matches)
When conceding first 67% points rescued · 67% won (3 matches)
1st Half: 38% 2nd Half: 62%
First 15': 17% Last 15' (76-90'): 12%

Borussia Dortmund

When scoring first 90% won · 100% unbeaten (10 matches)
When conceding first 75% points rescued · 50% won (4 matches)
1st Half: 21% 2nd Half: 79%
First 15': 11% Last 15' (76-90'): 36%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Arsenal

  1. 1. FW Noni Madueke 2G · 1A
    Team attack 13.0% Team shots 13.0%
  2. 2. MF Declan Rice 1G · 3A
    Team attack 10.0% Team shots 8.0%
  3. 3. MF Martin Ødegaard 1G · 1A
    Team attack 10.0% Team shots 10.0%

Borussia Dortmund

  1. 1. FW Fábio Silva 2G · 3A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 11.0%
  2. 2. MF Felix Nmecha 2G · 0A
    Team attack 10.0% Team shots 13.0%
  3. 3. MF Maximilian Beier 2G · 1A
    Team attack 10.0% Team shots 10.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Scoring trends Arsenal Borussia Dortmund
Over 1.5 goals 7/10 6/10
Over 2.5 goals 5/10 6/10
Over 3.5 goals 1/10 3/10
Both teams scored 4/10 6/10
Clean sheet 5/10 3/10
Failed to score 1/10 2/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 1.5 / 0.8 1.5 / 1.0

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Arsenal

  • W 1-0 vs Hull City (H) Premier League · 7 Nov
  • W 2-1 at Slavia Prague (A) Champions League · 4 Nov
  • W 1-0 at Liverpool (A) Premier League · 1 Nov
  • D 1-1 at Fleetwood Town (A) EFL Cup · 27 Oct
  • W 2-0 vs Everton (H) Premier League · 24 Oct

Borussia Dortmund

  • W 2-1 vs Elversberg (H) Bundesliga · 7 Nov
  • W 2-1 vs Real Betis (H) Champions League · 4 Nov
  • D 2-2 at Bayern München (A) Bundesliga · 31 Oct
  • W 3-2 vs Werder Bremen (H) DFB Pokal · 27 Oct
  • W 1-0 vs Eintracht Frankfurt (H) Bundesliga · 24 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Arsenal

  • 1-15 minutes: 1 scored, 0 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 1 scored, 0 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 1 scored, 1 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 0 scored, 0 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 4 scored, 1 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 1 scored, 1 conceded

Borussia Dortmund

  • 1-15 minutes: 1 scored, 0 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 0 scored, 0 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 0 scored, 1 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 3 scored, 1 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 1 scored, 2 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 2 scored, 1 conceded

Goals in each 15-minute period, Champions League this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Arsenal

Player G A
Eberechi Eze 2 0
Viktor Gyökeres 1 2
Bukayo Saka 1 1
Martin Ødegaard 1 1
Noni Madueke 1 1

Borussia Dortmund

Player G A
Serhou Guirassy (1 pen) 4 0
Fábio Silva 1 2
Konstantinos Karetsas 1 0

Goals and assists in the Champions League this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Arsenal Borussia Dortmund
  • 5.0 Corners won 7.2
  • 1.8 Corners conceded 5.0
  • 1.8 Yellow cards 1.8
  • 1.0 Opponents' yellow cards 2.8

Per match in the Champions League this season. Average per club and match: 4.7 corners, 1.7 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

ArsenalBorussia Dortmund
Attack 83 54 2.0 goals per match this season1.8 goals per match this season
Defence 100 77 0.8 conceded per match this season1.3 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Champions League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

2287Elo #1 Elo rating 2083Elo #12

Head-to-head

3Arsenal wins
1draw
2Borussia Dortmund wins

6 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 26 Nov 2014 · Champions League Arsenal 2-0 Borussia Dortmund
  • 16 Sep 2014 · Champions League Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Arsenal
  • 6 Nov 2013 · Champions League Borussia Dortmund 0-1 Arsenal
  • 22 Oct 2013 · Champions League Arsenal 1-2 Borussia Dortmund
  • 23 Nov 2011 · Champions League Arsenal 2-1 Borussia Dortmund

Table

Champions League: Table
#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Paris Saint-Germain 4 400 20:5 +15 12
2 Real Madrid 4 400 13:7 +6 12
3 Arsenal 4 310 8:3 +5 10
4 Como 4 301 19:6 +13 9
5 Barcelona 4 301 14:6 +8 9
6 Aston Villa 4 301 12:6 +6 9
7 Manchester City 4 301 12:7 +5 9
8 Liverpool 4 301 14:10 +4 9
9 Club Brugge 4 301 11:7 +4 9
10 Sporting CP 4 301 8:4 +4 9
11 Real Betis 4 301 8:6 +2 9
12 Borussia Dortmund 4 301 7:5 +2 9
13 Bayern München 4 220 12:5 +7 8
14 VfB Stuttgart 4 211 7:4 +3 7
15 Inter 4 202 8:6 +2 6
16 LASK 4 202 10:9 +1 6
17 Manchester United 4 202 8:8 0 6
18 Galatasaray 4 202 8:9 -1 6
19 Fenerbahçe 4 121 6:11 -5 5
20 Roma 4 112 10:8 +2 4
21 Shakhtar Donetsk 4 112 4:4 0 4
22 Viking 4 112 9:10 -1 4
23 Atlético Madrid 4 112 4:5 -1 4
24 PSV Eindhoven 4 112 3:4 -1 4
25 Bodø/Glimt 4 112 4:9 -5 4
26 FC Porto 4 103 6:7 -1 3
27 Napoli 4 103 6:11 -5 3
28 Villarreal 4 103 8:14 -6 3
29 AEK Athens 4 103 5:11 -6 3
30 RB Leipzig 4 103 5:11 -6 3
31 Sabah FK 4 103 4:10 -6 3
32 Feyenoord 4 103 4:11 -7 3
33 Lens 4 103 4:16 -12 3
34 Slavia Prague 4 013 5:9 -4 1
35 Lille 4 013 4:10 -6 1
36 Slovan Bratislava 4 004 1:17 -16 0

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Champions League: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely Top 8Play-off round Win it
Arsenal 10
Borussia Dortmund 9

For members

Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

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Times are UTC.