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Champions League · League phase, matchday 5

Real Madrid vs PSV Eindhoven: Match Preview & Stats

Real Madrid crest Real Madrid
vs
PSV Eindhoven crest PSV Eindhoven
Estadio Bernabéu, Madrid

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Real Madrid: 7 of 8 right
  • PSV Eindhoven: 4 of 8 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Champions League, League phase, matchday 5
Kick-off
Venue
Estadio Bernabéu, Madrid
Since last match
Real Madrid: 3 days (LaLiga) · Celta Vigo PSV Eindhoven: 3 days (Eredivisie) · NEC Nijmegen
Next match
Real Madrid: 4 days (LaLiga) later PSV Eindhoven: 3 days (Eredivisie) later

Last starting XI

Real Madrid 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Courtois
  2. 8 Valverde
  3. 15 Konaté
  4. 4 Huijsen
  5. 22 Cucurella
  6. 20 Silva
  7. 14 Tchouaméni
  8. 8 Güler
  9. 10 Bellingham
  10. 25 Diomande
  11. 10 Mbappé

Coach: José Mourinho at Valencia, 3-0 · LaLiga · 7 Nov

PSV Eindhoven 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Kovár
  2. 8 Dest
  3. 2 Geertruida
  4. 4 Obispo
  5. 18 Kostić
  6. 24 Sano
  7. 17 Júnior
  8. 19 Bajraktarević
  9. 21 Mijnans
  10. 7 van Bommel
  11. 20 Til

Coach: Peter Bosz at Cambuur, 5-2 · Eredivisie · 8 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Real Madrid

  • DF Ferland MendyInjured · Back in training
  • DF Raúl AsencioInjured · Back in training
  • MF Aurélien TchouaméniInjured · About 1-2 weeks
  • FW Kylian MbappéInjured · A few days
  • FW RodrygoInjured · Back in training

PSV Eindhoven

  • DF Adamo NagaloInjured · Out for the season
  • DF Jerdy SchoutenInjured · Day to day
  • FW Alassane PléaInjured · Early January 2027

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Real Madrid

High impact
Missing attack share 28.0%
Missing minutes share 15.0%
5 players out 2 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • FW Kylian Mbappé 26% attack · 8% mins
  • MF Aurélien Tchouaméni 3% attack · 6% mins

PSV Eindhoven

Low impact
Missing attack share 0.0%
Missing minutes share 0.0%
3 players out

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Real Madrid PSV Eindhoven
Box & Territory Pressure 70 73
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 45 62
Finishing Efficiency 90 80
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 57 50
Underlying Play Power 81 64
Real Madrid Results above play quality (running hot)
PSV Eindhoven Results above play quality (running hot)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Real Madrid

When scoring first 100% won · 100% unbeaten (11 matches)
When conceding first 50% points rescued · 50% won (4 matches)
1st Half: 52% 2nd Half: 48%
First 15': 7% Last 15' (76-90'): 33%

PSV Eindhoven

When scoring first 75% won · 88% unbeaten (8 matches)
When conceding first 57% points rescued · 43% won (7 matches)
1st Half: 49% 2nd Half: 51%
First 15': 15% Last 15' (76-90'): 24%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Real Madrid

  1. 1. MF Arda Güler 3G · 4A
    Team attack 15.0% Team shots 13.0%
  2. 2. FW Yan Diomande 4G · 4A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 10.0%
  3. 3. MF Jude Bellingham 2G · 1A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 11.0%

PSV Eindhoven

  1. 1. MF Sven Mijnans 8G · 2A
    Team attack 19.0% Team shots 18.0%
  2. 2. MF Guus Til 6G · 1A
    Team attack 13.0% Team shots 11.0%
  3. 3. FW Ruben van Bommel 2G · 1A
    Team attack 8.0% Team shots 9.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Real Madrid PSV Eindhoven
Over 1.5 goals 9/10 8/10
Over 2.5 goals 9/10 6/10
Over 3.5 goals 5/10 4/10
Both teams scored 7/10 6/10
Clean sheet 3/10 3/10
Failed to score 0/10 1/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 2.8 / 1.2 2.4 / 1.2

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Real Madrid

  • W 3-0 at Valencia (A) LaLiga · 7 Nov
  • W 3-2 at AEK Athens (A) Champions League · 4 Nov
  • W 3-0 at Racing Santander (A) LaLiga · 1 Nov
  • W 2-1 at Barcelona (A) LaLiga · 25 Oct
  • W 4-1 vs RB Leipzig (H) Champions League · 21 Oct

PSV Eindhoven

  • W 5-2 at Cambuur (A) Eredivisie · 8 Nov
  • L 1-2 vs Club Brugge (H) Champions League · 4 Nov
  • W 7-0 vs Willem II (H) Eredivisie · 31 Oct
  • D 1-1 vs Feyenoord (H) Eredivisie · 25 Oct
  • W 1-0 at FC Porto (A) Champions League · 20 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Real Madrid

PSV Eindhoven

Goals in each 15-minute period, Champions League this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Real Madrid

Player G A
Kylian Mbappé 4 1
Federico Valverde 2 0
Arda Güler 1 2
Yan Diomande 1 2
Antonio Rüdiger 1 0

PSV Eindhoven

Player G A
Guus Til 1 0
Kodai Sano 1 0
Sergiño Dest 1 0

Goals and assists in the Champions League this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Real Madrid PSV Eindhoven
  • 6.8 Corners won 6.5
  • 4.2 Corners conceded 4.0
  • 1.0 Yellow cards 1.8
  • 2.0 Opponents' yellow cards 2.5

Per match in the Champions League this season. Average per club and match: 4.7 corners, 1.7 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

Real MadridPSV Eindhoven
Attack 89 63 3.3 goals per match this season0.8 goals per match this season
Defence 89 26 1.8 conceded per match this season1.0 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Champions League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

2183Elo #6 Elo rating 1974Elo #34

Head-to-head

Real Madrid and PSV Eindhoven have not met in our records since 2010.

Table

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Paris Saint-Germain 4 400 20:5 +15 12
2 Real Madrid 4 400 13:7 +6 12
3 Arsenal 4 310 8:3 +5 10
4 Como 4 301 19:6 +13 9
5 Barcelona 4 301 14:6 +8 9
6 Aston Villa 4 301 12:6 +6 9
7 Manchester City 4 301 12:7 +5 9
8 Liverpool 4 301 14:10 +4 9
9 Club Brugge 4 301 11:7 +4 9
10 Sporting CP 4 301 8:4 +4 9
11 Real Betis 4 301 8:6 +2 9
12 Borussia Dortmund 4 301 7:5 +2 9
13 Bayern München 4 220 12:5 +7 8
14 VfB Stuttgart 4 211 7:4 +3 7
15 Inter 4 202 8:6 +2 6
16 LASK 4 202 10:9 +1 6
17 Manchester United 4 202 8:8 0 6
18 Galatasaray 4 202 8:9 -1 6
19 Fenerbahçe 4 121 6:11 -5 5
20 Roma 4 112 10:8 +2 4
21 Shakhtar Donetsk 4 112 4:4 0 4
22 Viking 4 112 9:10 -1 4
23 Atlético Madrid 4 112 4:5 -1 4
24 PSV Eindhoven 4 112 3:4 -1 4
25 Bodø/Glimt 4 112 4:9 -5 4
26 FC Porto 4 103 6:7 -1 3
27 Napoli 4 103 6:11 -5 3
28 Villarreal 4 103 8:14 -6 3
29 AEK Athens 4 103 5:11 -6 3
30 RB Leipzig 4 103 5:11 -6 3
31 Sabah FK 4 103 4:10 -6 3
32 Feyenoord 4 103 4:11 -7 3
33 Lens 4 103 4:16 -12 3
34 Slavia Prague 4 013 5:9 -4 1
35 Lille 4 013 4:10 -6 1
36 Slovan Bratislava 4 004 1:17 -16 0

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Champions League: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely Top 8Play-off round Win it
Real Madrid 12
PSV Eindhoven 4

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Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

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Times are UTC.